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NCDL Stock Forecast 2025-2026
$14.85
Current Price
$760.58M
Market Cap
Buy 3
Hold 3
Sell 0
Wall St Analyst Ratings
Distance to NCDL Price Targets
+27.9%
To High Target of $19.00
+18.7%
To Median Target of $17.63
+1.0%
To Low Target of $15.00
NCDL Price Momentum
-5.4%
1 Week Change
+1.4%
1 Month Change
-14.9%
1 Year Change
-11.5%
Year-to-Date Change
-17.7%
From 52W High of $18.05
+4.5%
From 52W Low of $14.21
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Latest NCDL Stock Price Targets & Analyst Predictions
Based on our analysis of 6 Wall Street analysts, NCDL has a neutral consensus with a median price target of $17.63 (ranging from $15.00 to $19.00). The overall analyst rating is Buy (7.7/10). Currently trading at $14.85, the median forecast implies a 18.7% upside. This outlook is supported by 3 Buy, 3 Hold, and 0 Sell ratings.
The most optimistic forecast comes from Mark Hughes at Truist Securities, projecting a 27.9% upside. Conversely, the most conservative target is provided by Finian O'Shea at Wells Fargo, suggesting a 1.0% upside.
Please note that analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates subject to substantial market, economic, and company-specific risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and actual stock performance may materially differ from these projections. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider their investment objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
NCDL Analyst Ratings
3
Buy
3
Hold
0
Sell
NCDL Price Target Range
Low
$15.00
Average
$17.63
High
$19.00
Current: $14.85
Latest NCDL Stock Forecasts by Analyst
These are the latest 20 analyst ratings and price targets for NCDL.
| Date | Firm | Analyst | Rating | Change | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2025 | Wells Fargo | Finian O'Shea | Equal-Weight | Maintains | $15.00 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | UBS | Vilas Abraham | Neutral | Maintains | $16.25 |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Ryan Lynch | Market Perform | Maintains | $17.00 |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Finian O'Shea | Equal-Weight | Maintains | $17.00 |
| Mar 26, 2024 | JMP Securities | Brian McKenna | Market Outperform | Reiterates | $18.50 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | JMP Securities | Brian McKenna | Market Outperform | Upgrade | $18.50 |
| Feb 20, 2024 | Truist Securities | Mark Hughes | Buy | Initiates | $19.00 |
| Feb 20, 2024 | JMP Securities | Brian McKenna | Market Perform | Initiates | $0.00 |
| Feb 20, 2024 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Ryan Lynch | Market Perform | Initiates | $18.50 |
| Feb 20, 2024 | B of A Securities | Derek Hewett | Buy | Initiates | $19.00 |
| Feb 20, 2024 | UBS | Vilas Abraham | Neutral | Initiates | $18.00 |
| Feb 20, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Finian O'Shea | Equal-Weight | Initiates | $18.00 |
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) Competitors
The following stocks are similar to NCDL based on their market capitalization and industry sector. These similar stocks potentially provide investors with alternative investment opportunities within the same market segment.
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) Financial Data
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. has a market capitalization of $760.58M with a P/E ratio of 6.9x. The company generates $111.42M in trailing twelve-month revenue with a 0.0% profit margin.
Revenue growth is -14.0% quarter-over-quarter, while maintaining an operating margin of 0.0% and return on equity of +12.0%.
Valuation Metrics
Market Cap
$760.58M
Enterprise Value
$0
P/E Ratio
6.9x
PEG Ratio
7.4x
Price/Sales
6.8x
Growth & Margins
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-14.0%
Gross Margin
N/A
Operating Margin
0.0%
Net Margin
0.0%
EPS Growth
-5.7%
Financial Health
Cash/Price Ratio
0.0%
Current Ratio
0.0x
Debt/Equity
0.0x
ROE
+12.0%
ROA
+5.4%
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Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) Business Model
About Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
What They Do
Provides direct lending solutions to middle-market businesses.
Business Model
The company operates by offering tailored financing solutions in the form of direct loans to middle-market businesses, bypassing traditional banking channels. It primarily generates revenue through interest income from these loans, which include senior and unitranche loans, catering to firms in need of capital for expansion, acquisitions, or refinancing.
Additional Information
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. is strategically positioned in the private equity and debt markets, impacting sectors such as healthcare, technology, and industrials. As a subsidiary of Nuveen, it leverages the expertise and networks of its parent company to enhance its investment evaluation and management capabilities, making it an attractive option for institutional investors seeking yield diversification and growth potential.
Company Information
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Asset Management
Employees
0
CEO
Mr. Kenneth John Kencel J.D.
Country
United States
IPO Year
2023
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) Latest News & Analysis
Featured Analysis
Powered by
Zacks Investment Research
Gladstone Capital (GLAD) Q2 Earnings Match Estimates
Gladstone Capital (GLAD) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 0% and 5.95%, respectively, for the quarter ended March 2025. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
May 06, 2025
By Zacks Equity Research
Tale of the Tape
Latest News
Quick Summary
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NYSE: NCDL) reported Q1 2025 net investment income of $0.53 per share. The company is externally managed by Churchill DLC Advisor LLC.
Why It Matters
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.'s financial results indicate its profitability and investment performance, affecting its stock value and potential for dividends, impacting investor sentiment.
Source: Business Wire
Market Sentiment:
Neutral
Quick Summary
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) reported Q3 earnings of $0.53 per share, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.57, and down from $0.56 per share a year earlier.
Why It Matters
NCDL's earnings miss signals potential weakness in its financial performance, which may impact investor confidence and stock valuation.
Source: Zacks Investment Research
Market Sentiment:
Negative
Quick Summary
The report indicates that the Business Development Company (BDC) portfolio has shown clear alpha performance after two months of monitoring.
Why It Matters
The report of alpha performance in a BDC portfolio indicates potential outperformance compared to benchmarks, suggesting strong investment strategies and opportunities for higher returns.
Source: Seeking Alpha
Market Sentiment:
Positive
Quick Summary
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) boasts a robust portfolio of 210 companies with an average EBITDA of $78M, emphasizing first-lien debt investments to mitigate risks amid liquidity concerns.
Why It Matters
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. offers a robust portfolio with a focus on first-lien debt, indicating stability and risk mitigation, appealing to investors seeking defensive options in uncertain markets.
Source: Seeking Alpha
Market Sentiment:
Positive
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. Schedules First Quarter 2025 Earnings Release and Conference Call
26 days ago
Quick Summary
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NYSE: NCDL) will report Q1 2025 financial results on May 8, 2025, before market open, with a conference call at 11:00 AM ET.
Why It Matters
NCDL's upcoming earnings report and conference call provide key insights into its financial performance, influencing investor sentiment and stock valuation.
Source: Business Wire
Market Sentiment:
Neutral
BDC Weekly Review: BDCs Plunge On Macro Fears
28 days ago
Quick Summary
In early April, business development companies (BDCs) experienced average losses of about -9%, with valuations falling below historical averages and estimated NAV declines of 2-3% from Q4.
Why It Matters
Declining returns and below-average valuations in BDCs indicate potential risk and volatility, impacting investment strategies and future performance expectations.
Source: Seeking Alpha
Market Sentiment:
Negative
Frequently Asked Questions About NCDL Stock
What is Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.'s (NCDL) stock forecast for 2025?
Based on our analysis of 6 Wall Street analysts, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) has a median price target of $17.63. The highest price target is $19.00 and the lowest is $15.00.
Is NCDL stock a good investment in 2025?
According to current analyst ratings, NCDL has 3 Buy ratings, 3 Hold ratings, and 0 Sell ratings. The stock is currently trading at $14.85. Always conduct your own research and consider your investment goals before making investment decisions.
What is the long-term price prediction for NCDL stock?
Wall Street analysts predict NCDL stock could reach $17.63 in the next 12 months. This represents a 18.7% increase from the current price of $14.85. Please note that this is a projection by Wall Street analysts and not a guarantee.
What is Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.'s business model?
The company operates by offering tailored financing solutions in the form of direct loans to middle-market businesses, bypassing traditional banking channels. It primarily generates revenue through interest income from these loans, which include senior and unitranche loans, catering to firms in need of capital for expansion, acquisitions, or refinancing.
What is the highest forecasted price for NCDL Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.?
The highest price target for NCDL is $19.00 from Mark Hughes at Truist Securities, which represents a 27.9% increase from the current price of $14.85.
What is the lowest forecasted price for NCDL Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.?
The lowest price target for NCDL is $15.00 from Finian O'Shea at Wells Fargo, which represents a 1.0% increase from the current price of $14.85.
What is the overall NCDL consensus from analysts for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.?
The overall analyst consensus for NCDL is neutral. Out of 6 Wall Street analysts, 3 rate it as Buy, 3 as Hold, and 0 as Sell, with a median price target of $17.63.
How accurate are NCDL stock price projections?
Stock price projections, including those for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp., are based on various factors including financial models, market conditions, and analyst forecasts. While these predictions provide valuable insights, they should be considered alongside your own research and risk tolerance.
Important Disclaimer
The information provided by Ticker Nerd is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analyst ratings and price forecasts are sourced from Wall St analysts and other experts. These projections are speculative and do not guarantee future stock performance.
Last updated: May 11, 2025 3:56 PM UTC