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NCDL Stock Forecast 2026-2027
$13.66
Current Price
$673.64M
Market Cap
Buy 3
Hold 3
Sell 0
Wall St Analyst Ratings
Distance to NCDL Price Targets
+17.1%
To High Target of $16.00
+12.6%
To Median Target of $15.38
-4.8%
To Low Target of $13.00
NCDL Price Momentum
-7.8%
1 Week Change
+1.6%
1 Month Change
-8.0%
1 Year Change
+2.4%
Year-to-Date Change
-20.9%
From 52W High of $17.27
+9.9%
From 52W Low of $12.43
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Latest NCDL Stock Price Targets & Analyst Predictions
Based on our analysis of 8 Wall Street analysts, NCDL has a neutral consensus with a median price target of $15.38 (ranging from $13.00 to $16.00). The overall analyst rating is Buy (7.7/10). Currently trading at $13.66, the median forecast implies a 12.6% upside. This outlook is supported by 3 Buy, 3 Hold, and 0 Sell ratings.
The most optimistic forecast comes from Mark Hughes at Truist Securities, projecting a 17.1% upside. Conversely, the most conservative target is provided by Finian O'Shea at Wells Fargo, suggesting a 4.8% downside.
Please note that analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates subject to substantial market, economic, and company-specific risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and actual stock performance may materially differ from these projections. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider their investment objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
NCDL Analyst Ratings
3
Buy
3
Hold
0
Sell
NCDL Price Target Range
Low
$13.00
Average
$15.38
High
$16.00
Current: $13.66
Latest NCDL Stock Forecasts by Analyst
These are the latest 20 analyst ratings and price targets for NCDL.
| Date | Firm | Analyst | Rating | Change | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026 | UBS | Doug Harter | Neutral | Maintains | $15.50 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Truist Securities | Mark Hughes | Buy | Maintains | $16.00 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Finian O'Shea | Equal-Weight | Maintains | $13.00 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Ryan Lynch | Market Perform | Maintains | $15.00 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Ryan Lynch | Market Perform | Maintains | $16.00 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Wells Fargo | Finian O'Shea | Equal-Weight | Maintains | $14.00 |
| Oct 14, 2025 | UBS | Doug Harter | Neutral | Maintains | $15.00 |
| Jul 16, 2025 | UBS | Vilas Abraham | Neutral | Maintains | $17.50 |
| Jun 24, 2025 | JMP Securities | Devin Ryan | Market Outperform | Maintains | $18.00 |
| May 13, 2025 | Wells Fargo | Finian O'Shea | Equal-Weight | Maintains | $14.00 |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Wells Fargo | Finian O'Shea | Equal-Weight | Maintains | $15.00 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | UBS | Vilas Abraham | Neutral | Maintains | $16.25 |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Ryan Lynch | Market Perform | Maintains | $17.00 |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Finian O'Shea | Equal-Weight | Maintains | $17.00 |
| Mar 26, 2024 | JMP Securities | Brian McKenna | Market Outperform | Reiterates | $18.50 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | JMP Securities | Brian McKenna | Market Outperform | Upgrade | $18.50 |
| Feb 20, 2024 | JMP Securities | Brian McKenna | Market Perform | Initiates | $N/A |
| Feb 20, 2024 | Truist Securities | Mark Hughes | Buy | Initiates | $19.00 |
| Feb 20, 2024 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Ryan Lynch | Market Perform | Initiates | $18.50 |
| Feb 20, 2024 | Wells Fargo | Finian O'Shea | Equal-Weight | Initiates | $18.00 |
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) Competitors
The following stocks are similar to NCDL based on their market capitalization and industry sector. These similar stocks potentially provide investors with alternative investment opportunities within the same market segment.
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) Financial Data
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. has a market capitalization of $673.64M with a P/E ratio of 11.0x. The company generates $76.61M in trailing twelve-month revenue with a 0.0% profit margin.
Revenue growth is -8.9% quarter-over-quarter, while maintaining an operating margin of 0.0% and return on equity of +7.5%.
Valuation Metrics
Market Cap
$673.64M
Enterprise Value
$0
P/E Ratio
11.0x
PEG Ratio
8.8x
Price/Sales
8.8x
Growth & Margins
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.9%
Gross Margin
N/A
Operating Margin
0.0%
Net Margin
0.0%
EPS Growth
-32.3%
Financial Health
Cash/Price Ratio
+1.3%
Current Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.0x
ROE
+7.5%
ROA
+3.2%
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Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) Business Model
About Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
What They Do
Provides capital solutions through direct lending.
Business Model
The company focuses on direct lending to middle-market businesses, offering tailored financing solutions such as senior and unitranche loans. By bypassing traditional banking channels, it serves U.S.-based firms seeking capital for growth, acquisitions, or refinancing, generating revenue through interest income from the loans provided.
Additional Information
Nuveen Churchill operates within the private equity and debt markets, impacting various sectors including healthcare, technology, and industrials. As part of Nuveen, it benefits from the global investment management firm's expertise and networks, enhancing its ability to identify and manage middle-market investment opportunities.
Company Information
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Asset Management
Employees
0
CEO
Mr. Kenneth John Kencel J.D.
Country
United States
IPO Year
2023
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) Latest News & Analysis
Latest News
Quick Summary
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) reported Q1 2026 net investment income of $0.41 per share. The company is managed by Churchill DLC Advisor LLC and Churchill Asset Management LLC.
Why It Matters
NCDL's financial results indicate its profitability and investment performance, affecting investor sentiment and stock valuation in the business development sector.
Source: Business Wire
Market Sentiment:
Neutral
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. Schedules First Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call
23 days ago
Quick Summary
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NYSE: NCDL) will report Q1 2026 financial results on May 7, 2026, before market open, followed by a conference call at 11 AM ET.
Why It Matters
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. is set to report Q1 2026 financial results, which will provide insights into its performance and may impact investor sentiment and stock valuation.
Source: Business Wire
Market Sentiment:
Neutral
Quick Summary
The VanEck BDC Income ETF reflects BDC performance amid rate cuts and AI disruptions. Some BDCs face portfolio write-downs, while others remain unaffected.
Why It Matters
The VanEck BDC Income ETF's performance highlights the impact of interest rates and AI on BDC profitability, indicating potential risks and opportunities within the sector.
Source: Seeking Alpha
Market Sentiment:
Negative
BDC Weekly Review: Earnings Are Fine
2 months ago
Quick Summary
Business development companies (BDCs) experienced a sharp decline in late February, influenced by a UK mortgage provider's bankruptcy. Q4 earnings were generally stable but not outstanding.
Why It Matters
BDCs' sharp decline signals potential risks in the sector, influenced by external economic factors like bankruptcies. Q4 earnings suggest stability, but caution is warranted for future performance.
Source: Seeking Alpha
Market Sentiment:
Neutral
Quick Summary
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL) faces challenges with a 25.6% share price drop and a 20% dividend cut, amid negative NAV trends and a rising debt-to-equity ratio of 1.27x.
Why It Matters
NCDL's significant share price drop and dividend cut signal financial distress, raising concerns about its ability to recover, impacting investor confidence and potential returns.
Source: Seeking Alpha
Market Sentiment:
Negative
Quick Summary
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) held its Q4 2025 earnings call, discussing financial performance and future outlook. Detailed insights on earnings and strategies were provided.
Why It Matters
The Q4 2025 earnings call for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. provides insights into financial performance, guidance, and market positioning, influencing investment decisions and valuations.
Source: Seeking Alpha
Market Sentiment:
Neutral
Frequently Asked Questions About NCDL Stock
What is Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.'s (NCDL) stock forecast for 2026?
Based on our analysis of 8 Wall Street analysts, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) has a median price target of $15.38. The highest price target is $16.00 and the lowest is $13.00.
Is NCDL stock a good investment in 2026?
According to current analyst ratings, NCDL has 3 Buy ratings, 3 Hold ratings, and 0 Sell ratings. The stock is currently trading at $13.66. Always conduct your own research and consider your investment goals before making investment decisions.
What is the long-term price prediction for NCDL stock?
Wall Street analysts predict NCDL stock could reach $15.38 in the next 12 months. This represents a 12.6% increase from the current price of $13.66. Please note that this is a projection by Wall Street analysts and not a guarantee.
What is Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.'s business model?
The company focuses on direct lending to middle-market businesses, offering tailored financing solutions such as senior and unitranche loans. By bypassing traditional banking channels, it serves U.S.-based firms seeking capital for growth, acquisitions, or refinancing, generating revenue through interest income from the loans provided.
What is the highest forecasted price for NCDL Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.?
The highest price target for NCDL is $16.00 from Mark Hughes at Truist Securities, which represents a 17.1% increase from the current price of $13.66.
What is the lowest forecasted price for NCDL Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.?
The lowest price target for NCDL is $13.00 from Finian O'Shea at Wells Fargo, which represents a -4.8% decrease from the current price of $13.66.
What is the overall NCDL consensus from analysts for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.?
The overall analyst consensus for NCDL is neutral. Out of 8 Wall Street analysts, 3 rate it as Buy, 3 as Hold, and 0 as Sell, with a median price target of $15.38.
How accurate are NCDL stock price projections?
Stock price projections, including those for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp., are based on various factors including financial models, market conditions, and analyst forecasts. While these predictions provide valuable insights, they should be considered alongside your own research and risk tolerance.
Important Disclaimer
The information provided by Ticker Nerd is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analyst ratings and price forecasts are sourced from Wall St analysts and other experts. These projections are speculative and do not guarantee future stock performance.
Last updated: May 9, 2026 3:22 AM UTC