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TPH Stock Forecast 2026-2027
$35.19
Current Price
$3.08B
Market Cap
Buy 3
Hold 3
Sell 0
Wall St Analyst Ratings
Distance to TPH Price Targets
+30.7%
To High Target of $46.00
+8.0%
To Median Target of $38.00
-11.9%
To Low Target of $31.00
TPH Price Momentum
-0.6%
1 Week Change
+6.7%
1 Month Change
-5.5%
1 Year Change
+11.8%
Year-to-Date Change
-9.7%
From 52W High of $38.96
+26.1%
From 52W Low of $27.90
📊 TOP ANALYST CALLS
Did TPH Make This Month's Elite Buy List?
We don't follow just any analyst — only the top 3% with a proven track record make our cut. See if Tri Pointe is one of their latest high-conviction picks.
Latest TPH Stock Price Targets & Analyst Predictions
Based on our analysis of 16 Wall Street analysts, TPH has a neutral consensus with a median price target of $38.00 (ranging from $31.00 to $46.00). The overall analyst rating is Buy (7.7/10). Currently trading at $35.19, the median forecast implies a 8.0% upside. This outlook is supported by 3 Buy, 3 Hold, and 0 Sell ratings.
The most optimistic forecast comes from James McCanless at Citizens, projecting a 30.7% upside.
Please note that analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates subject to substantial market, economic, and company-specific risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and actual stock performance may materially differ from these projections. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider their investment objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
TPH Analyst Ratings
3
Buy
3
Hold
0
Sell
TPH Price Target Range
Low
$31.00
Average
$38.00
High
$46.00
Current: $35.19
Latest TPH Stock Forecasts by Analyst
These are the latest 20 analyst ratings and price targets for TPH.
| Date | Firm | Analyst | Rating | Change | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | Citizens | James McCanless | Market Outperform | Initiates | $46.00 |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Evercore ISI Group | Stephen Kim | In-Line | Downgrade | $34.00 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | Wolfe Research | Trevor Allinson | Peer Perform | Downgrade | $N/A |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Evercore ISI Group | Stephen Kim | Outperform | Maintains | $38.00 |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Wedbush | Jay McCanless | Outperform | Upgrade | $43.00 |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Seaport Global | Kenneth Zener | Buy | Upgrade | $41.00 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Evercore ISI Group | Stephen Kim | Outperform | Maintains | $42.00 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Oppenheimer | Tyler Batory | Outperform | Maintains | $43.00 |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Oppenheimer | Tyler Batory | Outperform | Maintains | $53.00 |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Wedbush | Jay McCanless | Neutral | Maintains | $44.00 |
| Oct 25, 2024 | RBC Capital | Mike Dahl | Outperform | Maintains | $45.00 |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Wedbush | Jay McCanless | Neutral | Reiterates | $42.00 |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Oppenheimer | Tyler Batory | Outperform | Maintains | $56.00 |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Zelman & Assoc | Neutral | Upgrade | $43.00 | |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Seaport Global | Kenneth Zener | Neutral | Initiates | $N/A |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Wedbush | Jay McCanless | Neutral | Reiterates | $42.00 |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Oppenheimer | Tyler Batory | Outperform | Maintains | $54.00 |
| Jul 26, 2024 | RBC Capital | Mike Dahl | Outperform | Maintains | $48.00 |
| Jul 25, 2024 | Wedbush | Jay McCanless | Neutral | Reiterates | $42.00 |
| Apr 26, 2024 | RBC Capital | Mike Dahl | Outperform | Maintains | $42.00 |
Tri Pointe Homes Inc. (TPH) Competitors
The following stocks are similar to Tri Pointe based on their market capitalization and industry sector. These similar stocks potentially provide investors with alternative investment opportunities within the same market segment.
Tri Pointe Homes Inc. (TPH) Financial Data
Tri Pointe Homes Inc. has a market capitalization of $3.08B with a P/E ratio of 10.5x. The company generates $3.75B in trailing twelve-month revenue with a 8.3% profit margin.
Revenue growth is -25.3% quarter-over-quarter, while maintaining an operating margin of +9.2% and return on equity of +9.5%.
Valuation Metrics
Market Cap
$3.08B
Enterprise Value
$3.53B
P/E Ratio
10.5x
PEG Ratio
-0.2x
Price/Sales
0.8x
Growth & Margins
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-25.3%
Gross Margin
+20.5%
Operating Margin
+9.2%
Net Margin
+8.3%
EPS Growth
-49.8%
Financial Health
Cash/Price Ratio
+26.2%
Current Ratio
12.8x
Debt/Equity
38.3x
ROE
+9.5%
ROA
+5.3%
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Tri Pointe Homes Inc. (TPH) Business Model
About Tri Pointe Homes Inc.
What They Do
Residential homebuilder specializing in single-family homes.
Business Model
Tri Pointe Homes generates revenue through designing, constructing, and selling residential properties across various locations in the United States. The company focuses on high-quality, sustainable homes and adapts its offerings to meet regional market demands, enhancing its competitive edge.
Additional Information
Founded in 2009 and based in California, Tri Pointe Homes emphasizes innovative design and energy efficiency in its developments. The company is committed to community growth and environmental responsibility, aiming to maximize shareholder value through strategic growth and operational excellence.
Company Information
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Residential Construction
Employees
1,750
CEO
Mr. Douglas F. Bauer
Country
United States
IPO Year
2013
Website
www.tripointehomes.comTri Pointe Homes Inc. (TPH) Latest News & Analysis
Latest News
Source: Zacks Investment Research
Market Sentiment:
Positive
5 Stocks to Sell as Homebuilder Slump Deepens
25 days ago
Quick Summary
The housing market is slowing as high interest rates deter buyers, leading sellers to withdraw from the market instead of reducing prices.
Why It Matters
High interest rates are suppressing housing market activity, limiting buyer participation and leading to stagnant prices, which can affect real estate investments and related sectors.
Source: Benzinga
Market Sentiment:
Negative
Quick Summary
Investors in the Building Products - Home Builders sector may consider Tri Pointe Homes (TPH) or Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) for potential undervalued stock opportunities.
Why It Matters
The comparison of Tri Pointe Homes and Smith Douglas Homes highlights potential undervalued investment opportunities in the home building sector, influencing portfolio decisions.
Source: Zacks Investment Research
Market Sentiment:
Positive
Tri Pointe Homes Breaks Ground on State-of-the-Art Amenities Center for Altis at Serenity
2 months ago
Quick Summary
Tri Pointe Homes has begun construction on the Altis at Serenity Community Clubhouse in Fuquay-Varina, set to open in Fall 2026, targeting the 55+ lifestyle market.
Why It Matters
The opening of the Altis at Serenity Community Clubhouse signals growth in the 55+ housing sector, potentially boosting Tri Pointe Homes' sales and market position.
Source: PRNewsWire
Market Sentiment:
Neutral
Quick Summary
Tri Pointe Homes (TPH) is rated a "Buy" despite recent challenges like declining revenue and rising cancellations. It has a low EV/EBITDA compared to peers and low net leverage at 0.71.
Why It Matters
Tri Pointe Homes offers a buying opportunity despite challenges, with low valuation and leverage. However, declining revenue and rising cancellations indicate potential risks ahead.
Source: Seeking Alpha
Market Sentiment:
Negative
Quick Summary
Steve Francis, an experienced homebuilding executive, will lead Tri Pointe Homes' growth and premium positioning in Charlotte's housing market.
Why It Matters
Steve Francis's leadership signals potential growth for Tri Pointe Homes in Charlotte, indicating a focus on premium housing, which could attract investors seeking opportunities in rising real estate markets.
Source: GlobeNewsWire
Market Sentiment:
Neutral
Frequently Asked Questions About TPH Stock
What is Tri Pointe Homes Inc.'s (TPH) stock forecast for 2026?
Based on our analysis of 16 Wall Street analysts, Tri Pointe Homes Inc. (TPH) has a median price target of $38.00. The highest price target is $46.00 and the lowest is $31.00.
Is TPH stock a good investment in 2026?
According to current analyst ratings, TPH has 3 Buy ratings, 3 Hold ratings, and 0 Sell ratings. The stock is currently trading at $35.19. Always conduct your own research and consider your investment goals before making investment decisions.
What is the long-term price prediction for TPH stock?
Wall Street analysts predict TPH stock could reach $38.00 in the next 12 months. This represents a 8.0% increase from the current price of $35.19. Please note that this is a projection by Wall Street analysts and not a guarantee.
What is Tri Pointe Homes Inc.'s business model?
Tri Pointe Homes generates revenue through designing, constructing, and selling residential properties across various locations in the United States. The company focuses on high-quality, sustainable homes and adapts its offerings to meet regional market demands, enhancing its competitive edge.
What is the highest forecasted price for TPH Tri Pointe Homes Inc.?
The highest price target for TPH is $46.00 from James McCanless at Citizens, which represents a 30.7% increase from the current price of $35.19.
What is the lowest forecasted price for TPH Tri Pointe Homes Inc.?
The lowest price target for TPH is $31.00 from at , which represents a -11.9% decrease from the current price of $35.19.
What is the overall TPH consensus from analysts for Tri Pointe Homes Inc.?
The overall analyst consensus for TPH is neutral. Out of 16 Wall Street analysts, 3 rate it as Buy, 3 as Hold, and 0 as Sell, with a median price target of $38.00.
How accurate are TPH stock price projections?
Stock price projections, including those for Tri Pointe Homes Inc., are based on various factors including financial models, market conditions, and analyst forecasts. While these predictions provide valuable insights, they should be considered alongside your own research and risk tolerance.
Important Disclaimer
The information provided by Ticker Nerd is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analyst ratings and price forecasts are sourced from Wall St analysts and other experts. These projections are speculative and do not guarantee future stock performance.
Last updated: January 18, 2026 10:26 AM UTC