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RCAT Stock Forecast: Red Cat Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$9.64
+1.10% on the day

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Red Cat Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $18 — +81.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 5 of 100 as at 21 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$1.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
5 / 100
Median analyst target
$18
Analysts covering
6
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−13.4%
1M
+12.2%
YTD
+21.5%
1Y
−1.1%
From 52W high
−44.5%
From 52W low
+56.9%
$6
$17
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RCAT stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Red Cat Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 21 Aug 2026
5 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
48
Size
41
Issuance
38
Revisions
27
Volatility
20
Value
15
Quality
12
Accruals
11
Growth
5

Momentum (48): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Growth (5): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

RCAT stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RCAT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5$10$15$20$25Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RCATHigh $25Median $18Low $15

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says6 analysts
6 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $15Median $18High $25

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +81.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
7 Aug 2026HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy$20
7 Aug 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$20 → $15
1 June 2026Roth CapitalInitiatesBuy$25
1 June 2026Roth CapitalInitiatesBuy—
27 May 2026HC Wainwright & Co.InitiatesBuy$20
27 May 2026HC Wainwright & Co.InitiatesBuy—
19 Mar 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
3 Mar 2026Ladenburg ThalmannMaintainsBuy—
2 Mar 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
13 Jan 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
14 Nov 2025NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
3 Oct 2025NeedhamInitiatesBuy—
11 Mar 2025Northland Capital MarketsInitiatesOutperform—
14 June 2024Ladenburg ThalmannInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RCAT appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

RCAT analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−12.7×

Cheaper than 94% of US stocks

Price / sales
19.8×

Cheaper than 9% of US stocks

Price / book
4.7×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−11.5×

Cheaper than 85% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
527.2%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
527.3%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Gross margin
16.1%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Operating margin
−191.4%

Higher than 11% of US stocks

Net margin
−136.3%

Higher than 4% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−34.4%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Return on assets
−20.7%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

RCAT vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RCATRed Cat Holdings, Inc.$1.5B
5
CDRECadre Holdings, Inc.$1.5B
55
YSSYork Space Systems, Inc.$1.3B
0
NPKNational Presto Industries, Inc.$1.1B
61
HAWKHawkEye 360, Inc.$2.1B
5
EVEXEve Holding, Inc.$916.0M
6
AVEXAEVEX Corp.$2.2B
12

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Red Cat Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RCAT news & analysis

Ondas vs. Red Cat: Which Drone Stock Is the Better Pick Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Aug 2026negative

Zacks published a comparison of drone stocks Ondas Holdings (ONDS) and Red Cat Holdings (RCAT). The piece highlights that Ondas pairs surging revenues, a $613 million backlog and a lower valuation with integration risks, while noting that Red Cat faces a steep ramp in the second half of the year.

Why it matters — RCAT watchers would care because the piece frames Red Cat's near-term performance against a stronger-looking rival, flagging the company's significant second-half execution hurdle.

Insider Sells 30,000 Shares of Small Cap Stock, Up 14% Over Last Year

The Motley Fool · 19 Aug 2026negative

An insider sold 30,000 shares of Red Cat Holdings on August 11, 2026, generating gross proceeds of approximately $311,000 at a weighted average price of $10.35 per share. The transaction represented 13% of the insider's total equity holdings in the company.

Why it matters — A Red Cat Holdings watcher would care because insider selling can signal management sentiment about the stock's valuation.

Red Cat Slides 4% on Maritime Autonomy Deal, Ondas Holdings Pulls Back

24/7 Wall Street · 17 Aug 2026negative

Red Cat Holdings shares fell 4% to $10.65 on Monday afternoon, even as the company's Blue Ops division announced a new maritime autonomy partnership. The stock declined despite the fresh announcement.

Why it matters — RCAT watchers would note that the company's maritime autonomy news did not offset the share-price decline, reflecting a negative market reaction to the announcement.

Blue Ops, a Red Cat Company, and Havoc Partner to Develop Open-Architecture Autonomous Maritime Defense Systems

GlobeNewsWire · 17 Aug 2026positive

Blue Ops, a Red Cat company, and Havoc announced a partnership to integrate Havoc's collaborative autonomy software across Blue Ops' unmanned surface vessel (USV) portfolio to establish operational fleets for autonomous maritime defense systems.

Why it matters — The partnership expands Red Cat's maritime defense capabilities through an open-architecture approach to autonomous USV operations.

Red Cat: Big Order Promises Intact

Seeking Alpha · 16 Aug 2026positive

Red Cat Holdings reaffirmed its FY revenue guidance of $150–180M despite mixed Q2'26 results, noting the target requires a significant ramp in second-half sales. The company reports a manufacturing base supporting a pipeline topping $1 billion, with the Dept. of War overdue to place major drone orders.

Why it matters — RCAT watchers would care because the reaffirmed guidance and over-$1 billion pipeline signal expectations of substantial second-half order flow from the Dept. of War.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RCAT stock

What is the RCAT stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Red Cat Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $18, with estimates ranging from $15 to $25. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RCAT stock a buy right now?

Of the 6 analysts covering Red Cat Holdings, Inc., 6 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Red Cat Holdings, Inc. 5 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 21 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RCAT?

As at 21 Aug 2026, Red Cat Holdings, Inc. ranks 5 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (48 of 100).

Will RCAT stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +81.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Red Cat Holdings, Inc. 5 out of 100 as at 21 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RCAT stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Red Cat Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RCAT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $15 to $25 over the next 12 months.

How has RCAT stock performed over the past year?

Red Cat Holdings, Inc. returned -1.1% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Red Cat Holdings, Inc. do?

Red Cat Holdings, Inc. is a U.S.-based drone and robotic technology company focused on advanced all-domain solutions for defense and national security applications.

What is the latest news on RCAT?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 21 Aug 2026): "Ondas vs. Red Cat: Which Drone Stock Is the Better Pick Now?". Zacks published a comparison of drone stocks Ondas Holdings (ONDS) and Red Cat Holdings (RCAT). The piece highlights that Ondas pairs surging revenues, a $613 million backlog and a lower valuation with integration risks, while noting that Red Cat faces a steep ramp in the second half of the year.

Company

About Red Cat Holdings, Inc.

Red Cat Holdings, Inc. is a U.S.-based drone and robotic technology company focused on advanced all-domain solutions for defense and national security applications. The company integrates robotic hardware and software to support military, government, and public safety operations across air, land, and sea. Through its subsidiaries, including Teal Drones and FlightWave Aerospace, Red Cat Holdings, Inc. provides American-made unmanned systems designed for intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance, and precision strike missions. Current offerings include the Arachnid family of ISR and precision strike drones, the Black Widow small unmanned ISR system, and the WEB (Warfighter Electronic Bridge) ground control system for unified command and control of multiple drone platforms. The portfolio also features Edge 130 Blue drone systems, the Trichon fixed-wing VTOL platform for extended endurance, and FANG FPV drones tailored for high-agility military use. Operating in the industrials sector within the aerospace and defense industry, Red Cat Holdings, Inc. serves domestic and allied defense and security customers from its headquarters in San Juan, Puerto Rico, and plays a specialized role in the rapidly evolving unmanned systems market.

CEO Mr. Jeffrey M. Thompson · 244 employees · United States · https://redcat.red