AALIndustrials · AirlinesThe 25 Wall Street analysts covering American Airlines Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $15 — +22.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 50 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores American Airlines Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (84): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Growth (23): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Size (17): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AAL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +22.1% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 11 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Positive | $20 → $15 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $17 → $14 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | $13 → $11 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $16 → $15 |
| 28 Sept 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | $19 → $16 |
| 28 Sept 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 28 Sept 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 28 Sept 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $17 → $13 |
| 18 Sept 2026 | Rothschild & Co | Maintains | Neutral | $13 → $14 |
| 18 Sept 2026 | Rothschild & Co | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $19 → $14 |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $18 → $17 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 24 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 24 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $24 → $16 |
| 27 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 27 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $21 → $18 |
| 24 July 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | $20 → $19 |
| 24 July 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AAL appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 15 Oct 2026, American Airlines Group, Inc. returned −1.8% against +16.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 17% of US stocks
Cheaper than 94% of US stocks
Cheaper than 95% of US stocks
Cheaper than 35% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 4% of US stocks
Higher than 18% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 41% of US stocks
Higher than 51% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
American Airlines Group, Inc. has a market value of $8.3B and an enterprise value of $35.7B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $58.3B. The latest quarter grew 16.3% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$326.0M, a −0.6% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.49.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $285.0M, after $4.1B of capital spending.
Trailing P/E: 43.7×; forward P/E: 8.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 3.20%, paying out 0% of earnings.
American Airlines Group, Inc. employs 143,400 people — $407K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own American Airlines Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
American Airlines named a new chief for network planning as part of a management shake-up, according to Reuters.
Why it matters — The appointment is relevant to AAL watchers because it changes leadership overseeing the airline’s network planning.
Zacks Investment Research says American Airlines lacks the combination of two key ingredients associated with a likely earnings beat in its upcoming Q3 report.
Why it matters — The preview flags expectations for AAL’s upcoming quarterly earnings report.
American Airlines (AAL) settled at $11.79 on the latest trading day, down 5.68% from its previous close. The headline says the stock dipped more than the broader market.
Why it matters — AAL watchers may note the stock’s daily decline and its underperformance relative to the broader market.
American Airlines is cutting service to Doha, Santa Maria and Tijuana as it reshapes its route network. The changes come ahead of the company's third-quarter results, due Oct. 22.
Why it matters — AAL watchers may look to the route exits for clues about the airline's network strategy and potential effect on profitability.
American Airlines reported record Q2 revenue of $16.74 billion and growth in premium and corporate travel, while profitability remains weak. The company faces pressure from rising fuel costs and debt leverage; its AAdvantage program and Citi partnership may offer longer-term profit potential, tempered by competition and deferred revenue.
Why it matters — AAL watchers are weighing strong revenue and loyalty-program potential against near-term fuel-driven margin pressure and leverage.
The 25 Wall Street analysts covering American Airlines Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $15, with estimates ranging from $10 to $24. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 25 analysts covering American Airlines Group, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 11 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks American Airlines Group, Inc. 50 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 14 Oct 2026, American Airlines Group, Inc. ranks 50 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (84 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +22.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks American Airlines Group, Inc. 50 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering American Airlines Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AAL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $10 to $24 over the next 12 months.
American Airlines Group, Inc. returned -1.8% over the 12 months to 15 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
American Airlines Group Inc. is a global airline holding company that operates scheduled passenger and cargo air transportation through its principal subsidiary, American Airlines.
The most recent item we track (Reuters, 15 Oct 2026): "American Airlines names new network planning chief in fresh management shake-up". American Airlines named a new chief for network planning as part of a management shake-up, according to Reuters.
American Airlines Group Inc. is a global airline holding company that operates scheduled passenger and cargo air transportation through its principal subsidiary, American Airlines. The company serves business and leisure travelers across a broad network spanning domestic, Latin American, Atlantic, and Pacific markets, supported by major hubs in cities such as Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C. Its operations also include regional flying through American Eagle partners and cargo services that connect key commercial and freight markets. American Airlines Group plays a central role in U.S. and international aviation by linking major metropolitan areas, supporting long-haul and short-haul travel, and providing transportation services across one of the industry’s most extensive route systems. Headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas, American Airlines Group Inc. remains one of the best-known names in commercial aviation.
CEO Mr. Robert D. Isom Jr. · 143,400 employees · United States · https://www.aa.com
