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AAL Stock Forecast: American Airlines Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026
$16
+5.04% on the day

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering American Airlines Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $19 — +18.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 62 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$10.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
62 / 100
Median analyst target
$19
Analysts covering
25
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+7.3%
1M
−10.5%
YTD
+4.6%
1Y
+45.4%
From 52W high
−11.6%
From 52W low
+57.6%
$10
$18
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AAL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores American Airlines Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026
62 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
84
Accruals
76
Momentum
71
Value
69
Revisions
59
Quality
52
Volatility
52
Growth
24
Size
16

Issuance (84): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Growth (24): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (16): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own American Airlines Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

AAL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AAL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$15$20$25Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AALHigh $25Median $19Low $10

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says25 analysts
12 Buy11 Hold2 Sell
Low $10Median $19High $25

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +18.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 9 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
27 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$21 → $18
24 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$20 → $19
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$22 → $19
24 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell$15 → $13
24 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$22 → $24
7 July 2026Melius ResearchDowngradeHold$15 → $19
7 July 2026Melius ResearchDowngradeHold—
7 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$16 → $25
7 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
2 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$14 → $20
2 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
2 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell—
2 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell$10 → $15
2 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$20 → $24
2 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
1 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral$16 → $19
1 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
1 July 2026BernsteinMaintainsMarket Outperform$20 → $23
1 July 2026BernsteinMaintainsMarket Outperform—
30 June 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$12 → $17

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

AAL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
10
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

American Airlines Group, Inc. (AAL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
43.7×

Cheaper than 18% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.2×

Cheaper than 93% of US stocks

Price / book
−2.7×

Cheaper than 95% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.1×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
16.3%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−88.1%

Higher than 3% of US stocks

Gross margin
17.9%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Operating margin
2.8%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Net margin
−0.6%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−3.0%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.1%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.5%

Higher than 55% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

AAL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAirlines
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AALAmerican Airlines Group, Inc.$10.6B
62
CPACopa Holdings SA$5.8B
83
ALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.$5.3B
27
LUVSouthwest Airlines Co.$22.1B
83
SKYWSkyWest, Inc.$4.2B
81
ALGTAllegiant Travel Co.$2.6B
96
UALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc.$39.3B
70
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AAL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest AAL news & analysis

American Airlines and Citi Elevate Premium Travel With Enhanced Citi / AAdvantage Executive World Legend Mastercard

Business Wire · 3 Aug 2026positive

American Airlines, Citi and Mastercard announced updates to the Citi / AAdvantage Executive World Legend Mastercard, introducing new premium travel and lifestyle benefits including an Admirals Club membership and a faster path to AAdvantage status, with cardmembers able to unlock up to $2,300 in value.

Why it matters — The enhanced co-branded credit card benefits could strengthen customer loyalty and attract higher-spending frequent flyers, supporting American Airlines' premium travel strategy.

Airlines are still willing to bet on Boeing, and the biggest aviation show of the year proves it

Business Insider · 31 July 2026positive

Boeing narrowly beat Airbus in the order tally at the Farnborough Airshow, a signal to the source that the planemaker's new CEO, Kelly Ortberg, is turning the company around.

Why it matters — As a major operator of Boeing aircraft, American Airlines could be affected by Boeing's continued competitiveness and the manufacturer's efforts to improve its performance under new leadership.

How American Airlines Stepped Up After The Attack On Jews In Sydney

Forbes · 30 July 2026positive

American Airlines was honored by a Holocaust remembrance organization for assisting a passenger traveling to the funeral of a rabbi killed in the December 2025 terrorist attack at Bondi Beach in Sydney, Australia.

Why it matters — AAL watchers would care because this recognition highlights the company's corporate social responsibility and positive brand reputation.

American Airlines Revenue Reset Gains Traction Despite Fuel Risks

Zacks Investment Research · 29 July 2026neutral

American Airlines' revenue reset is gaining traction due to corporate recovery, premium growth and network gains that are improving revenue quality, though fuel, labor and debt pressures continue to cloud the outlook.

Why it matters — AAL watchers would care because the report highlights both strengthening revenue fundamentals and ongoing cost pressures that together shape the airline's financial trajectory.

American Airlines: Why I Am Upgrading To Buy (Rating Upgrade)

Seeking Alpha · 29 July 2026positive

American Airlines was upgraded to a buy rating, citing record Q2 revenue of $16.7 billion, resilient demand, and strong premium and corporate revenue growth, though management reduced full-year guidance due to higher expected jet fuel costs.

Why it matters — AAL watchers would care because the upgrade reflects strong demand trends and record revenue, even as higher fuel costs pressure the full-year outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AAL stock

What is the AAL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering American Airlines Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $19, with estimates ranging from $10 to $25. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AAL stock a buy right now?

Of the 25 analysts covering American Airlines Group, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 11 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks American Airlines Group, Inc. 62 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AAL?

As at 1 Aug 2026, American Airlines Group, Inc. ranks 62 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (84 of 100).

Will AAL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +18.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks American Airlines Group, Inc. 62 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AAL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering American Airlines Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AAL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $10 to $25 over the next 12 months.

How has AAL stock performed over the past year?

American Airlines Group, Inc. returned +45.4% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does American Airlines Group, Inc. do?

American Airlines Group Inc. is an airline holding company that oversees one of the world’s largest network air carriers.

What is the latest news on AAL?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 3 Aug 2026): "American Airlines and Citi Elevate Premium Travel With Enhanced Citi / AAdvantage Executive World Legend Mastercard". American Airlines, Citi and Mastercard announced updates to the Citi / AAdvantage Executive World Legend Mastercard, introducing new premium travel and lifestyle benefits including an Admirals Club membership and a faster path to AAdvantage status, with cardmembers able to unlock up to $2,300 in value.

Company

About American Airlines Group, Inc.

American Airlines Group Inc. is an airline holding company that oversees one of the world’s largest network air carriers. Headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas, it manages American Airlines and a portfolio of regional subsidiaries that operate under the American Eagle brand, collectively providing extensive scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo across domestic and international markets. The group serves major hubs including Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix and Washington, D.C., complemented by partner gateways in key global cities such as London, Doha, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney and Tokyo. Its operations span business and leisure travel, freight and mail services, and related aviation activities such as aircraft maintenance, baggage handling, catering and ground services. American Airlines Group Inc. plays a central role in the transportation sector, connecting hundreds of destinations worldwide through a large mainline and regional fleet and supporting the broader aviation ecosystem via alliances, loyalty programs and ancillary services.

CEO Mr. Robert D. Isom Jr. · 143,400 employees · United States · https://www.aa.com