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AAL Stock Forecast: American Airlines Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 15 Sept 2026
$13
−2.52% on the day

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering American Airlines Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $17 — +33.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 49 of 100 as at 15 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$8.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
49 / 100
Median analyst target
$17
Analysts covering
25
Revenue$16.7B+16.3% y/y
Operating income$453.0M
Net income$71.0M
Free cash flow−$351.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.1%
1M
−13.9%
YTD
−16.7%
1Y
+1.9%
From 52W high
−29.6%
From 52W low
+25.4%
$10
$18
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AAL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores American Airlines Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Sept 2026
49 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
84
Accruals
76
Value
72
Momentum
57
Quality
51
Volatility
49
Revisions
39
Growth
24
Size
17

Issuance (84): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Growth (24): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (17): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AAL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AAL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$15$20$25Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AALHigh $25Median $17Low $10

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says25 analysts
12 Buy11 Hold2 Sell
Low $10Median $17High $25

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +33.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 7 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
11 Sept 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$19 → $14
10 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$18 → $17
24 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$24 → $16
24 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
27 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
27 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$21 → $18
24 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
24 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$20 → $19
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$22 → $19
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
24 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell$15 → $13
24 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell—
24 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
24 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$22 → $24
7 July 2026Melius ResearchDowngradeHold—
7 July 2026Melius ResearchDowngradeHold$15 → $19
7 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$16 → $25
7 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
2 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
2 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$14 → $20

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AAL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AAL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 15 Sept 2026, American Airlines Group, Inc. returned +1.9% against +15.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AAL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AALS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AAL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

American Airlines Group, Inc. (AAL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
43.7×

Cheaper than 17% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.1×

Cheaper than 94% of US stocks

Price / book
−2.2×

Cheaper than 95% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.7×

Cheaper than 36% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
16.3%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−88.1%

Higher than 4% of US stocks

Gross margin
17.9%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Operating margin
2.8%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Net margin
−0.6%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−3.0%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.1%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.1%

Higher than 65% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

American Airlines Group, Inc. (AAL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • American Airlines Group, Inc. has a market value of $8.7B and an enterprise value of $36.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $58.3B. The latest quarter grew 16.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$326.0M, a −0.6% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.49.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $285.0M, after $4.1B of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 661.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 43.7×; forward P/E: 5.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.06%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • American Airlines Group, Inc. employs 143,400 people — $407K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 15 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AAL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAirlines
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AALAmerican Airlines Group, Inc.$8.7B
49
CPACopa Holdings SA$5.2B
69
ALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.$4.4B
24
SKYWSkyWest, Inc.$3.7B
82
LUVSouthwest Airlines Co.$19.3B
84
ALGTAllegiant Travel Co.$2.1B
57
UALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc.$34.6B
61

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own American Airlines Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AAL news & analysis

American Airlines (AAL) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investors

Zacks Investment Research · 15 Sept 2026negative

American Airlines (AAL) shares fell 2.52% on the latest trading day, settling at $12.77, a decline larger than the broader market's move. The report from Zacks Investment Research presents this as the stock's recent trading performance.

Why it matters — AAL watchers would care because the stock's decline underperforming the broader market reflects current trading sentiment around the company.

American Airlines (AAL) Dips More Than Broader Market: What You Should Know

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Sept 2026negative

American Airlines (AAL) shares closed at $12.91 in the latest trading session, a decline of -1.68% from the prior day, moving lower than the broader market. Zacks Investment Research reported the stock's dip in its coverage of the session's trading activity.

Why it matters — AAL watchers would note the stock fell more than the broader market, showing weak relative trading performance in the latest session.

Airline Stocks Are Struggling. That Makes This One a Long-Term Buy.

Barrons · 7 Sept 2026negative

Airline stocks have been under pressure in recent months and face a challenging winter as jet fuel prices remain high, according to a Barron's report. The article notes the struggling sector conditions affecting carriers.

Why it matters — American Airlines, as a major carrier, faces pressure from persistently high jet fuel prices heading into the winter months.

Airlines, Cruises, Casinos: Are Things Actually Looking Up?

24/7 Wall Street · 3 Sept 2026neutral

The article examines how airline, cruise line, and casino stocks fared after the same peak travel season, noting that they ended in completely different positions. American Airlines is included in this assessment of the travel sector's post-season performance.

Why it matters — AAL watchers would care because the piece places American Airlines within the broader travel sector context, showing how airlines diverged from cruises and casinos following the peak travel season.

American Airlines unveils premium seating on 777 jets in chase for luxe travelers

New York Post · 2 Sept 2026positive

American Airlines is introducing new premium seating on its Boeing 777 jets to attract luxury travelers. As part of the change, the carrier is phasing out first class on these aircraft while increasing the number of business-class seats.

Why it matters — The seating overhaul signals how American Airlines is reshaping its premium cabin strategy and product mix on a key long-haul aircraft to better compete for high-end travelers.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AAL stock

What is the AAL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering American Airlines Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $17, with estimates ranging from $10 to $25. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AAL stock a buy right now?

Of the 25 analysts covering American Airlines Group, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 11 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks American Airlines Group, Inc. 49 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AAL?

As at 15 Sept 2026, American Airlines Group, Inc. ranks 49 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (84 of 100).

Will AAL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +33.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks American Airlines Group, Inc. 49 out of 100 as at 15 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AAL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering American Airlines Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AAL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $10 to $25 over the next 12 months.

How has AAL stock performed over the past year?

American Airlines Group, Inc. returned +1.9% over the 12 months to 15 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does American Airlines Group, Inc. do?

American Airlines Group Inc. is a global airline holding company that operates scheduled passenger and cargo air transportation through its principal subsidiary, American Airlines.

What is the latest news on AAL?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 15 Sept 2026): "American Airlines (AAL) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investors". American Airlines (AAL) shares fell 2.52% on the latest trading day, settling at $12.77, a decline larger than the broader market's move. The report from Zacks Investment Research presents this as the stock's recent trading performance.

Company

About American Airlines Group, Inc.

American Airlines Group Inc. is a global airline holding company that operates scheduled passenger and cargo air transportation through its principal subsidiary, American Airlines. The company serves business and leisure travelers across a broad network spanning domestic, Latin American, Atlantic, and Pacific markets, supported by major hubs in cities such as Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C. Its operations also include regional flying through American Eagle partners and cargo services that connect key commercial and freight markets. American Airlines Group plays a central role in U.S. and international aviation by linking major metropolitan areas, supporting long-haul and short-haul travel, and providing transportation services across one of the industry’s most extensive route systems. Headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas, American Airlines Group Inc. remains one of the best-known names in commercial aviation.

CEO Mr. Robert D. Isom Jr. · 143,400 employees · United States · https://www.aa.com