ACHCACHCHealthcare · Medical Care Facilities

ACHC Stock Forecast: Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Sept 2026
$28
−2.49% on the day

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $33 — +16.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 55 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$2.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
55 / 100
Median analyst target
$33
Analysts covering
14
Revenue$865.8M−0.4% y/y
Operating income$87.8M
Net income$12.3M
Free cash flow$123.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.5%
1M
−3.2%
YTD
+95.9%
1Y
+13.1%
From 52W high
−21.9%
From 52W low
+138.0%
$12
$36
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ACHC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 23 Sept 2026
55 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
92
Revisions
82
Momentum
72
Value
59
Issuance
41
Size
32
Growth
31
Volatility
28
Quality
19

Accruals (92): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Quality (19): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ACHC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ACHC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$15$20$25$30$35$40$45Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ACHCHigh $41Median $33Low $17

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says14 analysts
8 Buy5 Hold1 Sell
Low $17Median $33High $41

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +16.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
30 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$25 → $32
30 July 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$38 → $39
20 July 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
20 July 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$31 → $38
14 July 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$30 → $40
14 July 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
14 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$30 → $36
14 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
9 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$31 → $39
9 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
3 June 2026JefferiesUpgradeBuy—
4 May 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
4 May 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
1 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
1 May 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral—
28 Apr 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
17 Apr 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
3 Mar 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
26 Feb 2026Leerink PartnersMaintainsMarket Perform—
26 Feb 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ACHC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ACHC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 24 Sept 2026, Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. returned +13.1% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ACHC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120140160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ACHCS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ACHC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.0%
Analysts raising
8
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. (ACHC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
20.6×

Cheaper than 36% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.8×

Cheaper than 74% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.9×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−0.4%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−63.7%

Higher than 7% of US stocks

Gross margin
96.5%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Operating margin
10.1%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Net margin
−33.4%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−41.4%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.6%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. (ACHC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. has a market value of $2.7B and an enterprise value of $5.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.4B. The latest quarter shrank 0.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$1.1B, a −33.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−12.45.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$134.0M, after $344.5M of capital spending.

  • Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. spent $0.0 on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 90.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 20.6×; forward P/E: 15.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. employs 25,000 people — $135K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 24 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ACHC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelMedical Care Facilities
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ACHCAcadia Healthcare Co., Inc.$2.7B
55
BKDBrookdale Senior Living, Inc.$2.7B
75
GRDNGuardian Pharmacy Services, Inc.$2.7B
79
AVAHAveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc.$2.8B
88
ADUSAddus HomeCare Corp.$2.1B
95
MDPediatrix Medical Group, Inc.$2.1B
99
NHCNational HealthCare Corp.$3.5B
67

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ACHC news & analysis

Acadia Healthcare Jumps 100% YTD on Improving Outlook and Expansion

Zacks Investment Research · 22 Sept 2026positive

Acadia Healthcare shares have doubled year to date. According to the report, a raised 2026 outlook, stronger cash flow, and new facility openings have bolstered the company's rebound.

Why it matters — ACHC watchers would note the improved outlook, stronger cash flow, and facility expansion as signs of the company's ongoing recovery.

How Acadia Healthcare Is Turning Capacity Growth Into Cash Flow

Zacks Investment Research · 22 Sept 2026positive

Acadia Healthcare is translating its capacity expansion into stronger cash flow as new facilities mature and patient volumes increase, while maintaining disciplined capital spending. The company is benefiting from a favorable operating cycle in which past growth investments are beginning to pay off financially.

Why it matters — ACHC watchers would see this as a sign that the company's past capacity investments are now maturing into improved financial performance.

Zacks Industry Outlook Tenet, Acadia and Community Health Systems

Zacks Investment Research · 17 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an Industry Outlook article that highlights Tenet, Acadia and Community Health Systems. The article focuses on the healthcare facilities sector and calls out Acadia among the companies covered.

Why it matters — ACHC watchers would care because the company is being featured in a Zacks industry outlook piece, signalling analyst attention on Acadia alongside its sector peers.

3 Hospital Stocks Riding Strong Demand and Improved Efficiency

Zacks Investment Research · 16 Sept 2026positive

A Zacks Investment Research report highlights that medical-hospital operators are benefiting from steady care demand while sharpening efficiency and portfolio strategy, naming THC, ACHC, and CYH as hospital stocks to track.

Why it matters — ACHC watchers would care because the report identifies the company as one of the hospital operators positioned to benefit from steady care demand and improved operational efficiency.

These 10 Stocks Are Squeeze Candidates Waiting to Happen

Benzinga · 14 Sept 2026neutral

Benzinga reported on a list of 10 heavily shorted stocks that are potential squeeze candidates. The article notes that concentrated short interest can set the stage for sharp price reversals if positive news emerges, as bears may rush to cover their positions.

Why it matters — An ACHC watcher would care because the article highlights that heavily shorted stocks, possibly including ACHC, could experience sudden price moves if short sellers are forced to cover.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ACHC stock

What is the ACHC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $33, with estimates ranging from $17 to $41. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ACHC stock a buy right now?

Of the 14 analysts covering Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. 55 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ACHC?

As at 23 Sept 2026, Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. ranks 55 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (92 of 100).

Will ACHC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies +16.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. 55 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ACHC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ACHC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $17 to $41 over the next 12 months.

How has ACHC stock performed over the past year?

Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. returned +13.1% over the 12 months to 24 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. do?

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. is a behavioral healthcare services provider focused on delivering treatment across a range of clinical settings.

What is the latest news on ACHC?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 22 Sept 2026): "Acadia Healthcare Jumps 100% YTD on Improving Outlook and Expansion". Acadia Healthcare shares have doubled year to date. According to the report, a raised 2026 outlook, stronger cash flow, and new facility openings have bolstered the company's rebound.

Company

About Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc.

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. is a behavioral healthcare services provider focused on delivering treatment across a range of clinical settings. The company operates acute inpatient psychiatric facilities, specialty treatment centers, residential treatment programs, comprehensive treatment centers, and outpatient behavioral health services. Its offerings address mental health conditions, substance use disorders, and related recovery needs for patients and communities. Acadia Healthcare serves individuals through a network designed to provide both short-term stabilization and longer-term therapeutic care, making it an important participant in the U.S. behavioral health market. The company’s business is centered on facility-based care, coordinated treatment pathways, and access to specialized services across multiple levels of acuity. Founded in 2005 and headquartered in Franklin, Tennessee, Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. remains a significant operator in the healthcare services sector.

CEO Ms. Debra K. Osteen · 25,000 employees · United States · https://www.acadiahealthcare.com