ACHCACHCHealthcare · Medical Care Facilities

ACHC Stock Forecast: Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$28
+2.27% on the day

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $32 — +12.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 52 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$2.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
52 / 100
Median analyst target
$32
Analysts covering
14
Revenue$865.8M−0.4% y/y
Operating income$87.8M
Net income$12.3M
Free cash flow$123.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−6.1%
1M
−7.2%
YTD
+100.0%
1Y
+21.6%
From 52W high
−20.3%
From 52W low
+143.0%
$12
$36
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ACHC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
52 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
92
Revisions
82
Momentum
65
Value
59
Issuance
41
Size
33
Growth
31
Volatility
26
Quality
19

Accruals (92): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Quality (19): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ACHC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ACHC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$15$20$25$30$35$40$45Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ACHCHigh $41Median $32Low $15

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says14 analysts
8 Buy5 Hold1 Sell
Low $15Median $32High $41

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
30 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$25$32
30 July 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$38$39
20 July 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy
20 July 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$31$38
14 July 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$30$40
14 July 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight
14 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$30$36
14 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy
9 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$31$39
9 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy
3 June 2026JefferiesUpgradeBuy
4 May 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy
4 May 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform
1 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight
1 May 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral
28 Apr 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy
17 Apr 2026UBSMaintainsBuy
3 Mar 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight
26 Feb 2026Leerink PartnersMaintainsMarket Perform
26 Feb 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ACHC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ACHC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. returned +21.6% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ACHC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120140160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ACHCS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ACHC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.8%
Analysts raising
9
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. (ACHC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
20.6×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.8×

Cheaper than 75% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 64% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.7×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−0.4%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−63.7%

Higher than 7% of US stocks

Gross margin
96.5%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Operating margin
10.1%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Net margin
−33.4%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−41.4%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.6%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. (ACHC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. has a market value of $2.6B and an enterprise value of $5.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.4B. The latest quarter shrank 0.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$1.1B, a −33.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−12.45.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$134.0M, after $344.5M of capital spending.

  • Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. spent $0.0 on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 90.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 20.6×; forward P/E: 15.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. employs 25,000 people $135K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 1 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ACHC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelMedical Care Facilities
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ACHCAcadia Healthcare Co., Inc.$2.6B
52
GRDNGuardian Pharmacy Services, Inc.$2.5B
81
BKDBrookdale Senior Living, Inc.$2.8B
78
AVAHAveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc.$2.9B
87
MDPediatrix Medical Group, Inc.$2.2B
99
ADUSAddus HomeCare Corp.$2.2B
96
NHCNational HealthCare Corp.$3.4B
66

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ACHC news & analysis

Acadia Healthcare (ACHC) Up 11.8% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?

Zacks Investment Research · 27 Aug 2026positive

Acadia Healthcare reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 11.8% since that report. The article examines what may come next for the company's shares.

Why it matters — The stock's post-earnings gain offers ACHC watchers a signal on how the market has reacted to the company's latest results.

Did Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. Insiders Breach their Fiduciary Duties to Shareholders?

PRNewsWire · 25 Aug 2026negative

A law firm has published a notice encouraging Acadia Healthcare shareholders to contact them regarding potential breaches of fiduciary duties by company insiders. The firm indicates it would handle any matter on a contingent fee basis with no out-of-pocket legal costs for shareholders.

Why it matters — ACHC watchers would care because this signals an investigation or potential legal action concerning insider conduct that could affect the company and its shareholders.

Acadia Healthcare Company Isn't Great, But The Big Picture Justifies Optimism

Seeking Alpha · 24 Aug 2026positive

Acadia Healthcare, a leading pure-play behavioral healthcare provider with 279 facilities, continues to see rising revenue and a growing patient base. However, profitability is pressured by rising labor costs and a tight labor market, with higher net leverage and volatile cash flows, though shares appear attractively priced on an absolute basis.

Why it matters — ACHC watchers would care because the piece highlights the tension between the company's growing revenue and patient base versus profitability pressures from labor costs and leverage.

Acadia Healthcare Investigation Continued: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Continues to Investigate the Officers and Directors of Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. - ACHC

PRNewsWire · 22 Aug 2026negative

Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC announced it is continuing its investigation into the officers and directors of Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (ACHC). The investigation is being led by former Louisiana Attorney General Charles C. Foti, Jr.

Why it matters — An ongoing investigation into the company's officers and directors could draw attention among Acadia Healthcare watchers monitoring potential governance concerns.

Acadia Healthcare Company: Capacity Expansion Adds To Growth

Seeking Alpha · 19 Aug 2026positive

A Seeking Alpha article discusses Acadia Healthcare's capacity expansion pipeline and strong macro demand for mental health services. It highlights the company's scale of 279 facilities and 12.6k beds as the largest independent U.S. behavioral healthcare provider, issuing a BUY rating and noting its forward EV/EBITDA of 8.8x sits below the sector median and its five-year average.

Why it matters — ACHC watchers would care because the article points to capacity expansion and favorable demand as growth drivers, with a valuation it considers discounted relative to peers and its own history.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ACHC stock

What is the ACHC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $32, with estimates ranging from $15 to $41. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ACHC stock a buy right now?

Of the 14 analysts covering Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. 52 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ACHC?

As at 2 Sept 2026, Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. ranks 52 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (92 of 100).

Will ACHC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies +12.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. 52 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ACHC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ACHC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $15 to $41 over the next 12 months.

How has ACHC stock performed over the past year?

Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. returned +21.6% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc. do?

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. is a behavioral healthcare services provider focused on delivering treatment across a range of clinical settings.

What is the latest news on ACHC?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 27 Aug 2026): "Acadia Healthcare (ACHC) Up 11.8% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?". Acadia Healthcare reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 11.8% since that report. The article examines what may come next for the company's shares.

Company

About Acadia Healthcare Co., Inc.

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. is a behavioral healthcare services provider focused on delivering treatment across a range of clinical settings. The company operates acute inpatient psychiatric facilities, specialty treatment centers, residential treatment programs, comprehensive treatment centers, and outpatient behavioral health services. Its offerings address mental health conditions, substance use disorders, and related recovery needs for patients and communities. Acadia Healthcare serves individuals through a network designed to provide both short-term stabilization and longer-term therapeutic care, making it an important participant in the U.S. behavioral health market. The company’s business is centered on facility-based care, coordinated treatment pathways, and access to specialized services across multiple levels of acuity. Founded in 2005 and headquartered in Franklin, Tennessee, Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. remains a significant operator in the healthcare services sector.

CEO Ms. Debra K. Osteen · 25,000 employees · United States · https://www.acadiahealthcare.com