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ADBEADBETechnology · Software - Application

ADBE Stock Forecast: Adobe, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 9 Oct 2026
$242
+0.51% on the day

The 39 Wall Street analysts covering Adobe, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $266 — +9.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 86 of 100 as at 10 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$94.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
86 / 100
Median analyst target
$266
Analysts covering
39
Revenue$6.6B+12.7% y/y
Operating income$2.2B
Net income$1.7B
Free cash flow$2.1B
Quarterly, 7 quarters to 31 May 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.9%
1M
−4.9%
YTD
−30.8%
1Y
−30.3%
From 52W high
−32.7%
From 52W low
+25.3%
$193
$360
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ADBE stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Adobe, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 10 Oct 2026
86 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
96
Value
95
Volatility
91
Revisions
83
Issuance
79
Accruals
72
Growth
51
Momentum
28
Size
3

Quality (96): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Momentum (28): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (3): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ADBE stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ADBE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$200$250$300$350$400Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ADBEHigh $373Median $266Low $195

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says39 analysts
11 Buy23 Hold5 Sell
Low $195Median $266High $373

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 11 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
14 Sept 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$250 → $290
11 Sept 2026BairdMaintainsNeutral$230 → $250
11 Sept 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$230 → $270
11 Sept 2026BTIGReiteratesNeutral—
11 Sept 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$301 → $250
11 Sept 2026CitizensReiteratesMarket Perform—
11 Sept 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$225 → $250
11 Sept 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold$285 → $275
11 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$340 → $315
11 Sept 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$240 → $250
11 Sept 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform$315
11 Sept 2026TD CowenReiteratesHold$245
11 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$225 → $255
11 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$250 → $270
9 Sept 2026StifelMaintainsHold$200 → $225
3 Sept 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
3 Sept 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$250 → $295
2 Sept 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
2 Sept 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$285 → $315
1 Sept 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$228 → $301

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ADBE appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ADBE vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 9 Oct 2026, Adobe, Inc. returned −30.3% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ADBE vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ADBES&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ADBE analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.2%
Analysts raising
27
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

Adobe, Inc. (ADBE) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.5×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.6×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Price / book
8.1×

Cheaper than 12% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.6×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.9%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
3.1%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Gross margin
89.2%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Operating margin
34.8%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Net margin
28.0%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
61.9%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Return on assets
20.1%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 62% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Adobe, Inc. (ADBE) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Adobe, Inc. has a market value of $94.3B and an enterprise value of $95.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $25.2B. The latest quarter grew 12.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $7.2B, a 28.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $17.48.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $10.3B, after $201.0M of capital spending.

  • Adobe, Inc. spent $9.1B on share buybacks in the twelve months to 31 May 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 389.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: 13.5×; forward P/E: 8.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.01%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Adobe, Inc. employs 31,360 people — $804K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 May 2026 · market figures as at 11 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ADBE vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSoftware - Application
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ADBEAdobe, Inc.$94.3B
86
CDNSCadence Design Systems, Inc.$96.0B
49
DDOGDatadog, Inc.$103.7B
72
ADPAutomatic Data Processing, Inc.$109.6B
69
INTUIntuit, Inc.$84.2B
62
SNOWSnowflake, Inc.$125.0B
64
MSTRStrategy, Inc.$65.1B
28

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Adobe, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ADBE news & analysis

Adobe's Earnings Are on Track to Grow About Eightfold in a Decade. Why Has Its Stock Lagged the Market So Badly?

The Motley Fool · 10 Oct 2026negative

The Motley Fool reports that a $10,000 investment in Adobe made in October 2016 would be worth about $22,300 today, compared with about $42,100 in an S&P 500 index fund. Over the same period, Adobe’s adjusted earnings per share are on track to grow about eightfold.

Why it matters — The comparison highlights the gap between Adobe’s reported earnings growth and its stock’s performance relative to the S&P 500.

Adobe: The Current Price Implies 3% Growth Through FY 2030

Seeking Alpha · 9 Oct 2026positive

Seeking Alpha says Adobe’s current price implies about 3% annual revenue growth through FY 2030, compared with a 10.8% average over the past four years. The article also cites management’s reiterated 10.2% ARR growth target, raised full-year guidance, and focus on expanding the freemium funnel.

Why it matters — ADBE watchers may note the gap between the growth implied by the current price and Adobe’s recent revenue growth, alongside management’s outlook and freemium strategy.

The Stocks Wall Street Thought AI Would Kill Just Jumped 5% While AI Darlings Sank

24/7 Wall Street · 9 Oct 2026neutral

Consulting and IT services stocks that had been pressured by fears AI would erode their businesses jumped after an unconfirmed revenue figure circulated, while AI-focused stocks fell. The excerpt does not identify the figure or the companies involved.

Why it matters — The shift reflects changing market sentiment about AI’s effects on software and services businesses, a theme relevant to watchers of Adobe.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ADBE stock

What is the ADBE stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 39 Wall Street analysts covering Adobe, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $266, with estimates ranging from $195 to $373. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ADBE stock a buy right now?

Of the 39 analysts covering Adobe, Inc., 11 rate it a Buy, 23 a Hold and 5 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Adobe, Inc. 86 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 10 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ADBE?

As at 10 Oct 2026, Adobe, Inc. ranks 86 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (96 of 100).

Will ADBE stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 39 analysts implies +9.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Adobe, Inc. 86 out of 100 as at 10 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ADBE stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Adobe, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ADBE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $195 to $373 over the next 12 months.

How has ADBE stock performed over the past year?

Adobe, Inc. returned -30.3% over the 12 months to 9 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Adobe, Inc. do?

Adobe Inc. is a global software company that provides tools and services for content creation, digital document management, and marketing workflows.

What is the latest news on ADBE?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 10 Oct 2026): "Adobe's Earnings Are on Track to Grow About Eightfold in a Decade. Why Has Its Stock Lagged the Market So Badly?". The Motley Fool reports that a $10,000 investment in Adobe made in October 2016 would be worth about $22,300 today, compared with about $42,100 in an S&P 500 index fund. Over the same period, Adobe’s adjusted earnings per share are on track to grow about eightfold.

Company

About Adobe, Inc.

Adobe Inc. is a global software company that provides tools and services for content creation, digital document management, and marketing workflows. Its products are widely used by creative professionals, businesses, educators, and enterprises to design graphics, edit images and video, manage documents, and deliver personalized digital experiences across web, mobile, and other channels. The company’s portfolio centers on digital media and digital experience solutions, supported by publishing and advertising products for specialized and legacy use cases. Adobe Inc. plays a significant role in the software market by connecting creative production, customer engagement, and document productivity within a single ecosystem. Headquartered in San Jose, California, Adobe Inc. remains a key provider of applications and cloud-based services for modern content and marketing operations.

CEO Mr. Shantanu Narayen · 31,360 employees · United States · https://www.adobe.com