ADBETechnology · Software - ApplicationThe 40 Wall Street analysts covering Adobe, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $250 — -14.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 83 of 100 as at 29 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Adobe, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (97): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Momentum (22): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ADBE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −14.2% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Underperform | $190 → $220 |
| 21 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Underweight | $365 → $240 |
| 21 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Underweight | — |
| 20 July 2026 | CLSA | Initiates | Outperform | $300 |
| 20 July 2026 | CLSA | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 7 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Assumes | Underperform | $190 |
| 2 July 2026 | HSBC | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 12 June 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 12 June 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 12 June 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 12 June 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 12 June 2026 | Citizens | Reiterates | Market Perform | — |
| 12 June 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 June 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Downgrade | In-Line | — |
| 12 June 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 12 June 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 12 June 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 12 June 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 12 June 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 12 June 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ADBE appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 28 Aug 2026, Adobe, Inc. returned −17.6% against +19.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 44% of US stocks
Cheaper than 28% of US stocks
Cheaper than 10% of US stocks
Cheaper than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 37% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Adobe, Inc. has a market value of $115.9B and an enterprise value of $117.3B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $25.2B. The latest quarter grew 12.7% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $7.2B, a 28.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $17.48.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $10.3B, after $201.0M of capital spending.
Adobe, Inc. spent $9.1B on share buybacks in the twelve months to 31 May 2026.
Trailing P/E: 16.5×; forward P/E: 10.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.01%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Adobe, Inc. employs 31,360 people — $804K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Adobe, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Adobe (ADBE) stock broke above $275 and $285 resistance and reclaimed key moving averages, according to FXEmpire, putting the shares on track to test $306.30 and potentially $330.61.
Why it matters — ADBE watchers would care because the technical breakout and reclaimed moving averages signal a bullish reversal for the stock.
Zacks Investment Research published a comparison of Shopify and Adobe in AI-driven ecommerce, concluding that Shopify holds the edge, citing 32% GMV growth, deeper payments adoption, and expanding agentic commerce capabilities.
Why it matters — Adobe watchers would care because the report positions rival Shopify as the stronger player in AI-driven ecommerce, a competitive indicator for Adobe's own commerce offerings.
Adobe stock continued its rally this week, reaching its highest level since February and rising 52% from its lowest point this year. The stock has formed a golden cross pattern ahead of its upcoming earnings report.
Why it matters — ADBE watchers would note the stock's strong upward momentum and golden cross technical signal heading into the company's earnings announcement.
Enterprise software stocks led Thursday trading after Salesforce posted a fiscal Q2 2027 beat and announced Claudeforce, resetting the sector's AI narrative. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF rose 3% to $105.19, with Adobe advancing 3% alongside the broader sector gains.
Why it matters — As a fellow enterprise software maker, Adobe's stock move is tied to the sector-wide rally sparked by Salesforce's results and AI announcement.
On Schwab Network's "Big 3" segment, options trader Don Kaufman highlighted bearish example trades for Coca-Cola, Adobe, and Tesla. He expects bearish trends to continue dragging Adobe (ADBE) shares lower.
Why it matters — A widely followed options trader publicly expressed a bearish outlook on Adobe, signaling expectations that negative price pressure on the stock may persist.
The 40 Wall Street analysts covering Adobe, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $250, with estimates ranging from $190 to $380. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 40 analysts covering Adobe, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 23 a Hold and 5 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Adobe, Inc. 83 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 29 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 29 Aug 2026, Adobe, Inc. ranks 83 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (97 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 40 analysts implies -14.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Adobe, Inc. 83 out of 100 as at 29 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Adobe, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ADBE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $190 to $380 over the next 12 months.
Adobe, Inc. returned -17.6% over the 12 months to 28 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Adobe Inc. is a global software company that provides tools and services for content creation, digital document management, and marketing workflows.
The most recent item we track (FXEmpire, 28 Aug 2026): "Adobe Stock Breakout Targets $306, Then $330 as ADBE Reverses". Adobe (ADBE) stock broke above $275 and $285 resistance and reclaimed key moving averages, according to FXEmpire, putting the shares on track to test $306.30 and potentially $330.61.
Adobe Inc. is a global software company that provides tools and services for content creation, digital document management, and marketing workflows. Its products are widely used by creative professionals, businesses, educators, and enterprises to design graphics, edit images and video, manage documents, and deliver personalized digital experiences across web, mobile, and other channels. The company’s portfolio centers on digital media and digital experience solutions, supported by publishing and advertising products for specialized and legacy use cases. Adobe Inc. plays a significant role in the software market by connecting creative production, customer engagement, and document productivity within a single ecosystem. Headquartered in San Jose, California, Adobe Inc. remains a key provider of applications and cloud-based services for modern content and marketing operations.
CEO Mr. Shantanu Narayen · 31,360 employees · United States · https://www.adobe.com
