ALRMTechnology · Software - ApplicationALRM Stock Forecast: Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027
The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $60 — +8.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 90 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
ALRM stock analysis: one number for the whole business
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (98): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Growth (39): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Size (32): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.
ALRM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ALRM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +8.0% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $50 → $55 |
| 8 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 20 Feb 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 18 Feb 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 9 May 2025 | Raymond James | Maintains | Strong Buy | — |
| 17 Apr 2025 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 14 Apr 2025 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 11 Nov 2024 | JP Morgan | Assumes | Underweight | $65 → $50 |
| 8 Nov 2024 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 8 Nov 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 5 Nov 2024 | Jefferies | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 9 Oct 2024 | Roth MKM | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Oct 2024 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 Sept 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 11 July 2024 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 23 Feb 2024 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 23 Feb 2024 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 12 Jan 2024 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 4 Jan 2024 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
ALRM analyst estimate revisions
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) financial data
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
- Trailing P/E
- 22.7×
- Price / sales
- 2.6×
- Price / book
- 3.1×
- EV / EBITDA
- 17.6×
Cheaper than 35% of US stocks
Cheaper than 46% of US stocks
Cheaper than 32% of US stocks
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
- Revenue growth (YoY)
- 11.0%
- Earnings growth (YoY)
- −15.6%
- Gross margin
- 65.9%
- Operating margin
- 12.2%
- Net margin
- 12.4%
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 22% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US stocks
- Return on equity
- 14.8%
- Return on assets
- 4.7%
- Dividend yield
- —
Higher than 74% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
ALRM vs competitors
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ALRM appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Frequently asked questions about ALRM stock
What is the ALRM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?
The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $60, with estimates ranging from $40 to $85. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Is ALRM stock a buy right now?
Of the 6 analysts covering Alarm.com Holdings, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. 90 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ALRM?
As at 1 Aug 2026, Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ranks 90 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (98 of 100).
Will ALRM stock go up?
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +8.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. 90 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
What is the ALRM stock forecast for 2030?
No analyst covering Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ALRM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $40 to $85 over the next 12 months.
How has ALRM stock performed over the past year?
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. returned +2.8% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
What does Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. do?
Alarm.com Holdings Inc. is a technology company providing cloud-based platforms for intelligently connected properties.
About Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.
Alarm.com Holdings Inc. is a technology company providing cloud-based platforms for intelligently connected properties. It delivers Internet of Things (IoT) solutions that enable users to secure, monitor, and automate residential properties, multi-family buildings, small businesses, and enterprise commercial locations across North America and internationally. Key offerings include control and monitoring of security systems, video analytics, AI deterrence, door locks, garage doors, thermostats, video cameras, video doorbells, live streaming, and secure cloud storage. The company operates primarily through its Alarm.com segment, focusing on software platforms for connected properties, alongside an Other segment dedicated to residential and commercial automation, energy management products, and services. Alarm.com Holdings Inc. employs a software-as-a-service (SaaS) model with recurring fees, complemented by hardware, and partners with a nationwide network of authorized service providers for sales, installation, and support. Founded in 2000 and headquartered in Tysons, Virginia, it serves millions of homeowners and businesses seeking remote management via web and mobile apps integrated with devices like smart speakers.
CEO Mr. Stephen S. Trundle · 2,051 employees · United States · https://www.alarm.com