ASOConsumer Cyclical · Specialty RetailThe 19 Wall Street analysts covering Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $62 — -9.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 92 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (87): The share price has been relatively steady.
Accruals (42): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (26): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ASO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −9.1% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $55 → $60 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $50 → $53 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Outperform | $60 → $63 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $52 → $54 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $55 → $58 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $50 → $55 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 9 Sept 2026 | BMO Capital | Initiates | Market Perform | $42 |
| 9 Sept 2026 | BMO Capital | Initiates | Market Perform | — |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Outperform | $65 → $60 |
| 7 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $60 → $55 |
| 7 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 11 June 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 10 June 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 June 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
ASO appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. returned +48.7% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 57% of US stocks
Cheaper than 78% of US stocks
Cheaper than 47% of US stocks
Cheaper than 45% of US stocks
Higher than 35% of US stocks
Higher than 49% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 72% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. has a market value of $3.7B and an enterprise value of $5.5B.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $330.8M, after $216.3M of capital spending.
Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. spent $280.5M on share buybacks and $36.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.
Trailing P/E: 10.2×; forward P/E: 8.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.99%, paying out 9% of earnings.
Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. employs 22,000 people.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Academy Sports + Outdoors and Little Debbie Snacks introduced a limited-time holiday apparel collaboration under Academy’s Magellan Outdoors brand. The collection is part of Academy’s Christmas Market lineup.
Why it matters — The collaboration adds a seasonal exclusive product offering to Academy’s holiday merchandise assortment.
Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) was upgraded to Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about its earnings prospects.
Why it matters — ASO watchers may note the upgrade as an indication of improved optimism about the company’s earnings prospects.
Zacks Investment Research compares Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) with Amer Sports (AS) as potential undervalued stocks in the Leisure and Recreation Products sector. The excerpt poses which may be the better value option but gives no conclusion.
Why it matters — ASO watchers may find the comparison relevant when assessing how the company is framed relative to a sector peer on valuation.
Zacks Investment Research compares Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) and Roku (ROKU) with their sector performance so far this year. The excerpt does not provide performance results.
Why it matters — ASO watchers may find the sector comparison relevant, but the excerpt offers no details on how ASO performed.
Zacks Investment Research describes its approach to identifying stocks, emphasizing earnings estimates and estimate revisions through its Zacks Rank system, while also tracking value, growth, and momentum trends. The headline frames this approach as a question about Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO).
Why it matters — ASO watchers may note the article's focus on estimate revisions and value, growth, and momentum trends as lenses for evaluating the stock.
The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $62, with estimates ranging from $52 to $70. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 19 analysts covering Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc., 9 rate it a Buy, 10 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. 92 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Nov 2026, Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. ranks 92 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (87 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 19 analysts implies -9.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. 92 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ASO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $52 to $70 over the next 12 months.
Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. returned +48.7% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. is a full-line sporting goods and outdoor recreation retailer in the United States.
The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 2 Nov 2026): "Academy Sports + Outdoors and Little Debbie® Snacks Spread Holiday Cheer with Exclusive New Magellan Outdoors Collaboration". Academy Sports + Outdoors and Little Debbie Snacks introduced a limited-time holiday apparel collaboration under Academy’s Magellan Outdoors brand. The collection is part of Academy’s Christmas Market lineup.
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. is a full-line sporting goods and outdoor recreation retailer in the United States. Academy Sports and Outdoors offers a broad assortment of merchandise spanning outdoor equipment, hunting and fishing gear, camping supplies, sports and leisure products, footwear, and apparel. The company serves consumers through stores and digital channels, providing products for team sports, fitness, outdoor activities, and everyday active lifestyles. Its business is positioned across multiple retail categories, including outdoors, apparel, sports and recreation, and footwear, giving it a wide presence in the specialty retail market. Academy Sports and Outdoors plays a significant role in serving value-oriented shoppers seeking a broad selection of athletic and recreational products for personal, family, and community use.
CEO Mr. Steven Paul Lawrence · 22,000 employees · United States · https://www.academy.com
