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ASOASOConsumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

ASO Stock Forecast: Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$48
−2.80% on the day

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $58 — +20.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 88 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$3.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
88 / 100
Median analyst target
$58
Analysts covering
20
Free cash flow$115.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 July 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−12.5%
1M
+3.4%
YTD
−2.5%
1Y
+0.7%
From 52W high
−20.4%
From 52W low
+17.0%
$41
$61
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ASO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
88 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
85
Value
84
Revisions
83
Quality
78
Volatility
77
Issuance
71
Momentum
50
Accruals
41
Size
29

Growth (85): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Accruals (41): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (29): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ASO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ASO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$50$60$70Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ASOHigh $70Median $58Low $47

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says20 analysts
9 Buy11 Hold0 Sell
Low $47Median $58High $70

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +20.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Sept 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$50 → $53
10 Sept 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsOutperform$60 → $63
10 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$52 → $54
10 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$55 → $58
10 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$50 → $55
9 Sept 2026BMO CapitalInitiatesMarket Perform$42
2 Sept 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsOutperform—
2 Sept 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsOutperform$65 → $60
7 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$60 → $55
7 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—
11 June 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
10 June 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
10 June 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
10 June 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
10 June 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
10 June 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
14 May 2026Stephens & Co.InitiatesOverweight—
8 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
8 Apr 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
8 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ASO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ASO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. returned +0.7% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ASO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120130Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ASOS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ASO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.2%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. (ASO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
8.1×

Cheaper than 61% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.5×

Cheaper than 83% of US stocks

Price / book
1.4×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
6.6×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.0%

Higher than 34% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
9.9%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Gross margin
40.4%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Operating margin
15.0%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Net margin
6.4%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
18.6%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.7%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.2%

Higher than 28% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. (ASO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. has a market value of $3.0B and an enterprise value of $4.6B.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $330.8M, after $216.3M of capital spending.

  • Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. spent $280.5M on share buybacks and $36.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 62.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 8.1×; forward P/E: 6.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.24%, paying out 9% of earnings.

  • Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. employs 22,000 people.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 July 2026 · market figures as at 19 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ASO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSpecialty Retail
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ASOAcademy Sports & Outdoors, Inc.$3.0B
88
BBWIBath & Body Works, Inc.$3.5B
76
RHRH$2.4B
24
BOBSBob’s Discount Furniture, Inc.$1.9B
11
SBHSally Beauty Holdings, Inc.$1.5B
80
SVVSavers Value Village, Inc.$1.4B
33
EYENational Vision Holdings, Inc.$1.3B
68

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ASO news & analysis

Academy Sports Director Marley Sells 10,432 Shares at $53.25

The Motley Fool · 16 Sept 2026neutral

On September 15, 2026, Academy Sports & Outdoors director Marley sold 10,432 shares at $53.25 per share, for a total value of $555,504. The shares traded represented 24% of the direct equity stake held prior to the filing.

Why it matters — A director's sale of nearly a quarter of their direct stake is a notable insider-activity disclosure that ASO watchers would track for insight into management sentiment.

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (ASO) Presents at Goldman Sachs Global Consumer and Retail Conference Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 16 Sept 2026neutral

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. presented at the Goldman Sachs Global Consumer and Retail Conference, and a transcript of the presentation was published by Seeking Alpha. The item provides the full text of the company's remarks at the event.

Why it matters — ASO watchers would be interested because the transcript gives direct insight into the company's commentary and messaging delivered to investors at a major industry conference.

Academy Sports + Outdoors Delivers Great Value on Fall Workwear Favorites with Deals on Customers' Favorite Brands

PRNewsWire · 14 Sept 2026positive

Academy Sports + Outdoors announced it is launching five weeks of savings on trusted workwear brands, offering deals on fall workwear apparel and footwear in stores and online at Academy.com as consumer demand for durable, versatile workwear grows.

Why it matters — This promotion reflects Academy's efforts to capitalize on rising workwear demand, potentially driving customer traffic and sales during the fall season.

Academy Sports Analysts Boost Their Forecasts After Upbeat Q2 Earnings

Benzinga · 10 Sept 2026positive

Academy Sports and Outdoors reported upbeat fiscal second-quarter adjusted earnings and raised its full-year earnings outlook. Analysts subsequently boosted their forecasts for the company.

Why it matters — Beating earnings expectations and lifting the full-year outlook signal improved financial performance that could draw renewed investor attention to ASO.

Academy Sports + Outdoors is the Destination for Premium Performance Running with Launch of Hoka

PRNewsWire · 10 Sept 2026positive

Academy Sports + Outdoors announced it will launch Hoka performance running shoes in 15 stores across Arkansas, Georgia, Louisiana, and Texas, and online at Academy.com beginning in early October. Five Hoka styles will be introduced in select stores and online.

Why it matters — The addition of the popular Hoka brand expands Academy's premium performance running assortment, potentially broadening its product offering for running-focused customers.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ASO stock

What is the ASO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $58, with estimates ranging from $47 to $70. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ASO stock a buy right now?

Of the 20 analysts covering Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc., 9 rate it a Buy, 11 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. 88 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ASO?

As at 19 Sept 2026, Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. ranks 88 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (85 of 100).

Will ASO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +20.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. 88 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ASO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ASO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $47 to $70 over the next 12 months.

How has ASO stock performed over the past year?

Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. returned +0.7% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. do?

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. is a full-line sporting goods and outdoor recreation retailer in the United States.

What is the latest news on ASO?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 16 Sept 2026): "Academy Sports Director Marley Sells 10,432 Shares at $53.25". On September 15, 2026, Academy Sports & Outdoors director Marley sold 10,432 shares at $53.25 per share, for a total value of $555,504. The shares traded represented 24% of the direct equity stake held prior to the filing.

Company

About Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc.

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. is a full-line sporting goods and outdoor recreation retailer in the United States. Academy Sports and Outdoors offers a broad assortment of merchandise spanning outdoor equipment, hunting and fishing gear, camping supplies, sports and leisure products, footwear, and apparel. The company serves consumers through stores and digital channels, providing products for team sports, fitness, outdoor activities, and everyday active lifestyles. Its business is positioned across multiple retail categories, including outdoors, apparel, sports and recreation, and footwear, giving it a wide presence in the specialty retail market. Academy Sports and Outdoors plays a significant role in serving value-oriented shoppers seeking a broad selection of athletic and recreational products for personal, family, and community use.

CEO Mr. Steven Paul Lawrence · 22,000 employees · United States · https://www.academy.com