ATOUtilities · Utilities - Regulated GasThe 14 Wall Street analysts covering Atmos Energy Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $190 — +13.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 38 of 100 as at 31 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Atmos Energy Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (90): The share price has been relatively steady.
Issuance (22): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Size (8): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ATO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +13.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $196 → $190 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $188 → $179 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 17 July 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 17 July 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $187 → $188 |
| 14 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $184 → $183 |
| 14 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 14 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $196 → $198 |
| 14 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Initiates | Overweight | $200 |
| 2 July 2026 | Argus Research | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 29 May 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 18 May 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 15 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 8 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Truist Securities | Initiates | Hold | — |
| 8 Apr 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ATO appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 1 Sept 2026, Atmos Energy Corp. returned +3.3% against +19.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 38% of US stocks
Cheaper than 23% of US stocks
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Cheaper than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Atmos Energy Corp. has a market value of $28.3B and an enterprise value of $37.9B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.9B. The latest quarter grew 4.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.4B, a 28.5% net margin.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$2.0B, after $4.0B of capital spending.
Atmos Energy Corp. spent $632.1M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 20.0×; forward P/E: 18.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.39%, paying out 46% of earnings.
Atmos Energy Corp. employs 5,487 people — $897K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Atmos Energy Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research upgraded Atmos Energy (ATO) to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). The upgrade reflects growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects.
Why it matters — ATO watchers would care because the upgraded rating signals increased positive sentiment toward the company's earnings outlook.
Zacks Investment Research highlighted Atmos Energy (ATO) alongside OGS and MDU as gas utility stocks poised to gain despite near-term industry challenges, citing disciplined investments to strengthen operations and improving earnings estimates.
Why it matters — For ATO watchers, the piece signals that analysts see the company as positioned to benefit from operational investments and improving earnings estimates despite broader industry headwinds.
Zacks Investment Research named Ameren (AEE), Atmos Energy (ATO) and Exelon (EXC) as defensive utility picks, noting that renewed geopolitical tensions are reviving oil and inflation concerns and prompting investors to seek utility exposure.
Why it matters — The item positions Atmos Energy as a defensive option amid rising market volatility, which is directly relevant for investors tracking the company.
Seeking Alpha published a weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, listing companies that changed their dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates.
Why it matters — ATO is tracked as part of the Dividend Champions universe, so changes to its dividend status or any mention in this weekly roundup would be of direct interest to shareholders monitoring dividend reliability.
Atmos Energy announced that John S. McDill, Senior Vice President, Utility Operations, will retire in early 2027 after a career with the company dating back to 2002, and that Jeff D. has been appointed to succeed him. McDill will remain in his current role and on the company's Management Committee until his retirement.
Why it matters — The retirement of a senior utility operations leader and the appointment of his successor signal a management transition within Atmos Energy's leadership team that ATO watchers would note.
The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Atmos Energy Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $190, with estimates ranging from $170 to $206. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 14 analysts covering Atmos Energy Corp., 3 rate it a Buy, 11 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Atmos Energy Corp. 38 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Aug 2026, Atmos Energy Corp. ranks 38 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (90 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies +13.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Atmos Energy Corp. 38 out of 100 as at 31 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Atmos Energy Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ATO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $170 to $206 over the next 12 months.
Atmos Energy Corp. returned +3.3% over the 12 months to 1 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Atmos Energy Corporation is a regulated natural gas utility that delivers natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and public authority customers across multiple U.S. states.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 25 Aug 2026): "Atmos (ATO) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?". Zacks Investment Research upgraded Atmos Energy (ATO) to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). The upgrade reflects growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects.
Atmos Energy Corporation is a regulated natural gas utility that delivers natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and public authority customers across multiple U.S. states. The company operates through two core businesses: natural gas distribution and pipeline and storage, supporting the movement, balancing, and reliable delivery of gas through its network infrastructure. Atmos Energy serves millions of customers in communities across the South and central United States, with a service model centered on regulated utility operations and essential energy services. Based in Dallas, Texas, Atmos Energy plays a significant role in the U.S. natural gas market by maintaining distribution systems, transmission assets, and storage facilities that support everyday energy use and broader regional energy reliability.
CEO Mr. John Kevin Akers · 5,487 employees · United States · https://www.atmosenergy.com
