ATOATOUtilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

ATO Stock Forecast: Atmos Energy Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 5 Nov 2026
$175
−0.82% on the day

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Atmos Energy Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $182 — +4.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 34 of 100 as at 5 Nov 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$29.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
34/ 100
Median analyst target
$182
Analysts covering
14
Revenue$879.1M+4.8% y/y
Operating income$320.4M
Net income$242.7M
Free cash flow−$399.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+2.3%
1M
+10.7%
YTD
+6.2%
1Y
+3.7%
From 52W high
−7.9%
From 52W low
+12.0%
$156
$190
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ATO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Atmos Energy Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 5 Nov 2026
34/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
87
Quality
84
Revisions
58
Growth
56
Momentum
55
Accruals
29
Issuance
22
Value
21
Size
7

Volatility (87): The share price has been relatively steady.

Value (21): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (7): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

ATO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ATO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$150$160$170$180$190$200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ATOHigh $200Median $182Low $167

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says14 analysts
2 Buy12 Hold0 Sell
Low $167Median $182High $200

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +4.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 7 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
21 Oct 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$179 → $182
15 Oct 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$179 → $174
6 Oct 2026Argus ResearchReiteratesBuy$185
6 Oct 2026Argus ResearchReiteratesBuy—
1 Oct 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold$173 → $167
1 Oct 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold—
18 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$190 → $179
18 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
11 Sept 2026JP MorganDowngradeNeutral—
11 Sept 2026JP MorganDowngradeNeutral$198 → $180
21 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
21 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$196 → $190
13 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$188 → $179
13 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
17 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$187 → $188
17 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
14 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
14 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$184 → $183
14 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
14 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$196 → $198

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

ATO appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

ATO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 5 Nov 2026, Atmos Energy Corp. returned +3.7% against +9.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ATO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
9095100105110115Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ATOS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ATO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.5%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Atmos Energy Corp. (ATO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
20.9×

Cheaper than 36% of US stocks

Price / sales
6.0×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Price / book
1.9×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
15.1×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.8%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
30.2%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Gross margin
73.7%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Operating margin
37.2%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Net margin
28.5%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
9.8%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.9%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.3%

Higher than 81% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Atmos Energy Corp. (ATO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Atmos Energy Corp. has a market value of $29.6B and an enterprise value of $39.6B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.9B. The latest quarter grew 4.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.4B, a 28.5% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$2.0B, after $4.0B of capital spending.

  • Atmos Energy Corp. spent $632.1M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 169.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 20.9×; forward P/E: 17.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.29%, paying out 46% of earnings.

  • Atmos Energy Corp. employs 5,487 people — $897K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 6 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ATO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelUtilities - Regulated Gas
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ATOAtmos Energy Corp.$29.6B34
NINiSource, Inc.$21.2B38
UGIUGI Corp.$8.0B61
SWXSouthwest Gas Holdings, Inc.$6.5B27
BKHBlack Hills Corp.$6.5B41
NJRNew Jersey Resources Corp.$5.5B73
SRSpire Inc.$5.3B28

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Atmos Energy Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ATO news & analysis

Atmos Energy Q4 Earnings Beat on Rate Gains and Operating Strength

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Nov 2026positive

Atmos Energy's fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings exceeded estimates, supported by higher rates and operating gains. The company also cited infrastructure spending as support for its growth plans.

Why it matters — ATO watchers may note the earnings beat and the role of rates, operating performance, and infrastructure spending.

Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 5 Nov 2026neutral

Atmos Energy held its Fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter earnings conference call on November 5, 2026, with company executives and analysts participating. The excerpt provides no details on financial results or management commentary.

Why it matters — The call is an opportunity for ATO watchers to hear company updates, but this excerpt contains only the event introduction and participant list.

Atmos Energy Corporation Announces Retirement of Kim R. Cocklin and Appointment of J.

Business Wire · 4 Nov 2026neutral

Atmos Energy announced that Chairman Kim R. Cocklin will retire from the Board and his chairman role effective at the 2027 annual meeting of shareholders. He intends to continue as chairman through that meeting.

Why it matters — ATO watchers may note the planned leadership transition at the Board level and its timing.

Atmos Energy Corporation Reports Earnings for Fiscal 2026; Initiates Fiscal 2027 Guidance

Business Wire · 4 Nov 2026positive

Atmos Energy reported fiscal 2026 results, including diluted earnings per share of $8.49 and net income of $1.4 billion. Capital expenditures were $4.2 billion, with more than 85% focused on safety and reliability, and the company initiated fiscal 2027 guidance.

Why it matters — ATO watchers may note the reported earnings, infrastructure spending priorities, and new fiscal 2027 guidance.

Atmos Energy Increases Quarterly Dividend

Business Wire · 4 Nov 2026positive

Atmos Energy’s board declared an increased quarterly dividend of $1.09 per share. The Fiscal 2027 indicated annual dividend is $4.36, with payment scheduled for December 7, 2026, to shareholders of record November 23, 2026.

Why it matters — ATO watchers may note the higher indicated annual dividend and the announced payment and record dates.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ATO stock

What is the ATO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Atmos Energy Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $182, with estimates ranging from $167 to $200. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ATO stock a buy right now?

Of the 14 analysts covering Atmos Energy Corp., 2 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Atmos Energy Corp. 34 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ATO?

As at 5 Nov 2026, Atmos Energy Corp. ranks 34 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (87 of 100).

Will ATO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies +4.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Atmos Energy Corp. 34 out of 100 as at 5 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ATO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Atmos Energy Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ATO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $167 to $200 over the next 12 months.

How has ATO stock performed over the past year?

Atmos Energy Corp. returned +3.7% over the 12 months to 5 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Atmos Energy Corp. do?

Atmos Energy Corporation is a regulated natural gas utility that delivers natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and public authority customers across multiple U.S. states.

What is the latest news on ATO?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 5 Nov 2026): "Atmos Energy Q4 Earnings Beat on Rate Gains and Operating Strength". Atmos Energy's fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings exceeded estimates, supported by higher rates and operating gains. The company also cited infrastructure spending as support for its growth plans.

Company

About Atmos Energy Corp.

Atmos Energy Corporation is a regulated natural gas utility that delivers natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and public authority customers across multiple U.S. states. The company operates through two core businesses: natural gas distribution and pipeline and storage, supporting the movement, balancing, and reliable delivery of gas through its network infrastructure. Atmos Energy serves millions of customers in communities across the South and central United States, with a service model centered on regulated utility operations and essential energy services. Based in Dallas, Texas, Atmos Energy plays a significant role in the U.S. natural gas market by maintaining distribution systems, transmission assets, and storage facilities that support everyday energy use and broader regional energy reliability.

CEO Mr. John Kevin Akers · 5,487 employees · United States · https://www.atmosenergy.com