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ATOATOUtilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

ATO Stock Forecast: Atmos Energy Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Aug 2026
$169
+0.77% on the day

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Atmos Energy Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $190 — +12.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 41 of 100 as at 10 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$28.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
41 / 100
Median analyst target
$190
Analysts covering
15
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.0%
1M
−4.0%
YTD
+2.1%
1Y
+4.8%
From 52W high
−11.5%
From 52W low
+5.9%
$160
$191
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ATO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Atmos Energy Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 10 Aug 2026
41 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
91
Quality
85
Revisions
73
Growth
60
Momentum
59
Accruals
28
Value
23
Issuance
20
Size
8

Volatility (91): The share price has been relatively steady.

Issuance (20): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (8): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Wall Street

ATO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ATO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$160$170$180$190$200$210Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ATOHigh $206Median $190Low $170

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says15 analysts
3 Buy12 Hold0 Sell
Low $170Median $190High $206

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
17 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$187 → $188
14 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$184 → $183
14 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$196 → $198
13 July 2026Wells FargoInitiatesOverweight$200
2 July 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy—
29 May 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
18 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
15 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
8 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
21 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
21 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesInitiatesHold—
8 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
27 Jan 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
15 Jan 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
13 Jan 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
17 Dec 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
16 Dec 2025Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight—
2 Dec 2025MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
22 Oct 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
16 Oct 2025B of A SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ATO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

ATO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.7%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Atmos Energy Corp. (ATO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
20.0×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Price / sales
5.8×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

Price / book
1.9×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
14.7×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.8%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
30.2%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Gross margin
73.7%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Operating margin
37.2%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Net margin
28.5%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
9.8%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.9%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.4%

Higher than 54% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

ATO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelUtilities - Regulated Gas
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ATOAtmos Energy Corp.$28.4B
41
NINiSource, Inc.$19.9B
50
UGIUGI Corp.$7.3B
46
SWXSouthwest Gas Holdings, Inc.$6.6B
54
BKHBlack Hills Corp.$5.6B
39
NJRNew Jersey Resources Corp.$5.4B
71
BIPCBrookfield Infrastructure Corp.$5.1B
49

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Atmos Energy Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ATO news & analysis

Atmos Energy Corporation Announces Retirement of John S. McDill and Appointment of Jeff D.

Business Wire · 10 Aug 2026neutral

Atmos Energy announced that John S. McDill, Senior Vice President, Utility Operations, will retire in early 2027 after a career with the company dating back to 2002, and that Jeff D. has been appointed to succeed him. McDill will remain in his current role and on the company's Management Committee until his retirement.

Why it matters — The retirement of a senior utility operations leader and the appointment of his successor signal a management transition within Atmos Energy's leadership team that ATO watchers would note.

Atmos Energy Corporation Names James H. Jeffries IV to Board of Directors

Business Wire · 10 Aug 2026positive

Atmos Energy Corporation announced that James H. Jeffries IV has been elected to its board of directors, effective September 1, 2026. Jeffries, a partner at McGuire Woods LLP who will retire from the firm on August 31, 2026, brings over three decades of experience advising natural gas utility companies.

Why it matters — The addition of a director with extensive experience in the natural gas utility sector strengthens the board's expertise as Atmos Energy plans its leadership and governance.

Atmos Energy Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 7 Aug 2026positive

Atmos Energy reported net income of $1.2 billion, or $7.33 per diluted share, for the first nine months of its fiscal year, with earnings per share up 14.5% from the prior-year period. Management reaffirmed the company's fiscal 2026 earnings guidance during the third-quarter earnings call.

Why it matters — ATO watchers would note that the company reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance alongside stronger earnings, indicating management's continued confidence in its outlook.

Aristotle Value Equity WM Q2 2026 Portfolio Performance

Seeking Alpha · 6 Aug 2026neutral

Aristotle Capital's Value Equity WM Composite reported a total return of 4.36% gross of fees (3.85% net) for Q2 2026. Corteva and Motorola Solutions were among the largest detractors during the period.

Why it matters — This fund performance report may be relevant to ATO watchers if Aristotle Capital's Value Equity strategy holds Atmos Energy as a portfolio position, as the composite's quarterly results and holdings commentary can reflect on the stock's performance within the fund.

Atmos Energy Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Increase Y/Y

Zacks Investment Research · 6 Aug 2026positive

Atmos Energy reported fiscal Q3 earnings that rose 23.3% and beat estimates, while revenues increased 4.8% year over year but missed expectations.

Why it matters — The earnings beat, alongside higher revenue, provides a current snapshot of ATO's financial performance that investors following the company would note.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ATO stock

What is the ATO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Atmos Energy Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $190, with estimates ranging from $170 to $206. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ATO stock a buy right now?

Of the 15 analysts covering Atmos Energy Corp., 3 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Atmos Energy Corp. 41 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 10 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ATO?

As at 10 Aug 2026, Atmos Energy Corp. ranks 41 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (91 of 100).

Will ATO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 15 analysts implies +12.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Atmos Energy Corp. 41 out of 100 as at 10 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ATO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Atmos Energy Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ATO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $170 to $206 over the next 12 months.

How has ATO stock performed over the past year?

Atmos Energy Corp. returned +4.8% over the 12 months to 11 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Atmos Energy Corp. do?

Atmos Energy Corporation is a natural gas utility company that focuses on the distribution, transmission, and storage of natural gas in the United States. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, it operates as a fully regulated, pure-play natural gas provider serving residential, commercial, industrial, and public-sector customers across multiple states, including large markets in Texas.

What is the latest news on ATO?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 10 Aug 2026): "Atmos Energy Corporation Announces Retirement of John S. McDill and Appointment of Jeff D.". Atmos Energy announced that John S. McDill, Senior Vice President, Utility Operations, will retire in early 2027 after a career with the company dating back to 2002, and that Jeff D. has been appointed to succeed him. McDill will remain in his current role and on the company's Management Committee until his retirement.

Company

About Atmos Energy Corp.

Atmos Energy Corporation is a natural gas utility company that focuses on the distribution, transmission, and storage of natural gas in the United States. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, it operates as a fully regulated, pure-play natural gas provider serving residential, commercial, industrial, and public-sector customers across multiple states, including large markets in Texas. The company’s core activities are organized into two primary segments: Distribution, which handles regulated natural gas delivery and related sales operations to end users, and Pipeline and Storage, which manages intrastate pipeline networks, storage facilities, and transmission services. Atmos Energy plays a central role in regional energy infrastructure by supplying fuel for heating, cooking, and industrial processes, as well as supporting power generation and large-scale gas transportation. As a regulated utility, it operates under state and local oversight, emphasizing system safety, reliability, and compliance while maintaining critical natural gas infrastructure that underpins everyday energy needs in its service territories.

CEO Mr. John Kevin Akers · 5,487 employees · United States · https://www.atmosenergy.com