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ATOATOUtilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

ATO Stock Forecast: Atmos Energy Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 23 Sept 2026
$156
−0.70% on the day

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Atmos Energy Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $183 — +17.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 32 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$26.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
32 / 100
Median analyst target
$183
Analysts covering
14
Revenue$879.1M+4.8% y/y
Operating income$320.4M
Net income$242.7M
Free cash flow−$399.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.5%
1M
−5.8%
YTD
−5.2%
1Y
−3.9%
From 52W high
−17.8%
From 52W low
0.0%
$156
$190
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ATO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Atmos Energy Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 23 Sept 2026
32 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
93
Quality
86
Growth
61
Revisions
52
Momentum
46
Accruals
28
Value
25
Issuance
22
Size
8

Volatility (93): The share price has been relatively steady.

Issuance (22): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (8): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ATO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ATO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$150$160$170$180$190$200$210Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ATOHigh $206Median $183Low $170

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says14 analysts
3 Buy11 Hold0 Sell
Low $170Median $183High $206

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +17.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
18 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
18 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$190 → $179
11 Sept 2026JP MorganDowngradeNeutral—
11 Sept 2026JP MorganDowngradeNeutral$198 → $180
21 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
21 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$196 → $190
13 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$188 → $179
13 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
17 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$187 → $188
17 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
14 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
14 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$184 → $183
14 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$196 → $198
14 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
13 July 2026Wells FargoInitiatesOverweight$200
13 July 2026Wells FargoInitiatesOverweight—
2 July 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy—
29 May 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
18 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
15 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ATO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ATO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 23 Sept 2026, Atmos Energy Corp. returned −3.9% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ATO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
95100105110115120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ATOS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ATO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.5%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Atmos Energy Corp. (ATO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
18.9×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Price / sales
5.4×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

Price / book
1.8×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.9×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.8%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
30.2%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Gross margin
73.7%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Operating margin
37.2%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Net margin
28.5%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
9.8%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.9%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.5%

Higher than 53% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Atmos Energy Corp. (ATO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Atmos Energy Corp. has a market value of $26.7B and an enterprise value of $36.5B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.9B. The latest quarter grew 4.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.4B, a 28.5% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$2.0B, after $4.0B of capital spending.

  • Atmos Energy Corp. spent $632.1M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 169.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 18.9×; forward P/E: 17.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.53%, paying out 46% of earnings.

  • Atmos Energy Corp. employs 5,487 people — $897K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 24 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ATO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelUtilities - Regulated Gas
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ATOAtmos Energy Corp.$26.7B
32
NINiSource, Inc.$18.7B
45
UGIUGI Corp.$7.9B
48
SWXSouthwest Gas Holdings, Inc.$6.0B
57
BKHBlack Hills Corp.$5.4B
43
NJRNew Jersey Resources Corp.$5.3B
67
BIPCBrookfield Infrastructure Corp.$4.7B
47

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Atmos Energy Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ATO news & analysis

Can Infrastructure Investments Drive Atmos Energy's Long-Term Growth?

Zacks Investment Research · 15 Sept 2026positive

Atmos Energy's $26 billion investment plan through fiscal 2030, supported by rate recovery and demand growth, underpins its 6-8% EPS growth outlook, according to Zacks Investment Research.

Why it matters — ATO watchers would care because the company's long-term earnings growth outlook and infrastructure spending plans are confirmed to be supported by rate recovery and demand growth.

Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Atmos Energy Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports that investors should pay close attention to Atmos Energy (ATO) stock based on recent movements in the options market, according to the article's headline and excerpt.

Why it matters — An ATO watcher would care because unusual options-market activity can signal where traders expect the stock's price to move.

Atmos (ATO) Down 1.7% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Sept 2026neutral

Atmos Energy reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock is down 1.7% since that report. The item discusses what might come next for the company's stock following the earnings release.

Why it matters — Investors following Atmos Energy would want an update on stock performance and outlook in the month following its latest earnings report.

Atmos (ATO) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 25 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research upgraded Atmos Energy (ATO) to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). The upgrade reflects growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects.

Why it matters — ATO watchers would care because the upgraded rating signals increased positive sentiment toward the company's earnings outlook.

3 Gas Utility Stocks Poised to Gain Despite Industry Challenges

Zacks Investment Research · 24 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted Atmos Energy (ATO) alongside OGS and MDU as gas utility stocks poised to gain despite near-term industry challenges, citing disciplined investments to strengthen operations and improving earnings estimates.

Why it matters — For ATO watchers, the piece signals that analysts see the company as positioned to benefit from operational investments and improving earnings estimates despite broader industry headwinds.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ATO stock

What is the ATO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Atmos Energy Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $183, with estimates ranging from $170 to $206. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ATO stock a buy right now?

Of the 14 analysts covering Atmos Energy Corp., 3 rate it a Buy, 11 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Atmos Energy Corp. 32 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ATO?

As at 23 Sept 2026, Atmos Energy Corp. ranks 32 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (93 of 100).

Will ATO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies +17.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Atmos Energy Corp. 32 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ATO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Atmos Energy Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ATO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $170 to $206 over the next 12 months.

How has ATO stock performed over the past year?

Atmos Energy Corp. returned -3.9% over the 12 months to 23 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Atmos Energy Corp. do?

Atmos Energy Corporation is a regulated natural gas utility that delivers natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and public authority customers across multiple U.S. states.

What is the latest news on ATO?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 15 Sept 2026): "Can Infrastructure Investments Drive Atmos Energy's Long-Term Growth?". Atmos Energy's $26 billion investment plan through fiscal 2030, supported by rate recovery and demand growth, underpins its 6-8% EPS growth outlook, according to Zacks Investment Research.

Company

About Atmos Energy Corp.

Atmos Energy Corporation is a regulated natural gas utility that delivers natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and public authority customers across multiple U.S. states. The company operates through two core businesses: natural gas distribution and pipeline and storage, supporting the movement, balancing, and reliable delivery of gas through its network infrastructure. Atmos Energy serves millions of customers in communities across the South and central United States, with a service model centered on regulated utility operations and essential energy services. Based in Dallas, Texas, Atmos Energy plays a significant role in the U.S. natural gas market by maintaining distribution systems, transmission assets, and storage facilities that support everyday energy use and broader regional energy reliability.

CEO Mr. John Kevin Akers · 5,487 employees · United States · https://www.atmosenergy.com