ATOUtilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

ATO Stock Forecast: Atmos Energy Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 16 Oct 2026

$167

+2.07% on the day

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Atmos Energy Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $183 — +9.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 31 of 100 as at 15 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap

$27.7B

Ticker Nerd rank

31 / 100

Median analyst target

$183

Analysts covering

Revenue$879.1M+4.8% y/y

Operating income$320.4M

Net income$242.7M

Free cash flow−$399.4M

Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown

Total return, dividends reinvested

+3.5%

+3.3%

YTD

+1.5%

−2.9%

From 52W high

−12.0%

From 52W low

+7.1%

$156

$190

52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close

Ticker Nerd rank

ATO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Atmos Energy Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Oct 2026

31 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility

Quality

Growth

Momentum

Revisions

Accruals

Issuance

Value

Size

Volatility (90): The share price has been relatively steady.

Value (22): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (8): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ATO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ATO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says14 analysts

2 Buy12 Hold0 Sell

Low $167Median $183High $206

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 6 moved it down.

Date	Firm	Action	Rating	Target
6 Oct 2026	Argus Research	Reiterates	Buy	$185
1 Oct 2026	Jefferies	Maintains	Hold	$173 → $167
18 Sept 2026	Morgan Stanley	Maintains	Equal-Weight	$190 → $179
18 Sept 2026	Morgan Stanley	Maintains	Equal-Weight	—
11 Sept 2026	JP Morgan	Downgrade	Neutral	—
11 Sept 2026	JP Morgan	Downgrade	Neutral	$198 → $180
21 Aug 2026	Morgan Stanley	Maintains	Equal-Weight	—
21 Aug 2026	Morgan Stanley	Maintains	Equal-Weight	$196 → $190
13 Aug 2026	Truist Securities	Maintains	Hold	$188 → $179
13 Aug 2026	Truist Securities	Maintains	Hold	—
17 July 2026	Truist Securities	Maintains	Hold	$187 → $188
17 July 2026	Truist Securities	Maintains	Hold	—
14 July 2026	Barclays	Maintains	Equal-Weight	$184 → $183
14 July 2026	Barclays	Maintains	Equal-Weight	—
14 July 2026	JP Morgan	Maintains	Overweight	$196 → $198
14 July 2026	JP Morgan	Maintains	Overweight	—
13 July 2026	Wells Fargo	Initiates	Overweight	$200
13 July 2026	Wells Fargo	Initiates	Overweight	—
2 July 2026	Argus Research	Maintains	Buy	—
29 May 2026	Mizuho	Maintains	Neutral	—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ATO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Performance

ATO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 16 Oct 2026, Atmos Energy Corp. returned −2.9% against +16.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ATO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ATO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year

EPS revision, 90 days

+0.5%

Analysts raising

Analysts cutting

Fundamentals

Atmos Energy Corp. (ATO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation

Trailing P/E: 19.5×
Price / sales: 5.6×
Price / book: 1.8×
EV / EBITDA: 14.3×

Growth & margins

Revenue growth (YoY): 4.8%
Earnings growth (YoY): 30.2%
Gross margin: 73.7%
Operating margin: 37.2%
Net margin: 28.5%

Returns & dividend

Return on equity: 9.8%
Return on assets: 3.9%
Dividend yield: 2.4%

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Atmos Energy Corp. (ATO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

Atmos Energy Corp. has a market value of $27.7B and an enterprise value of $37.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.9B. The latest quarter grew 4.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.4B, a 28.5% net margin.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$2.0B, after $4.0B of capital spending.
Atmos Energy Corp. spent $632.1M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Shares outstanding: 169.0M.
Trailing P/E: 19.5×; forward P/E: 18.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.44%, paying out 46% of earnings.
Atmos Energy Corp. employs 5,487 people — $897K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 16 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ATO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelUtilities - Regulated Gas

Company	Market cap	TKN rank
ATOAtmos Energy Corp.	$27.7B	31
NINiSource, Inc.	$19.7B	44
UGIUGI Corp.	$8.0B	55
SWXSouthwest Gas Holdings, Inc.	$6.2B	55
BKHBlack Hills Corp.	$5.8B	40
NJRNew Jersey Resources Corp.	$5.2B	67
BIPCBrookfield Infrastructure Corp.	$5.0B	43

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Atmos Energy Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ATO news & analysis

Atmos Energy Corporation to Host Fiscal 2026 Year End Earnings Conference Call on November 5, 2026

Business Wire · 6 Oct 2026neutral

Atmos Energy will release its Fiscal 2026 financial results after market close on November 4, 2026, and host a conference call the following morning. The call will cover those results, Fiscal 2027 guidance, and an updated five-year plan through Fiscal 2031.

Why it matters — ATO watchers can note when the company plans to report results and discuss its next fiscal year's guidance and longer-term plan.

Atmos Energy: Quality Company At A Fair Price

Seeking Alpha · 1 Oct 2026positive

Seeking Alpha discusses Atmos Energy as a quality company at a fair price, maintaining a "Buy" rating with a targeted ~9.5% long-term annual return through 7% EPS growth and a 2.6% dividend yield. The firm's low-risk, fully regulated gas utility model is seen as insulated from data-center-driven regulatory headwinds affecting electric utilities.

Why it matters — ATO watchers would care because the article highlights how customer growth, cost advantages, and rapid regulatory recapture of capital expenditure support the company's steady earnings and dividend growth outlook.

OGS or ATO: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article comparing ONE Gas (OGS) and Atmos Energy (ATO), both in the Utility - Gas Distribution sector, to determine which is the more attractive value stock for investors.

Why it matters — An ATO watcher would care because the piece assesses Atmos Energy's valuation relative to a direct peer in the same sector, offering a comparative value perspective.

Can Infrastructure Investments Drive Atmos Energy's Long-Term Growth?

Zacks Investment Research · 15 Sept 2026positive

Atmos Energy's $26 billion investment plan through fiscal 2030, supported by rate recovery and demand growth, underpins its 6-8% EPS growth outlook, according to Zacks Investment Research.

Why it matters — ATO watchers would care because the company's long-term earnings growth outlook and infrastructure spending plans are confirmed to be supported by rate recovery and demand growth.

Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Atmos Energy Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports that investors should pay close attention to Atmos Energy (ATO) stock based on recent movements in the options market, according to the article's headline and excerpt.

Why it matters — An ATO watcher would care because unusual options-market activity can signal where traders expect the stock's price to move.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ATO stock

What is the ATO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Atmos Energy Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $183, with estimates ranging from $167 to $206. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ATO stock a buy right now?

Of the 14 analysts covering Atmos Energy Corp., 2 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Atmos Energy Corp. 31 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ATO?

As at 15 Oct 2026, Atmos Energy Corp. ranks 31 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (90 of 100).

Will ATO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies +9.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Atmos Energy Corp. 31 out of 100 as at 15 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ATO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Atmos Energy Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ATO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $167 to $206 over the next 12 months.

How has ATO stock performed over the past year?

Atmos Energy Corp. returned -2.9% over the 12 months to 16 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Atmos Energy Corp. do?

Atmos Energy Corporation is a regulated natural gas utility that delivers natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and public authority customers across multiple U.S. states.

What is the latest news on ATO?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 6 Oct 2026): "Atmos Energy Corporation to Host Fiscal 2026 Year End Earnings Conference Call on November 5, 2026". Atmos Energy will release its Fiscal 2026 financial results after market close on November 4, 2026, and host a conference call the following morning. The call will cover those results, Fiscal 2027 guidance, and an updated five-year plan through Fiscal 2031.

Company

About Atmos Energy Corp.

Atmos Energy Corporation is a regulated natural gas utility that delivers natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and public authority customers across multiple U.S. states. The company operates through two core businesses: natural gas distribution and pipeline and storage, supporting the movement, balancing, and reliable delivery of gas through its network infrastructure. Atmos Energy serves millions of customers in communities across the South and central United States, with a service model centered on regulated utility operations and essential energy services. Based in Dallas, Texas, Atmos Energy plays a significant role in the U.S. natural gas market by maintaining distribution systems, transmission assets, and storage facilities that support everyday energy use and broader regional energy reliability.

CEO Mr. John Kevin Akers · 5,487 employees · United States · https://www.atmosenergy.com