AVAVAVAVIndustrials · Aerospace & Defense

AVAV Stock Forecast: AeroVironment, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$160
+0.27% on the day

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering AeroVironment, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $225 — +40.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 13 of 100 as at 21 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$8.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
13 / 100
Median analyst target
$225
Analysts covering
20
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−16.9%
1M
+7.6%
YTD
−33.8%
1Y
−31.8%
From 52W high
−60.9%
From 52W low
+17.2%
$137
$410
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AVAV stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores AeroVironment, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 21 Aug 2026
13 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
53
Revisions
45
Value
44
Quality
41
Momentum
30
Volatility
29
Accruals
25
Size
18
Issuance
8

Growth (53): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Issuance (8): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AVAV stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AVAV, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$150$200$250$300$350$400Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AVAVHigh $326Median $225Low $149

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says20 analysts
17 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $149Median $225High $326

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +40.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
16 July 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform$210
10 July 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$280$240
10 July 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$350$230
9 July 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$205
9 July 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$225
9 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$248$235
9 July 2026RBC CapitalDowngradeSector Perform$210$180
7 July 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform$210
7 July 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform
2 July 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight
1 July 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy
1 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy
1 July 2026WedbushInitiatesOutperform
30 June 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy
30 June 2026CitizensReiteratesMarket Outperform
30 June 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy
30 June 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform
30 June 2026StifelMaintainsBuy
30 June 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral
26 June 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AVAV appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

AVAV analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−20.0%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
14
Fundamentals

AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
151.3×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.2×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / book
1.9×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
42.4×

Cheaper than 6% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
133.3%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
133.3%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Gross margin
31.6%

Higher than 37% of US stocks

Operating margin
2.8%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Net margin
−13.4%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−10.0%

Higher than 36% of US stocks

Return on assets
−1.3%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

AVAV vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AVAVAeroVironment, Inc.$8.1B
13
PLPlanet Labs PBC$7.9B
38
SAROStandardAero, Inc.$8.4B
62
HXLHexcel Corp.$7.1B
92
KRMNKarman Holdings, Inc.$7.1B
15
LOARLoar Holdings, Inc.$7.0B
42
DPCDPC Holdings PLC$6.6B
0

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own AeroVironment, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AVAV news & analysis

AeroVironment to Establish Industrial Presence in Greece Through AV Eagle

Business Wire · 20 Aug 2026positive

AeroVironment announced it will establish an industrial presence in Greece through AV Eagle, a joint venture with Athens-based Eyeonix SA, following completion of a definitive shareholders agreement and receipt of Foreign Direct Investment approval from the Hellenic Republic Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The venture builds on more than a decade of cooperation between the companies.

Why it matters — AVAV watchers would care because this marks AeroVironment's expansion into Greece via a government-approved joint venture, deepening its international industrial footprint.

Can AeroVironment's Propulsion Capabilities Support Future Growth?

Zacks Investment Research · 20 Aug 2026positive

AeroVironment (AVAV) is expanding its propulsion capabilities across electric, hybrid and unmanned aircraft technologies to support next-generation aviation applications. The company's propulsion work is positioned to underpin future growth across these aircraft platforms.

Why it matters — AVAV watchers would care because broadening propulsion offerings across electric, hybrid and unmanned aircraft could widen the company's addressable applications in next-generation aviation.

Berger Montague PC Investigates AeroVironment, Inc.'s Board of Directors for Breach of Fiduciary Duty (NASDAQ: AVAV)

PRNewsWire · 20 Aug 2026negative

Law firm Berger Montague PC announced an investigation into AeroVironment's Board of Directors for potential breaches of fiduciary duty owed to the company and its shareholders. The probe focuses on whether AeroVironment improperly concealed its exposure to competition for work under the U.S. Space Force's Satellite Communication Augmentation Resource (SCAR) program.

Why it matters — AVAV watchers would care because the investigation raises questions about possible undisclosed competitive risk tied to a major U.S. Space Force program.

AeroVironment Hit a Bottom in Q2—Can It Take Flight in Q3?

MarketBeat · 19 Aug 2026positive

The article discusses AeroVironment's second-quarter performance, suggesting the company hit a bottom and could improve in the third quarter. It notes that lessons from the war in Ukraine, including the value of drone technology, position AeroVironment to benefit.

Why it matters — AeroVironment watchers would care because the article highlights the company's positioning to benefit from increased military demand for drone technology.

Drone Stocks See Limited Losses Tuesday During Nasdaq Sell-Off: Red Cat, Ondas Flat While AeroVironment Tumbles

24/7 Wall Street · 19 Aug 2026negative

During a broad Nasdaq sell-off on Tuesday, drone stocks held up relatively well, with Red Cat closing down 2% and Ondas finishing up 1%, but AeroVironment diverged, falling roughly 4% to around $174.

Why it matters — AVAV watchers would note that AeroVironment underperformed its drone-sector peers during Tuesday's sell-off, closing down roughly 4%.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AVAV stock

What is the AVAV stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering AeroVironment, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $225, with estimates ranging from $149 to $326. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AVAV stock a buy right now?

Of the 20 analysts covering AeroVironment, Inc., 17 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks AeroVironment, Inc. 13 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 21 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AVAV?

As at 21 Aug 2026, AeroVironment, Inc. ranks 13 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (53 of 100).

Will AVAV stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +40.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks AeroVironment, Inc. 13 out of 100 as at 21 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AVAV stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering AeroVironment, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AVAV are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $149 to $326 over the next 12 months.

How has AVAV stock performed over the past year?

AeroVironment, Inc. returned -31.8% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does AeroVironment, Inc. do?

AeroVironment Inc. is a defense technology company specializing in autonomous and robotic systems for government and commercial customers worldwide.

What is the latest news on AVAV?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 20 Aug 2026): "AeroVironment to Establish Industrial Presence in Greece Through AV Eagle". AeroVironment announced it will establish an industrial presence in Greece through AV Eagle, a joint venture with Athens-based Eyeonix SA, following completion of a definitive shareholders agreement and receipt of Foreign Direct Investment approval from the Hellenic Republic Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The venture builds on more than a decade of cooperation between the companies.

Company

About AeroVironment, Inc.

AeroVironment Inc. is a defense technology company specializing in autonomous and robotic systems for government and commercial customers worldwide. The company focuses on uncrewed aircraft systems, including small and medium tactical drones, as well as loitering munitions that provide precision strike and real-time intelligence for modern defense operations. Its portfolio extends across air, land, sea, space, and cyber domains, encompassing counter-UAS solutions, electronic warfare systems, unmanned ground and maritime platforms, and high-altitude pseudo-satellites. Through its Autonomous Systems and Space, Cyber and Directed Energy segments, AeroVironment develops and supports technologies such as autonomy and AI software, command-and-control solutions, digital beamforming antennas, laser communications, and phased-array systems for space and hypersonic applications. The company also offers cyber capabilities for national security use and an AI-powered open-source intelligence analytics platform for defense and commercial problem-solving. AeroVironment Inc., incorporated in 1971 and headquartered in Arlington, Virginia, plays a significant role in supplying integrated, mission-critical systems to U.S. and allied defense organizations.

CEO Mr. Wahid Nawabi · 3,991 employees · United States · https://www.avinc.com