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AVAV Stock Forecast: AeroVironment, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Aug 2026
$196
+3.63% on the day

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering AeroVironment, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $225 — +14.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 11 of 100 as at 10 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$9.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
11 / 100
Median analyst target
$225
Analysts covering
20
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+16.0%
1M
+35.6%
YTD
−19.0%
1Y
−19.8%
From 52W high
−52.2%
From 52W low
+43.4%
$137
$410
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AVAV stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores AeroVironment, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 10 Aug 2026
11 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
54
Revisions
45
Value
41
Quality
37
Volatility
32
Accruals
26
Momentum
24
Size
16
Issuance
8

Growth (54): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Issuance (8): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Wall Street

AVAV stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AVAV, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$150$200$250$300$350$400Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AVAVHigh $326Median $225Low $149

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says20 analysts
17 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $149Median $225High $326

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +14.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
16 July 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform$210
10 July 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$280 → $240
10 July 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$350 → $230
9 July 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$205
9 July 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$225
9 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$248 → $235
9 July 2026RBC CapitalDowngradeSector Perform$210 → $180
7 July 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform$210
7 July 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform—
2 July 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight—
1 July 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
1 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
1 July 2026WedbushInitiatesOutperform—
30 June 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
30 June 2026CitizensReiteratesMarket Outperform—
30 June 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
30 June 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
30 June 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
30 June 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
26 June 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AVAV appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

AVAV analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−20.0%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
14
Fundamentals

AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
151.3×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.8×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

Price / book
2.1×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
49.4×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
133.3%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
133.3%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Gross margin
31.6%

Higher than 37% of US stocks

Operating margin
2.8%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Net margin
−13.4%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−10.0%

Higher than 36% of US stocks

Return on assets
−1.3%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

AVAV vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AVAVAeroVironment, Inc.$9.5B
11
SAROStandardAero, Inc.$9.5B
65
PLPlanet Labs PBC$8.2B
39
KRMNKarman Holdings, Inc.$8.2B
15
KTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.$11.7B
39
DRSLeonardo DRS, Inc.$12.0B
92
HXLHexcel Corp.$7.6B
94

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own AeroVironment, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AVAV news & analysis

Unusual Machines (UMAC) Stock Is Climbing Today: Is the Whole Drone Group Moving?

24/7 Wall Street · 10 Aug 2026neutral

Shares of Unusual Machines (NYSE:UMAC) rose 23.39% over the past week and added another 3.41% in Monday trading, changing hands near $27. The article questions whether the gains signal movement across the broader drone group.

Why it matters — As a fellow participant in the drone sector, AeroVironment watchers would track whether UMAC's rally reflects broader strength in the drone industry that could extend to other names in the group.

Iran Tensions Highlight Defense Supply Gaps Poised to Lift 2 Stocks

The Motley Fool · 10 Aug 2026positive

The Motley Fool reports that modern wars, including tensions with Iran, are exposing long-standing defense supply shortages. AeroVironment and L3Harris are highlighted as positioned where demand is growing fastest — in drones, missiles, and battlefield networks.

Why it matters — AVAV watchers would care because the report identifies AeroVironment as a supplier poised to benefit from rising defense demand in drones, missiles, and battlefield networks.

DRONE DEFENSE: Air Force contract sends AeroVironment shares soaring

Fox Business · 9 Aug 2026positive

An Air Force contract has driven AeroVironment's share price higher, with the company highlighted as a top stock pick by an investment analyst on Fox Business.

Why it matters — The Air Force contract win signals continued government demand for AeroVironment's drone and defense technology, which is a key driver for the company's business.

AeroVironment (AVAV) Price Forecast: Bottoming Signals Point Toward Further Gains

FXEmpire · 7 Aug 2026positive

AeroVironment is showing improving momentum after reclaiming key moving averages, with AVAV approaching critical resistance levels that could confirm a larger trend reversal, according to FXEmpire's price forecast.

Why it matters — A AVAV watcher would care because the technical signals suggest the stock may be bottoming and could be poised for further gains if it breaks through key resistance.

AV Appoints Aerospace and Defense Executive Michael D. Ruppert to Board of Directors

Business Wire · 7 Aug 2026positive

AeroVironment announced the appointment of Michael D. Ruppert to its Board of Directors, effective August 5, 2026. Ruppert brings over 25 years of financial, strategic and corporate development experience in the aerospace and defense sector and has served as EVP and CFO of ManTech since 2023.

Why it matters — The addition of an aerospace and defense executive with extensive financial and strategic experience to the board could bring relevant industry insight to AV's governance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AVAV stock

What is the AVAV stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering AeroVironment, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $225, with estimates ranging from $149 to $326. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AVAV stock a buy right now?

Of the 20 analysts covering AeroVironment, Inc., 17 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks AeroVironment, Inc. 11 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 10 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AVAV?

As at 10 Aug 2026, AeroVironment, Inc. ranks 11 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (54 of 100).

Will AVAV stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +14.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks AeroVironment, Inc. 11 out of 100 as at 10 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AVAV stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering AeroVironment, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AVAV are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $149 to $326 over the next 12 months.

How has AVAV stock performed over the past year?

AeroVironment, Inc. returned -19.8% over the 12 months to 11 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does AeroVironment, Inc. do?

AeroVironment Inc. is a defense technology company specializing in autonomous and robotic systems for government and commercial customers worldwide.

What is the latest news on AVAV?

The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 10 Aug 2026): "Unusual Machines (UMAC) Stock Is Climbing Today: Is the Whole Drone Group Moving?". Shares of Unusual Machines (NYSE:UMAC) rose 23.39% over the past week and added another 3.41% in Monday trading, changing hands near $27. The article questions whether the gains signal movement across the broader drone group.

Company

About AeroVironment, Inc.

AeroVironment Inc. is a defense technology company specializing in autonomous and robotic systems for government and commercial customers worldwide. The company focuses on uncrewed aircraft systems, including small and medium tactical drones, as well as loitering munitions that provide precision strike and real-time intelligence for modern defense operations. Its portfolio extends across air, land, sea, space, and cyber domains, encompassing counter-UAS solutions, electronic warfare systems, unmanned ground and maritime platforms, and high-altitude pseudo-satellites. Through its Autonomous Systems and Space, Cyber and Directed Energy segments, AeroVironment develops and supports technologies such as autonomy and AI software, command-and-control solutions, digital beamforming antennas, laser communications, and phased-array systems for space and hypersonic applications. The company also offers cyber capabilities for national security use and an AI-powered open-source intelligence analytics platform for defense and commercial problem-solving. AeroVironment Inc., incorporated in 1971 and headquartered in Arlington, Virginia, plays a significant role in supplying integrated, mission-critical systems to U.S. and allied defense organizations.

CEO Mr. Wahid Nawabi · 3,991 employees · United States · https://www.avinc.com