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AVAV Stock Forecast: AeroVironment, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 7 Oct 2026
$139
−3.26% on the day

The 21 Wall Street analysts covering AeroVironment, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $215 — +54.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 35 of 100 as at 7 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$7.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
35 / 100
Median analyst target
$215
Analysts covering
21
Revenue$480.5M+5.7% y/y
Operating income−$10.9M
Net income−$5.1M
Free cash flow−$36.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 July 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.4%
1M
−4.0%
YTD
−42.6%
1Y
−64.9%
From 52W high
−66.1%
From 52W low
+1.6%
$137
$410
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AVAV stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores AeroVironment, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 7 Oct 2026
35 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
73
Revisions
69
Accruals
59
Value
49
Quality
39
Volatility
33
Issuance
32
Momentum
22
Size
18

Growth (73): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Momentum (22): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (18): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AVAV stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AVAV, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$150$200$250$300$350$400Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26AVAVHigh $315Median $215Low $149

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says21 analysts
17 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $149Median $215High $315

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +54.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 6 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
16 Sept 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy$229 → $204
11 Sept 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$225 → $185
10 Sept 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$205
10 Sept 2026CitizensReiteratesMarket Outperform$230
10 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$200 → $210
10 Sept 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$225
10 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$166 → $170
16 July 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform—
16 July 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform$210
10 July 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
10 July 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$280 → $240
10 July 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$350 → $230
10 July 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
9 July 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
9 July 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$205
9 July 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$225
9 July 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
9 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
9 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$248 → $235
9 July 2026RBC CapitalDowngradeSector Perform$210 → $180

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AVAV appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AVAV vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, AeroVironment, Inc. returned −64.9% against +17.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AVAV vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
20406080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26AVAVS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AVAV analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−18.0%
Analysts raising
9
Analysts cutting
5
Fundamentals

AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
151.3×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.6×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Price / book
1.7×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
34.5×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.7%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
5.7%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Gross margin
25.9%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Operating margin
−2.3%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Net margin
−10.1%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−4.6%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Return on assets
−0.1%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • AeroVironment, Inc. has a market value of $7.3B and an enterprise value of $7.5B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $2.0B. The latest quarter grew 5.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$290.1M, a −14.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−4.09.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: −$44.8M, after $19.8M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 50.8M.

  • Trailing P/E: 151.3×; forward P/E: 32.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • AeroVironment, Inc. employs 3,991 people — $502K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 July 2026 · market figures as at 7 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AVAV vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AVAVAeroVironment, Inc.$7.3B
35
SAROStandardAero, Inc.$6.7B
69
PLPlanet Labs PBC$6.3B
31
HXLHexcel Corp.$6.3B
90
KTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.$7.8B
35
DPCDPC Holdings PLC$5.9B
0
LOARLoar Holdings, Inc.$5.7B
41

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own AeroVironment, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AVAV news & analysis

AeroVironment Is Now Down 43% This Year. Is It Time to Sell This Dropping Drone Stock?

24/7 Wall Street · 7 Oct 2026negative

The article says AeroVironment is down 43% this year, with its restatement offered as the simplest explanation for its difficult performance. It notes that two drone and defense peers that did not restate results have also fallen alongside AVAV.

Why it matters — AVAV watchers may consider both the company’s restatement and the broader declines among peers when assessing the stock’s performance.

Ondas Climbs 5% on $56M Precision Strike Order as Citizens Starts Coverage; AeroVironment Barely Budges

24/7 Wall Street · 5 Oct 2026neutral

Ondas Inc. shares rose about 5% following a $56 million precision strike order and an initiation of coverage by Citizens, while AeroVironment showed little price movement in the same session.

Why it matters — AeroVironment watchers would care because the article highlights that defense and drone sector momentum did not lift AeroVironment's stock in this instance.

Ondas Is Priced Like a Defense Contractor. AeroVironment Actually Is One.

24/7 Wall Street · 5 Oct 2026neutral

The article contrasts Ondas Holdings' valuation, which rivals that of an established defense prime, with its financials. It notes that AeroVironment is an actual defense contractor, unlike Ondas.

Why it matters — AVAV watchers would care because the piece highlights AeroVironment's standing as a genuine defense contractor compared to a competitor with an inflated valuation.

Which Drone Stock Is Dominating in 2026: Red Cat, Ondas, or AeroVironment?

24/7 Wall Street · 2 Oct 2026neutral

Drone stocks entered 2026 amid rising defense demand for autonomous systems, counter-drone protection, and domestic supply chains, although the article notes that the group's best-known names have moved backward during the year. The piece compares Red Cat, Ondas, and AeroVironment to assess which is dominating.

Why it matters — AVAV watchers would gain a comparative sense of how the company's performance stacks up against its drone-sector peers heading into 2026.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AVAV stock

What is the AVAV stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 21 Wall Street analysts covering AeroVironment, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $215, with estimates ranging from $149 to $315. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AVAV stock a buy right now?

Of the 21 analysts covering AeroVironment, Inc., 17 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks AeroVironment, Inc. 35 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 7 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AVAV?

As at 7 Oct 2026, AeroVironment, Inc. ranks 35 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (73 of 100).

Will AVAV stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 21 analysts implies +54.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks AeroVironment, Inc. 35 out of 100 as at 7 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AVAV stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering AeroVironment, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AVAV are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $149 to $315 over the next 12 months.

How has AVAV stock performed over the past year?

AeroVironment, Inc. returned -64.9% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does AeroVironment, Inc. do?

AeroVironment, Inc. is a defense technology company that develops and supports autonomous and multi-domain robotic systems for government and military customers.

What is the latest news on AVAV?

The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 7 Oct 2026): "AeroVironment Is Now Down 43% This Year. Is It Time to Sell This Dropping Drone Stock?". The article says AeroVironment is down 43% this year, with its restatement offered as the simplest explanation for its difficult performance. It notes that two drone and defense peers that did not restate results have also fallen alongside AVAV.

Company

About AeroVironment, Inc.

AeroVironment, Inc. is a defense technology company that develops and supports autonomous and multi-domain robotic systems for government and military customers. AeroVironment focuses on uncrewed aircraft systems, loitering munition systems, counter-uncrewed aircraft capabilities, ground robotics, and related command-and-control software. Its portfolio also includes unmanned maritime systems, autonomy and AI-enabled technologies, and mission support services designed for use across air, land, sea, space, and cyber domains. The company serves the U.S. Department of Defense, other government agencies, and allied international customers, positioning AeroVironment as a specialist in tactical, mission-oriented systems used in modern defense operations.

CEO Mr. Wahid Nawabi · 3,991 employees · United States · https://www.avinc.com