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AVAV Stock Forecast: AeroVironment, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$147
−0.24% on the day

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering AeroVironment, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $225 — +53.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 35 of 100 as at 10 Sept 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$7.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
35 / 100
Median analyst target
$225
Analysts covering
20
Revenue$641.6M+133.3% y/y
Operating income$56.9M
Net income−$24.1M
Free cash flow$72.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 Apr 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.3%
1M
−25.2%
YTD
−39.3%
1Y
−39.3%
From 52W high
−64.2%
From 52W low
+7.3%
$137
$410
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AVAV stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores AeroVironment, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 10 Sept 2026
35 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
72
Revisions
61
Accruals
59
Value
50
Quality
39
Momentum
36
Volatility
33
Issuance
32
Size
18

Growth (72): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Issuance (32): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (18): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AVAV stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AVAV, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$150$200$250$300$350$400Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AVAVHigh $326Median $225Low $149

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says20 analysts
17 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $149Median $225High $326

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +53.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
16 July 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform$210
10 July 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$280 → $240
10 July 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$350 → $230
9 July 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$205
9 July 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$225
9 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$248 → $235
9 July 2026RBC CapitalDowngradeSector Perform$210 → $180
7 July 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform$210
7 July 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform—
2 July 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight—
1 July 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
1 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
1 July 2026WedbushInitiatesOutperform—
30 June 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
30 June 2026CitizensReiteratesMarket Outperform—
30 June 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
30 June 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
30 June 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
30 June 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
26 June 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AVAV appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AVAV vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, AeroVironment, Inc. returned −39.3% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AVAV vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120140160180Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AVAVS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AVAV analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−20.2%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
151.3×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.8×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Price / book
1.7×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
37.5×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
133.3%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
133.3%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Gross margin
31.6%

Higher than 36% of US stocks

Operating margin
2.8%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Net margin
−13.4%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−10.0%

Higher than 36% of US stocks

Return on assets
−1.3%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • AeroVironment, Inc. has a market value of $7.5B and an enterprise value of $7.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026: $2.0B. The latest quarter grew 133.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$352.4M, a −17.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−3.68.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026: −$164.6M, after $23.7M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 50.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 151.3×; forward P/E: 33.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • AeroVironment, Inc. employs 3,991 people — $495K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 Apr 2026 · market figures as at 10 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AVAV vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AVAVAeroVironment, Inc.$7.5B
35
SAROStandardAero, Inc.$7.9B
72
HXLHexcel Corp.$6.8B
92
KTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.$8.8B
36
DPCDPC Holdings PLC$6.2B
0
LOARLoar Holdings, Inc.$6.1B
42
PLPlanet Labs PBC$5.9B
30

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own AeroVironment, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AVAV news & analysis

AeroVironment CEO: “$10-Per-Shot Laser Beats $150,000 Drones” — But Stock Keeps Falling

24/7 Wall Street · 11 Sept 2026negative

AeroVironment has been awarded the first production contract for directed-energy weapons in U.S. military history, a milestone for the company. Despite this, the stock has fallen nearly 41% over the past year.

Why it matters — AeroVironment watchers would note this landmark laser-weapon contract as a significant strategic development even as the company's stock continues to decline sharply.

AVAV Underperforms Industry in the Past 6 Months: What Should You Do?

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Sept 2026negative

Zacks reports that AeroVironment has underperformed its industry over the past six months, citing weak near-term fundamentals, a premium valuation, and operational risks. The article notes these concerns persist despite the company's revenue growth, liquidity, and fresh LOCUST orders.

Why it matters — AeroVironment watchers would care because the report highlights persistent headwinds—weak fundamentals, high valuation, and operational risks—that have weighed on the stock's relative performance.

AeroVironment Stock Drops, B of A Maintains Buy Rating

Benzinga · 11 Sept 2026negative

AeroVironment shares are falling after B of A Securities maintained its Buy rating on the stock but cut its price target to $185 from $225, as reported by Benzinga.

Why it matters — AVAV watchers would note that a major analyst firm lowered its price target while keeping a Buy rating, signaling a revised outlook for the company's valuation.

Why AeroVironment's Latest Report Is a Red Flag

The Motley Fool · 10 Sept 2026negative

AeroVironment is projecting only about 10% growth for its current fiscal year. While non-GAAP profits are improving, its GAAP results indicate the company continues to struggle to generate a real profit.

Why it matters — AVAV watchers should note that modest growth guidance and weak GAAP profitability could indicate ongoing challenges in converting revenue into actual bottom-line earnings.

AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Presents at Jefferies Global Industrials Conference 2026 Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 10 Sept 2026neutral

AeroVironment, Inc. presented at the Jefferies Global Industrials Conference 2026, and the transcript of its presentation was published by Seeking Alpha. The item reports the company's participation in the industry conference without detailing specifics.

Why it matters — A AVAV watcher would care because such conference presentations offer a platform for the company to communicate its strategy and business outlook to investors.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AVAV stock

What is the AVAV stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering AeroVironment, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $225, with estimates ranging from $149 to $326. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AVAV stock a buy right now?

Of the 20 analysts covering AeroVironment, Inc., 17 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks AeroVironment, Inc. 35 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 10 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AVAV?

As at 10 Sept 2026, AeroVironment, Inc. ranks 35 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (72 of 100).

Will AVAV stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +53.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks AeroVironment, Inc. 35 out of 100 as at 10 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AVAV stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering AeroVironment, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AVAV are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $149 to $326 over the next 12 months.

How has AVAV stock performed over the past year?

AeroVironment, Inc. returned -39.3% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does AeroVironment, Inc. do?

AeroVironment, Inc. is a defense technology company that develops and supports autonomous and multi-domain robotic systems for government and military customers.

What is the latest news on AVAV?

The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 11 Sept 2026): "AeroVironment CEO: “$10-Per-Shot Laser Beats $150,000 Drones” — But Stock Keeps Falling". AeroVironment has been awarded the first production contract for directed-energy weapons in U.S. military history, a milestone for the company. Despite this, the stock has fallen nearly 41% over the past year.

Company

About AeroVironment, Inc.

AeroVironment, Inc. is a defense technology company that develops and supports autonomous and multi-domain robotic systems for government and military customers. AeroVironment focuses on uncrewed aircraft systems, loitering munition systems, counter-uncrewed aircraft capabilities, ground robotics, and related command-and-control software. Its portfolio also includes unmanned maritime systems, autonomy and AI-enabled technologies, and mission support services designed for use across air, land, sea, space, and cyber domains. The company serves the U.S. Department of Defense, other government agencies, and allied international customers, positioning AeroVironment as a specialist in tactical, mission-oriented systems used in modern defense operations.

CEO Mr. Wahid Nawabi · 3,991 employees · United States · https://www.avinc.com