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BLMNBLMNConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

BLMN Stock Forecast: Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$8.48
+1.19% on the day

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Bloomin' Brands, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $12 — +41.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 92 of 100 as at 1 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$663.6M
Ticker Nerd rank
92 / 100
Median analyst target
$12
Analysts covering
11
Revenue$1.0B+1.3% y/y
Operating income$42.2M
Net income$32.6M
Free cash flow$46.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+7.6%
1M
−14.6%
YTD
+37.4%
1Y
+17.1%
From 52W high
−28.4%
From 52W low
+61.2%
$5
$12
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BLMN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Bloomin' Brands, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Oct 2026
92 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
95
Issuance
93
Value
87
Revisions
76
Growth
70
Momentum
65
Size
48
Quality
41
Volatility
17

Accruals (95): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Volatility (17): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

BLMN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BLMN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$4$6$8$10$12$14$16Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26BLMNHigh $15Median $12Low $9

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says11 analysts
2 Buy8 Hold1 Sell
Low $9Median $12High $15

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +41.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
21 Sept 2026Freedom Capital MarketsMaintainsBuy$15
10 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
10 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$9.00 → $12
6 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$8.00 → $12
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$9.50 → $8.75
7 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$7.00 → $9.00
7 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
7 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
7 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$6.75 → $9.50
7 May 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral$6.00 → $8.50
7 May 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
7 May 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$6.00 → $9.00
7 May 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
24 Apr 2026JP MorganDowngradeUnderweight—
26 Feb 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
17 Dec 2025Freedom Capital MarketsInitiatesBuy—
7 Aug 2025BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
7 Aug 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsSell—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BLMN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

BLMN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Bloomin' Brands, Inc. returned +17.1% against +15.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

BLMN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120140160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26BLMNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

BLMN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+8.3%
Analysts raising
11
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
24.2×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.2×

Cheaper than 93% of US stocks

Price / book
1.5×

Cheaper than 53% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.0×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.3%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
23.3%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Gross margin
14.0%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Operating margin
4.4%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Net margin
0.7%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
8.1%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.6%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Dividend yield
7.8%

Higher than 88% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Bloomin' Brands, Inc. has a market value of $663.6M and an enterprise value of $2.5B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.0B. The latest quarter grew 1.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $32.8M, a 0.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.31.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $155.0M, after $164.8M of capital spending.

  • Bloomin' Brands, Inc. spent $12.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 85.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 24.2×; forward P/E: 7.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 7.76%, paying out 47% of earnings.

  • Bloomin' Brands, Inc. employs 64,000 people — $62K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 30 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

BLMN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BLMNBloomin' Brands, Inc.$663.6M
92
CNNECannae Holdings, Inc.$679.3M
81
PZZAPapa John's International, Inc.$644.7M
53
FWRGFirst Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.$624.4M
29
KRUSKura Sushi USA, Inc.$501.3M
28
SGSweetgreen, Inc.$1.0B
9
BHBiglari Holdings, Inc.$1.2B
34

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Bloomin' Brands, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest BLMN news & analysis

How Bloomin' Brands Stock Lost 24.8% Last Month

The Motley Fool · 2 Oct 2026negative

Bloomin' Brands, parent company of Outback Steakhouse, saw its stock fall 24.8% in September 2026. The decline unfolded in three stages and was driven primarily by macroeconomic trends rather than company-specific news.

Why it matters — BLMN watchers would care because the steep monthly stock decline signals that broader economic conditions, rather than the company's own operations, are currently shaping investor sentiment toward the stock.

4 Restaurant Stocks Poised to Thrive Amid Industry Headwinds

Zacks Investment Research · 1 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted BLMN (along with EAT, BJRI, and CBRL) as one of four restaurant stocks poised to thrive amid industry headwinds. The company is reportedly adapting through value offerings, menu innovation, technology, and strategic expansion.

Why it matters — The piece suggests BLMN is taking active steps to navigate industry challenges, which could be relevant to investors tracking the company's strategic positioning.

BLMN or CAVA: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 29 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article comparing Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) and Cava Group (CAVA) as potential value stock picks within the Retail - Restaurants sector. The piece examines which of the two companies may be more appealing to value-oriented investors.

Why it matters — This comparison positions BLMN alongside a fast-growing restaurant peer in a value-focused analysis, offering insight into how investors may currently view its valuation relative to the sector.

Bloomin' Brands Announces Extension of Revolving Credit Facility

Business Wire · 29 Sept 2026neutral

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. and its subsidiary OSI Restaurant Partners, LLC amended and restated their revolving credit facility, extending its maturity date to September 25, 2031. The $1.2 billion facility's lender commitments, interest rate elections, and spreads remained substantially unchanged, and the transaction is leverage neutral.

Why it matters — The extended maturity of the credit facility provides Bloomin' Brands with longer-term financial flexibility and access to its revolving credit line without changing its leverage position.

New Strong Buy Stocks for September 29th

Zacks Investment Research · 29 Sept 2026positive

The Zacks Investment Research firm added Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) to its Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) List on September 29, 2026, according to a Zacks report. BLMN was included alongside CVE, FIVE, ARW, and SIG.

Why it matters — A Strong Buy ranking from Zacks signals a favorable analyst rating that BLMN watchers would consider noteworthy for the stock's outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BLMN stock

What is the BLMN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Bloomin' Brands, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $12, with estimates ranging from $8.8 to $15. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BLMN stock a buy right now?

Of the 11 analysts covering Bloomin' Brands, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Bloomin' Brands, Inc. 92 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BLMN?

As at 1 Oct 2026, Bloomin' Brands, Inc. ranks 92 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (95 of 100).

Will BLMN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +41.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Bloomin' Brands, Inc. 92 out of 100 as at 1 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BLMN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Bloomin' Brands, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BLMN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $8.8 to $15 over the next 12 months.

How has BLMN stock performed over the past year?

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. returned +17.1% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Bloomin' Brands, Inc. do?

Bloomin’ Brands, Inc. is a restaurant company that operates and franchises casual, polished casual, and fine dining concepts in the United States and international markets.

What is the latest news on BLMN?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 2 Oct 2026): "How Bloomin' Brands Stock Lost 24.8% Last Month". Bloomin' Brands, parent company of Outback Steakhouse, saw its stock fall 24.8% in September 2026. The decline unfolded in three stages and was driven primarily by macroeconomic trends rather than company-specific news.

Company

About Bloomin' Brands, Inc.

Bloomin’ Brands, Inc. is a restaurant company that operates and franchises casual, polished casual, and fine dining concepts in the United States and international markets. Its portfolio includes Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba’s Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Fleming’s Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar, serving guests across steakhouse, Italian, seafood, and premium dining segments. The company focuses on full-service dining experiences supported by company-owned and franchised locations, giving it a broad presence across diverse consumer occasions. Bloomin’ Brands serves a role in the restaurant industry as a multi-brand operator with differentiated concepts that address everyday dining, special occasions, and higher-end meal service. Founded in 1988 and headquartered in Tampa, Florida, Bloomin’ Brands is recognized for managing a portfolio designed to reach a wide range of dining preferences through distinct restaurant formats and menus.

CEO Mr. Michael Spanos · 64,000 employees · United States · https://www.bloominbrands.com