BLMNBLMNConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

BLMN Stock Forecast: Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 22 Oct 2026
$10
+2.14% on the day

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Bloomin' Brands, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $12 — +16.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 94 of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$860.5M
Ticker Nerd rank
94/ 100
Median analyst target
$12
Analysts covering
11
Revenue$1.0B+1.3% y/y
Operating income$42.2M
Net income$32.6M
Free cash flow$46.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.4%
1M
+20.1%
YTD
+66.4%
1Y
+33.1%
From 52W high
−13.4%
From 52W low
+95.2%
$5
$12
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BLMN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Bloomin' Brands, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Oct 2026
94/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
95
Issuance
93
Value
86
Revisions
82
Momentum
78
Growth
69
Size
45
Quality
42
Volatility
13

Accruals (95): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Volatility (13): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

BLMN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BLMN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$4$6$8$10$12$14$16Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26BLMNHigh $15Median $12Low $9

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says11 analysts
2 Buy8 Hold1 Sell
Low $9Median $12High $15

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +16.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
2 Oct 2026Freedom Capital MarketsMaintainsBuy$15
29 Sept 2026JP MorganUpgradeNeutral$6.00 → $13
21 Sept 2026Freedom Capital MarketsMaintainsBuy$15
21 Sept 2026Freedom Capital MarketsMaintainsBuy—
10 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
10 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$9.00 → $12
6 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$8.00 → $12
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$9.50 → $8.75
7 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$7.00 → $9.00
7 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
7 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
7 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$6.75 → $9.50
7 May 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral$6.00 → $8.50
7 May 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
7 May 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$6.00 → $9.00
7 May 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
24 Apr 2026JP MorganDowngradeUnderweight—
26 Feb 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

BLMN appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
  • The AI build-out map, free: every AI company we track, part by part, and one part in full with each verdict.
  • The AI build-out, every Wednesday: how AI stocks did, part by part.

Free. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

BLMN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 22 Oct 2026, Bloomin' Brands, Inc. returned +33.1% against +15.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

BLMN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26BLMNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

BLMN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+10.4%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
31.4×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.2×

Cheaper than 91% of US stocks

Price / book
2.0×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.6×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.3%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
23.3%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Gross margin
14.0%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Operating margin
4.4%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Net margin
0.7%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
8.1%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.6%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Dividend yield
6.0%

Higher than 94% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Bloomin' Brands, Inc. has a market value of $860.5M and an enterprise value of $2.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.0B. The latest quarter grew 1.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $32.8M, a 0.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.31.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $155.0M, after $164.8M of capital spending.

  • Bloomin' Brands, Inc. spent $12.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 85.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 31.4×; forward P/E: 9.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 5.98%, paying out 45% of earnings.

  • Bloomin' Brands, Inc. employs 64,000 people — $62K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 22 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

BLMN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BLMNBloomin' Brands, Inc.$860.5M94
CNNECannae Holdings, Inc.$721.9M80
FWRGFirst Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.$713.4M30
SGSweetgreen, Inc.$1.2B15
BJRIBJ's Restaurants, Inc.$1.2B97
WENThe Wendy's Co.$1.3B55
PZZAPapa John's International, Inc.$613.7M56

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Bloomin' Brands, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest BLMN news & analysis

Is Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) Stock Outpacing Its Retail-Wholesale Peers This Year?

Zacks Investment Research · 20 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research compares Bloomin’ Brands (BLMN) and eBay (EBAY) with their sector performance so far this year. The excerpt does not provide performance results.

Why it matters — The comparison concerns BLMN’s year-to-date performance relative to its sector, but the excerpt gives no details to determine how it has fared.

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. to Host Fiscal 2026 Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call at 8:00 AM ET on November 6, 2026

Business Wire · 16 Oct 2026neutral

Bloomin’ Brands said it will release fiscal third-quarter results for the period ended September 27, 2026, at approximately 6:30 a.m. ET on November 6, 2026. The company will hold a conference call at 8:00 a.m. ET that day, with a live webcast and a replay available on its website.

Why it matters — BLMN watchers can note when the company will report its quarterly results and discuss them on a webcast.

BLMN vs. CAVA: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?

Zacks Investment Research · 15 Oct 2026neutral

A Zacks Investment Research item asks whether Bloomin' Brands or Cava Group offers value investors a better option, comparing the two restaurant-sector stocks.

Why it matters — The article frames BLMN in a value-focused comparison with CAVA, which may interest investors assessing its relative appeal.

BLMN Stock Rallies 35% YTD, Pulls Back 13% in a Month: Buy the Dip?

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Oct 2026neutral

Bloomin’ Brands’ Outback turnaround is gaining traction, while weak traffic and inflation pressure continue to raise questions. The headline reports the stock is up 35% year to date but has pulled back 13% in the past month.

Why it matters — BLMN watchers may weigh signs of Outback improvement against ongoing traffic and inflation concerns.

Outback Remodels Accelerate: Can BLMN Unlock Traffic Gains?

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Oct 2026positive

Bloomin' Brands is accelerating remodels of Outback Steakhouse locations to improve guest experiences and traffic, with 300 locations still requiring upgrades and potential gains ahead.

Why it matters — The accelerated remodel program could help Bloomin' Brands drive guest traffic and dining experience improvements across its Outback restaurants.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BLMN stock

What is the BLMN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Bloomin' Brands, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $12, with estimates ranging from $8.8 to $15. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BLMN stock a buy right now?

Of the 11 analysts covering Bloomin' Brands, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Bloomin' Brands, Inc. 94 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BLMN?

As at 22 Oct 2026, Bloomin' Brands, Inc. ranks 94 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (95 of 100).

Will BLMN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +16.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Bloomin' Brands, Inc. 94 out of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BLMN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Bloomin' Brands, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BLMN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $8.8 to $15 over the next 12 months.

How has BLMN stock performed over the past year?

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. returned +33.1% over the 12 months to 22 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Bloomin' Brands, Inc. do?

Bloomin’ Brands, Inc. is a restaurant company that operates and franchises casual, polished casual, and fine dining concepts in the United States and international markets.

What is the latest news on BLMN?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 20 Oct 2026): "Is Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) Stock Outpacing Its Retail-Wholesale Peers This Year?". Zacks Investment Research compares Bloomin’ Brands (BLMN) and eBay (EBAY) with their sector performance so far this year. The excerpt does not provide performance results.

Company

About Bloomin' Brands, Inc.

Bloomin’ Brands, Inc. is a restaurant company that operates and franchises casual, polished casual, and fine dining concepts in the United States and international markets. Its portfolio includes Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba’s Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Fleming’s Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar, serving guests across steakhouse, Italian, seafood, and premium dining segments. The company focuses on full-service dining experiences supported by company-owned and franchised locations, giving it a broad presence across diverse consumer occasions. Bloomin’ Brands serves a role in the restaurant industry as a multi-brand operator with differentiated concepts that address everyday dining, special occasions, and higher-end meal service. Founded in 1988 and headquartered in Tampa, Florida, Bloomin’ Brands is recognized for managing a portfolio designed to reach a wide range of dining preferences through distinct restaurant formats and menus.

CEO Mr. Michael Spanos · 64,000 employees · United States · https://www.bloominbrands.com