CASYConsumer Cyclical · Specialty RetailThe 20 Wall Street analysts covering Casey's General Stores, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $950 — +54.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 89 of 100 as at 11 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Casey's General Stores, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (97): The share price has been relatively steady.
Accruals (50): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CASY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +54.4% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 9 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sept 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $880 → $775 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | $970 → $780 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Raymond James | Upgrade | Outperform | $750 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $925 → $720 |
| 9 Sept 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $913 → $910 |
| 9 Sept 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterates | Overweight | $975 |
| 9 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $960 → $750 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $975 → $833 |
| 27 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $945 → $925 |
| 27 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 29 June 2026 | BMO Capital | Upgrade | Outperform | $950 |
| 29 June 2026 | BMO Capital | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 25 June 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Outperform | $1,032 → $995 |
| 25 June 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 25 June 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 25 June 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $695 → $795 |
| 25 June 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $794 → $850 |
| 25 June 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 23 June 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $990 → $975 |
| 23 June 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CASY appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Casey's General Stores, Inc. returned +11.5% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Cheaper than 59% of US stocks
Cheaper than 14% of US stocks
Cheaper than 15% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US stocks
Higher than 26% of US stocks
Higher than 56% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 6% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Casey's General Stores, Inc. has a market value of $22.7B and an enterprise value of $25.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $18.7B. The latest quarter grew 24.3% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $772.8M, a 4.1% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $20.76.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $648.9M.
Casey's General Stores, Inc. spent $214.1M on share buybacks and $85.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.
Trailing P/E: 29.6×; forward P/E: 26.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.42%, paying out 11% of earnings.
Casey's General Stores, Inc. employs 23,490 people — $795K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Casey's General Stores, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Casey's General Stores stock declined this week, with the article attributing the drop to expectations that fuel margin tailwinds are unlikely to continue and to a slowdown in same-store sales growth.
Why it matters — A CASY watcher would care because weakening fuel margins and slower same-store sales growth point to potential headwinds for the company's near-term performance.
Casey's General Stores reported its fiscal first-quarter earnings and kept its fiscal 2027 guidance unchanged. The company's prepared-food traffic, fuel margins, and remodels of acquired CEFCO stores are supporting its growth plans.
Why it matters — A CASY watcher would care because maintained guidance backed by strength in food traffic, fuel margins, and CEFCO remodels signals the company's growth trajectory remains on track.
Casey's General Stores reported upbeat first-quarter results after the market closed on Tuesday. Following the results, some analysts cut their forecasts for the company.
Why it matters — Investors following CASY would note the revised analyst forecasts after the company's quarterly earnings report.
Casey's General Stores shares fell sharply in September, dropping more than 15% to around $619. The article suggests this post-earnings decline may offer buy-and-hold investors a more attractive entry point into the retailer.
Why it matters — CASY watchers may see the recent price drop as presenting a potential opportunity for long-term investors, though the article is forward-looking rather than reporting concrete financial results.
Casey's General Stores stock is falling after a key sales metric came in below expectations, leading the company's shares to decline along with the broader market. The disappointing sales figure triggered the drop.
Why it matters — A weak key sales metric suggests softer underlying demand, which CASY watchers would track as a sign of slowing performance.
The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Casey's General Stores, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $950, with estimates ranging from $795 to $1,069. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 20 analysts covering Casey's General Stores, Inc., 14 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Casey's General Stores, Inc. 89 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 11 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 11 Sept 2026, Casey's General Stores, Inc. ranks 89 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (97 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +54.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Casey's General Stores, Inc. 89 out of 100 as at 11 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Casey's General Stores, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CASY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $795 to $1,069 over the next 12 months.
Casey's General Stores, Inc. returned +11.5% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Casey's General Stores, Inc. is a convenience store and fuel retailer that operates a broad network of stores across the United States, with a strong presence in the Midwest and other underserved communities.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 11 Sept 2026): "Why Did Casey's General Stores Stock Tank This Week?". Casey's General Stores stock declined this week, with the article attributing the drop to expectations that fuel margin tailwinds are unlikely to continue and to a slowdown in same-store sales growth.
Casey's General Stores, Inc. is a convenience store and fuel retailer that operates a broad network of stores across the United States, with a strong presence in the Midwest and other underserved communities. Casey's General Stores focuses on everyday consumer needs through convenience merchandise, self-service gasoline, and a well-known prepared food offering that includes pizza, sandwiches, breakfast items, and beverages. The company also provides grocery staples, snacks, and household products, making its stores a regular stop for local shoppers and travelers. In addition to its retail locations, Casey's General Stores supports loyalty programs and food-service initiatives that help drive repeat visits and reinforce its role as a neighborhood-focused convenience chain. Headquartered in Ankeny, Iowa, Casey's General Stores plays an important role in the convenience retail market by combining fuel, food, and essentials in a single-format store model.
CEO Mr. Darren M. Rebelez · 23,490 employees · United States · https://www.caseys.com
