CGFinancial Services · Asset ManagementThe 20 Wall Street analysts covering The Carlyle Group Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $50 — +23.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 28 of 100 as at 29 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Carlyle Group Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Value (83): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.
Accruals (18): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (12): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +23.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 6 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $56 → $46 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $54 → $48 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 13 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $70 → $60 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $54 → $42 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $64 → $53 |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 5 Oct 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $58 → $48 |
| 5 Oct 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Initiates | Equal-Weight | — |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Initiates | Equal-Weight | $43 |
| 24 Sept 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Overweight | $54 |
| 24 Sept 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $57 → $64 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | $70 → $73 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
CG appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 29 Oct 2026, The Carlyle Group Inc. returned −27.6% against +13.1% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 18% of US stocks
Cheaper than 23% of US stocks
Cheaper than 34% of US stocks
Higher than 8% of US stocks
Higher than 9% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
The Carlyle Group Inc. has a market value of $14.5B and an enterprise value of $28.6B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.8B. The latest quarter shrank 32.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $540.9M, a 19.5% net margin.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$3.7B.
The Carlyle Group Inc. spent $915.3M on share buybacks and $504.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 41.8×; forward P/E: 8.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 3.45%, paying out 144% of earnings.
The Carlyle Group Inc. employs 2,500 people — $1.1M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Carlyle Group Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Oak Hill Capital entered into a definitive agreement to acquire a majority stake in Wyyerd Group Holdings, a fiber broadband provider operating in Arizona and Southern California, from Carlyle. Financial terms were not disclosed.
Why it matters — The transaction concerns Carlyle’s stake in Wyyerd, although the excerpt provides no financial details.
Carlyle Group and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development will sell Romanian offshore natural gas producer Black Sea Oil & Gas to Mazarine Energy.
Why it matters — The sale concerns Carlyle’s ownership of a Romanian offshore natural gas producer.
MarketWatch highlights 11 stocks it describes as bargain-priced, citing low price/earnings valuations and projected high revenue growth rates through 2028.
Why it matters — The excerpt does not identify Carlyle among the stocks, but the valuation-and-growth theme may be relevant to CG watchers following market views on company growth prospects.
The Seeking Alpha article says leading alternative asset managers have fallen nearly 50% from their highs and points to AI and infrastructure investments as potential growth drivers. It also describes valuations as historically low.
Why it matters — As an alternative asset manager, Carlyle is relevant to the article’s discussion of sector-wide declines, potential growth drivers, and valuations.
Carlyle head of global research and investment strategy Jason Thomas discussed the state of AI financing and the firm's warning to private credit lenders about risks in funding the AI boom on CNBC's 'Squawk Box.'
Why it matters — The discussion outlines Carlyle's perspective on AI-related financing risks in private credit.
The 20 Wall Street analysts covering The Carlyle Group Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $50, with estimates ranging from $41 to $73. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 20 analysts covering The Carlyle Group Inc., 10 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Carlyle Group Inc. 28 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 29 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 29 Oct 2026, The Carlyle Group Inc. ranks 28 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (83 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +23.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Carlyle Group Inc. 28 out of 100 as at 29 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering The Carlyle Group Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $41 to $73 over the next 12 months.
The Carlyle Group Inc. returned -27.6% over the 12 months to 29 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
The Carlyle Group Inc. is a global alternative asset management firm that provides investment solutions across private equity, global credit, and investment solutions.
The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 29 Oct 2026): "Oak Hill Capital to Acquire Majority Stake in Wyyerd from Carlyle". Oak Hill Capital entered into a definitive agreement to acquire a majority stake in Wyyerd Group Holdings, a fiber broadband provider operating in Arizona and Southern California, from Carlyle. Financial terms were not disclosed.
The Carlyle Group Inc. is a global alternative asset management firm that provides investment solutions across private equity, global credit, and investment solutions. The company manages a broad range of private market strategies, including buyouts, growth capital, real assets, direct lending, opportunistic credit, asset-backed finance, secondaries, co-investments, and tailored portfolio programs. It serves institutional investors, insurers, and private wealth clients through a diversified platform designed to deploy capital across multiple sectors and geographies. The Carlyle Group Inc. also supports portfolio companies and investment vehicles with active ownership, capital structuring, and long-term asset management capabilities. As one of the largest publicly listed firms in the alternative investment industry, The Carlyle Group Inc. plays a significant role in connecting global capital with private market opportunities.
CEO Mr. Harvey Mitchell Schwartz · 2,500 employees · United States · https://www.carlyle.com
