CGFinancial Services · Asset ManagementThe 20 Wall Street analysts covering The Carlyle Group Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $54 — +40.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 31 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Carlyle Group Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Value (85): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.
Accruals (18): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (12): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +40.7% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $64 → $53 |
| 5 Oct 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $58 → $48 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Initiates | Equal-Weight | $43 |
| 24 Sept 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 24 Sept 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Overweight | $54 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $57 → $64 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | $70 → $73 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $48 → $51 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $47 → $50 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $63 → $70 |
| 13 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $56 → $48 |
| 13 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $58 → $56 |
| 13 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $63 → $57 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CG appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, The Carlyle Group Inc. returned −34.8% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Cheaper than 24% of US stocks
Cheaper than 36% of US stocks
Higher than 8% of US stocks
Higher than 9% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
The Carlyle Group Inc. has a market value of $13.7B and an enterprise value of $27.9B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.8B. The latest quarter shrank 32.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $540.9M, a 19.5% net margin.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$3.7B.
The Carlyle Group Inc. spent $915.3M on share buybacks and $504.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 39.6×; forward P/E: 7.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 3.65%, paying out 144% of earnings.
The Carlyle Group Inc. employs 2,500 people — $1.1M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Carlyle Group Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Carlyle said it was no longer actively pursuing a deal to acquire the international assets of Russian oil producer Lukoil.
Why it matters — The update concerns Carlyle’s potential acquisition activity involving Lukoil’s international assets.
The Carlyle Group announced it will release its third quarter 2026 financial results on Thursday, November 5, 2026, and host an investor conference call at 8:30 a.m. EST. The call will be available via public webcast from the Events & Presentations section of ir.carlyle.com, with a replay available afterward.
Why it matters — CG watchers would care because the upcoming results and investor call will provide the company's latest quarterly financial performance and management commentary.
CG Advisory Services launched its first exchange-traded fund, the CG Flagship Equity ETF, which is built on the firm's disciplined equity selection process. The ETF marks the firm's entry into the ETF market.
Why it matters — This launch expands CG Advisory Services' product lineup into ETFs, a move that could broaden the firm's investor reach.
Bloomberg Open Interest coverage from Carlyle's Global Investor Conference featured Dani Burger discussing defense tech, AI, and the credit outlook with Carlyle executives Ian Fujiyama, Jason Thomas, and Alex Chi. The session addressed major topics facing investors at the event.
Why it matters — This coverage highlights Carlyle's public positioning and the questions executives face on key themes like defense tech, AI, and credit, offering insight into how the firm is engaging investors.
Seeking Alpha highlights that Carlyle Group shares have underperformed peers but present an asymmetric value opportunity with limited downside risk. The firm projects 15% annual growth in fee-related and distributable earnings, supported by recurring income and a strong balance sheet, while Alpinvest—nearly 25% of AUM—benefits from monetization challenges and long-term private asset growth.
Why it matters — CG watchers would care because the piece points to a favorable risk/reward profile and durable earnings growth drivers despite recent share-price underperformance.
The 20 Wall Street analysts covering The Carlyle Group Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $54, with estimates ranging from $41 to $73. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 20 analysts covering The Carlyle Group Inc., 10 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Carlyle Group Inc. 31 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 8 Oct 2026, The Carlyle Group Inc. ranks 31 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (85 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +40.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Carlyle Group Inc. 31 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering The Carlyle Group Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $41 to $73 over the next 12 months.
The Carlyle Group Inc. returned -34.8% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
The Carlyle Group Inc. is a global alternative asset management firm that provides investment solutions across private equity, global credit, and investment solutions.
The most recent item we track (Reuters, 9 Oct 2026): "Carlyle drops out of race for Lukoil international assets". Carlyle said it was no longer actively pursuing a deal to acquire the international assets of Russian oil producer Lukoil.
The Carlyle Group Inc. is a global alternative asset management firm that provides investment solutions across private equity, global credit, and investment solutions. The company manages a broad range of private market strategies, including buyouts, growth capital, real assets, direct lending, opportunistic credit, asset-backed finance, secondaries, co-investments, and tailored portfolio programs. It serves institutional investors, insurers, and private wealth clients through a diversified platform designed to deploy capital across multiple sectors and geographies. The Carlyle Group Inc. also supports portfolio companies and investment vehicles with active ownership, capital structuring, and long-term asset management capabilities. As one of the largest publicly listed firms in the alternative investment industry, The Carlyle Group Inc. plays a significant role in connecting global capital with private market opportunities.
CEO Mr. Harvey Mitchell Schwartz · 2,500 employees · United States · https://www.carlyle.com
