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CG Stock Forecast: The Carlyle Group Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Sept 2026
$42
−1.23% on the day

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering The Carlyle Group Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $57 — +36.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 34 of 100 as at 14 Sept 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$15.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
34 / 100
Median analyst target
$57
Analysts covering
18
Revenue$854.6M−12.6% y/y
Net income$224.8M
Free cash flow$1.4B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−11.0%
1M
−14.5%
YTD
−27.8%
1Y
−35.5%
From 52W high
−38.0%
From 52W low
+4.0%
$40
$67
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Carlyle Group Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Sept 2026
34 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
83
Quality
82
Volatility
75
Revisions
51
Issuance
42
Momentum
35
Growth
23
Accruals
18
Size
12

Value (83): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Accruals (18): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (12): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

CG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$50$60$70Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26CGHigh $73Median $57Low $49

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says18 analysts
8 Buy9 Hold1 Sell
Low $49Median $57High $73

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +36.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
6 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$57 → $64
6 Aug 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$70 → $73
6 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$48 → $51
6 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$47 → $50
6 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$63 → $70
13 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$56 → $48
13 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—
13 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
13 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$58 → $56
9 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
9 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$63 → $57
9 July 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$75 → $70
9 July 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
18 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
8 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
8 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
8 May 2026TD CowenDowngradeHold—
30 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
21 Apr 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—
21 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CG appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

CG vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Sept 2026, The Carlyle Group Inc. returned −35.5% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

CG vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26CGS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

CG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−10.1%
Analysts raising
6
Analysts cutting
8
Fundamentals

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
43.6×

Cheaper than 17% of US stocks

Price / sales
5.3×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

Price / book
2.8×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−32.9%

Higher than 8% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−57.1%

Higher than 9% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
26.9%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Net margin
13.0%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
7.8%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.0%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.3%

Higher than 69% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • The Carlyle Group Inc. has a market value of $15.1B and an enterprise value of $29.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.8B. The latest quarter shrank 32.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $540.9M, a 19.5% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$3.7B.

  • The Carlyle Group Inc. spent $915.3M on share buybacks and $504.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 353.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 43.6×; forward P/E: 8.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.33%, paying out 146% of earnings.

  • The Carlyle Group Inc. employs 2,500 people — $1.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 15 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

CG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAsset Management
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CGThe Carlyle Group Inc.$15.1B
34
EQHEquitable Holdings, Inc.$15.4B
26
CRBGCorebridge Financial, Inc.$15.9B
50
PSPershing Square, Inc.$16.0B
5
IVZInvesco Ltd.$14.0B
88
OWLBlue Owl Capital, Inc.$16.3B
38
BENFranklin Templeton, Inc.$17.4B
85

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Carlyle Group Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CG news & analysis

NBULL Global investment firm Carlyle extends reach in Canada; purchases oil and gas firm Parallax

Reuters · 14 Sept 2026positive

Global investment firm Carlyle is expanding its presence in Canada by acquiring Parallax, a privately owned Canadian oil and gas company. The transaction extends Carlyle's reach in the Canadian energy sector.

Why it matters — This acquisition signals Carlyle's continued growth and diversification into the Canadian oil and gas market, potentially broadening its investment portfolio.

Carlyle, Insight Partners, and JMI Equity Unveil Exiger's Complete AI-Built Transformation

PRNewsWire · 10 Sept 2026positive

Exiger, in partnership with investors Carlyle, Insight Partners, and JMI Equity, announced its AI transformation with the AI-native 1Exiger release, a platform designed to bring autonomous AI capabilities to supply chain, procurement, and compliance tasks. The announcement positions the upgraded tech stack to help customers leverage AI for supply chain and trade management.

Why it matters — This news highlights Carlyle-backed Exiger's advancement in an emerging AI-driven market, reflecting on the portfolio company's growth within Carlyle's investment scope.

AI Could Be A Massive Tailwind For Alternative Asset Managers

Seeking Alpha · 9 Sept 2026positive

Alternative asset managers have sold off amid AI-related fears. The article suggests data center assets under management could drive major fee growth, potentially turning AI losers into AI winners for the sector.

Why it matters — As an alternative asset manager, The Carlyle Group could be affected by shifting sentiment and potential fee growth tied to data center AUM and AI trends.

How Carlyle's Wealth Push Opens New Avenues for Fee Revenue Growth

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Sept 2026positive

The Carlyle Group is expanding its wealth-management business to support fee revenue growth. Its segment fee revenues grew at a 5.7% compound annual growth rate from 2022-2025 and continued rising in the first half of 2026.

Why it matters — A watcher would care because Carlyle's wealth-management expansion and steady segment fee growth point to a new, ongoing source of fee-driven revenue.

Carlyle (CG) Down 2.3% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Sept 2026negative

Carlyle Group (CG) reported earnings about 30 days ago, and since that report the stock has declined 2.3%. The report discusses what may come next for the stock following that earnings announcement.

Why it matters — A CG watcher would care because the piece updates the stock's performance since its most recent earnings report, offering context on how the market has responded to the company's results.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CG stock

What is the CG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering The Carlyle Group Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $57, with estimates ranging from $49 to $73. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CG stock a buy right now?

Of the 18 analysts covering The Carlyle Group Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Carlyle Group Inc. 34 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CG?

As at 14 Sept 2026, The Carlyle Group Inc. ranks 34 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (83 of 100).

Will CG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies +36.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Carlyle Group Inc. 34 out of 100 as at 14 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering The Carlyle Group Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $49 to $73 over the next 12 months.

How has CG stock performed over the past year?

The Carlyle Group Inc. returned -35.5% over the 12 months to 14 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does The Carlyle Group Inc. do?

The Carlyle Group Inc. is a global alternative asset management firm that provides investment solutions across private equity, global credit, and investment solutions.

What is the latest news on CG?

The most recent item we track (Reuters, 14 Sept 2026): "NBULL Global investment firm Carlyle extends reach in Canada; purchases oil and gas firm Parallax". Global investment firm Carlyle is expanding its presence in Canada by acquiring Parallax, a privately owned Canadian oil and gas company. The transaction extends Carlyle's reach in the Canadian energy sector.

Company

About The Carlyle Group Inc.

The Carlyle Group Inc. is a global alternative asset management firm that provides investment solutions across private equity, global credit, and investment solutions. The company manages a broad range of private market strategies, including buyouts, growth capital, real assets, direct lending, opportunistic credit, asset-backed finance, secondaries, co-investments, and tailored portfolio programs. It serves institutional investors, insurers, and private wealth clients through a diversified platform designed to deploy capital across multiple sectors and geographies. The Carlyle Group Inc. also supports portfolio companies and investment vehicles with active ownership, capital structuring, and long-term asset management capabilities. As one of the largest publicly listed firms in the alternative investment industry, The Carlyle Group Inc. plays a significant role in connecting global capital with private market opportunities.

CEO Mr. Harvey Mitchell Schwartz · 2,500 employees · United States · https://www.carlyle.com