CGFinancial Services · Asset ManagementThe 18 Wall Street analysts covering The Carlyle Group Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $57 — +16.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 33 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Carlyle Group Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (82): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Accruals (18): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (11): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +16.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $57 → $64 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | $70 → $73 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $48 → $51 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $47 → $50 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $63 → $70 |
| 13 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $56 → $48 |
| 13 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 13 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 13 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $58 → $56 |
| 9 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $63 → $57 |
| 9 July 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | $75 → $70 |
| 9 July 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 18 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 8 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 8 May 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 8 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 30 Apr 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CG appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 24 Aug 2026, The Carlyle Group Inc. returned −21.9% against +19.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 14% of US stocks
Cheaper than 21% of US stocks
Cheaper than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 8% of US stocks
Higher than 9% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
The Carlyle Group Inc. has a market value of $17.6B and an enterprise value of $31.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $2.9B. The latest quarter shrank 32.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $644.2M, a 22.2% net margin.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: −$4.3B, after $110.8M of capital spending.
The Carlyle Group Inc. spent $714.8M on share buybacks and $505.1M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026.
Trailing P/E: 51.4×; forward P/E: 9.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.84%, paying out 146% of earnings.
The Carlyle Group Inc. employs 2,500 people — $1.2M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Carlyle Group Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Carlyle Group participated in a $1 billion funding round for Castelion, a hypersonic munitions maker, alongside JPMorgan Chase and Andreessen Horowitz. The round values Castelion at $13 billion.
Why it matters — Carlyle's participation in a major funding round for a fast-growing defense technology company signals its activity and positioning in the defence sector.
Zacks Investment Research published an article examining which of Invesco (IVZ) and The Carlyle Group (CG) currently offers value investors the better opportunity within the financial investment-management space. The piece poses a comparative value-stock question without stating a definitive winner.
Why it matters — The article places Carlyle Group under direct valuation scrutiny alongside a peer, giving CG watchers insight into how analysts are framing the stock within the investment-management sector.
Carlyle's Global Credit platform has agreed to provide approximately $600 million in hybrid capital to Prime Capital Financial as part of a strategic partnership that includes a minority ownership interest in the company and supports Prime Capital's long-term growth. The transaction values Prime Capital Financial at an enterprise value of more than $1.8 billion.
Why it matters — For Carlyle watchers, this partnership expands the firm's Global Credit investment activity and secures a minority ownership position in a financial firm, adding to its deal flow.
Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. (NASDAQ: CGBD) reported its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. The company also declared a third quarter 2026 dividend of $0.35 per common share, with CEO Alex Chi citing a strong quarter with full dividend coverage and low non-accruals.
Why it matters — Carlyle Secured Lending is affiliated with The Carlyle Group, so its quarterly earnings and dividend declaration are relevant to watchers of The Carlyle Group Inc.
Carlyle Group reported Q2 earnings and revenue that beat estimates, driven by higher performance revenues and year-over-year growth in assets under management, although expenses rose compared to the prior year.
Why it matters — The earnings beat and AUM growth signal operational momentum for CG, though rising expenses temper the picture.
The 18 Wall Street analysts covering The Carlyle Group Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $57, with estimates ranging from $49 to $73. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 18 analysts covering The Carlyle Group Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Carlyle Group Inc. 33 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Aug 2026, The Carlyle Group Inc. ranks 33 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (82 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies +16.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Carlyle Group Inc. 33 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering The Carlyle Group Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $49 to $73 over the next 12 months.
The Carlyle Group Inc. returned -21.9% over the 12 months to 24 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
The Carlyle Group Inc. is a leading global investment firm specializing in alternative asset management.
The most recent item we track (WSJ, 19 Aug 2026): "Carlyle Joins $1 Billion Investment Round in Missile Startup Castelion". Carlyle Group participated in a $1 billion funding round for Castelion, a hypersonic munitions maker, alongside JPMorgan Chase and Andreessen Horowitz. The round values Castelion at $13 billion.
The Carlyle Group Inc. is a leading global investment firm specializing in alternative asset management. It deploys private capital across three core business segments: Global Private Equity, which encompasses private equity, real estate, infrastructure, and natural resources; Global Credit; and Investment Solutions, known as Carlyle AlpInvest. These segments manage substantial assets, primarily serving institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals seeking diversified exposure to alternative investments. The firm invests wisely to create value for its investors, portfolio companies, and the communities where it operates, leveraging deep industry expertise. With operations through 29 offices across five continents, The Carlyle Group Inc. caters to more than 3,100 active carry fund investors from 87 countries, playing a pivotal role in the alternative asset management industry by providing sophisticated investment strategies in private markets.
CEO Mr. Harvey Mitchell Schwartz · 2,500 employees · United States · https://www.carlyle.com
