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COSTCOSTConsumer Defensive · Discount Stores

COST Stock Forecast: Costco Wholesale Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026
$954
+0.23% on the day

The 39 Wall Street analysts covering Costco Wholesale Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $1,100 — +15.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 56 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$422.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
56 / 100
Median analyst target
$1,100
Analysts covering
39
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.3%
1M
+0.4%
YTD
+11.1%
1Y
+0.7%
From 52W high
−12.7%
From 52W low
+12.7%
$846
$1,093
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

COST stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Costco Wholesale Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026
56 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
96
Quality
78
Issuance
77
Revisions
77
Growth
60
Accruals
52
Momentum
35
Value
24
Size
0

Volatility (96): The share price has been relatively steady.

Value (24): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Costco Wholesale Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

COST stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on COST, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$700$800$900$1,000$1,100$1,200$1,300Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26COSTHigh $1,315Median $1,100Low $740

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says39 analysts
23 Buy14 Hold2 Sell
Low $740Median $1,100High $1,315

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +15.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
9 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$1,110 → $1,100
9 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
18 June 2026CitigroupReinstatesNeutral$1,020
4 June 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
3 June 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy—
1 June 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
29 May 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
29 May 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
29 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
29 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
20 May 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
19 May 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
10 Apr 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
9 Apr 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsOutperform—
9 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
31 Mar 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsOutperform—
6 Mar 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
6 Mar 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy—
6 Mar 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
6 Mar 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

COST analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.5%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
47.9×

Cheaper than 16% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.4×

Cheaper than 61% of US stocks

Price / book
25.5×

Cheaper than 4% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
30.5×

Cheaper than 9% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
21.5%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
45.6%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Gross margin
12.8%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Operating margin
3.7%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Net margin
3.0%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
29.2%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Return on assets
8.7%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.6%

Higher than 12% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

COST vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelDiscount Stores
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
COSTCostco Wholesale Corp.$422.1B
56
WMTWalmart, Inc.$886.3B
43
TGTTarget Corp.$65.4B
82
DGDollar General Corp.$28.0B
78
DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.$24.4B
91
KOThe Coca-Cola Co.*$376.8B
92
PGProcter & Gamble Co.*$336.5B
58

* Nearest Consumer Defensive names by size — few discount stores companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. COST appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest COST news & analysis

Costco's Renewal Trends Point to Lasting Customer Loyalty

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Aug 2026positive

Costco reported a 92.2% renewal rate in the U.S. and Canada, along with rising executive memberships and digital retention gains. According to Zacks, these trends signal lasting customer loyalty even as its member mix shifts.

Why it matters — A COST watcher would care because strong renewal and retention trends indicate that members keep coming back, supporting the stability of the company's membership-revenue base.

Prediction: Costco Will Become a Trillion Dollar Company on This Date

24/7 Wall Street · 2 Aug 2026positive

A 24/7 Wall Street article predicts Costco will become a trillion-dollar company, on a stated date. The piece describes Costco as running the most impressive retail model in America.

Why it matters — A Costco watcher would care because the article highlights the strength of Costco's retail model and its potential long-term growth to a trillion-dollar valuation.

As Americans go direct with GLP-1 prescriptions, Walmart, Costco, Amazon will be big weight-loss winners

CNBC · 1 Aug 2026positive

As employers drop GLP-1 coverage, more Americans are being steered toward direct-to-consumer weight-loss prescription programs. Major retailers and pharmacy chains, including Costco, are racing to fill the gap and gain market share, a shift that could hurt independent pharmacies.

Why it matters — Costco is named among the major retailers positioned to capture share in the growing direct-to-consumer GLP-1 prescription market.

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It

Zacks Investment Research · 31 July 2026neutral

According to Zacks Investment Research, Costco (COST) has been one of the most-watched stocks on its platform recently, prompting discussion about what may lie ahead for the company.

Why it matters — The report highlights that Costco is drawing significant attention from investors, which can signal elevated interest in the stock's near-term outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about COST stock

What is the COST stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 39 Wall Street analysts covering Costco Wholesale Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $1,100, with estimates ranging from $740 to $1,315. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is COST stock a buy right now?

Of the 39 analysts covering Costco Wholesale Corp., 23 rate it a Buy, 14 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Costco Wholesale Corp. 56 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank COST?

As at 1 Aug 2026, Costco Wholesale Corp. ranks 56 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (96 of 100).

Will COST stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 39 analysts implies +15.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Costco Wholesale Corp. 56 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the COST stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Costco Wholesale Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for COST are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $740 to $1,315 over the next 12 months.

How has COST stock performed over the past year?

Costco Wholesale Corp. returned +0.7% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Costco Wholesale Corp. do?

Costco Wholesale Corporation operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, offering high-quality goods and services at low prices. Customers access a vast selection of products through annual membership fees, including groceries, general merchandise, electronics, appliances, and apparel.

What is the latest news on COST?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 3 Aug 2026): "Costco's Renewal Trends Point to Lasting Customer Loyalty". Costco reported a 92.2% renewal rate in the U.S. and Canada, along with rising executive memberships and digital retention gains. According to Zacks, these trends signal lasting customer loyalty even as its member mix shifts.

Company

About Costco Wholesale Corp.

Costco Wholesale Corporation operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, offering high-quality goods and services at low prices. Customers access a vast selection of products through annual membership fees, including groceries, general merchandise, electronics, appliances, and apparel. The company provides additional services such as gasoline, pharmacy, optical, food courts, and travel offerings. Its business spans three main segments: United States, Canada, and International, with warehouses serving millions of members worldwide. Grocery items constitute a significant portion of sales, complemented by non-food merchandise and ancillary services that enhance the shopping experience. Founded in 1983 and headquartered in Issaquah, Washington, Costco Wholesale Corporation emphasizes bulk purchasing, efficient operations, and member loyalty in the discount retail sector. This model supports its role as a key player in the consumer defensive industry, catering to both individual households and small businesses seeking value-driven procurement.

CEO Mr. Ron M. Vachris · 341,000 employees · United States · https://www.costco.com