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CWST Stock Forecast: Casella Waste Systems, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Sept 2026
$94
−2.53% on the day

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Casella Waste Systems, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $112 — +19.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 43 of 100 as at 5 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$6.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
43 / 100
Median analyst target
$112
Analysts covering
11
Revenue$543.7M+16.9% y/y
Operating income$27.1M
Net income$3.8M
Free cash flow$26.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.2%
1M
+2.2%
YTD
−4.5%
1Y
−2.1%
From 52W high
−12.9%
From 52W low
+24.8%
$75
$107
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CWST stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Casella Waste Systems, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 5 Sept 2026
43 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
65
Accruals
61
Quality
61
Value
60
Volatility
60
Growth
46
Momentum
38
Issuance
29
Size
21

Revisions (65): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Issuance (29): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (21): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

CWST stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CWST, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$70$80$90$100$110$120$130Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26CWSTHigh $130Median $112Low $91

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says11 analysts
8 Buy2 Hold1 Sell
Low $91Median $112High $130

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +19.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$102 → $104
10 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$110 → $105
26 June 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$130 → $122
26 June 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
4 May 2026BarclaysUpgradeOverweight—
10 Mar 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
23 Feb 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
23 Feb 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
6 Jan 2026JefferiesUpgradeBuy—
11 Dec 2025JP MorganInitiatesNeutral—
3 Nov 2025BarclaysUpgradeEqual-Weight—
3 Nov 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
3 Nov 2025UBSMaintainsBuy—
16 Oct 2025UBSMaintainsBuy—
30 Sept 2025StifelReinstatesBuy$113
19 Sept 2025BarclaysInitiatesUnderweight—
4 Aug 2025Raymond JamesReiteratesStrong Buy—
22 July 2025Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy—
11 Apr 2025UBSMaintainsBuy—
9 Apr 2025TD CowenInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CWST appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

CWST vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Sept 2026, Casella Waste Systems, Inc. returned −2.1% against +20.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

CWST vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26CWSTS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

CWST analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+7.0%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
1169.1×

Cheaper than 1% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.0×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

Price / book
3.8×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
17.6×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
16.9%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−27.6%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Gross margin
32.9%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Operating margin
5.0%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Net margin
0.3%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
0.4%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.7%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Casella Waste Systems, Inc. has a market value of $6.0B and an enterprise value of $7.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.0B. The latest quarter grew 16.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $5.7M, a 0.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.09.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $105.0M.

  • Shares outstanding: 63.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 1169.1×; forward P/E: 63.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Casella Waste Systems, Inc. employs 5,600 people — $349K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 6 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

CWST vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelWaste Management
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CWSTCasella Waste Systems, Inc.$6.0B
43
CLHClean Harbors, Inc.$16.9B
92
GFLGFL Environmental, Inc.$19.1B
52
WCNWaste Connections, Inc.$42.2B
71
ONTOnterris, Inc.$645.6M
53
OIOOIO Group$612.5M
15
RSGRepublic Services, Inc.$68.9B
68

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Casella Waste Systems, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CWST news & analysis

Casella Waste Systems and Waga Energy Bring Third RNG Facility online at McKean Landfill

GlobeNewsWire · 3 Sept 2026positive

Casella Waste Systems and Waga Energy announced that the Renewable Natural Gas production facility at the McKean Landfill in Mount Jewett, Pennsylvania, has begun operations, marking the third RNG facility brought online through their partnership.

Why it matters — This expanded RNG production reflects Casella's ongoing development of renewable energy projects across its landfill portfolio.

Baron Small Cap Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Activity

Seeking Alpha · 2 Sept 2026neutral

Baron Small Cap Fund reported Q2 2026 portfolio activity, noting the Fund rose 12.57% while trailing the Russell 2000 Growth Index, which gained 25.71%. Vertiv contributed positively on strong results and raised guidance, while Planet Fitness detracted after lowering its full-year guidance.

Why it matters — This report highlights fund performance and holdings activity that may include Casella Waste Systems as part of the small-cap portfolio.

Casella Waste Systems Shouldn't Be Thrown Out Yet

Seeking Alpha · 1 Sept 2026positive

Seeking Alpha reiterates a soft "Buy" rating on Casella Waste Systems as management raises its 2024 revenue and EBITDA guidance. Acquisition-driven growth, including the $100 million Star Waste deal and $400.8 million in total M&A spending, drove top-line gains across all regional segments despite a modest net profit decline, with improvements in adjusted net income, cash flow, and EBITDA.

Why it matters — CWST watchers would note that raised guidance and broad-based operational improvements, including from recent acquisitions, signal continued growth and stability in the company's core business.

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. held its Q2 2026 earnings call, with the transcript published by Seeking Alpha covering management's discussion of the quarter's results.

Why it matters — CWST watchers would care because the earnings call transcript provides direct insight into the company's quarterly performance and management commentary.

Casella Waste Systems Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 7 Aug 2026positive

Casella Waste Systems reported second-quarter revenue growth of 16.9%, supported by acquisitions, pricing gains and higher landfill volumes. The company raised its full-year revenue outlook while reaffirming its adjusted EBITDA and cash-flow guidance.

Why it matters — Growth from acquisitions and pricing, along with an upgraded revenue outlook, reflects continued operational and financial momentum for CWST investors.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CWST stock

What is the CWST stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Casella Waste Systems, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $112, with estimates ranging from $91 to $130. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CWST stock a buy right now?

Of the 11 analysts covering Casella Waste Systems, Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Casella Waste Systems, Inc. 43 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CWST?

As at 5 Sept 2026, Casella Waste Systems, Inc. ranks 43 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (65 of 100).

Will CWST stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +19.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Casella Waste Systems, Inc. 43 out of 100 as at 5 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CWST stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Casella Waste Systems, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CWST are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $91 to $130 over the next 12 months.

How has CWST stock performed over the past year?

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. returned -2.1% over the 12 months to 4 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Casella Waste Systems, Inc. do?

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents a regional solid waste and resource management company focused on collection, transfer, recycling, disposal, and organics services.

What is the latest news on CWST?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 3 Sept 2026): "Casella Waste Systems and Waga Energy Bring Third RNG Facility online at McKean Landfill". Casella Waste Systems and Waga Energy announced that the Renewable Natural Gas production facility at the McKean Landfill in Mount Jewett, Pennsylvania, has begun operations, marking the third RNG facility brought online through their partnership.

Company

About Casella Waste Systems, Inc.

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents a regional solid waste and resource management company focused on collection, transfer, recycling, disposal, and organics services. Casella Waste Systems serves residential, commercial, municipal, institutional, and industrial customers across the eastern United States, with operations organized around solid waste handling and materials recovery. The company also processes and markets recyclable materials such as paper, plastics, glass, and metals, supporting broader waste diversion and recycling workflows. Its business model centers on vertically integrated environmental services, combining hauling, transfer stations, landfills, and resource solutions to manage waste streams from end to end. Headquartered in Rutland, Vermont, Casella Waste Systems plays an important role in the environmental services sector by providing infrastructure and services that help communities and businesses manage waste efficiently.

CEO Mr. Edmond R. Coletta · 5,600 employees · United States · https://www.casella.com