CWSTIndustrials · Waste ManagementThe 11 Wall Street analysts covering Casella Waste Systems, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $112 — +25.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 42 of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Casella Waste Systems, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (63): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Issuance (29): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Size (22): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CWST, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +25.7% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $102 → $104 |
| 10 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $110 → $105 |
| 26 June 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $130 → $122 |
| 26 June 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 May 2026 | Barclays | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 10 Mar 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 Feb 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 23 Feb 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 Jan 2026 | Jefferies | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 11 Dec 2025 | JP Morgan | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 3 Nov 2025 | Barclays | Upgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 3 Nov 2025 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Nov 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 16 Oct 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 30 Sept 2025 | Stifel | Reinstates | Buy | $113 |
| 19 Sept 2025 | Barclays | Initiates | Underweight | — |
| 4 Aug 2025 | Raymond James | Reiterates | Strong Buy | — |
| 22 July 2025 | Raymond James | Maintains | Strong Buy | — |
| 11 Apr 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 9 Apr 2025 | TD Cowen | Initiates | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CWST appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 17 Sept 2026, Casella Waste Systems, Inc. returned +1.4% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 1% of US stocks
Cheaper than 42% of US stocks
Cheaper than 28% of US stocks
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US stocks
Higher than 17% of US stocks
Higher than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 44% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. has a market value of $5.7B and an enterprise value of $7.2B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.0B. The latest quarter grew 16.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $5.7M, a 0.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.09.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $105.0M.
Trailing P/E: 1117.6×; forward P/E: 60.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. employs 5,600 people — $349K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Casella Waste Systems, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Casella Waste Systems recognized three organizations with its annual Sustainability Leadership Awards, honoring their leadership in sustainability as part of the company's ongoing program.
Why it matters — The recognition highlights Casella's engagement with customers and its focus on sustainability, reinforcing its regional leadership in waste, recycling, and resource management.
Casella Waste Systems and Waga Energy announced that the Renewable Natural Gas production facility at the McKean Landfill in Mount Jewett, Pennsylvania, has begun operations, marking the third RNG facility brought online through their partnership.
Why it matters — This expanded RNG production reflects Casella's ongoing development of renewable energy projects across its landfill portfolio.
Baron Small Cap Fund reported Q2 2026 portfolio activity, noting the Fund rose 12.57% while trailing the Russell 2000 Growth Index, which gained 25.71%. Vertiv contributed positively on strong results and raised guidance, while Planet Fitness detracted after lowering its full-year guidance.
Why it matters — This report highlights fund performance and holdings activity that may include Casella Waste Systems as part of the small-cap portfolio.
Seeking Alpha reiterates a soft "Buy" rating on Casella Waste Systems as management raises its 2024 revenue and EBITDA guidance. Acquisition-driven growth, including the $100 million Star Waste deal and $400.8 million in total M&A spending, drove top-line gains across all regional segments despite a modest net profit decline, with improvements in adjusted net income, cash flow, and EBITDA.
Why it matters — CWST watchers would note that raised guidance and broad-based operational improvements, including from recent acquisitions, signal continued growth and stability in the company's core business.
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. held its Q2 2026 earnings call, with the transcript published by Seeking Alpha covering management's discussion of the quarter's results.
Why it matters — CWST watchers would care because the earnings call transcript provides direct insight into the company's quarterly performance and management commentary.
The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Casella Waste Systems, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $112, with estimates ranging from $91 to $130. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 11 analysts covering Casella Waste Systems, Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Casella Waste Systems, Inc. 42 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 17 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 17 Sept 2026, Casella Waste Systems, Inc. ranks 42 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (63 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +25.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Casella Waste Systems, Inc. 42 out of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Casella Waste Systems, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CWST are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $91 to $130 over the next 12 months.
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. returned +1.4% over the 12 months to 17 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents a regional solid waste and resource management company focused on collection, transfer, recycling, disposal, and organics services.
The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 10 Sept 2026): "Casella Waste Systems Recognizes 2026 Sustainability Leaders". Casella Waste Systems recognized three organizations with its annual Sustainability Leadership Awards, honoring their leadership in sustainability as part of the company's ongoing program.
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents a regional solid waste and resource management company focused on collection, transfer, recycling, disposal, and organics services. Casella Waste Systems serves residential, commercial, municipal, institutional, and industrial customers across the eastern United States, with operations organized around solid waste handling and materials recovery. The company also processes and markets recyclable materials such as paper, plastics, glass, and metals, supporting broader waste diversion and recycling workflows. Its business model centers on vertically integrated environmental services, combining hauling, transfer stations, landfills, and resource solutions to manage waste streams from end to end. Headquartered in Rutland, Vermont, Casella Waste Systems plays an important role in the environmental services sector by providing infrastructure and services that help communities and businesses manage waste efficiently.
CEO Mr. Edmond R. Coletta · 5,600 employees · United States · https://www.casella.com
