DBXTechnology · Software - InfrastructureThe 8 Wall Street analysts covering Dropbox, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $32 — -8.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 83 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Dropbox, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (93): The share price has been relatively steady.
Issuance (50): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Size (19): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on DBX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −8.5% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $28 → $33 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | William Blair | Upgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 11 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $27 → $28 |
| 11 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 8 May 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 8 May 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $30 → $32 |
| 23 Mar 2026 | William Blair | Downgrade | Underperform | — |
| 20 Feb 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 20 Feb 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 20 Feb 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 5 Jan 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 Nov 2025 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 18 Sept 2025 | UBS | Assumes | Sell | $29 → $27 |
| 8 Aug 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 9 May 2025 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 9 May 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 Feb 2025 | Citizens Capital Markets | Reiterates | Market Perform | — |
| 6 Jan 2025 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 9 Aug 2024 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 26 June 2024 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. DBX appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 39% of US stocks
Cheaper than 43% of US stocks
Cheaper than 96% of US stocks
Cheaper than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 18% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 27% of US stocks
Higher than 97% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Dropbox, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Dropbox co-CEO Ashraf Alkarmi selects five priority areas each quarter where he can make significant progress and uses them as a filter to decide which meetings to skip. This approach shapes how he allocates his time as co-CEO.
Why it matters — DBX watchers would care because it offers insight into how one of Dropbox's top executives prioritises focus and manages his time at the company.
Zacks Investment Research highlighted Dropbox (DBX) as a top momentum stock for the long term, featuring it through the Zacks Style Scores tool in its Premium research service.
Why it matters — DBX investors may see this as a positive signal that the stock is recognized for strong momentum characteristics by a prominent research service.
Zacks Investment Research highlights Dropbox (DBX) as a strong value stock, using its Style Scores system to help investors identify top-rated stocks based on investing style.
Why it matters — DBX watchers would care because the piece signals Dropbox is being recognized for its value characteristics by a widely used stock-screening methodology.
Dropbox's new co-CEO has indicated the company will continue its "virtual-first" remote-work model, which has been in place since 2021. The company maintains a mostly remote structure, supplemented by a handful of off-site gatherings.
Why it matters — Dropbox investors may watch how the company's continued remote-work approach affects operations, costs, and talent strategy under the new co-CEO.
Dropbox beat Q2 2026 earnings and revenue estimates, supported by improving core FSS trends, growth in paying users, and AI expansion. The company's momentum in these areas contributed to results that exceeded expectations.
Why it matters — DBX watchers would care because the earnings beat and momentum drivers point to solid operating traction at the company.
The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Dropbox, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $32, with estimates ranging from $21 to $42. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 8 analysts covering Dropbox, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Dropbox, Inc. 83 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 15 Aug 2026, Dropbox, Inc. ranks 83 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (93 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies -8.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Dropbox, Inc. 83 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Dropbox, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for DBX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $21 to $42 over the next 12 months.
Dropbox, Inc. returned +24.1% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Dropbox Inc. is a subscription-based cloud software company that provides a unified platform for content storage, sharing, and collaboration to individuals, professionals, and enterprises worldwide.
The most recent item we track (Business Insider, 16 Aug 2026): "How Dropbox's co-CEO decides which meetings to skip". Dropbox co-CEO Ashraf Alkarmi selects five priority areas each quarter where he can make significant progress and uses them as a filter to decide which meetings to skip. This approach shapes how he allocates his time as co-CEO.
Dropbox Inc. is a subscription-based cloud software company that provides a unified platform for content storage, sharing, and collaboration to individuals, professionals, and enterprises worldwide. Its core offering centers on secure cloud file storage, synchronization, backup, and sharing across devices, enabling users and teams to organize digital content and access it from virtually anywhere. Beyond basic storage, Dropbox today delivers collaboration-focused products, including business plans with administrative controls, security features, and workflow tools designed for team environments. The company’s portfolio extends into document workflows and productivity software through services such as electronic signatures, secure document distribution, and form creation, supporting use cases in sales, fundraising, legal, and general business operations. Increasingly, Dropbox integrates AI-powered search and content assistance to help customers surface and manage knowledge across multiple workplace applications. Founded in 2007 and headquartered in San Francisco, California, Dropbox Inc. occupies a significant position in the cloud content collaboration and document workflow market, serving a broad base of individual users, small businesses, and large enterprises.
CEO Mr. Andrew W. Houston · 2,113 employees · United States · https://www.dropbox.com