DORMConsumer Cyclical · Auto PartsThe 8 Wall Street analysts covering Dorman Products, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $161 — +28.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 63 of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Dorman Products, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (94): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Growth (36): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Size (26): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on DORM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +28.2% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $155 → $160 |
| 21 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $140 → $155 |
| 4 May 2026 | Barrington Research | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 4 May 2026 | Barrington Research | Maintains | Outperform | $150 |
| 18 Mar 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterates | Overweight | — |
| 5 Mar 2026 | Barrington Research | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 5 Mar 2026 | Freedom Broker | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 2 Mar 2026 | Jefferies | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 27 Feb 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Freedom Broker | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 30 Sept 2025 | Stephens & Co. | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 18 Sept 2025 | BMO Capital | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 26 Aug 2025 | Roth Capital | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 22 Aug 2025 | Wells Fargo | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 4 Nov 2024 | Roth MKM | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 14 June 2024 | Roth MKM | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 25 Mar 2024 | Roth MKM | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 27 Feb 2024 | Barrington Research | Reiterates | Outperform | — |
| 28 July 2023 | Barrington Research | Reiterates | Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
DORM appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 23 Oct 2026, Dorman Products, Inc. returned −19.3% against +14.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 42% of US stocks
Cheaper than 56% of US stocks
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Cheaper than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Dorman Products, Inc. has a market value of $3.7B and an enterprise value of $4.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.2B. The latest quarter grew 0.7% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $219.3M, a 10.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.22.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $214.2M.
Dorman Products, Inc. spent $122.4M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 17.1×; forward P/E: 13.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Dorman Products, Inc. employs 3,871 people — $557K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Dorman Products, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Dorman Products, Inc. announced it will report its third quarter 2026 financial results, for the period ended September 26, 2026, after market close on October 26, 2026.
Why it matters — This announcement gives DORM investors the scheduled date and timing for the upcoming quarterly earnings release.
Wall Street analysts have set a consensus price target for Dorman Products implying roughly 26% upside potential from its current level. Zacks notes that while such consensus targets are often not highly effective predictors, an upward trend in earnings estimate revisions could signal near-term upside for the stock.
Why it matters — A DORM watcher would care because the consensus price target and improving earnings estimate revisions suggest Wall Street sees meaningful upside potential in the near term.
Zacks Investment Research upgraded Dorman Products (DORM) to a Zacks Rank #2, reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. The upgrade comes as sentiment around DORM's outlook strengthens.
Why it matters — DORM watchers would care because this upgraded ranking signals rising analyst confidence in the company's earnings outlook.
Dorman Products was upgraded to a soft Buy after reporting strong profit and cash flow growth, even though revenue guidance was revised lower. The upgrade followed significant profitability gains from tariff refunds and robust Heavy Duty segment results, and management raised adjusted EPS guidance to $8.50–$8.80 with net income projected around $250.5 million, excluding tariff refunds.
Why it matters — A DORM watcher would care because the upgrade and raised adjusted EPS guidance signal improving profitability and cash flow for the company even as its revenue outlook was trimmed.
Dorman Products held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and a transcript of the call was published on Seeking Alpha.
Why it matters — The earnings call transcript provides investors and analysts with a detailed look at the company's second-quarter performance and management's commentary on operations.
The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Dorman Products, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $161, with estimates ranging from $154 to $170. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 8 analysts covering Dorman Products, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Dorman Products, Inc. 63 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Oct 2026, Dorman Products, Inc. ranks 63 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (94 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +28.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Dorman Products, Inc. 63 out of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Dorman Products, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for DORM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $154 to $170 over the next 12 months.
Dorman Products, Inc. returned -19.3% over the 12 months to 23 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Dorman Products, Inc. is a motor vehicle aftermarket supplier that designs, engineers, and distributes replacement and upgrade parts for cars, trucks, and specialty vehicles.
The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 5 Oct 2026): "Dorman Products, Inc. Announces Date to Report Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results". Dorman Products, Inc. announced it will report its third quarter 2026 financial results, for the period ended September 26, 2026, after market close on October 26, 2026.
Dorman Products, Inc. is a motor vehicle aftermarket supplier that designs, engineers, and distributes replacement and upgrade parts for cars, trucks, and specialty vehicles. Its product portfolio includes components for body, chassis, underhood, electrical, hardware, and heavy-duty applications, along with accessories for powersports vehicles such as UTVs and ATVs. The company serves repair professionals, distributors, retailers, and fleet maintenance customers who rely on practical replacement solutions for routine maintenance and repair. Dorman Products, Inc. operates through its Light Duty, Heavy Duty, and Specialty Vehicle business segments, giving it broad exposure across passenger, commercial, and recreational vehicle markets. Headquartered in Colmar, Pennsylvania, Dorman Products, Inc. is recognized in the automotive aftermarket for its focus on replacement parts that address common repair needs across a wide range of vehicle categories.
CEO Mr. Kevin M. Olsen C.P.A. · 3,871 employees · United States · https://www.dormanproducts.com
