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FIVEFIVEConsumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

FIVE Stock Forecast: Five Below, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$245
+1.38% on the day

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Five Below, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $300 — +22.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 77 of 100 as at 11 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$13.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
77 / 100
Median analyst target
$300
Analysts covering
25
Revenue$1.3B+22.9% y/y
Operating income$275.4M
Net income$221.4M
Free cash flow$142.3M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 July 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.9%
1M
+4.4%
YTD
+29.9%
1Y
+67.8%
From 52W high
−6.9%
From 52W low
+76.6%
$138
$263
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

FIVE stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Five Below, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 11 Sept 2026
77 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
98
Growth
95
Momentum
91
Issuance
65
Quality
62
Accruals
37
Value
36
Volatility
30
Size
13

Revisions (98): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Volatility (30): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (13): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

FIVE stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FIVE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$150$200$250$300$350$400$450Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26FIVEHigh $420Median $300Low $254

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says25 analysts
17 Buy8 Hold0 Sell
Low $254Median $300High $420

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +22.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 15 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
4 Sept 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$257 → $306
3 Sept 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$235 → $265
3 Sept 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$245 → $260
3 Sept 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$250 → $290
3 Sept 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy$350 → $420
3 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$325 → $368
3 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$235 → $300
3 Sept 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsOutperform$280 → $305
3 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$273 → $297
3 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$285 → $325
3 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$260 → $295
28 Aug 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsOutperform$260 → $280
26 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$260 → $278
26 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
25 Aug 2026Loop CapitalDowngradeHold$250
25 Aug 2026Loop CapitalDowngradeHold—
25 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$265 → $273
25 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
13 Aug 2026JefferiesUpgradeBuy$210 → $350
13 Aug 2026JefferiesUpgradeBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. FIVE appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

FIVE vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Five Below, Inc. returned +67.8% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

FIVE vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100120140160180Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26FIVES&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

FIVE analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+14.6%
Analysts raising
10
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
21.9×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.5×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

Price / book
5.4×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
17.5×

Cheaper than 18% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
22.9%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
417.7%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Gross margin
48.5%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Operating margin
8.9%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Net margin
11.7%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
28.3%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.8%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Five Below, Inc. has a market value of $13.5B and an enterprise value of $14.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $5.3B. The latest quarter grew 22.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $619.2M, a 11.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $11.14.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $599.3M, after $204.2M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 55.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: 21.9×; forward P/E: 22.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Five Below, Inc. employs 7,800 people — $681K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 July 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

FIVE vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSpecialty Retail
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
FIVEFive Below, Inc.$13.5B
77
DKSDick's Sporting Goods, Inc.$12.0B
18
GMEGameStop Corp.$10.7B
57
TSCOTractor Supply Co.$17.4B
21
MUSAMurphy USA, Inc.$9.6B
96
BBYBest Buy Co., Inc.$19.0B
96
CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc.$22.8B
89

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Five Below, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest FIVE news & analysis

Five Below Faces Its Toughest Test Ahead After 5 Consecutive Quarters of Double-Digit Sales Growth

The Motley Fool · 10 Sept 2026positive

Five Below has posted five consecutive quarters of double-digit sales growth, driven by its social-first marketing strategy. Profit margins are improving, leading management to raise its guidance for the year.

Why it matters — A FIVE watcher would care because sustained sales growth and raised guidance signal strengthening performance and improving profitability for the company.

Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) Presents at Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Staples Conference Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 9 Sept 2026neutral

Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) presented at the Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Staples Conference, with a transcript of its remarks published by Seeking Alpha. The item is limited to coverage of the company's conference presentation.

Why it matters — A Five Below watcher would want to follow the company's conference presentation for any statements management makes about its business and strategy.

Five Below's Strong Traffic & Transactions Drive Growth Momentum

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Sept 2026positive

Five Below reported traffic-led second-quarter growth, supported by repeat visits and trend-driven product assortments, which helped the company raise its fiscal 2026 outlook according to Zacks Investment Research.

Why it matters — The raised fiscal 2026 outlook, driven by strong customer traffic and repeat visits, signals sustained momentum that FIVE watchers would track closely.

Five Below (FIVE) Is Up 4.26% in One Week: What You Should Know

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article about Five Below (FIVE) rising 4.26% over the past week. The piece examines whether the stock qualifies as a top pick for momentum investors.

Why it matters — Five Below watchers would be interested in an assessment of the stock's recent price movement and its potential fit within a momentum-focused investment strategy.

Did Five Below, Inc. Insiders Breach their Fiduciary Duties to Shareholders?

PRNewsWire · 7 Sept 2026negative

A law firm has issued a notice to Five Below, Inc. shareholders regarding potential breaches of fiduciary duties by company insiders, encouraging shareholders to contact the firm to discuss their rights and legal options at no cost.

Why it matters — Five Below watchers would care because the notice raises potential governance and insider-conduct concerns involving company leadership.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about FIVE stock

What is the FIVE stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Five Below, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $300, with estimates ranging from $254 to $420. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is FIVE stock a buy right now?

Of the 25 analysts covering Five Below, Inc., 17 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Five Below, Inc. 77 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 11 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank FIVE?

As at 11 Sept 2026, Five Below, Inc. ranks 77 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (98 of 100).

Will FIVE stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +22.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Five Below, Inc. 77 out of 100 as at 11 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the FIVE stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Five Below, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FIVE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $254 to $420 over the next 12 months.

How has FIVE stock performed over the past year?

Five Below, Inc. returned +67.8% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Five Below, Inc. do?

Five Below, Inc. is a specialty value retailer that offers trend-right merchandise at low price points for tweens, teens, and value-focused shoppers.

What is the latest news on FIVE?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 10 Sept 2026): "Five Below Faces Its Toughest Test Ahead After 5 Consecutive Quarters of Double-Digit Sales Growth". Five Below has posted five consecutive quarters of double-digit sales growth, driven by its social-first marketing strategy. Profit margins are improving, leading management to raise its guidance for the year.

Company

About Five Below, Inc.

Five Below, Inc. is a specialty value retailer that offers trend-right merchandise at low price points for tweens, teens, and value-focused shoppers. Five Below sells a broad assortment of products across categories such as style, room décor, tech accessories, sports gear, party supplies, candy, toys, arts and crafts, and seasonal items. Its stores are designed around discovery and variety, with an emphasis on fun, everyday essentials, and impulse-friendly purchases. The company also carries select branded and licensed merchandise, giving its assortment a mix of everyday basics and novelty products. Headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania and founded in 2002, Five Below operates as a consumer-facing retail business with a strong presence in the U.S. specialty discount market, serving customers through a compact, value-oriented shopping format.

CEO Ms. Winifred Y. Park · 7,800 employees · United States · https://www.fivebelow.com