FIVEFIVEConsumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

FIVE Stock Forecast: Five Below, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$219
+2.62% on the day

The 26 Wall Street analysts covering Five Below, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $300 — +37.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 81 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$11.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
81 / 100
Median analyst target
$300
Analysts covering
26
Revenue$1.3B+22.9% y/y
Operating income$275.4M
Net income$221.4M
Free cash flow$142.3M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 July 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+7.2%
1M
−12.3%
YTD
+16.2%
1Y
+46.0%
From 52W high
−16.7%
From 52W low
+48.9%
$147
$263
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

FIVE stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Five Below, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
81 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
99
Growth
95
Momentum
86
Issuance
65
Quality
63
Value
50
Accruals
38
Volatility
32
Size
13

Revisions (99): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Volatility (32): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (13): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

FIVE stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FIVE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$150$200$250$300$350$400$450Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26FIVEHigh $420Median $300Low $226

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says26 analysts
17 Buy9 Hold0 Sell
Low $226Median $300High $420

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +37.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 9 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
29 Sept 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$260 → $250
4 Sept 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
4 Sept 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$257 → $306
3 Sept 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$235 → $265
3 Sept 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
3 Sept 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$245 → $260
3 Sept 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—
3 Sept 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$250 → $290
3 Sept 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
3 Sept 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
3 Sept 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy$350 → $420
3 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$325 → $368
3 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
3 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
3 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$235 → $300
3 Sept 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsOutperform—
3 Sept 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsOutperform$280 → $305
3 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$273 → $297
3 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
3 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. FIVE appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

FIVE vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Five Below, Inc. returned +46.0% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

FIVE vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100120140160180Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26FIVES&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

FIVE analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+14.4%
Analysts raising
23
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
19.1×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.2×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

Price / book
4.7×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
15.4×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
22.9%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
417.7%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Gross margin
48.5%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Operating margin
8.9%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Net margin
11.7%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
28.3%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.8%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Five Below, Inc. has a market value of $11.7B and an enterprise value of $12.6B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $5.3B. The latest quarter grew 22.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $619.2M, a 11.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $11.14.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $599.3M, after $204.2M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 55.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: 19.1×; forward P/E: 19.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Five Below, Inc. employs 7,800 people — $681K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 July 2026 · market figures as at 14 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

FIVE vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSpecialty Retail
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
FIVEFive Below, Inc.$11.7B
81
DKSDick's Sporting Goods, Inc.$12.2B
17
GMEGameStop Corp.$13.7B
60
MUSAMurphy USA, Inc.$9.9B
95
TSCOTractor Supply Co.$17.3B
24
BBYBest Buy Co., Inc.$18.6B
98
CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc.$24.2B
82

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Five Below, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest FIVE news & analysis

Best Growth Stocks to Buy for October 15th

Zacks Investment Research · 15 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research listed Five Below (FIVE), alongside WOOF and OSCR, among Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) growth stocks on October 13, 52026.

Why it matters — The item reports that FIVE was included in Zacks’ Strong Buy growth stocks list.

Best Growth Stocks to Buy for October 13th

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research listed Five Below (FIVE), along with WOOF and OSCR, among its Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) growth stocks on October 13, 2026.

Why it matters — The item identifies FIVE as part of Zacks’ top-ranked growth stocks list.

Here's Why Five Below (FIVE) is a Strong Growth Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research discusses its Style Scores as a way for investors to identify stocks rated highly for their investing style, and frames the article around Five Below as a strong growth stock.

Why it matters — The item presents Zacks’ growth-oriented framing of FIVE and introduces its Style Scores as the basis for that view.

Is Five Below (FIVE) Outperforming Other Retail-Wholesale Stocks This Year?

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research compares Five Below (FIVE) and Brinker International (EAT) with their sector’s performance so far this year.

Why it matters — The comparison gives FIVE watchers context on how the company has performed relative to its sector this year.

Best Growth Stocks to Buy for October 9th

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research listed Five Below (FIVE), along with WOOF and OSCR, among its Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) growth stocks on October 9, 2026.

Why it matters — The listing places FIVE among the growth stocks receiving Zacks’ top rank on that date.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about FIVE stock

What is the FIVE stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 26 Wall Street analysts covering Five Below, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $300, with estimates ranging from $226 to $420. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is FIVE stock a buy right now?

Of the 26 analysts covering Five Below, Inc., 17 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Five Below, Inc. 81 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank FIVE?

As at 14 Oct 2026, Five Below, Inc. ranks 81 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (99 of 100).

Will FIVE stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 26 analysts implies +37.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Five Below, Inc. 81 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the FIVE stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Five Below, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FIVE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $226 to $420 over the next 12 months.

How has FIVE stock performed over the past year?

Five Below, Inc. returned +46.0% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Five Below, Inc. do?

Five Below, Inc. is a specialty value retailer that offers trend-right merchandise at low price points for tweens, teens, and value-focused shoppers.

What is the latest news on FIVE?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 15 Oct 2026): "Best Growth Stocks to Buy for October 15th". Zacks Investment Research listed Five Below (FIVE), alongside WOOF and OSCR, among Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) growth stocks on October 13, 52026.

Company

About Five Below, Inc.

Five Below, Inc. is a specialty value retailer that offers trend-right merchandise at low price points for tweens, teens, and value-focused shoppers. Five Below sells a broad assortment of products across categories such as style, room décor, tech accessories, sports gear, party supplies, candy, toys, arts and crafts, and seasonal items. Its stores are designed around discovery and variety, with an emphasis on fun, everyday essentials, and impulse-friendly purchases. The company also carries select branded and licensed merchandise, giving its assortment a mix of everyday basics and novelty products. Headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania and founded in 2002, Five Below operates as a consumer-facing retail business with a strong presence in the U.S. specialty discount market, serving customers through a compact, value-oriented shopping format.

CEO Ms. Winifred Y. Park · 7,800 employees · United States · https://www.fivebelow.com