FRPTConsumer Defensive · Packaged FoodsThe 18 Wall Street analysts covering Freshpet, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $80 — +24.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 64 of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Freshpet, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (91): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Accruals (28): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FRPT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +24.8% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 6 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $85 → $80 |
| 5 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $82 → $77 |
| 5 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Needham | Initiates | Hold | — |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Needham | Initiates | Hold | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $101 → $95 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | $77 → $72 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | $66 → $78 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $80 → $85 |
| 28 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 28 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $68 → $72 |
| 8 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 8 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $75 → $70 |
| 1 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 1 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Neutral | $75 → $70 |
| 7 May 2026 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
FRPT appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 23 Oct 2026, Freshpet, Inc. returned +18.3% against +14.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 42% of US stocks
Cheaper than 45% of US stocks
Cheaper than 36% of US stocks
Cheaper than 20% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Freshpet, Inc. has a market value of $3.0B and an enterprise value of $3.2B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B. The latest quarter grew 15.5% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $203.5M, a 17.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $3.80.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $61.0M.
Trailing P/E: 17.4×; forward P/E: 32.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Freshpet, Inc. employs 1,288 people — $914K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Freshpet, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Freshpet (FRPT) closed at $64.12 in the latest trading session, down 4.3% from the prior day. The headline says the stock declined more than the market.
Why it matters — FRPT watchers may note the reported daily decline and compare it with broader market performance.
The Q3 2026 portfolio activity notes views on Bentley Systems and U.S. Physical Therapy, and says Essential Utilities was exited after share-price appreciation made its risk/reward profile less compelling.
Why it matters — The excerpt does not mention Freshpet, so it provides no company-specific information for FRPT watchers.
Wall Street analysts’ average price targets for Freshpet imply potential upside of 31.4%. The article notes the metric’s effectiveness is questionable, while recent positive earnings estimate revisions could support an upside in the stock.
Why it matters — FRPT watchers may note the analyst target indication alongside the article’s caution about its reliability and its mention of positive estimate revisions.
A Seeking Alpha article rates Freshpet “Buy,” citing investor-event disclosures, strong cash generation, a $150 million buyback, and no near-term capital-raise needs. It also anticipates a Q3 earnings beat, pointing to e-commerce sales and potential margin gains from supply-chain and marketing efficiencies.
Why it matters — The article highlights Freshpet’s cash generation and shareholder returns while outlining expectations for Q3 results and possible margin improvement.
Once Upon a Farm appointed Scott Morris, Freshpet co-founder, to its board of directors, effective immediately. The company cited Morris’s more than three decades of experience building and scaling fresh, refrigerated food brands, including his role in Freshpet’s growth.
Why it matters — The appointment highlights a Freshpet co-founder’s experience in the fresh-food sector and connects that experience with another food company.
The 18 Wall Street analysts covering Freshpet, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $80, with estimates ranging from $67 to $104. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 18 analysts covering Freshpet, Inc., 13 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Freshpet, Inc. 64 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Oct 2026, Freshpet, Inc. ranks 64 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (91 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies +24.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Freshpet, Inc. 64 out of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Freshpet, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FRPT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $67 to $104 over the next 12 months.
Freshpet, Inc. returned +18.3% over the 12 months to 23 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Freshpet, Inc. is a pet food company that manufactures, distributes, and markets natural fresh meals and treats for dogs and cats.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 23 Oct 2026): "Freshpet (FRPT) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investors". Freshpet (FRPT) closed at $64.12 in the latest trading session, down 4.3% from the prior day. The headline says the stock declined more than the market.
Freshpet, Inc. is a pet food company that manufactures, distributes, and markets natural fresh meals and treats for dogs and cats. Freshpet’s product lineup includes refrigerated dog food, cat food, and treats sold under the Freshpet brand, along with fresh treats offered through Dognation and Dog Joy. The company focuses on recipes made with meats, vegetables, fruits, and grains, and its products are designed for the refrigerated pet food aisle across grocery, mass, club, pet specialty, natural, and online channels. Freshpet serves consumers in the United States, Canada, and Europe, and its branded refrigeration model is a distinctive part of its market presence in premium pet nutrition.
CEO Mr. William B. Cyr · 1,288 employees · United States · https://www.freshpet.com
