FRPTFRPTConsumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

FRPT Stock Forecast: Freshpet, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$60
+4.50% on the day

The 17 Wall Street analysts covering Freshpet, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $84 — +38.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 63 of 100 as at 1 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$2.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
63 / 100
Median analyst target
$84
Analysts covering
17
Revenue$305.6M+15.5% y/y
Operating income$21.7M
Net income$19.5M
Free cash flow$14.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.2%
1M
−14.8%
YTD
−1.0%
1Y
+13.2%
From 52W high
−29.5%
From 52W low
+27.3%
$47
$86
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

FRPT stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Freshpet, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Oct 2026
63 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
91
Issuance
76
Revisions
73
Growth
72
Momentum
58
Value
34
Size
31
Volatility
29
Accruals
28

Quality (91): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Accruals (28): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

FRPT stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FRPT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$50$60$70$80$90$100$110Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26FRPTHigh $104Median $84Low $70

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says17 analysts
13 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $70Median $84High $104

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +38.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
6 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$101 → $95
6 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight$77 → $72
6 Aug 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$66 → $78
6 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$80 → $85
28 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$68 → $72
28 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
8 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
8 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$75 → $70
1 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
1 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral$75 → $70
7 May 2026JP MorganUpgradeOverweight—
7 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
22 Apr 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold—
21 Apr 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
13 Apr 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
10 Apr 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
8 Apr 2026TD CowenUpgradeBuy—
8 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
30 Mar 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsHold—
25 Mar 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. FRPT appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

FRPT vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Freshpet, Inc. returned +13.2% against +15.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

FRPT vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26FRPTS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

FRPT analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.3%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
14.9×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.3×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

Price / book
2.3×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
14.9×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
15.5%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
19.1%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Gross margin
42.1%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Operating margin
7.1%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Net margin
17.3%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
17.6%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.5%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Freshpet, Inc. has a market value of $2.8B and an enterprise value of $2.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B. The latest quarter grew 15.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $203.5M, a 17.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $3.80.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $61.0M.

  • Shares outstanding: 48.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 14.9×; forward P/E: 29.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Freshpet, Inc. employs 1,288 people — $914K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 30 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

FRPT vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelPackaged Foods
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
FRPTFreshpet, Inc.$2.8B
63
MZTIThe Marzetti Co.$2.7B
35
POSTPost Holdings, Inc.$3.3B
58
CENTACentral Garden & Pet Co.$2.2B
94
UTZUTZ Brands, Inc.$2.0B
54
NOMDNomad Foods Ltd.$1.6B
52
JJSFJ&J Snack Foods Corp.$1.5B
60

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Freshpet, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest FRPT news & analysis

Freshpet (FRPT) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Note

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Sept 2026negative

Freshpet (FRPT) closed at $57.17 on the latest trading day, reflecting a -1.28% change from its previous close. The stock registered a larger decline than the broader market.

Why it matters — A FRPT watcher would note the stock's decline exceeded that of the market, signalling a notable drop in a single trading session.

Freshpet (FRPT) Is Considered a Good Investment by Brokers: Is That True?

Zacks Investment Research · 25 Sept 2026neutral

A Zacks Investment Research article discusses whether brokerage-firm analyst recommendations are a reliable guide for investing in Freshpet (FRPT), examining how sell-side rating changes can influence stock prices and whether they reflect actual investment merit. The piece questions the validity of following such recommendations.

Why it matters — Freshpet watchers would care because the article evaluates whether Wall Street analyst ratings on the stock genuinely indicate a sound investment or simply reflect market-moving brokerage opinions.

Freshpet (FRPT) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investors

Zacks Investment Research · 15 Sept 2026negative

Freshpet (FRPT) shares declined more than the broader market on the latest trading day, settling at $62.68, a -1.71% change from its previous close.

Why it matters — FRPT watchers would care because the stock underperformed the market, signalling investor caution around the company in the current session.

Chewy Sinks 11% as Free Cash Flow Miss Overshadows Raised Outlook; Petco Falls 6%, Freshpet Ticks Up

24/7 Wall Street · 9 Sept 2026neutral

Chewy shares fell 11% midday Wednesday after its free cash flow shortfall overshadowed a raised outlook, while Petco declined 6% and Freshpet ticked up slightly. The moves came as several pet-focused retailers saw divergent trading on Wednesday.

Why it matters — As a fellow player in the pet sector, Freshpet's modest uptick amid weakness in other pet retailers offers context for how the broader category is trading.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about FRPT stock

What is the FRPT stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 17 Wall Street analysts covering Freshpet, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $84, with estimates ranging from $70 to $104. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is FRPT stock a buy right now?

Of the 17 analysts covering Freshpet, Inc., 13 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Freshpet, Inc. 63 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank FRPT?

As at 1 Oct 2026, Freshpet, Inc. ranks 63 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (91 of 100).

Will FRPT stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 17 analysts implies +38.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Freshpet, Inc. 63 out of 100 as at 1 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the FRPT stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Freshpet, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FRPT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $70 to $104 over the next 12 months.

How has FRPT stock performed over the past year?

Freshpet, Inc. returned +13.2% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Freshpet, Inc. do?

Freshpet, Inc. is a pet food company that manufactures, distributes, and markets natural fresh meals and treats for dogs and cats.

What is the latest news on FRPT?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 28 Sept 2026): "Freshpet (FRPT) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Note". Freshpet (FRPT) closed at $57.17 on the latest trading day, reflecting a -1.28% change from its previous close. The stock registered a larger decline than the broader market.

Company

About Freshpet, Inc.

Freshpet, Inc. is a pet food company that manufactures, distributes, and markets natural fresh meals and treats for dogs and cats. Freshpet’s product lineup includes refrigerated dog food, cat food, and treats sold under the Freshpet brand, along with fresh treats offered through Dognation and Dog Joy. The company focuses on recipes made with meats, vegetables, fruits, and grains, and its products are designed for the refrigerated pet food aisle across grocery, mass, club, pet specialty, natural, and online channels. Freshpet serves consumers in the United States, Canada, and Europe, and its branded refrigeration model is a distinctive part of its market presence in premium pet nutrition.

CEO Mr. William B. Cyr · 1,288 employees · United States · https://www.freshpet.com