FTDRConsumer Cyclical · Personal ServicesThe 7 Wall Street analysts covering Frontdoor, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $96 — +20.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 76 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Frontdoor, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (96): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Volatility (8): The share price moves around a lot.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FTDR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +20.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Assumes | Neutral | $95 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | $80 → $96 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | $70 → $100 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $82 → $105 |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Benchmark | Initiates | Buy | $80 |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Benchmark | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 2 Mar 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Upgrade | Neutral | — |
| 6 Aug 2025 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 6 Aug 2025 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 6 Aug 2025 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 June 2025 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 22 Apr 2025 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 3 Mar 2025 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 14 Feb 2025 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 5 Nov 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 5 Nov 2024 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 Aug 2024 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. FTDR appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Frontdoor, Inc. returned +20.9% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 36% of US stocks
Cheaper than 46% of US stocks
Cheaper than 5% of US stocks
Cheaper than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 37% of US stocks
Higher than 51% of US stocks
Higher than 72% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 95% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Frontdoor, Inc. has a market value of $5.4B and an enterprise value of $6.0B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.1B. The latest quarter grew 4.5% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $273.0M, a 12.7% net margin.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $386.0M.
Frontdoor, Inc. spent $300.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 20.8×; forward P/E: 15.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Frontdoor, Inc. employs 2,034 people — $1.1M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Frontdoor, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Frontdoor announced it will release its third-quarter 2026 financial results and hold a conference call on November 5, 2026, at 7:30 a.m. Central time. The webcast will include a slide presentation highlighting the results.
Why it matters — FTDR watchers can note the scheduled date and time for the company's third-quarter results and webcast.
A Seeking Alpha article argues that Frontdoor’s warranty margin expansion is likely to persist, citing lower industry claims frequency, dynamic pricing, and process improvements. It forecasts 5.43% annual revenue growth from 2025 to 2035, supported by non-warranty services and stable market share.
Why it matters — The article’s view on durable margins and long-term growth offers FTDR watchers context on the company’s operating outlook.
Frontdoor's membership growth has resumed, and the company reported a Q2 adjusted EBITDA margin improvement to 33.3% (excluding a weather benefit). The company is using discounted first-year pricing to expand recurring revenue, contingent on sustaining an 80% retention rate after the promotion.
Why it matters — A FTDR watcher would care because renewed membership growth and strong cash flow are central to the company's recurring-revenue strategy, with operational margin gains underscoring real improvements beyond the headline results.
Zacks highlights infrastructure, data center and innovation demand as supporting building products companies including Frontdoor (FTDR), alongside URI, OC, ECG and AGX, even amid housing and cost pressures.
Why it matters — The piece suggests FTDR is positioned to benefit from broader demand drivers despite headwinds in housing and costs, which FTDR watchers may find relevant to its near-term prospects.
Zacks Investment Research published an analysis of Frontdoor (FTDR), highlighting its growth attributes and outlining three reasons it considers the company a solid growth stock with the potential for exceptional returns.
Why it matters — An FTDR watcher would care because the piece assesses the company's growth prospects, which could inform how shareholders and potential investors view its valuation and momentum.
The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Frontdoor, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $96, with estimates ranging from $91 to $105. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 7 analysts covering Frontdoor, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Frontdoor, Inc. 76 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 8 Oct 2026, Frontdoor, Inc. ranks 76 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (96 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +20.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Frontdoor, Inc. 76 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Frontdoor, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FTDR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $91 to $105 over the next 12 months.
Frontdoor, Inc. returned +20.9% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Frontdoor Inc. is a U.S.
The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 8 Oct 2026): "Frontdoor, Inc. to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Results". Frontdoor announced it will release its third-quarter 2026 financial results and hold a conference call on November 5, 2026, at 7:30 a.m. Central time. The webcast will include a slide presentation highlighting the results.
Frontdoor Inc. is a U.S. provider of home service plans and warranty solutions focused on protecting residential property owners from the cost of unexpected breakdowns. The company offers customizable coverage for essential home systems and appliances, including heating and cooling, plumbing, electrical, water heaters, and major kitchen equipment. Its services are delivered through well-known brands such as American Home Shield, HSA, OneGuard, and Landmark, serving homeowners and new home builders across the United States. Frontdoor Inc. operates in the home services market, where it supports maintenance, repair, and replacement needs through contract-based plans and a network of independent contractors. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, the company plays a significant role in the residential warranty segment by helping customers manage routine upkeep and unplanned repair demands.
CEO Mr. William C. Cobb · 2,034 employees · United States · https://www.frontdoorhome.com
