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FTDR Stock Forecast: Frontdoor, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$78
−1.52% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Frontdoor, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $96 — +22.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 77 of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$5.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
77 / 100
Median analyst target
$96
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$646.0M+4.7% y/y
Operating income$182.0M
Net income$126.0M
Free cash flow$120.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.4%
1M
−5.6%
YTD
+35.7%
1Y
+16.7%
From 52W high
−13.8%
From 52W low
+59.5%
$49
$91
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

FTDR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Frontdoor, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 17 Sept 2026
77 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
96
Revisions
90
Momentum
87
Quality
85
Growth
62
Accruals
51
Size
21
Value
17
Volatility
9

Issuance (96): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Volatility (9): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

FTDR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FTDR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$50$60$70$80$90$100$110Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26FTDRHigh $105Median $96Low $91

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
4 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $91Median $96High $105

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +22.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
24 Aug 2026JP MorganAssumesNeutral$95
7 Aug 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy$80 → $96
7 Aug 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
7 Aug 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$70 → $100
7 Aug 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
7 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
7 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$82 → $105
26 Mar 2026BenchmarkInitiatesBuy$80
26 Mar 2026BenchmarkInitiatesBuy—
2 Mar 2026Goldman SachsUpgradeNeutral—
6 Aug 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsSell—
6 Aug 2025OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
6 Aug 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
3 June 2025JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
22 Apr 2025JP MorganDowngradeNeutral—
3 Mar 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsSell—
14 Feb 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
5 Nov 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsSell—
5 Nov 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
12 Aug 2024JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. FTDR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

FTDR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, Frontdoor, Inc. returned +16.7% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

FTDR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120130Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26FTDRS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

FTDR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.8%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Frontdoor, Inc. (FTDR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
21.3×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.6×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

Price / book
19.6×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.8×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.5%

Higher than 37% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
12.6%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Gross margin
58.5%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Operating margin
28.2%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Net margin
12.8%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
101.9%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Return on assets
12.4%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Frontdoor, Inc. (FTDR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Frontdoor, Inc. has a market value of $5.5B and an enterprise value of $6.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.1B. The latest quarter grew 4.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $273.0M, a 12.7% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $386.0M.

  • Frontdoor, Inc. spent $300.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 69.3M.

  • Trailing P/E: 21.3×; forward P/E: 15.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Frontdoor, Inc. employs 2,034 people — $1.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 17 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

FTDR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelPersonal Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
FTDRFrontdoor, Inc.$5.5B
77
HRBH&R Block, Inc.$5.5B
93
ANDGAndersen Group, Inc.$6.1B
30
BFAMBright Horizons Family Solutions, Inc.$3.3B
61
SCIService Corp. International$11.1B
56
ROLRollins, Inc.$16.0B
37
CSVCarriage Services, Inc.$487.0M
30

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Frontdoor, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest FTDR news & analysis

5 Building Product Stocks to Buy on Infrastructure & Data Center Boom

Zacks Investment Research · 17 Sept 2026positive

Zacks highlights infrastructure, data center and innovation demand as supporting building products companies including Frontdoor (FTDR), alongside URI, OC, ECG and AGX, even amid housing and cost pressures.

Why it matters — The piece suggests FTDR is positioned to benefit from broader demand drivers despite headwinds in housing and costs, which FTDR watchers may find relevant to its near-term prospects.

Is Frontdoor (FTDR) a Solid Growth Stock? 3 Reasons to Think "Yes"

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research published an analysis of Frontdoor (FTDR), highlighting its growth attributes and outlining three reasons it considers the company a solid growth stock with the potential for exceptional returns.

Why it matters — An FTDR watcher would care because the piece assesses the company's growth prospects, which could inform how shareholders and potential investors view its valuation and momentum.

Frontdoor (FTDR) is an Incredible Growth Stock: 3 Reasons Why

Zacks Investment Research · 27 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research published an article highlighting Frontdoor (FTDR) as a strong growth stock, citing its solid growth attributes as a reason it could produce exceptional returns.

Why it matters — The piece signals that analysts see Frontdoor's growth characteristics as a notable strength, which FTDR watchers may consider when evaluating the company's prospects.

Here's Why Frontdoor (FTDR) Is a Great 'Buy the Bottom' Stock Now

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Aug 2026positive

Frontdoor (FTDR) has formed a hammer chart pattern after losing value recently, suggesting the stock has found support. This pattern, combined with an upward trend in earnings estimate revisions, could lead to a near-term trend reversal.

Why it matters — A Frontdoor watcher would care because the technical support signal and rising earnings estimate revisions may point to a potential turnaround in the stock's near-term direction.

Frontdoor Sees Member Growth Return as Housing, HVAC and Renewals Gain Momentum

MarketBeat · 14 Aug 2026positive

Frontdoor CFO Jason Bailey said the home warranty provider expects member growth to return this year for the first time since 2020, citing improving real estate-channel conditions, continued direct-to-consumer growth, and strong renewal rates.

Why it matters — A return to member growth would mark a meaningful turnaround for Frontdoor after years of decline, signalling healthier fundamentals for the company.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about FTDR stock

What is the FTDR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Frontdoor, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $96, with estimates ranging from $91 to $105. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is FTDR stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Frontdoor, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Frontdoor, Inc. 77 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 17 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank FTDR?

As at 17 Sept 2026, Frontdoor, Inc. ranks 77 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (96 of 100).

Will FTDR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +22.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Frontdoor, Inc. 77 out of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the FTDR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Frontdoor, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FTDR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $91 to $105 over the next 12 months.

How has FTDR stock performed over the past year?

Frontdoor, Inc. returned +16.7% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Frontdoor, Inc. do?

Frontdoor Inc. is a U.S.

What is the latest news on FTDR?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 17 Sept 2026): "5 Building Product Stocks to Buy on Infrastructure & Data Center Boom". Zacks highlights infrastructure, data center and innovation demand as supporting building products companies including Frontdoor (FTDR), alongside URI, OC, ECG and AGX, even amid housing and cost pressures.

Company

About Frontdoor, Inc.

Frontdoor Inc. is a U.S. provider of home service plans and warranty solutions focused on protecting residential property owners from the cost of unexpected breakdowns. The company offers customizable coverage for essential home systems and appliances, including heating and cooling, plumbing, electrical, water heaters, and major kitchen equipment. Its services are delivered through well-known brands such as American Home Shield, HSA, OneGuard, and Landmark, serving homeowners and new home builders across the United States. Frontdoor Inc. operates in the home services market, where it supports maintenance, repair, and replacement needs through contract-based plans and a network of independent contractors. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, the company plays a significant role in the residential warranty segment by helping customers manage routine upkeep and unplanned repair demands.

CEO Mr. William C. Cobb · 2,034 employees · United States · https://www.frontdoorhome.com