GOConsumer Defensive · Grocery StoresThe 14 Wall Street analysts covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $11 — -17.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 56 of 100 as at 24 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (92): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Volatility (31): The share price moves around a lot.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −17.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 9 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sept 2026 | B of A Securities | Upgrade | Buy | $13 → $15 |
| 17 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 17 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $10 → $12 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 13 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $9.00 → $12 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $7.00 → $11 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Market Perform | $9.00 → $12 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $9.00 → $11 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 14 May 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 14 May 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $7.00 → $9.00 |
| 14 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $6.00 → $8.00 |
| 14 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 14 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 14 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $7.00 → $9.00 |
| 5 Mar 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 5 Mar 2026 | Jefferies | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 5 Mar 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
GO appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 23 Oct 2026, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. returned −14.1% against +14.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 4% of US stocks
Cheaper than 88% of US stocks
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Cheaper than 23% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 34% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 21% of US stocks
Higher than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. has a market value of $1.3B and an enterprise value of $3.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.7B. The latest quarter grew 1.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$381.3M, a −8.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−3.87.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$5.0M.
Trailing P/E: 151.8×; forward P/E: 19.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. employs 1,642 people — $2.9M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Bank of America recommended Grocery Outlet Holdings, along with BWX Technologies and DraftKings, ahead of their third-quarter results. The excerpt says each company is backed by a different argument.
Why it matters — GO watchers may note the Bank of America recommendation ahead of the company’s third-quarter report.
Grocery Outlet (GO) reported earnings approximately 30 days ago, and since that report the stock has risen 2.6%. The article examines what may come next for the company following its latest earnings release.
Why it matters — A Grocery Outlet watcher would care because the piece assesses the stock's movement since the last earnings report, offering perspective on where the company stands in the post-earnings period.
Grocery Outlet director Jaros purchased 15,000 shares at $11.70, for an approximate total of $176,000. The shares bought represent 16% of the insider's prior total equity stake.
Why it matters — A director's significant share purchase is a notable insider transaction that GO watchers often monitor as a signal of confidence in the company.
Seeking Alpha reports that Grocery Outlet offers deep value through opportunistic buying but has defective fundamentals, with declining comp sales, compressed margins since 2019, and negative trailing-twelve-month net income margins despite a recent return to profitability. Rapid expansion, supply chain disruptions, and a botched ERP rollout have hampered the company's turnaround efforts.
Why it matters — GO watchers would care because the article highlights persistent fundamental challenges—including margin compression and operational disruptions—that are pressuring Grocery Outlet's unique business model despite its recent return to profitability.
Zacks Investment Research notes that investors should pay close attention to Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) stock based on recent movements in the options market. The article highlights that options activity may be signaling a potential spike in the stock.
Why it matters — GO watchers would care because unusual options market activity can foreshadow notable price movement in the stock.
The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $11, with estimates ranging from $6 to $15. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 14 analysts covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp., 1 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. 56 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 24 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 24 Oct 2026, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ranks 56 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (92 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies -17.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. 56 out of 100 as at 24 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $6 to $15 over the next 12 months.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. returned -14.1% over the 12 months to 23 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is a discount grocery retailer that operates a network of independently run supermarket stores in the United States.
The most recent item we track (Invezz, 12 Oct 2026): "BofA says buy these 3 stocks ahead of earnings". Bank of America recommended Grocery Outlet Holdings, along with BWX Technologies and DraftKings, ahead of their third-quarter results. The excerpt says each company is backed by a different argument.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is a discount grocery retailer that operates a network of independently run supermarket stores in the United States. The company focuses on quality, name-brand consumables and fresh products sold at value-oriented prices, serving shoppers looking for everyday groceries, produce, refrigerated and frozen foods, meat and seafood, beer and wine, health and beauty care, and general merchandise. Its business model centers on opportunistic purchasing of overstocked, closeout, and excess inventory, which supports a changing assortment of products across its stores. Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is positioned in the consumer staples sector and plays a role in the market as a specialty retailer that emphasizes convenience, affordability, and a neighborhood-store format. The company is headquartered in Emeryville, California.
CEO Mr. Jason Potter · 1,642 employees · United States · https://www.groceryoutlet.com
