GOConsumer Defensive · Grocery StoresThe 14 Wall Street analysts covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $11 — -5.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 50 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (92): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Momentum (22): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −5.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $10 → $12 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $9.00 → $12 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $7.00 → $11 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Market Perform | $9.00 → $12 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $9.00 → $11 |
| 14 May 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 14 May 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $7.00 → $9.00 |
| 14 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 14 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $6.00 → $8.00 |
| 14 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $7.00 → $9.00 |
| 14 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 5 Mar 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 5 Mar 2026 | Jefferies | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 5 Mar 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 5 Mar 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 5 Mar 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 25 Feb 2026 | Wells Fargo | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 19 Feb 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. GO appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 5% of US stocks
Cheaper than 91% of US stocks
Cheaper than 60% of US stocks
Cheaper than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 34% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 21% of US stocks
Higher than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
A Grocery Outlet insider purchased 8,000 shares on August 20, 2026, for a total of $87,200, increasing their direct equity holdings by 12%. The purchase comes amid a 40% decline in the company's stock.
Why it matters — An insider's purchase of shares may signal confidence in the company to investors watching Grocery Outlet during a period of significant stock decline.
The article notes that while the S&P 500 has continued reaching record highs amid a resilient earnings season, some quality growth stocks have not participated in the rally. Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is presented as one of these beaten-down stocks that has not gotten the message about the index's record run.
Why it matters — A GO watcher would care because the piece highlights that Grocery Outlet has lagged the broader market's record performance despite its quality-growth status.
Grocery Outlet, a California-based discount grocery chain, has closed eight locations in the state. The closures affect multiple stores across California.
Why it matters — Store closures in its home state signal operational challenges for Grocery Outlet that could affect its footprint and performance.
Grocery Outlet Bargain Market announced in March plans to close 36 underperforming locations across six states as part of a broader restructuring. The closures are aimed at strengthening long-term profitability and optimizing its existing store footprint.
Why it matters — GO watners would care because the store closures signal a restructuring effort that could affect the company's footprint and future profitability.
Grocery Outlet announced the completion of its 16th annual Independence from Hunger Food Drive, which raised over $4 million to support local food banks. The campaign was announced via a press release on August 17, 2026.
Why it matters — The milestone charitable fundraising highlights Grocery Outlet's community engagement and brand initiatives, which are relevant to observers tracking the company's corporate activities.
The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $11, with estimates ranging from $6 to $13. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 14 analysts covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp., 0 rate it a Buy, 13 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. 50 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Aug 2026, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ranks 50 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (92 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies -5.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. 50 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $6 to $13 over the next 12 months.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. returned -35.8% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is a grocery retailer in the United States specializing in an extreme value model.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 23 Aug 2026): "A Grocery Outlet Insider Purchases 8,000 Shares Amid a 40% Stock Decline". A Grocery Outlet insider purchased 8,000 shares on August 20, 2026, for a total of $87,200, increasing their direct equity holdings by 12%. The purchase comes amid a 40% decline in the company's stock.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is a grocery retailer in the United States specializing in an extreme value model. It offers quality, name-brand consumables and fresh products, including dairy, deli, produce, floral, fresh meat, seafood, grocery staples, general merchandise, health and beauty care, frozen foods, beer, wine, and ethnic items, at prices significantly below conventional retailers. The company operates through a network of independently operated stores run by entrepreneurial operators, which provide personalized customer service and localized product selections to create a neighborhood feel. These stores span multiple states such as California, Washington, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Idaho, Nevada, Maryland, North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Georgia, Alabama, Delaware, Kentucky, and Virginia. Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. focuses on the supermarkets and other grocery stores industry within the retail trade sector, emphasizing opportunistic buying of overstocked, closeout, and discounted products directly from manufacturers. Founded in 1946 and headquartered in Emeryville, California, it serves budget-conscious consumers seeking affordable access to premium and everyday groceries.
CEO Mr. Jason Potter · 1,642 employees · United States · https://www.groceryoutlet.com