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GO Stock Forecast: Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Sept 2026
$12
+0.65% on the day

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $11 — -11.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 55 of 100 as at 3 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$1.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
55 / 100
Median analyst target
$11
Analysts covering
14
Revenue$1.2B+3.6% y/y
Operating income−$1.8M
Net income−$180.3M
Free cash flow−$4.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 Mar 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.7%
1M
+23.9%
YTD
+22.6%
1Y
−31.7%
From 52W high
−32.4%
From 52W low
+113.8%
$6
$18
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

GO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Sept 2026
55 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
92
Revisions
77
Value
55
Growth
47
Size
43
Quality
41
Issuance
38
Volatility
36
Momentum
35

Accruals (92): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Momentum (35): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

GO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$6$8$10$12$14$16$18Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26GOHigh $13Median $11Low $6

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says14 analysts
0 Buy13 Hold1 Sell
Low $6Median $11High $13

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −11.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
17 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$10 → $12
13 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$9.00 → $12
13 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$7.00 → $11
13 Aug 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsMarket Perform$9.00 → $12
13 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$9.00 → $11
14 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$7.00 → $9.00
14 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
14 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
14 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$6.00 → $8.00
14 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$7.00 → $9.00
14 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
5 Mar 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
5 Mar 2026JefferiesDowngradeHold—
5 Mar 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
5 Mar 2026Telsey Advisory GroupDowngradeMarket Perform—
5 Mar 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
25 Feb 2026Wells FargoDowngradeEqual-Weight—
19 Feb 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell—
17 Feb 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsOutperform—
15 Jan 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. GO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

GO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Sept 2026, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. returned −31.7% against +20.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

GO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
20406080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26GOS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

GO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+7.5%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
151.8×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.3×

Cheaper than 91% of US stocks

Price / book
1.5×

Cheaper than 58% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
14.6×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.1%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
13.4%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Gross margin
29.6%

Higher than 34% of US stocks

Operating margin
1.8%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Net margin
−8.0%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−38.1%

Higher than 25% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.4%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. has a market value of $1.2B and an enterprise value of $3.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $4.7B. The latest quarter grew 1.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$381.9M, a −8.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−3.88.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $3.9M, after $190.6M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 98.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 151.8×; forward P/E: 17.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. employs 1,642 people — $2.9M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 Mar 2026 · market figures as at 3 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

GO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelGrocery Stores
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
GOGrocery Outlet Holding Corp.$1.2B
55
YSWYYesway, Inc.$1.5B
4
IMKTAIngles Markets, Inc.$1.5B
89
WMKWeis Markets, Inc.$1.8B
65
NGVCNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.$627.4M
65
VLGEAVillage Super Market, Inc.$580.6M
83
DNUTKrispy Kreme, Inc.$575.8M
65

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest GO news & analysis

Grocery Outlet: Interesting Idea, Decent Earnings, But Defective Fundamentals

Seeking Alpha · 1 Sept 2026negative

Seeking Alpha reports that Grocery Outlet offers deep value through opportunistic buying but has defective fundamentals, with declining comp sales, compressed margins since 2019, and negative trailing-twelve-month net income margins despite a recent return to profitability. Rapid expansion, supply chain disruptions, and a botched ERP rollout have hampered the company's turnaround efforts.

Why it matters — GO watchers would care because the article highlights persistent fundamental challenges—including margin compression and operational disruptions—that are pressuring Grocery Outlet's unique business model despite its recent return to profitability.

Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Grocery Outlet Holding Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research notes that investors should pay close attention to Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) stock based on recent movements in the options market. The article highlights that options activity may be signaling a potential spike in the stock.

Why it matters — GO watchers would care because unusual options market activity can foreshadow notable price movement in the stock.

A Grocery Outlet Insider Purchases 8,000 Shares Amid a 40% Stock Decline

The Motley Fool · 23 Aug 2026positive

A Grocery Outlet insider purchased 8,000 shares on August 20, 2026, for a total of $87,200, increasing their direct equity holdings by 12%. The purchase comes amid a 40% decline in the company's stock.

Why it matters — An insider's purchase of shares may signal confidence in the company to investors watching Grocery Outlet during a period of significant stock decline.

3 Beaten-Down Stocks That Haven't Gotten the Message About the S&P 500's Record Run

MarketBeat · 22 Aug 2026neutral

The article notes that while the S&P 500 has continued reaching record highs amid a resilient earnings season, some quality growth stocks have not participated in the rally. Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is presented as one of these beaten-down stocks that has not gotten the message about the index's record run.

Why it matters — A GO watcher would care because the piece highlights that Grocery Outlet has lagged the broader market's record performance despite its quality-growth status.

California budget chain Grocery Outlet closing multiple stores

New York Post · 19 Aug 2026negative

Grocery Outlet, a California-based discount grocery chain, has closed eight locations in the state. The closures affect multiple stores across California.

Why it matters — Store closures in its home state signal operational challenges for Grocery Outlet that could affect its footprint and performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about GO stock

What is the GO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $11, with estimates ranging from $6 to $13. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is GO stock a buy right now?

Of the 14 analysts covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp., 0 rate it a Buy, 13 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. 55 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank GO?

As at 3 Sept 2026, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ranks 55 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (92 of 100).

Will GO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies -11.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. 55 out of 100 as at 3 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the GO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $6 to $13 over the next 12 months.

How has GO stock performed over the past year?

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. returned -31.7% over the 12 months to 4 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. do?

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is a discount grocery retailer that operates a network of independently run supermarket stores in the United States.

What is the latest news on GO?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 1 Sept 2026): "Grocery Outlet: Interesting Idea, Decent Earnings, But Defective Fundamentals". Seeking Alpha reports that Grocery Outlet offers deep value through opportunistic buying but has defective fundamentals, with declining comp sales, compressed margins since 2019, and negative trailing-twelve-month net income margins despite a recent return to profitability. Rapid expansion, supply chain disruptions, and a botched ERP rollout have hampered the company's turnaround efforts.

Company

About Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is a discount grocery retailer that operates a network of independently run supermarket stores in the United States. The company focuses on quality, name-brand consumables and fresh products sold at value-oriented prices, serving shoppers looking for everyday groceries, produce, refrigerated and frozen foods, meat and seafood, beer and wine, health and beauty care, and general merchandise. Its business model centers on opportunistic purchasing of overstocked, closeout, and excess inventory, which supports a changing assortment of products across its stores. Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is positioned in the consumer staples sector and plays a role in the market as a specialty retailer that emphasizes convenience, affordability, and a neighborhood-store format. The company is headquartered in Emeryville, California.

CEO Mr. Jason Potter · 1,642 employees · United States · https://www.groceryoutlet.com