KGKGFinancial Services · Insurance - Reinsurance

KG Stock Forecast: Kestrel Group Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$5.86
−5.18% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 31 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$48.4M
Ticker Nerd rank
31 / 100
Median analyst target
Analysts covering
Revenue$9.0M+1541.8% y/y
Net income−$8.1M
Free cash flow−$25.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−10.8%
1M
−26.7%
YTD
−42.8%
1Y
−79.2%
From 52W high
−79.8%
From 52W low
0.0%
$6
$29
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

KG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Kestrel Group Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
31 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
100
Accruals
88
Size
83
Issuance
38
Value
34
Revisions
25
Quality
13
Volatility
5
Momentum
2

Growth (100): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Momentum (2): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

KG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on KG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5$10$15$20$25$30Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26KG

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. KG appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

KG vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, Kestrel Group Ltd. returned −79.2% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

KG vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
20406080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26KGS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

KG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Fundamentals

Kestrel Group Ltd. (KG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
1.6×

Cheaper than 70% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.1×

Cheaper than 67% of US stocks

Price / book
0.4×

Cheaper than 86% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
20.1%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
1541.8%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
−97.1%

Higher than 14% of US stocks

Net margin
−86.0%

Higher than 7% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−26.9%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Return on assets
−1.1%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.2%

Higher than 67% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Kestrel Group Ltd. (KG) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Kestrel Group Ltd. has a market value of $48.4M and an enterprise value of $209.3M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $52.3M. The latest quarter grew 20.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$38.3M, a −73.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−4.93.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$116.4M.

  • Shares outstanding: 7.8M.

  • Trailing P/E: 1.6×.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.24%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Kestrel Group Ltd. employs 44 people $1.2M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 18 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

KG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Reinsurance
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
KGKestrel Group Ltd.$48.4M
31
OXBROxbridge Re Holdings Ltd.$12.0M
32
GLREGreenlight Capital Re Ltd.$512.5M
72
MGLDThe Marygold Cos, Inc.*$45.4M
91
MBBCMarathon Bancorp, Inc.*$45.2M
40
HGBLHeritage Global, Inc.*$46.5M
67
KFFBKentucky First Federal Bancorp*$47.0M
59

* Nearest Financial Services names by size — few insurance - reinsurance companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Kestrel Group Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest KG news & analysis

Kestrel Group Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results

PRNewsWire · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Kestrel Group reported its second quarter 2026 financial results, showing growth in Program Services fee income, fee revenue, and premium produced, while also reporting a net loss of $8.1 million.

Why it matters — The results highlight continued growth in the company's core Program Services segment alongside an overall net loss, giving investors a mixed picture of performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about KG stock

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank KG?

As at 19 Sept 2026, Kestrel Group Ltd. ranks 31 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (100 of 100).

What is the KG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Kestrel Group Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for KG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

How has KG stock performed over the past year?

Kestrel Group Ltd. returned -79.2% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Kestrel Group Ltd. do?

Kestrel Group Ltd. is a Bermuda-based specialty insurance platform focused on fronting services for insurance program managers, managing general agents, reinsurers, and reinsurance brokers.

What is the latest news on KG?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 7 Aug 2026): "Kestrel Group Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results". Kestrel Group reported its second quarter 2026 financial results, showing growth in Program Services fee income, fee revenue, and premium produced, while also reporting a net loss of $8.1 million.

Company

About Kestrel Group Ltd.

Kestrel Group Ltd. is a Bermuda-based specialty insurance platform focused on fronting services for insurance program managers, managing general agents, reinsurers, and reinsurance brokers. The company facilitates insurance transactions through management contracts with multiple insurance carriers, supporting both admitted and surplus lines across the United States. Its current operations are organized around Program Services and Legacy Reinsurance, with business written across casualty, workers’ compensation, and property-related lines. Kestrel Group Ltd. serves as an intermediary that helps structure and place insurance programs while generally avoiding substantial underwriting risk. The company plays a niche role in the insurance market by connecting distribution partners with carrier capacity and supporting specialized program business.

CEO Mr. Bradford Luke Ledbetter · 44 employees · Bermuda · https://www.kestrelgroup.com