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LGIHLGIHConsumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

LGIH Stock Forecast: LGI Homes, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 30 Oct 2026
$44
+1.44% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering LGI Homes, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $93 — +109.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 26 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$1.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
26/ 100
Median analyst target
$93
Analysts covering
2
Revenue$516.0M+6.7% y/y
Operating income$29.0M
Net income$27.0M
Free cash flow$113.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.5%
1M
−4.9%
YTD
+3.3%
1Y
+8.7%
From 52W high
−32.6%
From 52W low
+29.6%
$34
$66
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

LGIH stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores LGI Homes, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 31 Oct 2026
26/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
89
Accruals
69
Momentum
51
Size
44
Revisions
39
Value
31
Quality
15
Volatility
13
Growth
9

Issuance (89): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Growth (9): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

LGIH stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on LGIH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60$70$80$90$100Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26LGIHHigh $93Median $93Low $93

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says2 analysts
1 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $93Median $93High $93

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +109.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
30 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight$38 → $41
7 Jan 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
14 Oct 2025JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
6 Oct 2025WedbushReiteratesNeutral—
27 Aug 2025JMP SecuritiesMaintainsMarket Outperform—
7 Aug 2025JMP SecuritiesMaintainsMarket Outperform—
9 July 2025JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
17 June 2025Texas Capital SecuritiesInitiatesHold—
5 June 2025WedbushMaintainsNeutral—
30 Apr 2025JMP SecuritiesReiteratesMarket Outperform—
21 Apr 2025WedbushMaintainsNeutral—
26 Feb 2025Citizens Capital MarketsMaintainsMarket Outperform—
27 Jan 2025Seaport GlobalUpgradeNeutral—
14 Jan 2025JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
10 Jan 2025JMP SecuritiesReiteratesMarket Outperform—
7 Jan 2025WedbushMaintainsNeutral—
13 Dec 2024JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
4 Oct 2024WedbushReiteratesNeutral—
9 Sept 2024WedbushUpgradeNeutral—
5 Aug 2024Seaport GlobalDowngradeSell—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

LGIH appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

LGIH vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, LGI Homes, Inc. returned +8.7% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

LGIH vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26LGIHS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

LGIH analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−17.3%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
15.6×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.6×

Cheaper than 77% of US stocks

Price / book
0.5×

Cheaper than 83% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
35.0×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.7%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−14.4%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Gross margin
19.7%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Operating margin
5.7%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Net margin
3.9%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
3.2%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.1%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • LGI Homes, Inc. has a market value of $1.0B and an enterprise value of $2.6B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.7B. The latest quarter grew 5.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $66.2M, a 3.9% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.85.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $131.0M.

  • LGI Homes, Inc. spent $0.0 on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 23.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: 15.6×; forward P/E: 13.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • LGI Homes, Inc. employs 1,056 people — $1.6M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 1 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

LGIH vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResidential Construction
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
LGIHLGI Homes, Inc.$1.0B26
BZHBeazer Homes USA, Inc.$915.1M—
DFHDream Finders Homes, Inc.$908.1M4
LEGHLegacy Housing Corp.$699.1M76
HOVHovnanian Enterprises, Inc.$593.7M53
BXBLBoxabl, Inc.$475.7M6
GRBKGreen Brick Partners, Inc.$2.6B31

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own LGI Homes, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest LGIH news & analysis

LGI Homes Will Likely Continue Underperforming The Market

Seeking Alpha · 20 Oct 2026negative

Seeking Alpha says LGI Homes faces continued pressure from high leverage, a premium valuation, and declining profitability despite revenue growth. It cites rising rates, inflation, weaker consumer demand, higher cancellations, slower order growth, and $1.52 billion in net debt with a 9.38 net leverage ratio.

Why it matters — These concerns highlight risks to LGIH’s profitability and demand, alongside leverage well above peers.

LGI Homes, Inc. Reports September and Third Quarter 2026 Home Closings and Announces Date for Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call

GlobeNewsWire · 5 Oct 2026positive

LGI Homes reported it closed 386 homes in September 2026, up 9.0% from 354 in September 2025, and 1,222 homes in the third quarter of 2026, up 10.4% from 1,107 in the prior-year period. The figures include leased single-family rental homes, and the company announced the date for its third-quarter earnings conference call.

Why it matters — The double-digit quarter-over-quarter growth in home closings signals strengthening demand and could factor into the company's upcoming third-quarter earnings report.

LGI Homes & Terrata Homes Launches “Make Your Move” National Sales Event with Limited-Time Savings and Incentives

GlobeNewsWire · 21 Sept 2026positive

LGI Homes announced its "Make Your Move" National Sales Event, offering limited-time savings and incentives on select move-in ready homes across its LGI Homes and Terrata Homes brands. The promotion is now underway.

Why it matters — This sales-driven promotion could help drive homebuyer interest and move-in ready home sales for LGIH in the near term.

As Mortgage Rates Hit 7%, Home Builders Flash a Buy Signal

Barrons · 11 Sept 2026positive

Mortgage rates have reached 7%, pressuring home builder stocks. However, according to Barron's, a valuation signal has historically preceded strong returns for the sector.

Why it matters — As a home builder, LGI Homes is directly exposed to the mortgage-rate environment, and this historical valuation signal is relevant to watchers assessing the sector's prospects.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about LGIH stock

What is the LGIH stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering LGI Homes, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $93, with estimates ranging from $93 to $93. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is LGIH stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering LGI Homes, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks LGI Homes, Inc. 26 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank LGIH?

As at 31 Oct 2026, LGI Homes, Inc. ranks 26 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (89 of 100).

Will LGIH stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +109.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks LGI Homes, Inc. 26 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the LGIH stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering LGI Homes, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for LGIH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $93 to $93 over the next 12 months.

How has LGIH stock performed over the past year?

LGI Homes, Inc. returned +8.7% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does LGI Homes, Inc. do?

LGI Homes, Inc. is a U.S.

What is the latest news on LGIH?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 20 Oct 2026): "LGI Homes Will Likely Continue Underperforming The Market". Seeking Alpha says LGI Homes faces continued pressure from high leverage, a premium valuation, and declining profitability despite revenue growth. It cites rising rates, inflation, weaker consumer demand, higher cancellations, slower order growth, and $1.52 billion in net debt with a 9.38 net leverage ratio.

Company

About LGI Homes, Inc.

LGI Homes, Inc. is a U.S. residential homebuilder focused on the design, construction, marketing, and sale of new homes. The company serves a broad range of buyers through attached and detached entry-level homes, active adult communities, and luxury homes offered under the LGI Homes and Terrata Homes brands. It also operates a wholesale homebuilding business that sells homes to institutional buyers interested in single-family rental properties. LGI Homes works across multiple geographic markets in the United States, supporting demand in growing suburban and exurban areas. Founded in 2003 and headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, LGI Homes plays a notable role in the homebuilding sector by emphasizing attainable housing and a vertically integrated operating model that spans land sourcing, development, construction, sales, and warranty support.

CEO Mr. Eric Thomas Lipar · 1,056 employees · United States · https://www.lgihomes.com