LGIHConsumer Cyclical · Residential ConstructionThe 2 Wall Street analysts covering LGI Homes, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $93 — +88.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 35 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores LGI Homes, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (88): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Growth (9): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on LGIH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +88.2% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | $38 → $41 |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 14 Oct 2025 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 6 Oct 2025 | Wedbush | Reiterates | Neutral | — |
| 27 Aug 2025 | JMP Securities | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 7 Aug 2025 | JMP Securities | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 9 July 2025 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 17 June 2025 | Texas Capital Securities | Initiates | Hold | — |
| 5 June 2025 | Wedbush | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 Apr 2025 | JMP Securities | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Wedbush | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 26 Feb 2025 | Citizens Capital Markets | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 27 Jan 2025 | Seaport Global | Upgrade | Neutral | — |
| 14 Jan 2025 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 10 Jan 2025 | JMP Securities | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
| 7 Jan 2025 | Wedbush | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 13 Dec 2024 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 4 Oct 2024 | Wedbush | Reiterates | Neutral | — |
| 9 Sept 2024 | Wedbush | Upgrade | Neutral | — |
| 5 Aug 2024 | Seaport Global | Downgrade | Sell | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. LGIH appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, LGI Homes, Inc. returned −21.6% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 42% of US stocks
Cheaper than 77% of US stocks
Cheaper than 84% of US stocks
Cheaper than 7% of US stocks
Higher than 41% of US stocks
Higher than 23% of US stocks
Higher than 20% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
LGI Homes, Inc. has a market value of $1.1B and an enterprise value of $2.7B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.7B. The latest quarter grew 5.7% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $66.2M, a 3.9% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.85.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $131.0M.
LGI Homes, Inc. spent $0.0 on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 17.1×; forward P/E: 14.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
LGI Homes, Inc. employs 1,056 people — $1.6M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own LGI Homes, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Mortgage rates have reached 7%, pressuring home builder stocks. However, according to Barron's, a valuation signal has historically preceded strong returns for the sector.
Why it matters — As a home builder, LGI Homes is directly exposed to the mortgage-rate environment, and this historical valuation signal is relevant to watchers assessing the sector's prospects.
LGI Homes, Inc. announced it closed 409 homes in August 2026, including 9 leased or previously leased single-family rental homes. That total represents a 9.9% increase compared with the 372 homes closed in August 2025.
Why it matters — A year-over-year rise in monthly home closings signals growing sales volume for LGIH watchers tracking the company's operational momentum.
LGI Homes, Inc. reported it closed 427 homes in July 2026, including 16 currently or previously leased single-family rental homes. This marks a 12.1% increase compared to 381 homes closed in July 2025.
Why it matters — The year-over-year rise in monthly home closings is a key operational metric for LGIH watchers tracking the company's sales momentum.
LGI Homes held its Q2 2026 earnings call, with the transcript of the discussion published on Seeking Alpha.
Why it matters — The earnings call transcript provides investors and analysts with management's perspective on the company's quarterly financial performance and outlook.
LGI Homes reported second-quarter results featuring higher home deliveries, improved gross-margin guidance, and continued debt reduction. Management said affordability pressures and elevated mortgage rates continued to weigh on demand and cancellations.
Why it matters — A LGI Homes watcher would care because the quarter shows operational gains in deliveries, margins, and debt reduction set against persistent demand headwinds from high rates and affordability concerns.
The 2 Wall Street analysts covering LGI Homes, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $93, with estimates ranging from $93 to $93. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 2 analysts covering LGI Homes, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks LGI Homes, Inc. 35 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 12 Sept 2026, LGI Homes, Inc. ranks 35 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (88 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +88.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks LGI Homes, Inc. 35 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering LGI Homes, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for LGIH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $93 to $93 over the next 12 months.
LGI Homes, Inc. returned -21.6% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
LGI Homes, Inc. is a U.S.
The most recent item we track (Barrons, 11 Sept 2026): "As Mortgage Rates Hit 7%, Home Builders Flash a Buy Signal". Mortgage rates have reached 7%, pressuring home builder stocks. However, according to Barron's, a valuation signal has historically preceded strong returns for the sector.
LGI Homes, Inc. is a U.S. residential homebuilder focused on the design, construction, marketing, and sale of new homes. The company serves a broad range of buyers through attached and detached entry-level homes, active adult communities, and luxury homes offered under the LGI Homes and Terrata Homes brands. It also operates a wholesale homebuilding business that sells homes to institutional buyers interested in single-family rental properties. LGI Homes works across multiple geographic markets in the United States, supporting demand in growing suburban and exurban areas. Founded in 2003 and headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, LGI Homes plays a notable role in the homebuilding sector by emphasizing attainable housing and a vertically integrated operating model that spans land sourcing, development, construction, sales, and warranty support.
CEO Mr. Eric Thomas Lipar · 1,056 employees · United States · https://www.lgihomes.com
