LGIHConsumer Cyclical · Residential ConstructionThe 2 Wall Street analysts covering LGI Homes, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $93 — +59.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 33 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores LGI Homes, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (88): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Quality (9): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on LGIH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +59.9% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | $38 → $41 |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 14 Oct 2025 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 6 Oct 2025 | Wedbush | Reiterates | Neutral | — |
| 27 Aug 2025 | JMP Securities | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 7 Aug 2025 | JMP Securities | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 9 July 2025 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 17 June 2025 | Texas Capital Securities | Initiates | Hold | — |
| 5 June 2025 | Wedbush | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 Apr 2025 | JMP Securities | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Wedbush | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 26 Feb 2025 | Citizens Capital Markets | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 27 Jan 2025 | Seaport Global | Upgrade | Neutral | — |
| 14 Jan 2025 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 10 Jan 2025 | JMP Securities | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
| 7 Jan 2025 | Wedbush | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 13 Dec 2024 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 4 Oct 2024 | Wedbush | Reiterates | Neutral | — |
| 9 Sept 2024 | Wedbush | Upgrade | Neutral | — |
| 5 Aug 2024 | Seaport Global | Downgrade | Sell | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. LGIH appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 38% of US stocks
Cheaper than 75% of US stocks
Cheaper than 83% of US stocks
Cheaper than 7% of US stocks
Higher than 41% of US stocks
Higher than 23% of US stocks
Higher than 21% of US stocks
Higher than 56% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own LGI Homes, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
LGI Homes, Inc. reported it closed 427 homes in July 2026, including 16 currently or previously leased single-family rental homes. This marks a 12.1% increase compared to 381 homes closed in July 2025.
Why it matters — The year-over-year rise in monthly home closings is a key operational metric for LGIH watchers tracking the company's sales momentum.
LGI Homes held its Q2 2026 earnings call, with the transcript of the discussion published on Seeking Alpha.
Why it matters — The earnings call transcript provides investors and analysts with management's perspective on the company's quarterly financial performance and outlook.
LGI Homes reported second-quarter results featuring higher home deliveries, improved gross-margin guidance, and continued debt reduction. Management said affordability pressures and elevated mortgage rates continued to weigh on demand and cancellations.
Why it matters — A LGI Homes watcher would care because the quarter shows operational gains in deliveries, margins, and debt reduction set against persistent demand headwinds from high rates and affordability concerns.
LGI Homes, Inc. reported financial results for the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2026, with management stating the company delivered strong results that exceeded expectations across key metrics. The company also increased its full-year 2026 average sales price and homebuilding gross margin guidance ranges.
Why it matters — This update signals to investors that LGI Homes is performing better than anticipated and lifting its own expectations for key homebuilding profitability metrics for the year.
A Seeking Alpha report rates LGI Homes as Hold ahead of Q2 earnings, projecting stable gross margins of 18.5-20.5% and a 9% year-over-year increase in home closings. The article notes that despite operational stabilization, the company faces risks from high debt (44.8% debt/cap) and negative free cash flow margin.
Why it matters — LGI Homes watchers would care because the report flags ongoing balance-sheet concerns with high leverage and negative free cash flow, even as Q2 results are expected to show stable margins and higher closings within guidance.
The 2 Wall Street analysts covering LGI Homes, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $93, with estimates ranging from $93 to $93. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 2 analysts covering LGI Homes, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks LGI Homes, Inc. 33 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Aug 2026, LGI Homes, Inc. ranks 33 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (88 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +59.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks LGI Homes, Inc. 33 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering LGI Homes, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for LGIH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $93 to $93 over the next 12 months.
LGI Homes, Inc. returned -6.2% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
LGI Homes Inc. is a homebuilding company that designs, constructs, markets, and sells new homes across multiple U.S.
The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 5 Aug 2026): "LGI Homes, Inc. Reports July 2026 Home Closings". LGI Homes, Inc. reported it closed 427 homes in July 2026, including 16 currently or previously leased single-family rental homes. This marks a 12.1% increase compared to 381 homes closed in July 2025.
LGI Homes Inc. is a homebuilding company that designs, constructs, markets, and sells new homes across multiple U.S. regions. It specializes in the residential land development business, targeting first-time homebuyers with affordable entry-level housing options. The company operates through distinct segments including Central, West, Southeast, Florida, Midwest, Mid-Atlantic, and Northwest, enabling broad geographic coverage from Texas to the Pacific Northwest. LGI Homes Inc. emphasizes efficient construction processes and sales incentives to enhance affordability in varying market conditions. Its communities feature single-family homes designed for growing families, often located in growing suburban and exurban areas. Founded in 2003 and headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, LGI Homes Inc. plays a key role in addressing the demand for attainable housing in the competitive U.S. homebuilding sector, contributing to residential expansion and community development nationwide.
CEO Mr. Eric Thomas Lipar · 1,000 employees · United States · https://www.lgihomes.com