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LKQLKQConsumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

LKQ Stock Forecast: LKQ Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Sept 2026
$23
−1.84% on the day

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering LKQ Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $31 — +35.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 51 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$5.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
51 / 100
Median analyst target
$31
Analysts covering
9
Revenue$3.4B−6.4% y/y
Operating income$239.0M
Net income$136.0M
Free cash flow$60.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.5%
1M
−10.6%
YTD
−21.3%
1Y
−21.0%
From 52W high
−31.7%
From 52W low
+3.8%
$22
$34
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

LKQ stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores LKQ Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 23 Sept 2026
51 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
97
Value
91
Volatility
87
Accruals
69
Quality
54
Revisions
33
Momentum
29
Size
20
Growth
18

Issuance (97): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Growth (18): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

LKQ stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on LKQ, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$25$30$35$40Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26LKQHigh $43Median $31Low $25

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says9 analysts
7 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $25Median $31High $43

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +35.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
3 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$30 → $25
31 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$37 → $30
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$33 → $30
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
21 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight$39 → $37
21 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
7 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
7 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$34 → $33
23 Feb 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
10 Dec 2025Stephens & Co.InitiatesOverweight—
12 Nov 2025BarclaysInitiatesEqual-Weight—
3 Nov 2025Roth CapitalReiteratesBuy—
25 July 2025BairdMaintainsOutperform—
22 July 2025Barrington ResearchMaintainsOutperform—
25 Apr 2025Barrington ResearchMaintainsOutperform—
24 Apr 2025Barrington ResearchMaintainsOutperform—
21 Apr 2025Barrington ResearchMaintainsOutperform—
24 Feb 2025Barrington ResearchMaintainsOutperform—
21 Feb 2025JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
20 Feb 2025Barrington ResearchMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. LKQ appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

LKQ vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 24 Sept 2026, LKQ Corp. returned −21.0% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

LKQ vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26LKQS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

LKQ analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−9.6%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
9
Fundamentals

LKQ Corp. (LKQ) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.9×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.4×

Cheaper than 84% of US stocks

Price / book
0.9×

Cheaper than 76% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
7.8×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−3.0%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−29.2%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Gross margin
38.8%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Operating margin
7.0%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Net margin
3.4%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
7.1%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.0%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Dividend yield
5.2%

Higher than 83% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

LKQ Corp. (LKQ) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • LKQ Corp. has a market value of $5.9B and an enterprise value of $11.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $13.7B. The latest quarter shrank 3.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $461.0M, a 3.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.80.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $625.0M.

  • LKQ Corp. spent $133.0M on share buybacks and $308.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 253.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.9×; forward P/E: 7.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 5.18%, paying out 67% of earnings.

  • LKQ Corp. employs 44,000 people — $311K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 24 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

LKQ vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Parts
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
LKQLKQ Corp.$5.9B
51
LEALear Corp.$6.1B
90
MBLYMobileye Global, Inc.$6.2B
68
GTXGarrett Motion, Inc.$4.8B
97
GNTXGentex Corp.$4.7B
92
ALVAutoliv, Inc.$8.9B
81
ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.$9.6B
53

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own LKQ Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest LKQ news & analysis

Americans Are Keeping Cars Longer. These 3 Dividend Stocks Stand to Benefit

24/7 Wall Street · 16 Sept 2026positive

The article highlights that Americans are keeping their cars longer than ever, which is benefiting a segment of the auto industry known for paying consistent dividends through various economic conditions. It identifies three dividend stocks positioned to gain from this trend of extended vehicle ownership.

Why it matters — For LKQ watchers, longer vehicle ownership typically drives sustained demand for replacement parts and aftermarket products, which could support the company's core business.

Graham Value All-Stars (GVAS) Emit 10 Brilliant September Buys

Seeking Alpha · 12 Sept 2026neutral

Graham Value All-Stars published its September portfolio of 10 fairly priced large-cap value stocks, highlighting those with strong dividend yields and positive free cash flow margins. The list is projected to deliver average net gains of 36.8% by September 2027 with volatility 46% below the broader market, and the five lowest-priced, highest-yield names may outperform the top ten by 5.12% over the next year.

Why it matters — LKQ watchers may find the portfolio relevant if LKQ is among the value stocks highlighted in this September selection, which emphasizes dividend yield and free cash flow strength.

New Strong Sell Stocks for September 9th

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Sept 2026negative

LKQ, along with AGCO and AXS, was added to the Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) List on September 9, 2026, according to Zacks Investment Research.

Why it matters — A Zacks Strong Sell ranking signals a bearish rating that LKQ watchers would note as a cautionary indicator about the stock's near-term outlook.

LKQ Corporation: North America Improved, But Europe Is Still A Drag

Seeking Alpha · 5 Aug 2026negative

LKQ reported Q2 results with revenue down 6% year-over-year to $3.4B, consolidated EBITDA margin down 160 basis points to 10.2%, and adjusted EPS falling to $0.67. North America posted its first positive organic growth in nine quarters, boosted by alternative-parts adoption and stable aftermarket demand, while European operations were hampered by ERP disruptions and lost wallet share.

Why it matters — LKQ watchers would care because the report shows improving North American momentum being offset by continued weakness in the European business, leaving the company's overall outlook mixed.

LKQ Q2 Earnings Miss Estimates on Europe ERP Disruption

Zacks Investment Research · 31 July 2026negative

LKQ's Q2 earnings and revenue fell short of estimates, with an ERP rollout disruption in Europe hurting results and prompting lower 2026 guidance, though North America posted growth.

Why it matters — Investors tracking LKQ should note that the European ERP disruption is weighing on near-term performance and has caused management to revise its 2026 outlook downward.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about LKQ stock

What is the LKQ stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering LKQ Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $31, with estimates ranging from $25 to $43. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is LKQ stock a buy right now?

Of the 9 analysts covering LKQ Corp., 7 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks LKQ Corp. 51 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank LKQ?

As at 23 Sept 2026, LKQ Corp. ranks 51 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (97 of 100).

Will LKQ stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 9 analysts implies +35.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks LKQ Corp. 51 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the LKQ stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering LKQ Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for LKQ are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $25 to $43 over the next 12 months.

How has LKQ stock performed over the past year?

LKQ Corp. returned -21.0% over the 12 months to 24 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does LKQ Corp. do?

LKQ Corporation is a global distributor of alternative aftermarket, specialty salvage, and recycled automotive parts and services. The company supplies replacement components, systems, and accessories used to repair and customize automobiles, trucks, and recreational vehicles.

What is the latest news on LKQ?

The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 16 Sept 2026): "Americans Are Keeping Cars Longer. These 3 Dividend Stocks Stand to Benefit". The article highlights that Americans are keeping their cars longer than ever, which is benefiting a segment of the auto industry known for paying consistent dividends through various economic conditions. It identifies three dividend stocks positioned to gain from this trend of extended vehicle ownership.

Company

About LKQ Corp.

LKQ Corporation is a global distributor of alternative aftermarket, specialty salvage, and recycled automotive parts and services. The company supplies replacement components, systems, and accessories used to repair and customize automobiles, trucks, and recreational vehicles. Its offerings include recycled OEM parts, aftermarket collision and mechanical products, remanufactured components, paint and body repair materials, and specialty vehicle accessories. LKQ Corporation serves collision repair shops, mechanical repair businesses, dealerships, fleet operators, and retail customers across North America, Europe, and Taiwan. The company’s business is organized around regional and specialty operations that support vehicle maintenance, repair, and accessorizing needs through sourcing, processing, and distribution capabilities. LKQ Corporation plays an important role in the automotive aftermarket by helping extend vehicle life, improve repair availability, and support a broad range of service and customization markets.

CEO Mr. Justin L. Jude · 44,000 employees · United States · https://www.lkqcorp.com