MATConsumer Cyclical · LeisureThe 15 Wall Street analysts covering Mattel, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $18 — +8.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 62 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Mattel, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (90): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Growth (27): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Size (23): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MAT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +8.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | Argus Research | Reiterates | Buy | $22 |
| 14 July 2026 | Roth Capital | Maintains | Neutral | $16 → $15 |
| 14 July 2026 | Roth Capital | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 10 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $16 → $15 |
| 10 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Downgrade | Sell | $15 → $12 |
| 9 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Downgrade | Sell | — |
| 26 June 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 Apr 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 30 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 11 Mar 2026 | Wells Fargo | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 18 Feb 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 12 Feb 2026 | Citigroup | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 12 Feb 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 11 Feb 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 11 Feb 2026 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Underweight | — |
| 4 Feb 2026 | Roth Capital | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 9 Jan 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MAT appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Mattel, Inc. returned −9.9% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 53% of US stocks
Cheaper than 72% of US stocks
Cheaper than 39% of US stocks
Cheaper than 36% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Mattel, Inc. has a market value of $4.7B and an enterprise value of $6.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.5B. The latest quarter grew 10.5% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $427.4M, a 7.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.36.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $434.6M.
Mattel, Inc. spent $690.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 12.0×; forward P/E: 10.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 3.67%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Mattel, Inc. employs 31,000 people — $177K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Mattel, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Ariel Investments chairman and co-CEO John Rogers discussed the firm’s letter urging Mattel’s board to consider a sale to the right buyer. He said he believes Mattel will do the right thing for shareholders.
Why it matters — The comments highlight an investor’s call for Mattel to consider a sale, a corporate decision of interest to MAT watchers.
Ariel Investments, a major Mattel shareholder, urged the board to consider a sale or other strategic alternatives as the company works to revive its business. Ariel chairman and co-CEO John Rogers said a strategic buyer could pay a significant premium to Mattel’s current share price, according to Reuters, which cited a letter seen by the news agency.
Why it matters — The proposal puts potential strategic options for Mattel on the agenda for investors following the company’s efforts to revive its business.
Mattel shares fell about 3% on Tuesday after investor Ariel Investments urged the toymaker to explore strategic alternatives, including a sale, merger or major asset divestiture.
Why it matters — The call for a strategic review could put potential changes to Mattel’s ownership or asset structure in focus for MAT investors.
Mattel is reportedly facing growing shareholder pressure to explore a potential sale, as investors question the toy maker’s valuation and stalled progress.
Why it matters — The reported pressure could put strategic options for Mattel, including a sale, under greater focus among MAT watchers.
Ariel Investments and Southeastern Asset Management are pressuring Mattel to explore strategic alternatives, including a sale, amid weaker profitability following Barbie-related gains.
Why it matters — The activist push and profitability weakness may influence Mattel’s strategic direction and are relevant to MAT investors monitoring the company.
The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Mattel, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $18, with estimates ranging from $11 to $28. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 15 analysts covering Mattel, Inc., 9 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Mattel, Inc. 62 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 8 Oct 2026, Mattel, Inc. ranks 62 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (90 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 15 analysts implies +8.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Mattel, Inc. 62 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Mattel, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MAT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $11 to $28 over the next 12 months.
Mattel, Inc. returned -9.9% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Mattel Inc. is a global toy and family entertainment company that designs, manufactures, markets, and sells products for children, families, and collectors.
The most recent item we track (CNBC Television, 7 Oct 2026): "Ariel's John Rogers on urging Mattel to consider a sale: They'll do the right thing for shareholders". Ariel Investments chairman and co-CEO John Rogers discussed the firm’s letter urging Mattel’s board to consider a sale to the right buyer. He said he believes Mattel will do the right thing for shareholders.
Mattel Inc. is a global toy and family entertainment company that designs, manufactures, markets, and sells products for children, families, and collectors. Its portfolio spans dolls, vehicles, playsets, games, books, content, and lifestyle products across well-known brands such as Barbie, Hot Wheels, Fisher-Price, American Girl, Thomas & Friends, Matchbox, and Polly Pocket. The company serves retail and wholesale channels in North America and international markets, reaching consumers through a broad mix of toys, consumer products, publishing, and entertainment-driven merchandise. Mattel also operates American Girl as a dedicated segment focused on dolls, accessories, retail, and publishing. Through its owned franchises, Mattel holds a significant position in the recreational products market and remains a major participant in the broader children’s entertainment and play industry.
CEO Mr. Ynon Kreiz · 31,000 employees · United States · https://corporate.mattel.com
