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MAT Stock Forecast: Mattel, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 30 Oct 2026
$15
−0.36% on the day

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Mattel, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $18 — +16.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 56 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$4.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
56/ 100
Median analyst target
$18
Analysts covering
15
Revenue$1.1B+10.5% y/y
Operating income$10.9M
Net income−$18.2M
Free cash flow−$239.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−6.0%
1M
+21.8%
YTD
−22.3%
1Y
−17.0%
From 52W high
−30.4%
From 52W low
+21.8%
$13
$22
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MAT stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Mattel, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 31 Oct 2026
56/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
89
Value
82
Issuance
77
Accruals
61
Volatility
58
Momentum
39
Revisions
39
Growth
28
Size
24

Quality (89): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Growth (28): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (24): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

MAT stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MAT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$15$20$25$30Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MATHigh $28Median $18Low $11

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says15 analysts
10 Buy3 Hold2 Sell
Low $11Median $18High $28

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +16.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
13 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$15 → $17
12 Oct 2026Seaport GlobalUpgradeBuy$20
25 Aug 2026Argus ResearchReiteratesBuy—
25 Aug 2026Argus ResearchReiteratesBuy$22
14 July 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsNeutral$16 → $15
14 July 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsNeutral—
10 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$16 → $15
10 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
9 July 2026Goldman SachsDowngradeSell$15 → $12
9 July 2026Goldman SachsDowngradeSell—
26 June 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
30 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
30 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
11 Mar 2026Wells FargoInitiatesOverweight—
18 Feb 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
12 Feb 2026CitigroupDowngradeNeutral—
12 Feb 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
11 Feb 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
11 Feb 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
11 Feb 2026JP MorganDowngradeUnderweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

MAT appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

MAT vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Mattel, Inc. returned −17.0% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MAT vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MATS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MAT analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−2.4%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Mattel, Inc. (MAT) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.3×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.8×

Cheaper than 72% of US stocks

Price / book
2.2×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.1×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
10.5%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
10.5%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Gross margin
48.2%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Operating margin
1.3%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Net margin
7.8%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
20.5%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.7%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.9%

Higher than 90% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Mattel, Inc. (MAT) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Mattel, Inc. has a market value of $4.4B and an enterprise value of $6.6B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.5B. The latest quarter grew 10.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $427.4M, a 7.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.36.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $434.6M.

  • Mattel, Inc. spent $690.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 285.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.3×; forward P/E: 9.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.89%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Mattel, Inc. employs 31,000 people — $177K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 31 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MAT vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelLeisure
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MATMattel, Inc.$4.4B56
PLNTPlanet Fitness, Inc.$4.3B79
GOLFAcushnet Holdings Corp.$5.0B71
YETIYETI Holdings, Inc.$3.3B69
OSWOneSpaWorld Holdings Ltd.$3.1B83
PTONPeloton Interactive, Inc.$2.2B79
LTHLife Time Group Holdings, Inc.$10.0B68

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Mattel, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MAT news & analysis

Fisher-Price Hosts First-Ever Mini Marathon in NYC; Partners with Mom Walk Collective to Celebrate First Steps & Big Milestones

Business Wire · 28 Oct 2026positive

Mattel announced that Fisher-Price held its first Mini Marathon at New York City’s Union Square on October 27, 2026, and is expanding the event to five additional cities. The initiative celebrates babies’ developmental milestones and movement in early childhood.

Why it matters — The event extends Fisher-Price’s family-focused brand activity to more cities, which may be relevant to watchers of Mattel’s brand and marketing efforts.

The Biggest Price Hike in 49 Years Just Hit a Christmas Staple — and Families Could Feel It This Holiday Season

24/7 Wall Street · 22 Oct 2026negative

The article says Christmas shopping is facing financial pressure this year as families contend with higher prices for groceries, electricity, gasoline, and other everyday necessities. Its headline describes a 49-year-high price hike affecting a Christmas staple, though the excerpt does not identify the item.

Why it matters — Holiday budget pressures may be relevant to MAT watchers considering the consumer backdrop for seasonal shopping.

Mattel Enters into Cooperation Agreement with EdgePoint Investment Group Inc.

Business Wire · 21 Oct 2026neutral

Mattel entered into a cooperation agreement with EdgePoint Investment Group, an approximately 18% stockholder, and appointed EdgePoint Partner Lee Matheson to its Board of Directors.

Why it matters — The agreement and board appointment are relevant to MAT watchers because they change the composition of Mattel’s board and formalize cooperation with a significant stockholder.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MAT stock

What is the MAT stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Mattel, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $18, with estimates ranging from $11 to $28. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MAT stock a buy right now?

Of the 15 analysts covering Mattel, Inc., 10 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Mattel, Inc. 56 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MAT?

As at 31 Oct 2026, Mattel, Inc. ranks 56 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (89 of 100).

Will MAT stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 15 analysts implies +16.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Mattel, Inc. 56 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MAT stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Mattel, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MAT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $11 to $28 over the next 12 months.

How has MAT stock performed over the past year?

Mattel, Inc. returned -17.0% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Mattel, Inc. do?

Mattel Inc. is a global toy and family entertainment company that designs, manufactures, markets, and sells products for children, families, and collectors.

What is the latest news on MAT?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 28 Oct 2026): "Fisher-Price Hosts First-Ever Mini Marathon in NYC; Partners with Mom Walk Collective to Celebrate First Steps & Big Milestones". Mattel announced that Fisher-Price held its first Mini Marathon at New York City’s Union Square on October 27, 2026, and is expanding the event to five additional cities. The initiative celebrates babies’ developmental milestones and movement in early childhood.

Company

About Mattel, Inc.

Mattel Inc. is a global toy and family entertainment company that designs, manufactures, markets, and sells products for children, families, and collectors. Its portfolio spans dolls, vehicles, playsets, games, books, content, and lifestyle products across well-known brands such as Barbie, Hot Wheels, Fisher-Price, American Girl, Thomas & Friends, Matchbox, and Polly Pocket. The company serves retail and wholesale channels in North America and international markets, reaching consumers through a broad mix of toys, consumer products, publishing, and entertainment-driven merchandise. Mattel also operates American Girl as a dedicated segment focused on dolls, accessories, retail, and publishing. Through its owned franchises, Mattel holds a significant position in the recreational products market and remains a major participant in the broader children’s entertainment and play industry.

CEO Mr. Jonathan H. Anschell J.D. · 31,000 employees · United States · https://corporate.mattel.com