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MAT Stock Forecast: Mattel, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$14
+1.45% on the day

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Mattel, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $18 — +28.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 65 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$4.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
65 / 100
Median analyst target
$18
Analysts covering
16
Revenue$1.1B+10.5% y/y
Operating income$10.9M
Net income−$18.2M
Free cash flow−$239.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.0%
1M
−6.8%
YTD
−29.4%
1Y
−22.2%
From 52W high
−36.8%
From 52W low
+7.4%
$13
$22
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MAT stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Mattel, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
65 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
90
Value
87
Issuance
77
Volatility
67
Revisions
63
Accruals
61
Growth
28
Size
26
Momentum
24

Quality (90): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Momentum (24): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MAT stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MAT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$15$20$25$30Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MATHigh $28Median $18Low $12

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says16 analysts
10 Buy4 Hold2 Sell
Low $12Median $18High $28

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +28.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
25 Aug 2026Argus ResearchReiteratesBuy$22
14 July 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsNeutral$16 → $15
14 July 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsNeutral—
10 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$16 → $15
10 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
9 July 2026Goldman SachsDowngradeSell$15 → $12
9 July 2026Goldman SachsDowngradeSell—
26 June 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
30 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
30 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
11 Mar 2026Wells FargoInitiatesOverweight—
18 Feb 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
12 Feb 2026CitigroupDowngradeNeutral—
12 Feb 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
11 Feb 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
11 Feb 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
11 Feb 2026JP MorganDowngradeUnderweight—
4 Feb 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsNeutral—
2 Feb 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
9 Jan 2026Goldman SachsDowngradeNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MAT appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MAT vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Mattel, Inc. returned −22.2% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MAT vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MATS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MAT analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−1.7%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
8
Fundamentals

Mattel, Inc. (MAT) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.5×

Cheaper than 58% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 76% of US stocks

Price / book
2.0×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.5×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
10.5%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
10.5%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Gross margin
48.2%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Operating margin
1.3%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Net margin
7.8%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
20.5%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.7%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Dividend yield
4.3%

Higher than 78% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Mattel, Inc. (MAT) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Mattel, Inc. has a market value of $4.0B and an enterprise value of $6.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.5B. The latest quarter grew 10.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $427.4M, a 7.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.36.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $434.6M.

  • Mattel, Inc. spent $690.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 285.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 10.5×; forward P/E: 8.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 4.28%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Mattel, Inc. employs 31,000 people — $177K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 14 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MAT vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelLeisure
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MATMattel, Inc.$4.0B
65
PLNTPlanet Fitness, Inc.$4.0B
84
GOLFAcushnet Holdings Corp.$5.0B
74
YETIYETI Holdings, Inc.$3.0B
69
OSWOneSpaWorld Holdings Ltd.$2.2B
65
PTONPeloton Interactive, Inc.$2.1B
85
LTHLife Time Group Holdings, Inc.$9.2B
69

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Mattel, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MAT news & analysis

A Mattel Executive Dumps Nearly 40,000 Shares After an 18% One-Year Decline in the Stock

The Motley Fool · 3 Sept 2026negative

A Mattel executive sold 39,083 shares at a weighted-average price of $15.02 per share, totaling roughly $587,000. The transaction represented about 21% of the equity stake the executive held before the filing.

Why it matters — An insider sale of roughly a fifth of an executive's stock stake could draw attention among Mattel watchers gauging management's confidence in the company's prospects.

Why Is Mattel (MAT) Up 1.2% Since Last Earnings Report?

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Sept 2026neutral

Mattel reported earnings roughly 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 1.2% since that report. The article examines what may be next for the company's stock following the earnings release.

Why it matters — MAT watchers would care because this assesses the stock's performance and outlook in the month following the company's latest earnings report.

Mattel to Participate in Upcoming Investor Events

Business Wire · 31 Aug 2026neutral

Mattel announced it will participate in the Goldman Sachs Global Consumer and Retail Conference on September 15, 2026, in New York City. Chairman and CEO Ynon Kreiz and CFO Paul Ruh will take part in a fireside chat followed by one-on-one meetings with management and Investor Relations.

Why it matters — The company's participation in investor conferences offers Mattel watchers an opportunity to hear directly from senior management about the business.

Mattel Expands ‘KPop Demon Hunters' Toy Line This Week With New Figures

Forbes · 29 Aug 2026positive

Mattel is expanding its KPop Demon Hunters action figure line this week with new figures, coinciding with the film's strong streaming performance on Netflix worldwide.

Why it matters — The expansion of this toy line ties Mattel's products to a currently popular film, which could support consumer interest in the brand.

Rumi Gets Deluxe Treatment With Mattel's New ‘KPop Demon Hunters' Doll

Forbes · 28 Aug 2026positive

Mattel has released a new KPop Demon Hunters fashion doll featuring HUNTR/X singer Rumi, described as giving the artist the "deluxe treatment" with the new product.

Why it matters — The new celebrity-inspired doll line reflects Mattel's ongoing expansion of its fashion-doll portfolio with pop-culture and music collaborations.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MAT stock

What is the MAT stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Mattel, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $18, with estimates ranging from $12 to $28. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MAT stock a buy right now?

Of the 16 analysts covering Mattel, Inc., 10 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Mattel, Inc. 65 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MAT?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Mattel, Inc. ranks 65 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (90 of 100).

Will MAT stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +28.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Mattel, Inc. 65 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MAT stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Mattel, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MAT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $12 to $28 over the next 12 months.

How has MAT stock performed over the past year?

Mattel, Inc. returned -22.2% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Mattel, Inc. do?

Mattel Inc. is a global toy and family entertainment company that designs, manufactures, markets, and sells products for children, families, and collectors.

What is the latest news on MAT?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 3 Sept 2026): "A Mattel Executive Dumps Nearly 40,000 Shares After an 18% One-Year Decline in the Stock". A Mattel executive sold 39,083 shares at a weighted-average price of $15.02 per share, totaling roughly $587,000. The transaction represented about 21% of the equity stake the executive held before the filing.

Company

About Mattel, Inc.

Mattel Inc. is a global toy and family entertainment company that designs, manufactures, markets, and sells products for children, families, and collectors. Its portfolio spans dolls, vehicles, playsets, games, books, content, and lifestyle products across well-known brands such as Barbie, Hot Wheels, Fisher-Price, American Girl, Thomas & Friends, Matchbox, and Polly Pocket. The company serves retail and wholesale channels in North America and international markets, reaching consumers through a broad mix of toys, consumer products, publishing, and entertainment-driven merchandise. Mattel also operates American Girl as a dedicated segment focused on dolls, accessories, retail, and publishing. Through its owned franchises, Mattel holds a significant position in the recreational products market and remains a major participant in the broader children’s entertainment and play industry.

CEO Mr. Ynon Kreiz · 31,000 employees · United States · https://corporate.mattel.com