MGPIConsumer Defensive · Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesThe 5 Wall Street analysts covering MGP Ingredients, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $30 — +105.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 33 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores MGP Ingredients, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (93): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Growth (8): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MGPI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +105.5% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $22 → $17 |
| 30 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $18 → $20 |
| 30 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 30 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $21 → $22 |
| 30 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 8 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $24 → $21 |
| 8 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 26 June 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 30 Apr 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 26 Feb 2026 | Roth Capital | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 26 Feb 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 22 Jan 2026 | Benchmark | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 8 Jan 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 5 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 30 Oct 2025 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 25 Sept 2025 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 24 Apr 2025 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 2 Apr 2025 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 27 Feb 2025 | Lake Street | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 7 Jan 2025 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MGPI appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, MGP Ingredients, Inc. returned −36.9% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 12% of US stocks
Cheaper than 77% of US stocks
Cheaper than 83% of US stocks
Cheaper than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 22% of US stocks
Higher than 45% of US stocks
Higher than 72% of US stocks
Higher than 10% of US stocks
Higher than 26% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
MGP Ingredients, Inc. has a market value of $312.9M and an enterprise value of $667.7M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $500.0M. The latest quarter shrank 14.5% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$242.0M, a −48.4% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−11.26.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $888K.
MGP Ingredients, Inc. spent $886K on share buybacks and $10.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 58.7×; forward P/E: 7.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 3.28%, paying out 98% of earnings.
MGP Ingredients, Inc. employs 617 people — $810K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| MGPIMGP Ingredients, Inc. | $312.9M | 33 |
| SNDLSNDL, Inc. | $296.1M | 45 |
| AGCCAgencia Comercial Spirits Ltd. | $873.6M | 1 |
| VFFVillage Farms International, Inc.* | $311.8M | 69 |
| AFRIForafric Global Plc* | $323.9M | 45 |
| ALCOAlico, Inc.* | $291.9M | 81 |
| LWAYLifeway Foods, Inc.* | $334.0M | 37 |
* Nearest Consumer Defensive names by size — few beverages - wineries & distilleries companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own MGP Ingredients, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
MGP Ingredients announced plans to rebrand as Sempreon, a new corporate identity intended to bring together its three businesses and reflect its 85-year evolution. The brand is planned to launch November 2, 2026, alongside a planned transition to Nasdaq ticker CASK.
Why it matters — MGPI watchers should note the planned corporate rebrand and associated ticker-symbol change.
MGP Ingredients said it plans to report third-quarter 2026 results before the Nasdaq market opens on Wednesday, October 28. CEO Julie Francis and CFO Brandon Gall will host a conference call at 10 a.m. ET to discuss the results, provide a business update and answer questions.
Why it matters — MGPI watchers can note the scheduled date and time for the company’s results and management call.
Seeking Alpha reports that MGP Ingredients remains a Buy with a highly attractive valuation, as management reaffirms 2026 guidance despite operational pressures. Recent branded spirits launches, including 'MGP Chapter One,' plus growth in Penelope and Ingredient Solutions, point to early signs of normalization, though inventory build and rising long-term debt merit monitoring.
Why it matters — For MGPI watchers, this offers a timely take on whether the company's operational pressures are easing into normalization, with management reaffirming full-year guidance and proactively controlling costs.
MGP Ingredients has seen its share price fall nearly 90% since 2022 due to an industrywide recession and trade headwinds, but is now viewed as a deep-value or net asset play trading at 0.55x sales and 0.46x book value with a forward P/E estimated at 6.5x and a conservative balance sheet.
Why it matters — MGPI watchers would care because the company's depressed valuation, strong tangible asset backing, and limited downside risk could make it one of the cheapest picks in the troubled distillery group.
MGP Ingredients, Inc. published its Q2 2026 earnings call transcript on Seeking Alpha.
Why it matters — Investors and analysts following MGPI can review the transcript for management's commentary on the company's second-quarter performance and outlook.
The 5 Wall Street analysts covering MGP Ingredients, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $30, with estimates ranging from $17 to $35. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 5 analysts covering MGP Ingredients, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks MGP Ingredients, Inc. 33 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 14 Oct 2026, MGP Ingredients, Inc. ranks 33 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (93 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +105.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks MGP Ingredients, Inc. 33 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering MGP Ingredients, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MGPI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $17 to $35 over the next 12 months.
MGP Ingredients, Inc. returned -36.9% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
MGP Ingredients Inc. is a consumer staples company that produces premium distilled spirits, branded spirits, and specialty food ingredient solutions.
The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 15 Oct 2026): "MGP Ingredients Announces Plans to Rebrand as Sempreon". MGP Ingredients announced plans to rebrand as Sempreon, a new corporate identity intended to bring together its three businesses and reflect its 85-year evolution. The brand is planned to launch November 2, 2026, alongside a planned transition to Nasdaq ticker CASK.
MGP Ingredients Inc. is a consumer staples company that produces premium distilled spirits, branded spirits, and specialty food ingredient solutions. Its operations are organized into three core segments: Distillery Solutions, Branded Spirits, and Ingredient Solutions. The company supplies food-grade and industrial alcohol, distillery co-products, and contract distillation services, while also marketing a portfolio of spirits that includes whiskey, bourbon, gin, vodka, and tequila. In its ingredient business, MGP Ingredients develops specialty wheat proteins and starches used by food manufacturers for functional, nutritional, and sensory applications. The company serves customers across the beverage, food, and packaged goods industries, combining manufacturing, bottling, and ingredient formulation capabilities to support both branded products and bulk supply needs. MGP Ingredients is headquartered in Atchison, Kansas.
CEO Ms. Julie M. Francis · 617 employees · United States · https://www.mgpingredients.com
