MGPIConsumer Defensive · Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesThe 5 Wall Street analysts covering MGP Ingredients, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $30 — +67.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 33 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores MGP Ingredients, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (93): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Growth (8): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MGPI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +67.1% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $18 → $20 |
| 30 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $21 → $22 |
| 8 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $24 → $21 |
| 8 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 26 June 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 30 Apr 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 26 Feb 2026 | Roth Capital | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 26 Feb 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 22 Jan 2026 | Benchmark | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 8 Jan 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 5 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 30 Oct 2025 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 25 Sept 2025 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 24 Apr 2025 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 2 Apr 2025 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 27 Feb 2025 | Lake Street | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 7 Jan 2025 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 23 Dec 2024 | Roth MKM | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 Nov 2024 | TD Cowen | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 4 Nov 2024 | Roth MKM | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MGPI appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 24 Aug 2026, MGP Ingredients, Inc. returned −39.0% against +19.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 13% of US stocks
Cheaper than 75% of US stocks
Cheaper than 83% of US stocks
Cheaper than 45% of US stocks
Higher than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 21% of US stocks
Higher than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 72% of US stocks
Higher than 10% of US stocks
Higher than 26% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
MGP Ingredients, Inc. has a market value of $386.7M and an enterprise value of $746.9M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $500.0M. The latest quarter shrank 14.5% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$242.0M, a −48.4% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−11.26.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $888K.
MGP Ingredients, Inc. spent $886K on share buybacks and $10.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 58.7×; forward P/E: 9.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.66%, paying out 96% of earnings.
MGP Ingredients, Inc. employs 617 people — $810K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| MGPIMGP Ingredients, Inc. | $386.7M | 33 |
| SNDLSNDL, Inc. | $352.8M | 47 |
| AGCCAgencia Comercial Spirits Ltd. | $838.1M | 1 |
| WILCG. Willi Food International Ltd.* | $387.0M | 62 |
| LWAYLifeway Foods, Inc.* | $392.8M | 41 |
| PREPrenetics Global Ltd.* | $339.9M | 48 |
| MAGNMagnera Corp.* | $439.3M | 42 |
* Nearest Consumer Defensive names by size — few beverages - wineries & distilleries companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own MGP Ingredients, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
MGP Ingredients, Inc. published its Q2 2026 earnings call transcript on Seeking Alpha.
Why it matters — Investors and analysts following MGPI can review the transcript for management's commentary on the company's second-quarter performance and outlook.
MGP Ingredients reported second-quarter 2026 results that beat its internal expectations but showed year-over-year declines in sales, earnings and adjusted EBITDA amid ongoing pressure in the distilled spirits market.
Why it matters — The results offer insight into how MGPI is navigating a challenging distilled spirits market, as the company managed to exceed internal forecasts despite falling financial metrics.
MGP Ingredients reported Q2 earnings of $0.72 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.49 per share, though down from $0.97 per share in the same quarter last year.
Why it matters — The earnings beat signals that MGPI's quarterly performance exceeded analyst expectations, which investors watching the stock would note given the year-over-year decline.
MGP Ingredients reported its second quarter 2026 results, noting execution against its strategic roadmap and continued strengthening of its sales, marketing and supply chain functions.
Why it matters — The quarterly report provides insight into the company's progress on its strategic initiatives and operational improvements, which are key areas of focus for investors tracking MGPI's performance.
MGP Ingredients announced four strategic leadership appointments: Tom Neiheisel as vice president of distilling solutions sales, Sol Clahane as managing director of national accounts, Marilyn Chen as brand director for Penelope Bourbon, and David Sanders as vice president of f.
Why it matters — These appointments are aimed at strengthening the company's commercial and marketing capabilities to help accelerate growth.MGP Ingredients, Inc.
The 5 Wall Street analysts covering MGP Ingredients, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $30, with estimates ranging from $20 to $35. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 5 analysts covering MGP Ingredients, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks MGP Ingredients, Inc. 33 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Aug 2026, MGP Ingredients, Inc. ranks 33 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (93 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +67.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks MGP Ingredients, Inc. 33 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering MGP Ingredients, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MGPI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $20 to $35 over the next 12 months.
MGP Ingredients, Inc. returned -39.0% over the 12 months to 24 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
MGP Ingredients Inc. is a leading producer and supplier of premium distilled spirits, branded spirits, and specialty food ingredients.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 30 July 2026): "MGP Ingredients, Inc. (MGPI) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". MGP Ingredients, Inc. published its Q2 2026 earnings call transcript on Seeking Alpha.
MGP Ingredients Inc. is a leading producer and supplier of premium distilled spirits, branded spirits, and specialty food ingredients. The company operates through three core segments: Distillery Solutions, Branded Spirits, and Ingredient Solutions. In Distillery Solutions, it processes grains such as corn, rye, barley, wheat, and milo into food-grade alcohol for beverage applications including bourbon, rye whiskeys, grain neutral spirits for vodka and gin, as well as industrial and fuel-grade alcohol and co-products like dried distillers' grain. The Branded Spirits segment features an award-winning portfolio of premium brands such as Penelope, Rebel, Remus, and Yellowstone bourbons, along with El Mayor Tequila under the Luxco umbrella, spanning value to ultra-premium price points with a focus on high-end American whiskey, tequila, and gin. Ingredient Solutions provides functional wheat-based proteins, starches, and fibers like vital wheat gluten, textured wheat protein, Fibersym® RW, ProTerra®, and Arise®, serving baked goods, meat alternatives, batters, coatings, and other food products with nutritional, sensory, and functional benefits. With distilleries in Indiana, Kentucky, and a tequila facility in Arandas, Mexico, plus bottling in Missouri, Ohio, and Northern Ireland, MGP Ingredients Inc. supplies renowned spirits brands and food manufacturers worldwide. Founded in 1941 and headquartered in Atchison, Kansas, it plays a key role in the alcoholic beverages and specialty ingredients markets.
CEO Ms. Julie M. Francis · 617 employees · United States · https://www.mgpingredients.com
