MRCYIndustrials · Aerospace & DefenseThe 12 Wall Street analysts covering Mercury Systems, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $115 — +46.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 79 of 100 as at 27 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Mercury Systems, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (98): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Volatility (43): The share price moves around a lot.
Size (24): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MRCY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +46.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $131 → $107 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Oppenheimer | Initiates | Outperform | $90 |
| 15 Sept 2026 | Guggenheim | Initiates | Buy | $115 |
| 15 Sept 2026 | Guggenheim | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | $106 → $128 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $109 → $120 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | $120 → $130 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Reiterates | Overweight | $126 → $131 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Reiterates | Overweight | — |
| 19 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $105 → $120 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Overweight | $126 |
| 13 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $99 → $101 |
| 13 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 11 May 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | $60 → $68 |
| 11 May 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
MRCY appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 28 Oct 2026, Mercury Systems, Inc. returned +1.3% against +13.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 99% of US stocks
Cheaper than 23% of US stocks
Cheaper than 29% of US stocks
Cheaper than 4% of US stocks
Higher than 43% of US stocks
Higher than 3% of US stocks
Higher than 35% of US stocks
Higher than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 26% of US stocks
Higher than 42% of US stocks
Higher than 44% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Mercury Systems, Inc. has a market value of $4.9B and an enterprise value of $5.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $983.6M. The latest quarter grew 6.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$29.7M, a −3.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.50.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $68.1M.
Trailing P/E: −159.4×; forward P/E: 35.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Mercury Systems, Inc. employs 2,102 people — $468K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Mercury Systems, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Conestoga’s Small Cap Composite returned -11.22% net of fees in Q3 2026, compared with -9.39% for the Russell 2000 Growth Index. Mercury Systems was among the composite’s five biggest laggards.
Why it matters — The report identifies MRCY as a notable detractor in Conestoga’s small-cap portfolio during the quarter.
Mercury Systems said it will release its first-quarter fiscal 2027 financial results after the market close on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
Why it matters — MRCY watchers can note the scheduled date for the company’s upcoming quarterly results.
Mercury Systems celebrated the expansion of its Phoenix production facility, adding 50,000 square feet of manufacturing space. The company said the added capacity will support faster delivery timelines through vertical integration for U.S. and international defense programs.
Why it matters — The expansion increases Mercury’s production capacity and is intended to support delivery timelines for defense programs.
Mercury Systems introduced RES One, a next-generation rugged edge server platform with enhanced modularity. The company says it is designed to accelerate deployment, streamline technology insertion, and reduce sustainment costs over long-duration mission lifecycles.
Why it matters — The introduction highlights a new Mercury platform aimed at improving deployment and lifecycle management for rugged edge computing applications.
MarketBeat highlights that governments worldwide are prioritizing military modernization, expanding nuclear deterrence and missile defense capabilities, and investing heavily in defense. The piece notes that this trend could benefit both larger defense giants and smaller companies with growth potential.
Why it matters — As a defense-technology company, Mercury Systems could see increased demand from rising government defense spending on missile and aerospace programs.
The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Mercury Systems, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $115, with estimates ranging from $78 to $130. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 12 analysts covering Mercury Systems, Inc., 9 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Mercury Systems, Inc. 79 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 27 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 27 Oct 2026, Mercury Systems, Inc. ranks 79 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies +46.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Mercury Systems, Inc. 79 out of 100 as at 27 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Mercury Systems, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MRCY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $78 to $130 over the next 12 months.
Mercury Systems, Inc. returned +1.3% over the 12 months to 28 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Mercury Systems Inc. is an aerospace and defense electronics company that designs and delivers secure processing solutions for mission-critical applications.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 27 Oct 2026): "Conestoga Small Cap Composite Q3 2026 Portfolio Activity". Conestoga’s Small Cap Composite returned -11.22% net of fees in Q3 2026, compared with -9.39% for the Russell 2000 Growth Index. Mercury Systems was among the composite’s five biggest laggards.
Mercury Systems Inc. is an aerospace and defense electronics company that designs and delivers secure processing solutions for mission-critical applications. Mercury Systems focuses on products and subsystems used in radar, electronic warfare, avionics, command and control, communications, and space systems, combining signal processing, embedded computing, radio frequency components, storage, and display technologies. Its offerings are built for demanding environments where reliability, security, and performance at the edge are essential. The company serves defense prime contractors, government customers, original equipment manufacturers, and commercial aerospace companies. Mercury Systems also supports space missions, with its technologies used across numerous spacecraft programs and deep-space flights. Headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts, Mercury Systems plays a specialized role in the defense technology supply chain by providing the hardware and integration capabilities that help convert complex data into actionable information.
CEO Dr. William L. Ballhaus · 2,102 employees · United States · https://www.mrcy.com
