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MRCY Stock Forecast: Mercury Systems, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 7 Oct 2026
$80
−3.68% on the day

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Mercury Systems, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $118 — +47.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 77 of 100 as at 7 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$5.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
77 / 100
Median analyst target
$118
Analysts covering
11
Revenue$289.8M+6.1% y/y
Operating income$15.2M
Net income$798K
Free cash flow$28.6M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.9%
1M
−3.2%
YTD
+9.2%
1Y
−4.5%
From 52W high
−36.8%
From 52W low
+20.6%
$66
$126
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MRCY stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Mercury Systems, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 7 Oct 2026
77 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
95
Issuance
84
Accruals
76
Quality
61
Momentum
59
Value
49
Growth
46
Volatility
40
Size
23

Revisions (95): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Volatility (40): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (23): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MRCY stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MRCY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$80$100$120$140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MRCYHigh $131Median $118Low $78

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says11 analysts
8 Buy2 Hold1 Sell
Low $78Median $118High $131

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +47.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
15 Sept 2026GuggenheimInitiatesBuy$115
20 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
20 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$106 → $128
20 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
20 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$109 → $120
19 Aug 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform$120 → $130
19 Aug 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform—
19 Aug 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight—
19 Aug 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight$126 → $131
19 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
19 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$105 → $120
12 Aug 2026Piper SandlerInitiatesOverweight—
12 Aug 2026Piper SandlerInitiatesOverweight$126
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$99 → $101
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
11 May 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell$60 → $68
11 May 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell—
7 May 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$102 → $106
7 May 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
7 Apr 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MRCY appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MRCY vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, Mercury Systems, Inc. returned −4.5% against +17.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MRCY vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MRCYS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MRCY analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+9.1%
Analysts raising
6
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−166.0×

Cheaper than 99% of US stocks

Price / sales
5.1×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Price / book
3.3×

Cheaper than 29% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
65.8×

Cheaper than 3% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.1%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−95.1%

Higher than 3% of US stocks

Gross margin
30.6%

Higher than 35% of US stocks

Operating margin
1.2%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Net margin
−3.0%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−2.0%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.2%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Mercury Systems, Inc. has a market value of $5.0B and an enterprise value of $5.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $983.6M. The latest quarter grew 6.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$29.7M, a −3.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.50.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $68.1M.

  • Shares outstanding: 59.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: −166.0×; forward P/E: 37.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Mercury Systems, Inc. employs 2,102 people — $468K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 8 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MRCY vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MRCYMercury Systems, Inc.$5.0B
77
VSECVSE Corp.$4.8B
33
BETABETA Technologies, Inc.$4.6B
1
KRMNKarman Holdings, Inc.$4.2B
16
LOARLoar Holdings, Inc.$5.7B
41
AIRAAR Corp.$4.0B
84
DPCDPC Holdings PLC$5.9B
0

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Mercury Systems, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MRCY news & analysis

Mercury Introduces RES One, a Rugged Edge Server Engineered for Rapid Deployment and Superior Lifecycle Management

GlobeNewsWire · 6 Oct 2026positive

Mercury Systems introduced RES One, a next-generation rugged edge server platform with enhanced modularity. The company says it is designed to accelerate deployment, streamline technology insertion, and reduce sustainment costs over long-duration mission lifecycles.

Why it matters — The introduction highlights a new Mercury platform aimed at improving deployment and lifecycle management for rugged edge computing applications.

3 Defense Stocks Riding Nuclear, Missile, and Aerospace Demand

MarketBeat · 26 Sept 2026positive

MarketBeat highlights that governments worldwide are prioritizing military modernization, expanding nuclear deterrence and missile defense capabilities, and investing heavily in defense. The piece notes that this trend could benefit both larger defense giants and smaller companies with growth potential.

Why it matters — As a defense-technology company, Mercury Systems could see increased demand from rising government defense spending on missile and aerospace programs.

Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Mercury Systems Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 25 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports that recent movements in the options market for Mercury Systems (MRCY) are drawing investor attention, suggesting a potential spike in the stock. The article highlights the need for investors to closely monitor MRCY based on these options activity patterns.

Why it matters — A MRCY watcher would care because unusual options-market activity can signal how traders are positioning ahead of potential price movement in the stock.

Mercury Systems (MRCY) Down 13.8% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?

Zacks Investment Research · 17 Sept 2026negative

Mercury Systems reported earnings 30 days ago and its stock has since declined 13.8%. The article examines whether the stock can rebound following that earnings-driven drop.

Why it matters — MRCY watchers would care because the share price performance since the last earnings report indicates how investors reacted to the company's latest results and what may lie ahead.

Mercury Systems Announces Extension of Employment Contract with Chairman and CEO Bill Ballhaus and Reaffirms Prior Guidance

GlobeNewsWire · 16 Sept 2026neutral

Mercury Systems announced an agreement to extend the employment contract of Chairman and CEO Bill Ballhaus, adding three years to his initial term through August 15, 2030. The company also reaffirmed its prior guidance.

Why it matters — A MRCY watcher would care because the extended CEO term provides leadership continuity as the company moves toward the new contract period.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MRCY stock

What is the MRCY stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Mercury Systems, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $118, with estimates ranging from $78 to $131. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MRCY stock a buy right now?

Of the 11 analysts covering Mercury Systems, Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Mercury Systems, Inc. 77 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 7 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MRCY?

As at 7 Oct 2026, Mercury Systems, Inc. ranks 77 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (95 of 100).

Will MRCY stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +47.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Mercury Systems, Inc. 77 out of 100 as at 7 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MRCY stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Mercury Systems, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MRCY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $78 to $131 over the next 12 months.

How has MRCY stock performed over the past year?

Mercury Systems, Inc. returned -4.5% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Mercury Systems, Inc. do?

Mercury Systems Inc. is an aerospace and defense electronics company that designs and delivers secure processing solutions for mission-critical applications.

What is the latest news on MRCY?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 6 Oct 2026): "Mercury Introduces RES One, a Rugged Edge Server Engineered for Rapid Deployment and Superior Lifecycle Management". Mercury Systems introduced RES One, a next-generation rugged edge server platform with enhanced modularity. The company says it is designed to accelerate deployment, streamline technology insertion, and reduce sustainment costs over long-duration mission lifecycles.

Company

About Mercury Systems, Inc.

Mercury Systems Inc. is an aerospace and defense electronics company that designs and delivers secure processing solutions for mission-critical applications. Mercury Systems focuses on products and subsystems used in radar, electronic warfare, avionics, command and control, communications, and space systems, combining signal processing, embedded computing, radio frequency components, storage, and display technologies. Its offerings are built for demanding environments where reliability, security, and performance at the edge are essential. The company serves defense prime contractors, government customers, original equipment manufacturers, and commercial aerospace companies. Mercury Systems also supports space missions, with its technologies used across numerous spacecraft programs and deep-space flights. Headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts, Mercury Systems plays a specialized role in the defense technology supply chain by providing the hardware and integration capabilities that help convert complex data into actionable information.

CEO Dr. William L. Ballhaus · 2,102 employees · United States · https://www.mrcy.com