MRCYIndustrials · Aerospace & DefenseThe 10 Wall Street analysts covering Mercury Systems, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $120 — +41.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 83 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Mercury Systems, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (93): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Volatility (40): The share price moves around a lot.
Size (24): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MRCY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +41.8% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | $106 → $128 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $109 → $120 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | $120 → $130 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Reiterates | Overweight | $126 → $131 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $105 → $120 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Overweight | $126 |
| 13 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $99 → $101 |
| 13 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 11 May 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 11 May 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | $60 → $68 |
| 7 May 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | $102 → $106 |
| 7 May 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Apr 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 4 Feb 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 15 Oct 2025 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 2 Oct 2025 | Canaccord Genuity | Reinstates | Buy | $88 |
| 1 Oct 2025 | RBC Capital | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 13 Aug 2025 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MRCY appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Mercury Systems, Inc. returned +25.5% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 99% of US stocks
Cheaper than 25% of US stocks
Cheaper than 31% of US stocks
Cheaper than 4% of US stocks
Higher than 42% of US stocks
Higher than 2% of US stocks
Higher than 34% of US stocks
Higher than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 26% of US stocks
Higher than 42% of US stocks
Higher than 44% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Mercury Systems, Inc. has a market value of $5.0B and an enterprise value of $5.3B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $966.9M. The latest quarter grew 6.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$14.1M, a −1.5% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.24.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $73.5M, after $18.6M of capital spending.
Trailing P/E: −165.1×; forward P/E: 36.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Mercury Systems, Inc. employs 2,102 people — $460K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Mercury Systems, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
An executive at the defense company sold 48,812 shares worth approximately $4.8 million. The disposition represented 17% of the executive's total equity holdings.
Why it matters — MRCY watchers would care because a large insider sale totaling a significant share of the executive's holdings can draw attention to how leadership views the stock.
A law firm announced it is encouraging Mercury Systems, Inc. shareholders to contact them regarding their rights related to potential breaches of fiduciary duties by company insiders, offering representation on a contingent fee basis at no out-of-pocket cost.
Why it matters — MRCY watchers would care because it signals the possibility of an investigation or legal action over insider conduct concerning shareholder interests.
Mercury Systems reported its Q4 2026 financial results after the market closed yesterday, and its shares are trading at a rich valuation, contributing to the stock's decline today.
Why it matters — MRCY watchers would care because the company's latest quarterly results and its elevated valuation are affecting the stock's near-term performance.
Mercury Systems' fiscal Q4 earnings came in line with expectations while revenues beat estimates on the strength of record bookings. The company's record bookings and backlog exceeding $1.9 billion bolster visibility as production ramps, with fiscal 2027 targets pointing to stronger growth.
Why it matters — A Mercury Systems watcher would care because record bookings and strong backlog provide greater revenue visibility as production scales up, with stated fiscal 2027 targets signaling continued growth ahead.
Mercury Systems reported mixed fiscal fourth-quarter results, and its shares were among large stocks moving lower in Wednesday's pre-market session. The broader U.S. stock futures were mixed, with Nasdaq 100 futures up around 0.1%.
Why it matters — Mercury Systems watchers would care because the mixed quarterly results and the pre-market share decline signal how the company's latest financial performance was received by the market.
The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Mercury Systems, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $120, with estimates ranging from $78 to $131. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 10 analysts covering Mercury Systems, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Mercury Systems, Inc. 83 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 2 Sept 2026, Mercury Systems, Inc. ranks 83 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (93 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies +41.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Mercury Systems, Inc. 83 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Mercury Systems, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MRCY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $78 to $131 over the next 12 months.
Mercury Systems, Inc. returned +25.5% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Mercury Systems Inc. is an aerospace and defense electronics company that designs and delivers secure processing solutions for mission-critical applications.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 2 Sept 2026): "Insider Waves Goodbye to More Than 48,000 Shares of Defense Stock Worth $4.8 Million". An executive at the defense company sold 48,812 shares worth approximately $4.8 million. The disposition represented 17% of the executive's total equity holdings.
Mercury Systems Inc. is an aerospace and defense electronics company that designs and delivers secure processing solutions for mission-critical applications. Mercury Systems focuses on products and subsystems used in radar, electronic warfare, avionics, command and control, communications, and space systems, combining signal processing, embedded computing, radio frequency components, storage, and display technologies. Its offerings are built for demanding environments where reliability, security, and performance at the edge are essential. The company serves defense prime contractors, government customers, original equipment manufacturers, and commercial aerospace companies. Mercury Systems also supports space missions, with its technologies used across numerous spacecraft programs and deep-space flights. Headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts, Mercury Systems plays a specialized role in the defense technology supply chain by providing the hardware and integration capabilities that help convert complex data into actionable information.
CEO Dr. William L. Ballhaus · 2,102 employees · United States · https://www.mrcy.com
