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MSFT Stock Forecast: Microsoft Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 12 Aug 2026
$492
−2.26% on the day

The 56 Wall Street analysts covering Microsoft Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $550 — +11.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 61 of 100 as at 12 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$3.7T
Ticker Nerd rank
61 / 100
Median analyst target
$550
Analysts covering
56
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.0%
1M
+27.9%
YTD
+2.2%
1Y
−6.2%
From 52W high
−8.6%
From 52W low
+39.6%
$353
$539
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MSFT stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Microsoft Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Aug 2026
61 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
91
Quality
89
Volatility
72
Growth
67
Issuance
51
Momentum
48
Value
45
Accruals
32
Size
0

Revisions (91): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Accruals (32): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

The Ticker Nerd Read

Quality and rising forecasts carry the rank; value drags it.

As of 10 August 2026, our factor model ranks Microsoft 63.7 of 100 across the US stocks we track. The rank rests on Quality (89.4), Estimate Revisions (91.3) and Low Volatility (77.7), which all read strong, while Value (44.7) and Investment and Accruals (31.7) read weak. A market-cap factor sits near zero because Microsoft is one of the largest companies we follow.

The Street is more bullish than the rank. As of 10 August 2026 the last close was $506.06 and the consensus median price target is $550, with 14 of 56 analysts rating it strong buy and 39 rating it buy. Yet the model's Value reading is weak because the shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them, and over the twelve months to 10 August 2026 the stock fell 2.3% while the S&P 500 rose 22.7%.

Investment and Accruals (31.7) is the model's weakest operating factor, with a capital-allocation sub-score of 20 of 100; a weak reading there means a large share of reported profit has not yet arrived as cash or the balance sheet is expanding quickly. Microsoft has been spending heavily to build out AI capacity, and the recent analyst target raises and the news around its next AI chip both point at that buildout. The factor is the model's check on whether that reported profit is backed by cash.

As of 11 Aug 2026
Wall Street

MSFT stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MSFT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$300$400$500$600$700$800$900Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MSFTHigh $870Median $550Low $400

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says56 analysts
53 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $400Median $550High $870

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +11.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
5 Aug 2026Tigress FinancialMaintainsBuy$680 → $690
30 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$545 → $512
30 July 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$646 → $647
30 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight$502 → $522
30 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$570 → $600
30 July 2026CitizensReiteratesMarket Outperform$550
30 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$550
30 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$525 → $528
30 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$540 → $550
30 July 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform$640
30 July 2026StifelMaintainsHold$400 → $450
30 July 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy$540
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$625 → $650
28 July 2026CitizensReiteratesMarket Outperform—
28 July 2026CitizensReiteratesMarket Outperform$550
27 July 2026GuggenheimReiteratesBuy$586
27 July 2026GuggenheimReiteratesBuy—
27 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
27 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$510 → $480
22 July 2026BernsteinReiteratesOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MSFT appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

MSFT analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.6%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
6
Fundamentals

Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
27.4×

Cheaper than 29% of US stocks

Price / sales
11.0×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

Price / book
8.3×

Cheaper than 13% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
19.5×

Cheaper than 17% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
17.7%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
31.3%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Gross margin
67.2%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Operating margin
45.1%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Net margin
40.3%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
34.0%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Return on assets
14.1%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.7%

Higher than 16% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

MSFT vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSoftware - Infrastructure
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MSFTMicrosoft Corp.$3.7T
61
ORCLOracle Corp.$441.5B
36
PLTRPalantir Technologies, Inc.$409.1B
67
PANWPalo Alto Networks, Inc.$315.8B
52
CRWDCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.$225.8B
57
AAPLApple, Inc.*$4.5T
84
NVDANVIDIA Corp.*$5.4T
77

* Nearest Technology names by size — few software - infrastructure companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Microsoft Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MSFT news & analysis

SpaceX Has 1.4 Gigawatts of AI Capacity Online and Wants 10 Gigawatts by Next Year. Here's Why Microsoft Could Be the One Writing the Check.

The Motley Fool · 13 Aug 2026positive

SpaceX spent nearly $16 billion on AI infrastructure in Q2 and aims to expand from 1.4 gigawatts of AI capacity to 10 gigawatts by next year. The article suggests Microsoft may be the one funding this expansion, as SpaceX has already signed deals worth over $70 billion with Anthropic and Google Cloud.

Why it matters — Microsoft investors would care because the article implies Microsoft could be a major financial backer of SpaceX's massive AI infrastructure buildout, potentially tying Microsoft's cloud and AI strategy to SpaceX's growing capacity.

Wall Street sets Microsoft stock price for the next 12 months

Finbold · 13 Aug 2026positive

Microsoft stock has rallied over 27% since reporting a strong fourth quarter for fiscal year 2026. JPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee expects the share price to reach a new all-time high within the next 12 months.

Why it matters — A major Wall Street analyst's bullish outlook on Microsoft's share price could influence investor sentiment and market expectations for the stock's near-term performance.

Microsoft Is Still Negative 1 Year Later: 76% Increase Lies Ahead According to This Analyst

24/7 Wall Street · 13 Aug 2026positive

An analyst has issued a price target for Microsoft implying roughly 76% upside, while the current consensus Wall Street price target of $567.20 suggests a 15% upside from the current trading price of $492.43.

Why it matters — MSFT watchers would care because the analyst's notably bullish price target stands well above the current consensus, signaling a potentially significant divergence in outlook for the stock.

‘Never Happened in History,' Ex-Bridgewater Exec Warns AI Market Is Priced to Perfection

Benzinga · 13 Aug 2026negative

Bob Elliott, a former Bridgewater Associates executive, warned that the rally in AI stocks depends on unprecedented productivity growth, aggressive household dissaving, and circular capital flows among tech companies.

Why it matters — Microsoft is a major AI stock, and Elliott's warning about the AI market being "priced to perfection" signals potential downside risk for MSFT if the underlying economic assumptions do not materialize.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MSFT stock

What is the MSFT stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 56 Wall Street analysts covering Microsoft Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $550, with estimates ranging from $400 to $870. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MSFT stock a buy right now?

Of the 56 analysts covering Microsoft Corp., 53 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Microsoft Corp. 61 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MSFT?

As at 12 Aug 2026, Microsoft Corp. ranks 61 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (91 of 100).

Will MSFT stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 56 analysts implies +11.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Microsoft Corp. 61 out of 100 as at 12 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MSFT stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Microsoft Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MSFT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $400 to $870 over the next 12 months.

How has MSFT stock performed over the past year?

Microsoft Corp. returned -6.2% over the 12 months to 12 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Microsoft Corp. do?

Microsoft sells enterprise software, cloud and AI infrastructure, and consumer hardware and gaming, organised around three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing. Its Intelligent Cloud arm is built on Azure, the cloud and AI platform that anchors its growth.

What is the latest news on MSFT?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 13 Aug 2026): "SpaceX Has 1.4 Gigawatts of AI Capacity Online and Wants 10 Gigawatts by Next Year. Here's Why Microsoft Could Be the One Writing the Check.". SpaceX spent nearly $16 billion on AI infrastructure in Q2 and aims to expand from 1.4 gigawatts of AI capacity to 10 gigawatts by next year. The article suggests Microsoft may be the one funding this expansion, as SpaceX has already signed deals worth over $70 billion with Anthropic and Google Cloud.

Company

About Microsoft Corp.

Microsoft sells enterprise software, cloud and AI infrastructure, and consumer hardware and gaming, organised around three segments: Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing. Its Intelligent Cloud arm is built on Azure, the cloud and AI platform that anchors its growth. The company reported $331.8 billion in trailing-twelve-month revenue and employs about 223,000 people.

CEO Mr. Satya Nadella · 223,000 employees · United States · https://www.microsoft.com