TICKERNERD
Menu
MSFTMSFTTechnology · Software - Infrastructure

MSFT Stock Forecast: Microsoft Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$556
+6.73% on the day

The 57 Wall Street analysts covering Microsoft Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $631 — +13.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 69 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$3.8T
Ticker Nerd rank
69/ 100
Median analyst target
$631
Analysts covering
57
Revenue$90.0B+17.7% y/y
Operating income$40.6B
Net income$35.8B
Free cash flow$19.6B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.7%
1M
+7.4%
YTD
+15.7%
1Y
+9.0%
From 52W high
0.0%
From 52W low
+58.0%
$352
$556
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MSFT stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Microsoft Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Nov 2026
69/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
95
Quality
89
Volatility
80
Momentum
66
Growth
64
Issuance
54
Value
44
Accruals
32
Size
0

Revisions (95): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Accruals (32): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

The Ticker Nerd Read

Microsoft's AI buildout is the drag inside its factor rank.

As of 31 October 2026, our factor model ranks Microsoft 68.6 of 100. Estimate Revisions (94.2), the model's heaviest factor family, and Quality (89.1) carry the rank. Analysts raised current-year estimates five times in the past month and cut none.

Value (45.1) and Investment/Accruals (31.9) drag it. The shares cost a lot for each dollar of earnings and assets, and the capital-allocation sub-score of 19.6 flags a balance sheet expanding quickly. That expansion is the AI buildout: capital spending hit $30.9 billion in the quarter ended 31 March 2026, and the September 2026 report put free cash flow at $18.6 billion.

Wall Street is more emphatic than the model. As of 1 November 2026, twelve analysts rate the shares Strong Buy and 40 rate them Buy, with no Sell ratings. Their average target of $632.90 compares with the 30 October close of $521.90, and the median target is $631.

The heaviest factor, Estimate Revisions, is where the next quarterly report lands. Azure grew 48% in the September 2026 quarter against a 44% to 45% forecast, and Microsoft is moving Copilot to usage-based pricing. Rising forecasts would keep the rank supported; a buildout that keeps outpacing cash would deepen the drag.

As of 2 Nov 2026
Wall Street

MSFT stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MSFT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$300$400$500$600$700$800$900Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MSFTHigh $870Median $631Low $440

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says57 analysts
52 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Low $440Median $631High $870

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +13.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 18 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
29 Oct 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$600 → $610
29 Oct 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$662 → $722
29 Oct 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight$608 → $630
29 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$636 → $680
29 Oct 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$550 → $625
29 Oct 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$550 → $650
29 Oct 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$586 → $595
29 Oct 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$600 → $630
29 Oct 2026OppenheimerReiteratesOutperform$625
29 Oct 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight$610 → $650
29 Oct 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform$640
29 Oct 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform$625 → $650
29 Oct 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$575 → $650
29 Oct 2026StoneXMaintainsBuy$600 → $630
29 Oct 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$625 → $650
29 Oct 2026Truist SecuritiesReiteratesBuy$600 → $630
29 Oct 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$725 → $750
26 Oct 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$570 → $625
26 Oct 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform$615 → $625
26 Oct 2026Truist SecuritiesReiteratesBuy$575 → $600

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

The AI build-out map

MSFT and 17 other companies make up AI cloud capacity.

The model tests each one against its peers. 1 pass every test this week.

  • All 115 AI build-out companies, part by part, with what each one does.
  • One part in full: AI networking and servers, with every verdict and the reason.
  • Free, as a PDF. Plus the Market Radar on Mondays.

Free. Unsubscribe any time.

The AI build-out map
PDF

  • AI cloud capacity

    MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL

  • AI chips

    NVDAAVGOAMDMU

  • AI networking and serversIn full

    ANETDELLLITECRDO

  • Data centre power

    VRTCEGGEVVST

Performance

MSFT vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Microsoft Corp. returned +9.0% against +12.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MSFT vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MSFTS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MSFT analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.7%
Analysts raising
5
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
27.2×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

Price / sales
11.2×

Cheaper than 12% of US stocks

Price / book
8.2×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
18.6×

Cheaper than 16% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
18.8%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
32.0%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Gross margin
67.2%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Operating margin
49.8%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Net margin
41.2%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
34.2%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Return on assets
14.4%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.8%

Higher than 68% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Microsoft Corp. has a market value of $3.8T and an enterprise value of $3.8T.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $331.8B. The latest quarter grew 18.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $133.7B, a 40.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $17.96.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $67.0B.

  • Microsoft Corp. spent $22.3B on share buybacks and $26.4B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 7.4B.

  • Trailing P/E: 27.2×; forward P/E: 21.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.75%, paying out 19% of earnings.

  • Microsoft Corp. employs 223,000 people — $1.5M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MSFT vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSoftware - Infrastructure
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MSFTMicrosoft Corp.$3.8T69
PLTRPalantir Technologies, Inc.$419.5B67
ORCLOracle Corp.$363.5B38
PANWPalo Alto Networks, Inc.$285.8B49
CRWDCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.$249.1B61
AAPLApple, Inc.*$4.8T79
NVDANVIDIA Corp.*$5.0T74

* Nearest Technology names by size — few software - infrastructure companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Microsoft Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MSFT news & analysis

The Nasdaq-100 Is Outperforming Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Alphabet, and Tesla This Year. Here's My Favorite Low-Cost ETF to Buy the Dip.

The Motley Fool · 4 Nov 2026neutral

The article says the Nasdaq-100 is outperforming Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Alphabet, and Tesla this year, and highlights the Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Growth ETF for its low fees. It also notes that hyperscalers are continuing substantial AI capital spending amid eroding cash flows.

Why it matters — Microsoft is among the named companies, and the article’s comments on AI spending and cash flows provide context for its position relative to the Nasdaq-100.

Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft All Surged Today. You Can Thank the Big Blue Wave.

The Motley Fool · 4 Nov 2026neutral

Democrats won control of both the House and Senate in what some commentators are calling the “Big Blue Wave.” Some high-profile winners campaigned for data center moratoriums and stricter regulations.

Why it matters — The election outcome and campaign positions on data centers are relevant to Microsoft watchers because the excerpt identifies data center regulation as an issue.

Hyperscalers and Apple surge after election results remove investor uncertainty

CNBC · 4 Nov 2026positive

Shares of major technology companies, including hyperscalers and Apple, rose Wednesday after midterm election results flipped both the House and Senate. JPMorgan Asset Management strategist David Kelly said the results removed market uncertainty.

Why it matters — The item reports a broad move in major technology stocks, a group that includes companies relevant to Microsoft watchers.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MSFT stock

What is the MSFT stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 57 Wall Street analysts covering Microsoft Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $631, with estimates ranging from $440 to $870. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MSFT stock a buy right now?

Of the 57 analysts covering Microsoft Corp., 52 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Microsoft Corp. 69 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MSFT?

As at 3 Nov 2026, Microsoft Corp. ranks 69 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (95 of 100).

Will MSFT stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 57 analysts implies +13.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Microsoft Corp. 69 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MSFT stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Microsoft Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MSFT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $440 to $870 over the next 12 months.

How has MSFT stock performed over the past year?

Microsoft Corp. returned +9.0% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Microsoft Corp. do?

Microsoft makes the operating system, office software, and cloud platform that much of the working world runs on, with gaming, devices, and security products alongside. Its customers include consumers, businesses, schools, and governments, and it employs 223,000 people.

What is the latest news on MSFT?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 4 Nov 2026): "The Nasdaq-100 Is Outperforming Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Alphabet, and Tesla This Year. Here's My Favorite Low-Cost ETF to Buy the Dip.". The article says the Nasdaq-100 is outperforming Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Alphabet, and Tesla this year, and highlights the Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Growth ETF for its low fees. It also notes that hyperscalers are continuing substantial AI capital spending amid eroding cash flows.

Company

About Microsoft Corp.

Microsoft makes the operating system, office software, and cloud platform that much of the working world runs on, with gaming, devices, and security products alongside. Its customers include consumers, businesses, schools, and governments, and it employs 223,000 people. Revenue over the four fiscal quarters ended 30 June 2026 was $331.8 billion, with net income of $133.7 billion.

CEO Mr. Satya Nadella · 223,000 employees · United States · https://www.microsoft.com