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MSFT Stock Forecast: Microsoft Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 23 Sept 2026
$501
+0.52% on the day

The 55 Wall Street analysts covering Microsoft Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $568 — +13.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 63 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$3.7T
Ticker Nerd rank
63 / 100
Median analyst target
$568
Analysts covering
55
Revenue$90.0B+17.7% y/y
Operating income$40.6B
Net income$35.8B
Free cash flow$19.6B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+2.1%
1M
+3.6%
YTD
+4.2%
1Y
−0.9%
From 52W high
−6.9%
From 52W low
+42.2%
$352
$538
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MSFT stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Microsoft Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 23 Sept 2026
63 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
89
Quality
89
Volatility
72
Growth
64
Momentum
60
Issuance
51
Value
45
Accruals
31
Size
0

Revisions (89): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Accruals (31): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

The Ticker Nerd Read

Our model ranks Microsoft mid-pack while the Street rates it a buy.

As of 23 September 2026, Ticker Nerd's model ranks Microsoft 62.7 of the US stocks it tracks. The score rests on two strong factor families: Estimate Revisions at 89.2 and Quality at 89.1. Value at 44.9 and Investment and Accruals at 31.4 pull against it, and its market cap near $3.7 trillion leaves the size factor near its floor at 0.06.

The Street is more upbeat than the model. Of 55 analysts, 52 rate the shares buy or strong buy, and the average target of $574.57 sits well above the last close of $500.59 on 23 September 2026. The shares fell 0.9% over the prior twelve months while the S&P 500 benchmark rose 17%, then gained 34% over the latest three months.

Estimate Revisions is the factor most worth watching, because it turns when analysts stop raising their forecasts. That factor rests on a quarter with sales up 17.7% year over year and earnings up 31.3%. News has run with it: one brokerage upgraded the shares to buy, and reports put Azure cloud growth at 43% year over year.

Microsoft has also committed $10 billion to Gulf infrastructure and cybersecurity through 2030, and its president has voiced support for an AI "kill switch".

As of 24 Sept 2026
Wall Street

MSFT stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MSFT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$300$400$500$600$700$800$900Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MSFTHigh $870Median $568Low $400

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says55 analysts
53 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $400Median $568High $870

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +13.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
23 Sept 2026StifelUpgradeBuy$530 → $575
22 Sept 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$515 → $570
21 Sept 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight$522 → $608
15 Sept 2026CitizensReiteratesMarket Outperform$550
4 Sept 2026StifelMaintainsHold$450 → $530
4 Sept 2026StifelMaintainsHold—
1 Sept 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
1 Sept 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$500 → $600
12 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$650 → $700
12 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
5 Aug 2026Tigress FinancialMaintainsBuy$680 → $690
5 Aug 2026Tigress FinancialMaintainsBuy—
30 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$545 → $512
30 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
30 July 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform—
30 July 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$646 → $647
30 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight$502 → $522
30 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
30 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
30 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$570 → $600

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MSFT appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MSFT vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 23 Sept 2026, Microsoft Corp. returned −0.9% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MSFT vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MSFTS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MSFT analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.0%
Analysts raising
21
Analysts cutting
8
Fundamentals

Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
27.8×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

Price / sales
11.2×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

Price / book
8.4×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
19.4×

Cheaper than 16% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
17.7%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
31.3%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Gross margin
67.2%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Operating margin
45.1%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Net margin
40.3%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
34.0%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Return on assets
14.1%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.8%

Higher than 16% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Microsoft Corp. has a market value of $3.7T and an enterprise value of $3.8T.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $331.8B. The latest quarter grew 17.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $133.7B, a 40.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $17.96.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $67.0B.

  • Microsoft Corp. spent $22.3B on share buybacks and $26.4B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 7.4B.

  • Trailing P/E: 27.8×; forward P/E: 21.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.78%, paying out 20% of earnings.

  • Microsoft Corp. employs 223,000 people — $1.5M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 24 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MSFT vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSoftware - Infrastructure
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MSFTMicrosoft Corp.$3.7T
63
PLTRPalantir Technologies, Inc.$458.7B
68
ORCLOracle Corp.$416.4B
37
PANWPalo Alto Networks, Inc.$320.9B
49
CRWDCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.$267.3B
60
AAPLApple, Inc.*$4.9T
83
FTNTFortinet, Inc.$131.0B
96

* Nearest Technology names by size — few software - infrastructure companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Microsoft Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MSFT news & analysis

A Kill Switch for AI? Microsoft's Brad Smith Says Yes

WSJ · 24 Sept 2026neutral

Microsoft President Brad Smith expressed support for the concept of a "kill switch" for AI systems, according to a Wall Street Journal report. The headline indicates Microsoft's leadership is publicly backing safeguards that could shut down AI capabilities.

Why it matters — Microsoft's public stance on AI safety controls could signal its regulatory posture and inform how the company positions its AI products and governance.

President Trump just disclosed dumping $50 million of these big tech stocks

Finbold · 24 Sept 2026neutral

A September 22 disclosure showed that President Donald Trump executed more than 1,000 trades in a single month, including two equity sales in July notable for their large scale.

Why it matters — MSFT watchers may care because large-scale sales of big tech stocks by a prominent investor can draw market attention to the sector.

Microsoft: Buy This Early Recovery

Seeking Alpha · 24 Sept 2026positive

Seeking Alpha reports that Microsoft remains fundamentally attractive, citing strong recovery and bullish technical consolidation. Azure cloud growth has reaccelerated to 43% year-over-year, with management guidance projecting an even stronger 45% expansion ahead, supported by a $678 billion remaining performance obligation providing strong revenue visibility.

Why it matters — The decisive reacceleration in Azure cloud growth and the record performance obligation signal continued strong revenue momentum for Microsoft's key growth segment.

Bull v. Bear: MSFT Upgrade Points to AI Growth Adding Muscle to Mag 7 Stock

Schwab Network · 23 Sept 2026positive

Stifel upgraded Microsoft (MSFT) to a buy rating from hold, citing expectations for margin strength and AI revenue to drive future momentum. The upgrade reflects confidence in the company's growth prospects.

Why it matters — MSFT watchers would care because a major brokerage's upgrade signals growing Wall Street confidence in Microsoft's AI-driven revenue and margins, which are key to its standing among the Mag 7 stocks.

Microsoft to Spend $10 Billion in Gulf Through 2030

Bloomberg Markets and Finance · 23 Sept 2026positive

Microsoft Corp. announced it will spend $10 billion through 2030 across Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. The investment will go toward building infrastructure and strengthening cyber security in the four Gulf countries.

Why it matters — The major regional investment signals Microsoft's expansion into the Gulf market through infrastructure and security projects over the next several years.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MSFT stock

What is the MSFT stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 55 Wall Street analysts covering Microsoft Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $568, with estimates ranging from $400 to $870. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MSFT stock a buy right now?

Of the 55 analysts covering Microsoft Corp., 53 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Microsoft Corp. 63 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MSFT?

As at 23 Sept 2026, Microsoft Corp. ranks 63 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (89 of 100).

Will MSFT stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 55 analysts implies +13.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Microsoft Corp. 63 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MSFT stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Microsoft Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MSFT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $400 to $870 over the next 12 months.

How has MSFT stock performed over the past year?

Microsoft Corp. returned -0.9% over the 12 months to 23 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Microsoft Corp. do?

Microsoft sells productivity software, operating systems, cloud computing, cybersecurity, and developer tools, and it also makes devices and gaming products. Its offerings serve consumers, businesses, schools, and governments worldwide.

What is the latest news on MSFT?

The most recent item we track (WSJ, 24 Sept 2026): "A Kill Switch for AI? Microsoft's Brad Smith Says Yes". Microsoft President Brad Smith expressed support for the concept of a "kill switch" for AI systems, according to a Wall Street Journal report. The headline indicates Microsoft's leadership is publicly backing safeguards that could shut down AI capabilities.

Company

About Microsoft Corp.

Microsoft sells productivity software, operating systems, cloud computing, cybersecurity, and developer tools, and it also makes devices and gaming products. Its offerings serve consumers, businesses, schools, and governments worldwide. The company employs about 223,000 people and booked revenue of roughly $331.8 billion over the twelve months ending 30 June 2026. Its shares carried a market value of about $3.7 trillion as of 24 September 2026.

CEO Mr. Satya Nadella · 223,000 employees · United States · https://www.microsoft.com