MSTRTechnology · Software - ApplicationThe 16 Wall Street analysts covering Strategy, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $215 — +30.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 28 of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Strategy, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (87): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Momentum (14): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Size (4): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MSTR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +30.8% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $136 → $240 |
| 22 Sept 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 22 Sept 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | $175 → $195 |
| 15 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 15 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $125 → $160 |
| 8 Sept 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | $175 → $179 |
| 8 Sept 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | $155 → $175 |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Alliance Global Partners | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Alliance Global Partners | Initiates | Buy | $217 |
| 26 Aug 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Outperform | $450 → $350 |
| 26 Aug 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | $130 → $175 |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Overweight | — |
| 3 Aug 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Aug 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | $215 → $155 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $130 → $125 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MSTR appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 5 Oct 2026, Strategy, Inc. returned −53.2% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 65% of US stocks
Cheaper than 3% of US stocks
Cheaper than 46% of US stocks
Cheaper than 73% of US stocks
Higher than 44% of US stocks
Higher than 44% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 2% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 18% of US stocks
Higher than 11% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Strategy, Inc. has a market value of $63.8B and an enterprise value of $80.2B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $498.3M. The latest quarter grew 6.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$30.4B, a −6103.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−97.21.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$21.7B.
Strategy, Inc. spent $952.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 5.5×; forward P/E: 3.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Strategy, Inc. employs 1,539 people — $324K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Strategy, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Strategy (MSTR) closed its most recent trading day at $164.43, up 2.76% from the prior session, outperforming the broader market. Zacks highlights this market-beating move as a point of consideration for investors.
Why it matters — MSTR watchers would note the stock's daily price advance relative to the broader market as a factual indication of its recent trading performance.
Strategy's Bitcoin treasury has grown to 848,000 BTC, though the company faces negative BTC Yield and financing costs that complicate per-share value creation, according to Zacks.
Why it matters — MSTR watchers would care because the company's core value proposition rests on whether its expanding Bitcoin holdings can ultimately translate into shareholder value despite rising financing burdens.
Strategy (MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy, rose 2% on Monday after disclosing another Bitcoin purchase of 334 BTC for roughly $28.7 million, bringing its total holdings to a record 848,000 BTC. The acquisition occurred between September 28 and October 4, according to an SEC filing.
Why it matters — A MSTR watcher would care because the company continues to expand its Bitcoin treasury to a new record, reinforcing its core strategy of accumulating the cryptocurrency.
Strategy's $6.02 billion liquidity buffer covers roughly 3.4 years of its $1.76 billion annual senior obligations. The company holds 847,666 Bitcoin at a $75,440 average cost, with long-term debt having declined to approximately $6.7 billion.
Why it matters — The strong liquidity position and Bitcoin asset coverage of roughly 3.4x debt and preferred equity signal a robust balance sheet for Strategy watchers.
Citigroup raised its price target on Strategy (MSTR) to $240 after the stock rose 30% over the past month, outperforming Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. The revised target follows a period of strong performance for the stock.
Why it matters — An analyst's increased price target and the stock's recent outperformance are notable signals for watchers tracking MSTR's momentum relative to Bitcoin and crypto peers.
The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Strategy, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $215, with estimates ranging from $160 to $435. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 16 analysts covering Strategy, Inc., 15 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Strategy, Inc. 28 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Oct 2026, Strategy, Inc. ranks 28 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (87 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +30.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Strategy, Inc. 28 out of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Strategy, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MSTR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $160 to $435 over the next 12 months.
Strategy, Inc. returned -53.2% over the 12 months to 5 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Strategy Inc is a bitcoin treasury company and enterprise analytics software provider focused on delivering AI-powered data tools and financial exposure products. The company offers Strategy One, a cloud-based analytics platform that helps non-technical users access insights for decision-making, and Strategy Mosaic, which provides a consistent intelligence layer across diverse data sources and governance environments.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 5 Oct 2026): "Strategy (MSTR) Exceeds Market Returns: Some Facts to Consider". Strategy (MSTR) closed its most recent trading day at $164.43, up 2.76% from the prior session, outperforming the broader market. Zacks highlights this market-beating move as a point of consideration for investors.
Strategy Inc is a bitcoin treasury company and enterprise analytics software provider focused on delivering AI-powered data tools and financial exposure products. The company offers Strategy One, a cloud-based analytics platform that helps non-technical users access insights for decision-making, and Strategy Mosaic, which provides a consistent intelligence layer across diverse data sources and governance environments. Alongside its software business, Strategy Inc issues securities designed to give investors varying degrees of economic exposure to Bitcoin through equity and fixed income instruments. Its current operations span the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and other international markets, positioning the company at the intersection of digital asset treasury management and business intelligence software.
CEO Mr. Phong Q. Le · 1,539 employees · United States · https://www.strategy.com
