MSTRTechnology · Software - ApplicationThe 16 Wall Street analysts covering Strategy, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $215 — +39.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 28 of 100 as at 10 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Strategy, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (87): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Momentum (14): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Size (4): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MSTR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +39.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $160 → $175 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $136 → $240 |
| 22 Sept 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 22 Sept 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | $175 → $195 |
| 15 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $125 → $160 |
| 15 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 8 Sept 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | $175 → $179 |
| 8 Sept 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | $155 → $175 |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Alliance Global Partners | Initiates | Buy | $217 |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Alliance Global Partners | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 26 Aug 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Outperform | $450 → $350 |
| 26 Aug 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | $130 → $175 |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Overweight | — |
| 3 Aug 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | $215 → $155 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $130 → $125 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MSTR appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 9 Oct 2026, Strategy, Inc. returned −51.8% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 65% of US stocks
Cheaper than 4% of US stocks
Cheaper than 46% of US stocks
Cheaper than 73% of US stocks
Higher than 44% of US stocks
Higher than 44% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 2% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 18% of US stocks
Higher than 11% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Strategy, Inc. has a market value of $61.5B and an enterprise value of $77.7B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $498.3M. The latest quarter grew 6.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$30.4B, a −6103.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−97.21.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$21.7B.
Strategy, Inc. spent $952.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 5.5×; forward P/E: 3.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Strategy, Inc. employs 1,539 people — $324K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Strategy, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
MSTR shares rose 60% over three months as Strategy expanded its Bitcoin holdings. The report also highlights steep valuation, dilution risks and volatility as concerns about further upside.
Why it matters — These factors frame the recent share gain alongside risks that may matter to investors tracking MSTR.
Mining stocks lagged Bitcoin, with CleanSpark down 7% to $10.72 in morning trading. MARA fell 5%, and Strategy also slipped.
Why it matters — The report places Strategy’s stock move in the context of weakness across mining-related stocks while they trail Bitcoin.
BlockchAIn Digital Infrastructure said it plans to develop a 50-megawatt data center under a newly executed contract with Nebius. Management expects customer prepayments to cover the company’s required equity contribution to the project.
Why it matters — The data center development and its expected prepayment funding may be relevant to MSTR watchers tracking developments in digital infrastructure.
Strategy Inc. lost more than half its value last year while becoming the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin treasury. The article says one Wall Street analyst believes this combination could set up a trade many investors are wary of.
Why it matters — MSTR watchers may note the contrast between the company’s steep decline and its position as the largest corporate Bitcoin treasury, alongside the analyst’s view.
Crypto-related stocks are falling alongside bitcoin this morning, while stock futures are lower after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs. The report also notes upcoming Federal Reserve minutes and other company news.
Why it matters — MSTR watchers may care because the item reports weakness in crypto-related stocks and bitcoin.
The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Strategy, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $215, with estimates ranging from $160 to $435. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 16 analysts covering Strategy, Inc., 15 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Strategy, Inc. 28 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 10 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 10 Oct 2026, Strategy, Inc. ranks 28 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (87 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +39.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Strategy, Inc. 28 out of 100 as at 10 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Strategy, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MSTR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $160 to $435 over the next 12 months.
Strategy, Inc. returned -51.8% over the 12 months to 9 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Strategy Inc is a bitcoin treasury and business intelligence company that combines digital asset-oriented capital management with enterprise software. The company provides AI-powered analytics platforms such as Strategy One and Strategy Mosaic, which support reporting, visualization, governance, and decision-making across diverse data environments.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 9 Oct 2026): "MSTR Stock Rises 60% in Three Months: Is More Upside Still Ahead?". MSTR shares rose 60% over three months as Strategy expanded its Bitcoin holdings. The report also highlights steep valuation, dilution risks and volatility as concerns about further upside.
Strategy Inc is a bitcoin treasury and business intelligence company that combines digital asset-oriented capital management with enterprise software. The company provides AI-powered analytics platforms such as Strategy One and Strategy Mosaic, which support reporting, visualization, governance, and decision-making across diverse data environments. Its software offerings are delivered through cloud subscriptions, licensing arrangements, and related professional services, serving organizations across industries including retail, banking, technology, manufacturing, insurance, consulting, healthcare, and the public sector. In addition to its software business, Strategy Inc issues equity and fixed-income instruments designed to provide investors with varying degrees of economic exposure to Bitcoin. Headquartered in Tysons Corner, Virginia, Strategy Inc operates in the United States and international markets, positioning itself at the intersection of enterprise analytics software and digital asset treasury operations.
CEO Mr. Phong Q. Le · 1,539 employees · United States · https://www.strategy.com
