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MTCH Stock Forecast: Match Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$40
+0.47% on the day

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Match Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $41 — +1.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 98 of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$9.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
98 / 100
Median analyst target
$41
Analysts covering
20
Revenue$853.1M−1.2% y/y
Operating income$245.4M
Net income$170.5M
Free cash flow$352.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.6%
1M
−5.0%
YTD
+27.1%
1Y
+18.7%
From 52W high
−9.2%
From 52W low
+41.2%
$29
$44
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MTCH stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Match Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Oct 2026
98 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
98
Quality
94
Revisions
84
Value
82
Momentum
81
Accruals
80
Growth
71
Issuance
67
Size
16

Volatility (98): The share price has been relatively steady.

Issuance (67): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (16): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MTCH stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MTCH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$35$40$45$50Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MTCHHigh $51Median $41Low $35

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says20 analysts
7 Buy13 Hold0 Sell
Low $35Median $41High $51

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +1.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
24 Aug 2026JP MorganAssumesNeutral$43
5 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$46 → $45
5 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
5 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$37 → $41
5 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
7 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$38 → $41
7 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
6 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
6 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 May 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
6 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
6 May 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
6 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
4 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
7 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
5 Feb 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
4 Feb 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
4 Feb 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
13 Jan 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MTCH appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MTCH vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Match Group, Inc. returned +18.7% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MTCH vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MTCHS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MTCH analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.9%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
14.3×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.6×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

Price / book
−39.5×

Cheaper than 99% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.4×

Cheaper than 36% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−1.2%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
35.9%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Gross margin
76.1%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Operating margin
28.8%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Net margin
20.2%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−242.1%

Higher than 6% of US stocks

Return on assets
17.4%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.0%

Higher than 65% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Match Group, Inc. has a market value of $9.3B and an enterprise value of $12.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.5B. The latest quarter shrank 1.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $707.8M, a 20.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.83.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.1B, after $66.2M of capital spending.

  • Match Group, Inc. spent $614.5M on share buybacks and $182.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 229.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 14.3×; forward P/E: 8.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.98%, paying out 28% of earnings.

  • Match Group, Inc. employs 2,200 people — $1.6M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MTCH vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInternet Content & Information
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MTCHMatch Group, Inc.$9.3B
98
SNAPSnap, Inc.$9.2B
75
PINSPinterest, Inc.$11.1B
79
ZZillow Group, Inc.$6.3B
60
RUMRUM Group, Inc.$3.8B
16
RDDTReddit, Inc.$28.4B
62
PPLIPeople, Inc.$3.1B
75

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Match Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MTCH news & analysis

Match Group: I Am Swiping Right On The Stock (Buy)

Seeking Alpha · 30 Sept 2026positive

A Seeking Alpha analysis highlights Match Group's improved investor confidence, driven by margin expansion, robust Hinge growth, and strong cash generation. The company's profitability gains—with gross margin reaching 76%—stem from web billing and operational efficiencies, helping offset declines in legacy apps.

Why it matters — MTCH watchers would care because the article points to improving user churn and profitability gains as signs of a potential turnaround toward sustainable top-line growth.

4 Top-Performing Liquid Stocks to Strengthen Your Portfolio

Zacks Investment Research · 24 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted MTCH among four top-performing liquid stocks, noting its strong liquidity, growth attributes, and operational efficiency.

Why it matters — A MTCH watcher would care because the article recognizes Match Group as a top performer on liquidity, growth, and operational efficiency metrics.

UPWARD RELAUNCHES AS THE HOME OF MODERN COURTSHIP

PRNewsWire · 22 Sept 2026positive

Match Group's dating app Upward has been relaunched as "the home of modern courtship," targeting a broader generation who date with marriage in mind. The announcement cites that 72% of Gen Z wants to get married.

Why it matters — A repositioning of Upward around marriage-oriented dating could help Match Group capture Gen Z users looking for serious relationships.

What Makes Match Group (MTCH) a New Strong Buy Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 17 Sept 2026positive

Match Group was upgraded to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), reflecting growing optimism about its earnings prospects. The upgrade signals that analysts see improved near-term earnings potential for the company.

Why it matters — A Strong Buy rating from Zacks indicates increased confidence in Match Group's earnings outlook, which MTCH watchers would see as a positive signal for the stock.

Match Group: Tinder's Turnaround Is Gaining Traction, But The Stock Is Still Mispriced

Seeking Alpha · 12 Sept 2026positive

Match Group is rated a Buy, with Tinder's revamp gaining traction while overall revenue and payers remain under pressure and Hinge stands out as the growth driver. The company maintains strong free cash flow, a balanced balance sheet, and robust capital returns, including a 7% annualized combined yield.

Why it matters — A MTCH watcher would care because the piece highlights Tinder's improving turnaround alongside persistent pressure on revenue and payers, with Hinge and capital returns as key offsets.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MTCH stock

What is the MTCH stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Match Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $41, with estimates ranging from $35 to $51. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MTCH stock a buy right now?

Of the 20 analysts covering Match Group, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 13 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Match Group, Inc. 98 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MTCH?

As at 3 Oct 2026, Match Group, Inc. ranks 98 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (98 of 100).

Will MTCH stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +1.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Match Group, Inc. 98 out of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MTCH stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Match Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MTCH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $35 to $51 over the next 12 months.

How has MTCH stock performed over the past year?

Match Group, Inc. returned +18.7% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Match Group, Inc. do?

Match Group Inc. is a global internet and technology company focused on digital dating and relationship platforms.

What is the latest news on MTCH?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 30 Sept 2026): "Match Group: I Am Swiping Right On The Stock (Buy)". A Seeking Alpha analysis highlights Match Group's improved investor confidence, driven by margin expansion, robust Hinge growth, and strong cash generation. The company's profitability gains—with gross margin reaching 76%—stem from web billing and operational efficiencies, helping offset declines in legacy apps.

Company

About Match Group, Inc.

Match Group Inc. is a global internet and technology company focused on digital dating and relationship platforms. Match Group Inc. operates a broad portfolio of brands that includes Tinder, Hinge, Match, Meetic, OkCupid, Pairs, Plenty of Fish, Azar, and BLK, serving users with different preferences, communities, and relationship goals. Its products are delivered through mobile apps and websites and are designed to help people make meaningful connections through discovery, matching, messaging, and premium features. The company operates across key segments including Tinder, Hinge, Evergreen and Emerging, and Match Group Asia, giving it exposure to a wide range of consumer markets in North America, Europe, Asia, and other international regions. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Match Group Inc. plays a central role in the online dating market by managing one of the most diverse portfolios of connection-focused brands in the industry.

CEO Mr. Spencer M. Rascoff · 2,200 employees · United States · https://mtch.com