MTCHCommunication Services · Internet Content & InformationThe 20 Wall Street analysts covering Match Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $42 — -8.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 96 of 100 as at 24 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Match Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (99): The share price has been relatively steady.
Issuance (68): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Size (14): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MTCH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −8.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Upgrade | Outperform | $39 → $53 |
| 24 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Assumes | Neutral | $43 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $46 → $45 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $37 → $41 |
| 7 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $38 → $41 |
| 7 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 May 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 6 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 May 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 4 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 5 Feb 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 Feb 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 4 Feb 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
MTCH appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 23 Oct 2026, Match Group, Inc. returned +42.9% against +14.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 43% of US stocks
Cheaper than 39% of US stocks
Cheaper than 99% of US stocks
Cheaper than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 26% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 6% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Match Group, Inc. has a market value of $10.7B and an enterprise value of $13.6B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.5B. The latest quarter shrank 1.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $707.8M, a 20.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.83.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.1B, after $66.2M of capital spending.
Match Group, Inc. spent $614.5M on share buybacks and $182.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 16.2×; forward P/E: 10.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.75%, paying out 28% of earnings.
Match Group, Inc. employs 2,200 people — $1.6M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Match Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Bumble shares rose 56% to $5.94 in morning trading after the dating-app operator agreed to be taken private by unlisted buyer Ithaca Holdings for $6.05 a share. Match Group advanced 2%.
Why it matters — The report notes a gain in Match Group shares alongside Bumble’s take-private agreement, offering relevant context for MTCH watchers.
Match Group plans to release its third-quarter 2026 financial results and prepared remarks after market close on Monday, November 2, 2026. It will host its quarterly conference call that day at 5:00 p.m.
Why it matters — MTCH watchers can note the date and time when the company will provide its quarterly results and discuss them on a conference call.
A Seeking Alpha analysis highlights Match Group's improved investor confidence, driven by margin expansion, robust Hinge growth, and strong cash generation. The company's profitability gains—with gross margin reaching 76%—stem from web billing and operational efficiencies, helping offset declines in legacy apps.
Why it matters — MTCH watchers would care because the article points to improving user churn and profitability gains as signs of a potential turnaround toward sustainable top-line growth.
Zacks Investment Research highlighted MTCH among four top-performing liquid stocks, noting its strong liquidity, growth attributes, and operational efficiency.
Why it matters — A MTCH watcher would care because the article recognizes Match Group as a top performer on liquidity, growth, and operational efficiency metrics.
Match Group's dating app Upward has been relaunched as "the home of modern courtship," targeting a broader generation who date with marriage in mind. The announcement cites that 72% of Gen Z wants to get married.
Why it matters — A repositioning of Upward around marriage-oriented dating could help Match Group capture Gen Z users looking for serious relationships.
The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Match Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $42, with estimates ranging from $35 to $53. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 20 analysts covering Match Group, Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Match Group, Inc. 96 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 24 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 24 Oct 2026, Match Group, Inc. ranks 96 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (99 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies -8.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Match Group, Inc. 96 out of 100 as at 24 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Match Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MTCH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $35 to $53 over the next 12 months.
Match Group, Inc. returned +42.9% over the 12 months to 23 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Match Group Inc. is a global internet and technology company focused on digital dating and relationship platforms.
The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 13 Oct 2026): "Bumble Soars 56% as Ithaca Holdings Agrees to Take It Private at $6.05 a Share; Match Group Advances 2%". Bumble shares rose 56% to $5.94 in morning trading after the dating-app operator agreed to be taken private by unlisted buyer Ithaca Holdings for $6.05 a share. Match Group advanced 2%.
Match Group Inc. is a global internet and technology company focused on digital dating and relationship platforms. Match Group Inc. operates a broad portfolio of brands that includes Tinder, Hinge, Match, Meetic, OkCupid, Pairs, Plenty of Fish, Azar, and BLK, serving users with different preferences, communities, and relationship goals. Its products are delivered through mobile apps and websites and are designed to help people make meaningful connections through discovery, matching, messaging, and premium features. The company operates across key segments including Tinder, Hinge, Evergreen and Emerging, and Match Group Asia, giving it exposure to a wide range of consumer markets in North America, Europe, Asia, and other international regions. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Match Group Inc. plays a central role in the online dating market by managing one of the most diverse portfolios of connection-focused brands in the industry.
CEO Mr. Spencer M. Rascoff · 2,200 employees · United States · https://mtch.com
