MTCHCommunication Services · Internet Content & InformationThe 20 Wall Street analysts covering Match Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $41 — -1.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 97 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Match Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (98): The share price has been relatively steady.
Issuance (67): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Size (16): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MTCH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −1.8% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Assumes | Neutral | $43 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $46 → $45 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $37 → $41 |
| 7 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $38 → $41 |
| 7 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 May 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 6 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 May 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 4 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 5 Feb 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 Feb 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 4 Feb 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 5 Nov 2025 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 5 Nov 2025 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MTCH appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 24 Aug 2026, Match Group, Inc. returned +14.5% against +19.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 48% of US stocks
Cheaper than 45% of US stocks
Cheaper than 99% of US stocks
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Higher than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 6% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 45% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Match Group, Inc. has a market value of $9.7B and an enterprise value of $12.7B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.5B. The latest quarter shrank 1.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $707.8M, a 20.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.83.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.1B, after $66.2M of capital spending.
Match Group, Inc. spent $614.5M on share buybacks and $182.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 14.5×; forward P/E: 9.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.92%, paying out 28% of earnings.
Match Group, Inc. employs 2,200 people — $1.6M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Match Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Research highlighted MTCH as one of four top-performing liquid stocks (alongside MNDY, PGNY and WK), each cited for strong liquidity, growth attributes and operational efficiency.
Why it matters — A MTCH watcher would care because the stock was singled out among top liquid picks for its liquidity, growth profile and operational efficiency.
The online dating industry is facing one of its biggest tests since the pandemic boom, as major players experience slowing user growth, declining engagement, and growing skepticism from younger users after years of rapid swipe-based expansion.
Why it matters — As a major dating app operator, Match Group (parent of Tinder) would be affected by slowing user growth and declining engagement across the industry.
Match Group announced the next installment of its CEO Connection Series, hosted by CEO Spencer Rascoff, focused on Tinder's product evolution and velocity over the past 12 to 18 months. The event will also cover how changes to Tinder's culture and product development approach are enabling faster learning, testing, and execution.
Why it matters — MTCH watchers would care because the event offers direct insight from leadership into Tinder's product strategy and the pace of its development, which is central to the company's growth.
Zacks Investment Research identified Match Group as one of four high-growth GARP (growth at a reasonable price) stocks for 2026, noting that it pairs a discounted PEG ratio with strong growth potential alongside EnerSys, Globus Medical, and DoubleVerify.
Why it matters — A MTCH watcher would care because the item highlights Match Group's valuation as attractive relative to its growth prospects, potentially drawing investor attention to the stock.
Match Group director Schiffman sold 20,030 shares on August 11, 2026, for a total transaction value of approximately $736,703. The disposition represented 27% of the director's total direct equity holdings in the company.
Why it matters — A Match Group director reducing a significant portion (27%) of their direct equity holdings may draw investor attention regarding insider sentiment.
The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Match Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $41, with estimates ranging from $35 to $51. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 20 analysts covering Match Group, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 13 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Match Group, Inc. 97 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Aug 2026, Match Group, Inc. ranks 97 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies -1.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Match Group, Inc. 97 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Match Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MTCH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $35 to $51 over the next 12 months.
Match Group, Inc. returned +14.5% over the 12 months to 24 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Match Group, Inc. is a global technology company focused on online dating products and services.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 24 Aug 2026): "Bet on These 4 Top-Performing Liquid Stocks to Maximize Returns". Zacks Research highlighted MTCH as one of four top-performing liquid stocks (alongside MNDY, PGNY and WK), each cited for strong liquidity, growth attributes and operational efficiency.
Match Group, Inc. is a global technology company focused on online dating products and services. Its portfolio includes well-known brands such as Tinder, Hinge, Match, OkCupid, Meetic, Pairs, PlentyOfFish, and OurTime, serving users across a wide range of ages, relationship goals, and geographies. The company operates digital platforms that help people connect through subscriptions and app-based matchmaking features, making it a major participant in the online dating and social discovery market. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Match Group plays a central role in the consumer internet sector by offering branded platforms that support personal connections worldwide.
CEO Mr. Spencer M. Rascoff · 2,200 employees · United States · https://mtch.com
