MTCHCommunication Services · Internet Content & InformationThe 19 Wall Street analysts covering Match Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $41 — -0.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 93 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Match Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (95): The share price has been relatively steady.
Issuance (55): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Size (16): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Match Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MTCH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −0.1% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $38 → $41 |
| 6 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 May 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 6 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 May 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 4 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 5 Feb 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 Feb 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 4 Feb 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 5 Nov 2025 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 5 Nov 2025 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 5 Nov 2025 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 20 Oct 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 7 Aug 2025 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Positive | — |
| 6 Aug 2025 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 47% of US stocks
Cheaper than 45% of US stocks
Cheaper than 99% of US stocks
Cheaper than 35% of US stocks
Higher than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 6% of US stocks
Higher than 97% of US stocks
Higher than 45% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MTCH appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Match Group is scheduled to report earnings Tuesday, and attention will be centered on Tinder's performance. Even as Gen Z gravitates toward the Hinge app, Tinder remains the key focus for the results.
Why it matters — For MTCH watchers, Tinder's quarterly results will be a key indicator of how Match Group performs in its upcoming earnings report.
Match Group is diversifying its portfolio of dating apps to target various demographics and life stages, reducing reliance on Tinder and Hinge. The company maintains strong EBITDA margins and continues product innovation.
Why it matters — A Match Group watcher would care because the company is positioning itself as a comprehensive dating platform with a diversified app portfolio, which could reduce risk from dependence on any single brand.
The article notes that certain conditions must align for a private-equity firm to take a public company private, and identifies Match Group as one of four stocks that currently fit the ideal LBO target profile.
Why it matters — If Match Group were to become an LBO target, MTCH shareholders could see the company taken private at a premium, making any signal of private-equity interest significant for the stock's outlook.
The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Match Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $41, with estimates ranging from $35 to $51. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 19 analysts covering Match Group, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Match Group, Inc. 93 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 1 Aug 2026, Match Group, Inc. ranks 93 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (95 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 19 analysts implies -0.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Match Group, Inc. 93 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Match Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MTCH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $35 to $51 over the next 12 months.
Match Group, Inc. returned +23.4% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Match Group, Inc. is a global technology company focused on online dating products and services.
The most recent item we track (Barrons, 2 Aug 2026): "Gen Z Loves the Hinge Dating App. Why Match Earnings Are All About Tinder.". Match Group is scheduled to report earnings Tuesday, and attention will be centered on Tinder's performance. Even as Gen Z gravitates toward the Hinge app, Tinder remains the key focus for the results.
Match Group, Inc. is a global technology company focused on online dating products and services. Its portfolio includes well-known brands such as Tinder, Hinge, Match, OkCupid, Meetic, Pairs, PlentyOfFish, and OurTime, serving users across a wide range of ages, relationship goals, and geographies. The company operates digital platforms that help people connect through subscriptions and app-based matchmaking features, making it a major participant in the online dating and social discovery market. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Match Group plays a central role in the consumer internet sector by offering branded platforms that support personal connections worldwide.
CEO Mr. Spencer M. Rascoff · 2,200 employees · United States · https://mtch.com