MTCHCommunication Services · Internet Content & InformationThe 19 Wall Street analysts covering Match Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $44 — +5.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 98 of 100 as at 13 Nov 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Match Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (100): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Revisions (62): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.
Size (16): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MTCH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +5.7% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 9 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $51 → $52 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $39 → $45 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $53 → $51 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Positive | $45 → $50 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $41 → $44 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $38 → $43 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $39 → $38 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $40 → $39 |
| 27 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $45 → $52 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Upgrade | Outperform | $39 → $53 |
| 24 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Assumes | Neutral | $43 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $46 → $45 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $37 → $41 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 7 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $38 → $41 |
| 7 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
MTCH appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 13 Nov 2026, Match Group, Inc. returned +30.9% against +13.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 47% of US stocks
Cheaper than 42% of US stocks
Cheaper than 99% of US stocks
Cheaper than 35% of US stocks
Higher than 24% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 6% of US stocks
Higher than 97% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Match Group, Inc. has a market value of $9.5B and an enterprise value of $12.4B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.5B. The latest quarter shrank 2.5% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $707.8M, a 20.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.83.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.1B, after $66.2M of capital spending.
Match Group, Inc. spent $614.5M on share buybacks and $182.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 14.3×; forward P/E: 10.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.92%, paying out 27% of earnings.
Match Group, Inc. employs 2,200 people — $1.6M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Match Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Match Group reported that Tinder’s global daily active users returned to year-over-year growth in September. The company also expects full-year revenue to finish above the midpoint of its guidance.
Why it matters — These updates provide MTCH watchers with information about Tinder user trends and the company’s revenue outlook.
Match Group reported a Q3 rebound in payers and daily usage, exceeding expectations and improving profit margins. The article upgraded its rating to neutral, citing potential upside from its core-app focus and portfolio streamlining alongside dating-app fatigue and leverage risks.
Why it matters — MTCH watchers may weigh the stronger operating trends against the risks highlighted in the article.
The item is a transcript of Match Group, Inc.’s Q3 2026 earnings call; the excerpt provides no details about the discussion.
Why it matters — MTCH watchers can note that a Q3 2026 earnings-call transcript is the subject, but the supplied excerpt offers no information about the company’s results or outlook.
The article says Match Group’s Q3 2026 headline results are being assessed alongside key metrics, comparing them with Wall Street estimates and year-ago values. The excerpt does not provide the metrics or comparison outcomes.
Why it matters — These comparisons offer MTCH watchers additional context for evaluating the quarter, though the excerpt gives no specific results.
Match Group said Tinder’s global daily active users returned to year-over-year growth in September, the first such growth in three and a half years. It expects to finish 2026 slightly above the midpoint of its full-year revenue guidance range and exceed its adjusted EBITDA margin and free-cash-flow targets set earlier in the year.
Why it matters — The update gives MTCH watchers information about Tinder’s user trends and the company’s expectations for revenue, margins, and free cash flow.
The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Match Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $44, with estimates ranging from $36 to $52. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 19 analysts covering Match Group, Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 11 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Match Group, Inc. 98 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 13 Nov 2026, Match Group, Inc. ranks 98 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (100 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 19 analysts implies +5.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Match Group, Inc. 98 out of 100 as at 13 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Match Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MTCH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $36 to $52 over the next 12 months.
Match Group, Inc. returned +30.9% over the 12 months to 13 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Match Group Inc. is a global internet and technology company focused on digital dating and relationship platforms.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 4 Nov 2026): "Match Group: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors". Match Group reported that Tinder’s global daily active users returned to year-over-year growth in September. The company also expects full-year revenue to finish above the midpoint of its guidance.
Match Group Inc. is a global internet and technology company focused on digital dating and relationship platforms. Match Group Inc. operates a broad portfolio of brands that includes Tinder, Hinge, Match, Meetic, OkCupid, Pairs, Plenty of Fish, Azar, and BLK, serving users with different preferences, communities, and relationship goals. Its products are delivered through mobile apps and websites and are designed to help people make meaningful connections through discovery, matching, messaging, and premium features. The company operates across key segments including Tinder, Hinge, Evergreen and Emerging, and Match Group Asia, giving it exposure to a wide range of consumer markets in North America, Europe, Asia, and other international regions. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Match Group Inc. plays a central role in the online dating market by managing one of the most diverse portfolios of connection-focused brands in the industry.
CEO Mr. Spencer M. Rascoff · 2,200 employees · United States · https://mtch.com
