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NVDA Stock Forecast: NVIDIA Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 16 Oct 2026
$214
−1.43% on the day

The 62 Wall Street analysts covering NVIDIA Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $315 — +47.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 75 of 100 as at 17 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$5.2T
Ticker Nerd rank
75/ 100
Median analyst target
$315
Analysts covering
62
Revenue$96.2B+105.9% y/y
Operating income$63.7B
Net income$59.7B
Free cash flow$21.4B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 July 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−6.6%
1M
+0.1%
YTD
+15.1%
1Y
+18.1%
From 52W high
−10.5%
From 52W low
+29.9%
$165
$239
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

NVDA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores NVIDIA Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 17 Oct 2026
75/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
98
Quality
97
Growth
80
Volatility
79
Value
68
Momentum
67
Issuance
43
Accruals
12
Size
0

Revisions (98): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Accruals (12): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

The Ticker Nerd Read

Analyst revisions carry NVDA's rank; accruals drag it.

As of October 17, 2026, our factor model ranks NVIDIA 74.99 of 100 across the US stocks it tracks. Estimate Revisions (97.7) and Quality (96.9) carry the rank: analysts have been raising forecasts, and NVIDIA's 66.2% operating margin is higher than 99% of US stocks. Investment/Accruals (12.2) drags most, and the size factor scores 0 because NVIDIA is the largest company the model covers.

The Street's targets sit far above the market price. As of October 16, 2026, the last close was $214.13, while the median of 62 analyst targets is $315 and the average is $328.72. The low target of $180 and the high of $515 bracket a wide spread, and 49 of the 62 ratings are Buy with 10 Strong Buy.

Estimate Revisions is the rank's heaviest factor at a 16.7% weight, and a change in its direction would move the rank most. Next-year consensus EPS rose 25.2% in the 90 days to October 13, 2026, with 46 raises and no cuts in the last month. The accruals drag traces to earnings running ahead of cash: net income of $59.7 billion against operating cash flow of $24.1 billion in the quarter ended July 31, 2026.

As of 18 Oct 2026
Wall Street

NVDA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NVDA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$200$300$400$500Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26NVDAHigh $515Median $315Low $180

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says62 analysts
59 Buy2 Hold1 Sell
Low $180Median $315High $515

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +47.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
1 Oct 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight$350
29 Sept 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy$390
10 Sept 2026Piper SandlerInitiatesOverweight$300
10 Sept 2026Piper SandlerInitiatesOverweight—
4 Sept 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$300
4 Sept 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
4 Sept 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy—
4 Sept 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy$390
27 Aug 2026BenchmarkReiteratesBuy—
27 Aug 2026BenchmarkReiteratesBuy$335
27 Aug 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$315 → $400
27 Aug 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform—
27 Aug 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight—
27 Aug 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight$350
27 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$300 → $315
27 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
27 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
27 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$300
27 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$413 → $465
27 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NVDA appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

NVDA vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 16 Oct 2026, NVIDIA Corp. returned +18.1% against +16.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

NVDA vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26NVDAS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

NVDA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+4.2%
Analysts raising
43
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
27.1×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

Price / sales
17.1×

Cheaper than 9% of US stocks

Price / book
22.6×

Cheaper than 4% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
25.5×

Cheaper than 10% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
105.9%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
125.9%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Gross margin
75.0%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Operating margin
66.2%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Net margin
63.7%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
117.2%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Return on assets
53.6%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.5%

Higher than 65% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • NVIDIA Corp. has a market value of $5.2T and an enterprise value of $5.1T.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $303.0B. The latest quarter grew 105.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $192.9B, a 63.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.91.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $127.0B.

  • NVIDIA Corp. spent $55.3B on share buybacks and $6.8B on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 24.1B.

  • Trailing P/E: 27.1×; forward P/E: 13.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.47%, paying out 4% of earnings.

  • NVIDIA Corp. employs 42,000 people — $7.2M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 July 2026 · market figures as at 17 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

NVDA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSemiconductors
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
NVDANVIDIA Corp.$5.2T75
AVGOBroadcom Inc.$1.6T66
MUMicron Technology, Inc.$989.0B96
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.$862.1B67
INTCIntel Corp.$475.0B70
TXNTexas Instruments Incorporated$251.2B88
AAPLApple, Inc.*$5.0T86

* Nearest Technology names by size — few semiconductors companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own NVIDIA Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest NVDA news & analysis

Nvidia stock loses $365 billion in a week: could the AI boom be running out of money?

Invezz · 19 Oct 2026negative

Nvidia lost approximately $365 billion in market value last week as rising borrowing costs raised doubts about the sustainability of Wall Street’s AI spending boom. Its shares fell 6.6% over the five sessions ending 16 October, closing at $214.13.

Why it matters — The decline and concerns about AI spending sustainability may be relevant to NVDA watchers assessing the pressures affecting the stock.

Here's What a $10,000 Investment in Nvidia Stock Will Be Worth by 2030

The Motley Fool · 19 Oct 2026positive

The Motley Fool says Nvidia’s sizable addressable market could sustain strong growth through the end of the decade, and that even conservative growth could bring its valuation close to $10 trillion by 2030.

Why it matters — NVDA watchers may care about the article’s view of the market opportunity and potential long-term valuation.

The Bond Market Is Sending a Warning to Nvidia Shareholders

The Motley Fool · 18 Oct 2026negative

Bond investors are pushing debt yields higher for neocloud companies, signaling growing concern about their risk of default.

Why it matters — NVIDIA watchers may care because the item highlights financial pressure among neocloud companies.

The $5 Trillion Club: Which Is the Better Stock to Own, Apple or Nvidia?

The Motley Fool · 18 Oct 2026positive

The Motley Fool compares Apple and Nvidia, describing Nvidia as the cheaper stock with faster growth, while calling Apple’s compounding business model strong and its stock the safer of the two.

Why it matters — The comparison highlights Nvidia’s relative valuation and growth against Apple’s perceived business stability.

History Says Nvidia Stock Does This in November. Here's the 1 Thing That Could Break the Pattern.

The Motley Fool · 18 Oct 2026neutral

The Motley Fool cautions Nvidia shareholders against trying to predict next month’s return, noting market sentiment can change quickly. It says investors should monitor the cloud businesses of the five major hyperscalers, which represent a sizable part of Nvidia’s data center revenue.

Why it matters — The hyperscalers’ cloud segments are a significant component of Nvidia’s data center revenue, making them relevant to NVDA watchers.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about NVDA stock

What is the NVDA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 62 Wall Street analysts covering NVIDIA Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $315, with estimates ranging from $180 to $515. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is NVDA stock a buy right now?

Of the 62 analysts covering NVIDIA Corp., 59 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks NVIDIA Corp. 75 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 17 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank NVDA?

As at 17 Oct 2026, NVIDIA Corp. ranks 75 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (98 of 100).

Will NVDA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 62 analysts implies +47.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks NVIDIA Corp. 75 out of 100 as at 17 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the NVDA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering NVIDIA Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NVDA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $180 to $515 over the next 12 months.

How has NVDA stock performed over the past year?

NVIDIA Corp. returned +18.1% over the 12 months to 16 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does NVIDIA Corp. do?

NVIDIA sells the silicon, systems, and software used to train and run AI models. Its buyers are cloud providers, enterprises, researchers, and gamers, and its hardware also powers high-performance computing, professional graphics, and robotics.

What is the latest news on NVDA?

The most recent item we track (Invezz, 19 Oct 2026): "Nvidia stock loses $365 billion in a week: could the AI boom be running out of money?". Nvidia lost approximately $365 billion in market value last week as rising borrowing costs raised doubts about the sustainability of Wall Street’s AI spending boom. Its shares fell 6.6% over the five sessions ending 16 October, closing at $214.13.

Why is NVIDIA's forward P/E so much lower than its trailing P/E?

NVIDIA's trailing P/E of 27.1 is based on the last twelve months of reported earnings. Its forward P/E of 13.45 uses analysts' next-year consensus EPS of $15.91, against $9.31 for the current year, so it embeds an expectation of continuing earnings growth. Next-year estimates have risen 25.2% in the 90 days to October 13, 2026.

How much of its earnings does NVIDIA pay out as a dividend?

NVIDIA's forward dividend yield is 0.47%, and its payout ratio is 3.5%, so the dividend takes a small share of earnings. In the quarter ended July 31, 2026 it paid $6.0 billion in dividends and spent $19.7 billion on share buybacks. Buybacks are the larger share of its cash return.

Company

About NVIDIA Corp.

NVIDIA sells the silicon, systems, and software used to train and run AI models. Its buyers are cloud providers, enterprises, researchers, and gamers, and its hardware also powers high-performance computing, professional graphics, and robotics. It employs about 42,000 people, reported $303 billion of revenue in the twelve months through July 2026, and had a market value of $5.17 trillion as of October 17, 2026.

CEO Mr. Jen-Hsun Huang · 42,000 employees · United States · https://www.nvidia.com