NVDATechnology · SemiconductorsThe 62 Wall Street analysts covering NVIDIA Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $315 — +81.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 70 of 100 as at 11 Nov 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores NVIDIA Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (97): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Accruals (12): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
As of 9 November 2026, NVIDIA ranks 69.6 of 100 across US stocks in our factor model, 19th of 57 in semiconductors. Quality (97.1) and Estimate Revisions (91.8) carry it: profitability level ranks 99.4, and analysts raised next-year EPS seven times in the month to 10 November 2026. The drags are MktCap (0.02), because the largest names we track are the least likely to be mispriced, and Investment/Accruals (12.1), which flags profit not yet collected as cash.
The Street is more bullish than the model. Ten of 62 analysts rate NVIDIA strong buy and 48 rate it buy, and the median target is $315. The stock closed at $178.67 on 9 November 2026, down 22.1% over the month, while consensus next-year EPS rose 24.0% in the 90 days to 10 November 2026.
The factor to watch is the accruals gap. In the quarter ended 31 July 2026, NVIDIA reported net income of $59.7 billion against operating cash flow of $24.1 billion. Inventory grew from $15.0 billion a year earlier to $31.6 billion, and a quarter in which cash catches up to profit would lift that reading.
The other open thread is governance. The New York Times reported on 10 November 2026 that the board is investigating CEO Jensen Huang's conduct, and coverage of that scrutiny continues.
As of 10 Nov 2026The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NVDA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +81.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2026 | Baird | Downgrade | Neutral | $500 → $200 |
| 11 Nov 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Reiterates | Overweight | $300 |
| 10 Nov 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $315 → $285 |
| 10 Nov 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $315 → $300 |
| 9 Nov 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Reiterates | Buy | $300 |
| 9 Nov 2026 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Outperform | $330 |
| 2 Nov 2026 | Melius Research | Maintains | Buy | $420 → $315 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Needham | Reiterates | Buy | $300 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Needham | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Overweight | $350 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Overweight | — |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Rosenblatt | Maintains | Buy | $390 |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Rosenblatt | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Overweight | $300 |
| 4 Sept 2026 | Needham | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 4 Sept 2026 | Needham | Reiterates | Buy | $300 |
| 4 Sept 2026 | Rosenblatt | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 Sept 2026 | Rosenblatt | Maintains | Buy | $390 |
| 27 Aug 2026 | Benchmark | Reiterates | Buy | $335 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
NVDA is one of 30 companies in AI chips. The free map shows where the model put each one.
AI cloud capacity
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AI chips
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AI networking and servers
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Data centre power
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 11 Nov 2026, NVIDIA Corp. returned −9.8% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 34% of US stocks
Cheaper than 10% of US stocks
Cheaper than 5% of US stocks
Cheaper than 14% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 97% of US stocks
Higher than 97% of US stocks
Higher than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
NVIDIA Corp. has a market value of $4.1T and an enterprise value of $4.0T.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $303.0B. The latest quarter grew 105.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $192.9B, a 63.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.91.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $127.0B.
NVIDIA Corp. spent $55.3B on share buybacks and $6.8B on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.
Trailing P/E: 22.3×; forward P/E: 11.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.57%, paying out 4% of earnings.
NVIDIA Corp. employs 42,000 people — $7.2M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own NVIDIA Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Nvidia saw a wave of analyst downgrades and price target cuts this week, as uncertainty around CEO Jensen Huang's affairs and future at the company weighed on market sentiment.
Why it matters — The analyst actions and concerns about the CEO are developments NVDA watchers may follow as factors affecting sentiment toward the stock.
Barron’s reports that shares of companies tied to Nvidia are dropping as investors consider what may happen next.
Why it matters — The decline among companies tied to Nvidia may be relevant to NVDA watchers assessing investor concerns around the chip maker.
Megaspeed, the Singaporean company described as being at the center of the scandal engulfing Nvidia, issued its first public statement since the scandal emerged.
Why it matters — The statement concerns a company linked in the report to a scandal involving Nvidia.
Global markets are awaiting news about Jensen Huang’s future as Nvidia CEO after the company’s board convened Wednesday evening. The meeting followed reports alleging Huang had engaged in a second extramarital affair, this time with an employee.
Why it matters — Nvidia watchers may follow the board’s deliberations because they concern Huang’s future as CEO.
Nvidia's board is meeting to discuss CEO Jensen Huang's future after reports of another extramarital affair, this time with a direct report. Nvidia shares fell in extended trading, and Nasdaq futures also moved lower.
Why it matters — The board discussion and reported market reaction may be relevant to NVDA watchers assessing company leadership and the stock's response to the news.
The 62 Wall Street analysts covering NVIDIA Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $315, with estimates ranging from $180 to $515. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 62 analysts covering NVIDIA Corp., 57 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks NVIDIA Corp. 70 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 11 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 11 Nov 2026, NVIDIA Corp. ranks 70 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (97 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 62 analysts implies +81.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks NVIDIA Corp. 70 out of 100 as at 11 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering NVIDIA Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NVDA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $180 to $515 over the next 12 months.
NVIDIA Corp. returned -9.8% over the 12 months to 11 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
NVIDIA designs and sells the graphics processors, data-center systems, networking hardware and software that run AI training and inference, high-performance computing, gaming and robotics. Its customers are cloud providers, enterprises, developers and researchers.
The most recent item we track (Finbold, 12 Nov 2026): "Here's how many analyst cut Nvidia stock price target this week". Nvidia saw a wave of analyst downgrades and price target cuts this week, as uncertainty around CEO Jensen Huang's affairs and future at the company weighed on market sentiment.
In the quarter ended 31 July 2026, NVIDIA reported net income of $59.7 billion but operating cash flow of $24.1 billion, so reported profit runs ahead of cash collected. Inventory also grew from $15.0 billion a year earlier to $31.6 billion. The Investment/Accruals family (12.1 of 100) flags profit not yet collected as cash and fast balance-sheet growth, patterns that tend to unwind.
NVIDIA spent $19.7 billion on buybacks in the quarter ended 31 July 2026, giving Share Issuance a reading of 80.5 of 100. Long-term debt also grew, from $10.3 billion a year earlier to $37.4 billion, and the net-debt-issuance component ranks 15.2 of 100. The two pull the Debt/Equity Issuance family to 43.1 of 100.
NVIDIA designs and sells the graphics processors, data-center systems, networking hardware and software that run AI training and inference, high-performance computing, gaming and robotics. Its customers are cloud providers, enterprises, developers and researchers. The company reported $302.97 billion in revenue in the four quarters through July 2026 and employs about 42,000 people. As of 9 November 2026, its market value was $4.51 trillion.
CEO Mr. Jen-Hsun Huang · 42,000 employees · United States · https://www.nvidia.com
