NVDANVDATechnology · Semiconductors

NVDA Stock Forecast: NVIDIA Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Sept 2026
$230
+0.84% on the day

The 60 Wall Street analysts covering NVIDIA Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $315 — +36.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 73 of 100 as at 5 Sept 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$5.6T
Ticker Nerd rank
73 / 100
Median analyst target
$315
Analysts covering
60
Revenue$96.2B+105.9% y/y
Operating income$63.7B
Net income$59.7B
Free cash flow$21.4B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 July 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+5.9%
1M
+8.7%
YTD
+23.7%
1Y
+34.4%
From 52W high
−2.2%
From 52W low
+39.6%
$165
$235
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

NVDA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores NVIDIA Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 5 Sept 2026
73 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
97
Revisions
95
Growth
80
Volatility
79
Momentum
66
Value
65
Issuance
43
Accruals
12
Size
0

Quality (97): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Accruals (12): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

The Ticker Nerd Read

Consensus says $315; our model ranks it 71.6 of 100.

As of 3 September 2026 our factor model ranks NVIDIA 71.6 of 100 against the roughly 4,600 US stocks it tracks. Two families carry the score: Quality at 96.9, led by a profitability level that ranks 99.6, and Estimate Revisions at 95.1. Two drag it: Investment/Accruals at 12.1 and market size at 0.02, because the model expects very large companies to be scrutinised so closely that they are rarely mispriced.

The shares last closed at $228.40 as of 3 September 2026, up 34.0% over the preceding twelve months. Analysts sit further out: the median price target is $315, the average is $325.99, and 57 of 60 ratings are buy or strong buy. Our factor rank of 71.6 is solidly above the median US stock without reaching the top decile.

The main drag on the score, after market size, is Investment/Accruals at 12.1. Within that family, capital allocation ranks 13.7 on a balance sheet that is expanding quickly, and earnings quality ranks 16.3 on reported profit that has not fully arrived as cash. The counterweight sits in Estimate Revisions, where analysts raised current-year EPS 4.1% and next-year EPS 21.5% over the past 90 days.

As of 4 Sept 2026
Wall Street

NVDA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NVDA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$200$300$400$500Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26NVDAHigh $515Median $315Low $180

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says60 analysts
57 Buy2 Hold1 Sell
Low $180Median $315High $515

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +36.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 14 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
4 Sept 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$300
4 Sept 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy$390
27 Aug 2026BenchmarkReiteratesBuy$335
27 Aug 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$315$400
27 Aug 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight$350
27 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$300$315
27 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$300
27 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$413$465
27 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$280$320
27 Aug 2026KeybancReiteratesOverweight$330
27 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$300$315
27 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$288$300
27 Aug 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$270$300
27 Aug 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$265$315
27 Aug 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy$352$515
27 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$300$330
27 Aug 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy$325$390
27 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$307$346
27 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$280$300
27 Aug 2026WedbushMaintainsOutperform$330$345

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NVDA appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

NVDA vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Sept 2026, NVIDIA Corp. returned +34.4% against +20.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

NVDA vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100110120130140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26NVDAS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

NVDA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+4.3%
Analysts raising
38
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
29.2×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

Price / sales
18.4×

Cheaper than 10% of US stocks

Price / book
24.3×

Cheaper than 4% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
27.5×

Cheaper than 10% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
105.9%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
125.9%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Gross margin
75.0%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Operating margin
66.2%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Net margin
63.7%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
117.2%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Return on assets
53.6%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.4%

Higher than 8% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • NVIDIA Corp. has a market value of $5.6T and an enterprise value of $5.5T.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $303.0B. The latest quarter grew 105.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $192.9B, a 63.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.91.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $127.0B.

  • NVIDIA Corp. spent $55.3B on share buybacks and $6.8B on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 24.1B.

  • Trailing P/E: 29.2×; forward P/E: 14.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.43%, paying out 4% of earnings.

  • NVIDIA Corp. employs 42,000 people $7.2M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 July 2026 · market figures as at 8 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

NVDA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSemiconductors
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
NVDANVIDIA Corp.$5.6T
73
AVGOBroadcom Inc.$1.7T
68
MUMicron Technology, Inc.$1.1T
93
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.$778.6B
70
INTCIntel Corp.$503.4B
71
TXNTexas Instruments Incorporated$234.8B
88
AAPLApple, Inc.*$4.7T
82

* Nearest Technology names by size — few semiconductors companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own NVIDIA Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest NVDA news & analysis

Gaming Realms shows resilience as it eyes further growth

Proactive Investors · 8 Sept 2026neutral

Gaming Realms, an AIM-listed mobile gaming developer and licensor, reported that its UK business remained resilient with revenues up 3% despite the near doubling of Remote Gaming Duty to 40%. The company said it is well positioned to build on its momentum and deliver further growth across new and existing markets.

Why it matters — This item is unrelated to NVIDIA, as it concerns a UK mobile gaming company rather than NVIDIA's business, so it carries no direct relevance for NVDA watchers.

Could Buying Nvidia Today Set You Up for Life?

The Motley Fool · 8 Sept 2026positive

The Motley Fool article discusses Nvidia's valuation, noting that it rarely dips to this level and suggesting the stock could double over the next year. It frames the current valuation as an opportunity for long-term investors.

Why it matters — NVDA watchers would care because the piece highlights a rare valuation level and a potentially significant upside scenario for the company.

Nvidia supplier Wistron's shares drop after it announces $1.5 billion global stock sale

CNBC · 8 Sept 2026neutral

Taiwanese tech company Wistron, a supplier to Nvidia, saw its shares fall on Tuesday after announcing a $1.5 billion global share sale. The company said it is raising the funds to procure raw materials.

Why it matters — Wistron is a supplier to Nvidia, so its stock sale and fundraising for raw materials may affect supply-chain stability and costs that could indirectly impact Nvidia.

Nvidia-backed Firmus signs deal with OpenAI for Malaysia data centre capacity

Reuters · 8 Sept 2026positive

Australia's Firmus, which is backed by Nvidia, said it signed a multi-year deal to supply OpenAI with computing capacity from two Malaysian data centres, making OpenAI an anchor customer amid surging demand for AI infrastructure.

Why it matters — The deal signals continued strong demand for AI data-centre compute capacity involving an Nvidia-backed company, relevant to Nvidia's infrastructure ecosystem.

If You Only Own Nvidia for AI Exposure, You're Missing Half the Trade. Here's the Other Half.

The Motley Fool · 7 Sept 2026neutral

An article from The Motley Fool notes that Nvidia remains one of the best long-term plays on AI training, while arguing that Broadcom's custom AI accelerators are becoming crucial for AI inference tasks. It suggests investors focused only on Nvidia may be overlooking a growing slice of the AI market.

Why it matters — NVDA watchers would care because it highlights how competitive dynamics in AI inference, particularly Broadcom's custom accelerators, may shape Nvidia's longer-term position beyond the training market.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about NVDA stock

What is the NVDA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 60 Wall Street analysts covering NVIDIA Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $315, with estimates ranging from $180 to $515. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is NVDA stock a buy right now?

Of the 60 analysts covering NVIDIA Corp., 57 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks NVIDIA Corp. 73 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank NVDA?

As at 5 Sept 2026, NVIDIA Corp. ranks 73 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (97 of 100).

Will NVDA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 60 analysts implies +36.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks NVIDIA Corp. 73 out of 100 as at 5 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the NVDA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering NVIDIA Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NVDA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $180 to $515 over the next 12 months.

How has NVDA stock performed over the past year?

NVIDIA Corp. returned +34.4% over the 12 months to 4 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does NVIDIA Corp. do?

NVIDIA designs the graphics processors, data-center systems, networking hardware, and software that power AI training and inference, high-performance computing, gaming, and robotics. Its customers are cloud providers, enterprises, developers, and researchers.

What is the latest news on NVDA?

The most recent item we track (Proactive Investors, 8 Sept 2026): "Gaming Realms shows resilience as it eyes further growth". Gaming Realms, an AIM-listed mobile gaming developer and licensor, reported that its UK business remained resilient with revenues up 3% despite the near doubling of Remote Gaming Duty to 40%. The company said it is well positioned to build on its momentum and deliver further growth across new and existing markets.

Why does NVIDIA's dividend yield sit below half a percent?

The forward annual yield is 0.44% and the payout ratio is 3.5%, so NVIDIA keeps most of its cash rather than paying it out. In the quarter ended 30 April 2026 it returned $19.3 billion through share buybacks against $243 million in dividends. The company also held $68.2 billion in net cash at that date.

Company

About NVIDIA Corp.

NVIDIA designs the graphics processors, data-center systems, networking hardware, and software that power AI training and inference, high-performance computing, gaming, and robotics. Its customers are cloud providers, enterprises, developers, and researchers. As of 3 September 2026 the company carried a market value of about $5.4 trillion and employed about 42,000 people across its Compute & Networking and Graphics segments.

CEO Mr. Jen-Hsun Huang · 42,000 employees · United States · https://www.nvidia.com