NVDANVDATechnology · Semiconductors

NVDA Stock Forecast: NVIDIA Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$225
−0.06% on the day

The 61 Wall Street analysts covering NVIDIA Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $300 — +33.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 76 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$5.5T
Ticker Nerd rank
76 / 100
Median analyst target
$300
Analysts covering
61
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.5%
1M
+6.3%
YTD
+20.9%
1Y
+23.9%
From 52W high
−4.4%
From 52W low
+36.5%
$165
$235
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

NVDA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores NVIDIA Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
76 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
98
Revisions
90
Volatility
79
Growth
75
Momentum
68
Value
65
Issuance
62
Accruals
13
Size
0

Quality (98): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Accruals (13): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

The Ticker Nerd Read

Model and Street agree, except on the cash-flow factor.

As of 14 August 2026, our factor model ranks NVIDIA 76 of 100 across the roughly 4,600 US stocks it tracks. Quality is the strongest pillar at a 98 of 100 reading, carried by profitability that beats nearly every US stock, and Estimate Revisions score 90 of 100. The drag is Investment and Accruals at 13 of 100, the model's forensic check on whether reported profit has actually arrived as cash.

Wall Street is more enthusiastic than the rank. Across 61 analysts, 58 rate the shares buy or strong buy, and the median price target of $300 stands well above the last close of $225.16 on 14 August 2026. Estimates are rising, not falling: the forward-year consensus EPS of $12.89 was revised up about 15% over the 90 days to 11 August 2026.

The estimate-revision pillar is the live one — analysts raised forecasts four times in the past month and made no cuts. News that NVIDIA scaled back a $250 billion guarantee tied to an OpenAI data center, reported 14 August 2026, bears on the data-center demand that drives its growth.

As of 15 Aug 2026
Wall Street

NVDA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NVDA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$200$300$400$500Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26NVDAHigh $500Median $300Low $180

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says61 analysts
58 Buy2 Hold1 Sell
Low $180Median $300High $500

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +33.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
11 Aug 2026Wells FargoReiteratesOverweight$315
14 July 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$310$330
14 July 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight
5 June 2026China RenaissanceInitiatesBuy$319
5 June 2026China RenaissanceInitiatesBuy
2 June 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$270
2 June 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy
1 June 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$300
1 June 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy
27 May 2026Tigress FinancialMaintainsStrong Buy
21 May 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
21 May 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform
21 May 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy
21 May 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight
21 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy
21 May 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform
21 May 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy
21 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight
21 May 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight
21 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NVDA appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

NVDA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+7.9%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
34.5×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Price / sales
21.5×

Cheaper than 9% of US stocks

Price / book
27.9×

Cheaper than 4% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
32.7×

Cheaper than 8% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
85.2%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
210.6%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Gross margin
74.9%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Operating margin
65.6%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Net margin
63.0%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
114.3%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Return on assets
52.7%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.4%

Higher than 9% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

NVDA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSemiconductors
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
NVDANVIDIA Corp.$5.5T
76
AVGOBroadcom Inc.$1.9T
72
MUMicron Technology, Inc.$1.1T
94
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.$838.7B
73
INTCIntel Corp.$510.9B
72
TXNTexas Instruments Incorporated$254.0B
88
AAPLApple, Inc.*$4.5T
83

* Nearest Technology names by size — few semiconductors companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own NVIDIA Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest NVDA news & analysis

Nvidia, Alphabet, Harvard disclose SpaceX stakes: here's what they're worth

Invezz · 17 Aug 2026neutral

Nvidia, Alphabet, and Harvard disclosed stakes in SpaceX as the Elon Musk-led company faces scrutiny over a valuation approaching $1 trillion and volatile stock performance. The market swings have highlighted the gains made by investors who backed SpaceX before it became publicly traded.

Why it matters — NVDA watchers would care because the disclosure shows Nvidia holds an investment position in SpaceX, adding insight into the chipmaker's corporate investment exposure beyond its core business.

Jensen Huang Doubled Nvidia's Own Sales Forecast to $1 Trillion Through 2027. Here's What That Guidance Means for the Stock's Valuation.

The Motley Fool · 17 Aug 2026positive

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has doubled the company's own sales forecast to $1 trillion through 2027 and is laying groundwork to raise capital to meet $1 trillion in demand for its AI systems. The Motley Fool article discusses what this guidance means for Nvidia's valuation.

Why it matters — A doubled sales forecast to $1 trillion through 2027 directly bears on how Nvidia's valuation is assessed.

Billionaires Battle on NVIDIA: David Tepper Bought More. Dan Loeb Sold Every Share.

24/7 Wall Street · 16 Aug 2026neutral

The article reports that three prominent money managers reached three different conclusions about NVIDIA over the same 90-day period. The headline highlights that David Tepper bought more shares while Dan Loeb sold his entire position, with a third manager's view also noted.

Why it matters — Divergent moves by some of the most respected money managers signal sharply differing institutional views on NVIDIA's prospects, which NVDA watchers would find notable.

Elon Musk and Jensen Huang's New Partnership Could Create the Next Era of Technology

24/7 Wall Street · 16 Aug 2026positive

The article highlights a potential partnership between Elon Musk and Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, suggesting recent headlines over the past two weeks may combine into a significant development that could usher in a new era of technology.

Why it matters — A Nvidia watcher would care because a closer alliance with Musk could expand Nvidia's role in major AI and technology initiatives.

NVDA Growing "Kingmaker" Role in AI Buildout as GOOGL Races for "True" AI

Schwab Network · 16 Aug 2026positive

The report describes NVIDIA's expanding "kingmaker" role in the AI buildout as more companies shift from buying compute to selling compute. Commentator Noah Kann cites Alphabet (GOOGL) signaling negative free cash flow in its earnings and its ensuing stock sell-off as an example of this shift.

Why it matters — For an NVDA watcher, this indicates a growing market dynamic in which compute providers like NVIDIA benefit as companies increasingly rely on external compute rather than building it themselves.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about NVDA stock

What is the NVDA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 61 Wall Street analysts covering NVIDIA Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $300, with estimates ranging from $180 to $500. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is NVDA stock a buy right now?

Of the 61 analysts covering NVIDIA Corp., 58 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks NVIDIA Corp. 76 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank NVDA?

As at 15 Aug 2026, NVIDIA Corp. ranks 76 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (98 of 100).

Will NVDA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 61 analysts implies +33.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks NVIDIA Corp. 76 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the NVDA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering NVIDIA Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NVDA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $180 to $500 over the next 12 months.

How has NVDA stock performed over the past year?

NVIDIA Corp. returned +23.9% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does NVIDIA Corp. do?

NVIDIA designs the graphics processing units and accelerated computing systems that run much of the world's AI-model development. Its GPUs, data-center hardware, networking, and software tools are sold to cloud providers, enterprises, researchers, and industrial customers.

What is the latest news on NVDA?

The most recent item we track (Invezz, 17 Aug 2026): "Nvidia, Alphabet, Harvard disclose SpaceX stakes: here's what they're worth". Nvidia, Alphabet, and Harvard disclosed stakes in SpaceX as the Elon Musk-led company faces scrutiny over a valuation approaching $1 trillion and volatile stock performance. The market swings have highlighted the gains made by investors who backed SpaceX before it became publicly traded.

Why does the model's cash-flow check rank so low when profits are enormous?

The Investment and Accruals factor ranks 13 of 100, NVIDIA's weakest reading. It weighs whether reported profit has shown up as cash and how fast the balance sheet is expanding. Over the four quarters to April 2026, NVIDIA earned net income of $159.6 billion while generating operating cash flow of $125.6 billion, a gap the factor scores against peers.

Why does the model rank NVIDIA zero on market cap?

The market-cap factor is a size percentile across the stocks we track, and NVIDIA is the largest of them at $5.46 trillion as of 14 August 2026. A rank of 0 means the shares sit at the very top of the size distribution, which historically has been the least fertile ground for the kind of mispricing the factor chases.

Company

About NVIDIA Corp.

NVIDIA designs the graphics processing units and accelerated computing systems that run much of the world's AI-model development. Its GPUs, data-center hardware, networking, and software tools are sold to cloud providers, enterprises, researchers, and industrial customers. The company, run by Jen-Hsun Huang, employed 42,000 people and reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of $253.5 billion through April 2026 on a gross margin near 75%.

CEO Mr. Jen-Hsun Huang · 42,000 employees · United States · https://www.nvidia.com