OLLIOLLIConsumer Defensive · Discount Stores

OLLI Stock Forecast: Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$87
+0.67% on the day

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $98 — +13.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 40 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$5.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
40 / 100
Median analyst target
$98
Analysts covering
15
Revenue$741.3M+9.1% y/y
Operating income$113.7M
Net income$85.5M
Free cash flow$64.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 July 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.4%
1M
+12.8%
YTD
−20.9%
1Y
−32.0%
From 52W high
−34.7%
From 52W low
+40.1%
$62
$133
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

OLLI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026
40 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
78
Revisions
69
Issuance
63
Volatility
62
Value
52
Quality
42
Accruals
30
Size
22
Momentum
14

Growth (78): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Momentum (14): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

OLLI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on OLLI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$80$100$120$140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26OLLIHigh $130Median $98Low $76

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says15 analysts
12 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $76Median $98High $130

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +13.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 9 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
4 Sept 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$100 → $98
3 Sept 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$112 → $100
3 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$108 → $98
3 Sept 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight$113 → $100
3 Sept 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$121 → $124
3 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$80 → $85
3 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$100 → $90
27 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
27 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$87 → $85
26 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$111 → $100
26 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
25 Aug 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform—
25 Aug 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform$121
18 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
18 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$70 → $73
18 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
18 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$114 → $113
17 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
17 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$115 → $100
30 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. OLLI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

OLLI vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. returned −32.0% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

OLLI vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26OLLIS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

OLLI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.5%
Analysts raising
15
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
19.3×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.8×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Price / book
2.7×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
15.4×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.1%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
39.4%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Gross margin
43.5%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Operating margin
10.8%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Net margin
9.8%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
14.9%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.7%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $5.1B and an enterprise value of $5.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $2.8B. The latest quarter grew 9.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $273.6M, a 9.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.48.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $223.2M, after $117.5M of capital spending.

  • Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. spent $182.6M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 59.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 19.3×; forward P/E: 17.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. employs 6,500 people — $430K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 July 2026 · market figures as at 8 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

OLLI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelDiscount Stores
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.$5.1B
40
PSMTPriceSmart, Inc.$5.2B
55
TBBBBBB Foods, Inc.$5.8B
40
BJBJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.$12.6B
69
DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.$22.8B
86
DGDollar General Corp.$27.4B
84
TGTTarget Corp.$70.1B
96

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest OLLI news & analysis

Why Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Oct 2026positive

A Zacks Investment Research headline describes Ollie's Bargain Outlet as a top momentum stock for the long term. The excerpt points readers to Zacks Style Scores as a way to identify stocks.

Why it matters — OLLI watchers may note the favorable momentum framing and Zacks’ reference to its Style Scores.

Here's Why Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) is a Strong Growth Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research explains that its Style Scores help investors identify top-rated stocks based on their investing style, and presents this as the reason to consider Ollie's Bargain Outlet a strong growth stock.

Why it matters — The item highlights Zacks’ style-based framework for assessing OLLI, which may be relevant to investors following the company’s growth-stock positioning.

Why Is Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) Up 19.3% Since Last Earnings Report?

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Oct 2026positive

Ollie's Bargain Outlet reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 19.3% since that announcement. The report asks what comes next for the company's shares following this recent gain.

Why it matters — Investors tracking Ollie's will want to understand the momentum behind the stock's notable post-earnings rise and what it signals for the company going forward.

Here's Why Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) is a Strong Momentum Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 15 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) as a strong momentum stock using its Style Scores system, which ranks stocks based on investing style. The item points to OLLI as a top-rated stock for investors.

Why it matters — A favorable ranking in Zacks' Style Scores system signals strong momentum and could draw attention to OLLI among investors following its performance.

Why Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Term

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Ollie's Bargain Outlet as a top value stock for the long term, using its Style Scores framework to identify strong, market-beating picks. The article positions OLLI as a standout value opportunity for investors.

Why it matters — This recognition by a research firm underscores OLLI's value profile and could draw attention from investors screening for long-term stock picks.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about OLLI stock

What is the OLLI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $98, with estimates ranging from $76 to $130. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is OLLI stock a buy right now?

Of the 15 analysts covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. 40 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank OLLI?

As at 8 Oct 2026, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. ranks 40 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (78 of 100).

Will OLLI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 15 analysts implies +13.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. 40 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the OLLI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for OLLI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $76 to $130 over the next 12 months.

How has OLLI stock performed over the past year?

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. returned -32.0% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. do?

Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. is a U.S.

What is the latest news on OLLI?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 8 Oct 2026): "Why Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term". A Zacks Investment Research headline describes Ollie's Bargain Outlet as a top momentum stock for the long term. The excerpt points readers to Zacks Style Scores as a way to identify stocks.

Company

About Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.

Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. is a U.S. discount retailer focused on closeout merchandise, excess inventory, and salvage goods. The company offers brand-name products at reduced prices across a broad assortment that includes housewares, food, bed and bath items, books and stationery, toys, electronics, flooring, health and beauty products, and seasonal merchandise. Its store model is built around opportunistic buying from manufacturers, retailers, and distributors, which allows it to stock changing inventories and create a treasure-hunt shopping experience for value-oriented consumers. Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. serves shoppers looking for everyday essentials and general merchandise at lower prices while operating a format centered on low-frills presentation and frequent assortment turnover. Based in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, the company is a notable participant in the off-price retail segment and plays a role in moving surplus and discontinued goods through the U.S. retail market.

CEO Mr. Eric van der Valk · 6,500 employees · United States · https://www.ollies.com