TICKERNERD
Menu
OLLIOLLIConsumer Defensive · Discount Stores

OLLI Stock Forecast: Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$74
+2.28% on the day

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $98 — +33.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 42 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$4.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
42 / 100
Median analyst target
$98
Analysts covering
15
Revenue$741.3M+9.1% y/y
Operating income$113.7M
Net income$85.5M
Free cash flow$64.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 July 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.2%
1M
−6.5%
YTD
−32.9%
1Y
−44.1%
From 52W high
−46.8%
From 52W low
+18.9%
$62
$138
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

OLLI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
42 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
84
Revisions
69
Value
64
Issuance
63
Volatility
51
Quality
42
Accruals
30
Size
25
Momentum
7

Growth (84): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Momentum (7): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

OLLI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on OLLI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$80$100$120$140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26OLLIHigh $130Median $98Low $76

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says15 analysts
12 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $76Median $98High $130

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +33.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 9 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
4 Sept 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$100 → $98
3 Sept 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$112 → $100
3 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$108 → $98
3 Sept 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight$113 → $100
3 Sept 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$121 → $124
3 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$80 → $85
3 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$100 → $90
27 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
27 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$87 → $85
26 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$111 → $100
26 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
25 Aug 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform—
25 Aug 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform$121
18 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
18 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$70 → $73
18 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
18 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$114 → $113
17 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
17 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$115 → $100
30 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. OLLI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

OLLI vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. returned −44.1% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

OLLI vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26OLLIS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

OLLI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.5%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
6
Fundamentals

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
16.5×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.6×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

Price / book
2.3×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.2×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.1%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
39.4%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Gross margin
43.5%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Operating margin
10.8%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Net margin
9.8%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
14.9%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.7%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $4.4B and an enterprise value of $4.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $2.8B. The latest quarter grew 9.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $273.6M, a 9.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.48.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $223.2M, after $117.5M of capital spending.

  • Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. spent $182.6M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 59.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 16.5×; forward P/E: 14.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. employs 6,500 people — $430K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 July 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

OLLI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelDiscount Stores
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.$4.4B
42
PSMTPriceSmart, Inc.$5.3B
58
TBBBBBB Foods, Inc.$5.5B
36
BJBJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.$11.7B
65
DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.$22.7B
82
DGDollar General Corp.$27.4B
80
TGTTarget Corp.$70.6B
96

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest OLLI news & analysis

Ollie's 2026 Outlook: Continued National Expansion Meets a Once-in-a-Decade Valuation

The Motley Fool · 12 Sept 2026neutral

The Motley Fool discusses Ollie's 2026 outlook, highlighting its aggressive national store expansion and a loyal membership base as drivers of long-term revenue, while also noting the company's lack of a technological moat that leaves it vulnerable to evolving retail digital trends, and framing the current valuation as once-in-a-decade.

Why it matters — OLLI watchers would care because the piece balances growth drivers with a strategic vulnerability around digital retail trends and raises attention to the company's current valuation level.

Why Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) is a Top Growth Stock for the Long-Term

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Ollie's Bargain Outlet as a top growth stock for the long-term. The article notes that Zacks Style Scores can help investors identify top-rated stocks based on investing style.

Why it matters — A OLLI watcher would care because the report positions the company among Zacks' top-rated long-term growth stocks, which may draw attention from style-based investors.

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Stock Falls on Weak Comps Despite Margin Gains

MarketBeat · 6 Sept 2026negative

Ollie's Bargain Outlet shares declined after reporting weaker-than-expected comparable-store sales, driven by a contraction in basket size, even as the company posted margin gains. The weakness contrasts with stronger results at other off-price and discount retailers, though it may be a one-off rather than a sustained trend.

Why it matters — A OLLI watcher would care because the unexpected decline in comparable-store sales signals a near-term demand headwind, even as margin improvements offset some of the impact.

These Analysts Revise Their Forecasts On Ollie's Bargain Outlet Following Q2 Earnings

Benzinga · 3 Sept 2026positive

Ollie's Bargain Outlet reported better-than-expected second-quarter adjusted earnings per share and raised its FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance. Following the results, analysts revised their forecasts for the company.

Why it matters — A stronger-than-expected quarterly result and an upward revision to full-year guidance signal improved near-term performance expectations for the retailer.

OLLI Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on Tariff Refunds, Sales Miss

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Sept 2026neutral

Ollie's Bargain Outlet reported Q2 earnings that beat estimates, helped by tariff refunds that lifted margins, while sales missed expectations due to soft comparable-store performance. As a result, the company lowered its sales outlook but raised its profit forecast.

Why it matters — OLLI watchers would care because the quarter mixed a profit beat with a sales miss, leading to a lower sales outlook offset by a higher profit forecast.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about OLLI stock

What is the OLLI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $98, with estimates ranging from $76 to $130. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is OLLI stock a buy right now?

Of the 15 analysts covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. 42 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank OLLI?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. ranks 42 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (84 of 100).

Will OLLI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 15 analysts implies +33.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. 42 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the OLLI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for OLLI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $76 to $130 over the next 12 months.

How has OLLI stock performed over the past year?

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. returned -44.1% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. do?

Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. is a U.S.

What is the latest news on OLLI?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 12 Sept 2026): "Ollie's 2026 Outlook: Continued National Expansion Meets a Once-in-a-Decade Valuation". The Motley Fool discusses Ollie's 2026 outlook, highlighting its aggressive national store expansion and a loyal membership base as drivers of long-term revenue, while also noting the company's lack of a technological moat that leaves it vulnerable to evolving retail digital trends, and framing the current valuation as once-in-a-decade.

Company

About Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.

Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. is a U.S. discount retailer focused on closeout merchandise, excess inventory, and salvage goods. The company offers brand-name products at reduced prices across a broad assortment that includes housewares, food, bed and bath items, books and stationery, toys, electronics, flooring, health and beauty products, and seasonal merchandise. Its store model is built around opportunistic buying from manufacturers, retailers, and distributors, which allows it to stock changing inventories and create a treasure-hunt shopping experience for value-oriented consumers. Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. serves shoppers looking for everyday essentials and general merchandise at lower prices while operating a format centered on low-frills presentation and frequent assortment turnover. Based in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, the company is a notable participant in the off-price retail segment and plays a role in moving surplus and discontinued goods through the U.S. retail market.

CEO Mr. Eric van der Valk · 6,500 employees · United States · https://www.ollies.com