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OLLIOLLIConsumer Defensive · Discount Stores

OLLI Stock Forecast: Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$76
+1.77% on the day

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $111 — +45.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 31 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$4.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
31 / 100
Median analyst target
$111
Analysts covering
15
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.5%
1M
+15.3%
YTD
−30.6%
1Y
−43.3%
From 52W high
−45.0%
From 52W low
+22.9%
$62
$138
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

OLLI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
31 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
86
Value
61
Issuance
58
Volatility
48
Revisions
47
Quality
40
Accruals
28
Size
25
Momentum
6

Growth (86): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Momentum (6): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

OLLI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on OLLI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$80$100$120$140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26OLLIHigh $135Median $111Low $73

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says15 analysts
12 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $73Median $111High $135

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +45.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
18 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$70 → $73
18 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$114 → $113
17 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$115 → $100
30 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
30 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$152 → $121
16 July 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$140 → $98
16 July 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
9 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$112 → $80
9 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
8 July 2026JP MorganDowngradeNeutral—
29 June 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
4 June 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
4 June 2026Gordon HaskettDowngradeAccumulate—
4 June 2026Loop CapitalMaintainsBuy—
4 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
4 June 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
27 May 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
13 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
12 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
29 Apr 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. OLLI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

OLLI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.5%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
18.8×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.7×

Cheaper than 58% of US stocks

Price / book
2.4×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.7×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
14.2%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
18.6%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Gross margin
41.9%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Operating margin
10.6%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Net margin
9.1%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.8%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.8%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

OLLI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelDiscount Stores
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.$4.6B
31
PSMTPriceSmart, Inc.$5.3B
61
TBBBBBB Foods, Inc.$5.5B
33
BJBJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.$12.3B
68
DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.$25.3B
87
DGDollar General Corp.$27.2B
75
TGTTarget Corp.$74.9B
96

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest OLLI news & analysis

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. Announces Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Release Date and Conference Call Information

GlobeNewsWire · 19 Aug 2026neutral

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. announced it will release its second quarter fiscal 2026 financial results before market open on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. President and CEO Eric van der Valk and CFO Robert Helm will host a conference call with the investment community at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time that same day.

Why it matters — OLLI watchers will want to note the schedule for the upcoming quarterly earnings report and conference call to hear directly from company leadership about second-quarter fiscal 2026 results.

Q2 2026 U.S. Retail Preview: Broadline Retail Drives Growth

Seeking Alpha · 17 Aug 2026positive

A Seeking Alpha preview of Q2 2026 U.S. retail earnings notes that consumer resilience is increasingly concentrated, with the LSEG U.S. Retail and Restaurant earnings index expected to show 67.0% earnings growth. The Broadline Retail sector, covering a wide variety of consumer goods, is projected to post the highest earnings growth rate at 231.1% over last year's levels.

Why it matters — As a broadline discount retailer, OLLI operates in the sector expected to lead Q2 earnings growth, so the item points to a favourable environment for the company.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about OLLI stock

What is the OLLI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $111, with estimates ranging from $73 to $135. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is OLLI stock a buy right now?

Of the 15 analysts covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. 31 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank OLLI?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. ranks 31 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (86 of 100).

Will OLLI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 15 analysts implies +45.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. 31 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the OLLI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for OLLI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $73 to $135 over the next 12 months.

How has OLLI stock performed over the past year?

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. returned -43.3% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. do?

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. is a retailer specializing in closeout merchandise, excess inventory, and salvage goods across the United States.

What is the latest news on OLLI?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 19 Aug 2026): "Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. Announces Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Release Date and Conference Call Information". Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. announced it will release its second quarter fiscal 2026 financial results before market open on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. President and CEO Eric van der Valk and CFO Robert Helm will host a conference call with the investment community at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time that same day.

Company

About Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. is a retailer specializing in closeout merchandise, excess inventory, and salvage goods across the United States. The company sources overstocks, discontinued items, package changes, cancelled orders, buybacks from retailers, and products from major manufacturers to offer customers deep discounts on a wide variety of everyday essentials. Its product assortment includes housewares, bed and bath items, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys, electronics, hardware, candy, clothing, sporting goods, pet supplies, lawn, and garden products. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. creates a unique treasure hunt shopping experience with its ever-changing inventory and branding like Ollie's Army loyalty program, Good Stuff Cheap, Real Brands Real Cheap!, and Sarasota Breeze. It operates in the competitive discount retail sector, focusing on value-driven consumers seeking branded products at bargain prices. Founded in 1982 and headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, the company maintains a robust store network emphasizing rapid inventory turnover and opportunistic purchasing.

CEO Mr. Eric van der Valk · 6,500 employees · United States · https://www.ollies.com