OLLIConsumer Defensive · Discount StoresThe 15 Wall Street analysts covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $100 — +10.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 40 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (75): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Momentum (23): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Size (22): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on OLLI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +10.8% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 6 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $124 → $125 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Gordon Haskett | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Gordon Haskett | Upgrade | Buy | $105 |
| 4 Sept 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 Sept 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $100 → $98 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | $112 → $100 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $108 → $98 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Piper Sandler | Reiterates | Overweight | $113 → $100 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Piper Sandler | Reiterates | Overweight | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $121 → $124 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $80 → $85 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $100 → $90 |
| 27 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 27 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $87 → $85 |
| 26 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
OLLI appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. returned −25.7% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Cheaper than 52% of US stocks
Cheaper than 32% of US stocks
Cheaper than 22% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $5.4B and an enterprise value of $5.9B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $2.8B. The latest quarter grew 9.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $273.6M, a 9.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.48.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $223.2M, after $117.5M of capital spending.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. spent $182.6M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.
Trailing P/E: 20.2×; forward P/E: 18.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. employs 6,500 people — $430K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research highlights Ollie's Bargain Outlet as a strong momentum stock. The article points to Zacks Style Scores, a feature of its Premium research service, as a tool for identifying stocks.
Why it matters — OLLI watchers may note the article’s positive momentum framing and its reliance on Zacks Style Scores.
Zacks Investment Research explains how its Style Scores help investors identify stocks rated highly for a given investing style, and presents the approach in the context of Ollie’s Bargain Outlet as a long-term growth stock.
Why it matters — OLLI watchers may be interested in how Zacks evaluates the company through its investing-style ratings.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings authorized a new $500 million share buyback. Zacks says the authorization reflects strong cash flow and financial flexibility, while shares have outperformed the industry and trade at a discount.
Why it matters — The authorization and its stated financial rationale provide OLLI watchers with an update on the company’s capital-return plans and financial flexibility.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) moved above resistance at its 200-day moving average after reaching an important support level, according to Zacks Investment Research.
Why it matters — The move is a technical signal that may interest OLLI watchers tracking the stock's trend relative to its 200-day moving average.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings announced that its Board of Directors unanimously approved an additional $500 million authorization to repurchase the company's outstanding common stock.
Why it matters — The authorization is a capital-allocation decision that OLLI watchers may track.
The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $100, with estimates ranging from $76 to $130. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 15 analysts covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. 40 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Oct 2026, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. ranks 40 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (75 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 15 analysts implies +10.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. 40 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for OLLI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $76 to $130 over the next 12 months.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. returned -25.7% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. is a U.S.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 26 Oct 2026): "Here's Why Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) is a Strong Momentum Stock". Zacks Investment Research highlights Ollie's Bargain Outlet as a strong momentum stock. The article points to Zacks Style Scores, a feature of its Premium research service, as a tool for identifying stocks.
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. is a U.S. discount retailer focused on closeout merchandise, excess inventory, and salvage goods. The company offers brand-name products at reduced prices across a broad assortment that includes housewares, food, bed and bath items, books and stationery, toys, electronics, flooring, health and beauty products, and seasonal merchandise. Its store model is built around opportunistic buying from manufacturers, retailers, and distributors, which allows it to stock changing inventories and create a treasure-hunt shopping experience for value-oriented consumers. Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. serves shoppers looking for everyday essentials and general merchandise at lower prices while operating a format centered on low-frills presentation and frequent assortment turnover. Based in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, the company is a notable participant in the off-price retail segment and plays a role in moving surplus and discontinued goods through the U.S. retail market.
CEO Mr. Eric van der Valk · 6,500 employees · United States · https://www.ollies.com
