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OTF Stock Forecast: Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$11
−1.35% on the day

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp hold a median 12-month price target of $14 — +27.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 48 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$5.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
48 / 100
Median analyst target
$14
Analysts covering
9
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−4.4%
1M
+8.7%
YTD
−19.3%
1Y
−15.8%
From 52W high
−20.1%
From 52W low
+11.0%
$10
$14
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

OTF stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
48 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
100
Volatility
74
Revisions
73
Quality
70
Growth
54
Momentum
29
Size
24
Issuance
23
Accruals
16

Value (100): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Accruals (16): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

OTF stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on OTF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$12$14$16$18Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26OTFHigh $17Median $14Low $12

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says9 analysts
5 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $12Median $14High $17

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +27.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
17 Aug 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesSector Perform$12
7 Aug 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
7 Aug 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$16 → $17
19 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$16 → $15
19 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
18 May 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$14 → $12
18 May 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
12 May 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$13 → $12
12 May 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
8 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
22 Apr 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
23 Feb 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
23 Feb 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
20 Feb 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
16 Dec 2025B. Riley SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—
8 Dec 2025CitizensInitiatesMarket Outperform—
6 Oct 2025Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight—
5 Sept 2025Clear StreetInitiatesHold—
14 July 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsInitiatesMarket Perform—
7 July 2025Truist SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. OTF appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

OTF analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.0%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp (OTF) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.4×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.8×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Price / book
0.7×

Cheaper than 82% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.8%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−23.5%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
73.3%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Net margin
28.7%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
4.8%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.3%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Dividend yield
38.4%

Higher than 96% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

OTF vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAsset Management
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
OTFBlue Owl Technology Finance Corp$5.0B
48
HASIHA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.$5.0B
60
FHIFederated Hermes, Inc.$4.8B
98
HLNEHamilton Lane, Inc.$5.9B
82
STEPStepStone Group, Inc.$5.9B
17
CNSCohen & Steers, Inc. (New York)$4.2B
74
MAASMaase, Inc.$6.9B
2

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest OTF news & analysis

Blue Owl Technology Finance: The Turnaround Is Coming

Seeking Alpha · 19 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha reports that Blue Owl Technology Finance trades at a deep discount to net asset value after a 25% stock price decline over the past year. The article notes the portfolio focuses on upper middle-market technology firms with mission-critical products, mitigating AI disruption risks despite 70% software exposure, while flagging that the current 13% dividend yield appears unsustainable due to weak net investment income coverage, though management targets coverage improvement by mid-next year.

Why it matters — OTF watchers would care because the piece weighs concerns about dividend sustainability and discount-to-NAV against management's stated plan to improve coverage and the portfolio's perceived resilience to AI disruption.

Blue Owl Technology Finance: Q2 Outperformance And Higher Income Catalysts

Seeking Alpha · 19 Aug 2026positive

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp reported a strong Q2 with a 2.4% total NAV return and share repurchases that boosted NAV accretion. Management is upbeat, citing improved technicals, wider tech lending spreads, and catalysts including portfolio rotation and higher leverage expected to support future income through mid-2025, though the dividend yield may reset lower as special dividends end.

Why it matters — OTF watchers would note that current quarter performance, share buybacks, and management's expectations for wider spreads and higher leverage point to potential future income gains, even as the yield adjusts.

Blue Owl Technology Finance: The 32% Discount To NAV Is Simply Not Justified

Seeking Alpha · 19 Aug 2026positive

Seeking Alpha argues that Blue Owl Technology Finance's 32% discount to NAV is not justified, attributing it to AI disruption fears and OBDC merger missteps rather than fundamentals. The article highlights OTF's tech-focused portfolio with 97% variable-rate loans and a strong 0.1% non-accrual ratio, while noting weaker-than-peer dividend coverage supported by continued regular and special dividends.

Why it matters — OTF watchers would care because the piece directly addresses whether the deep discount to NAV reflects genuine risk or market overreaction, citing strong asset quality and stable distributions.

KBRA Assigns Rating to Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.'s $400 Million Senior Unsecured Notes due 2029

Business Wire · 17 Aug 2026neutral

KBRA assigned a BBB rating with a Stable outlook to Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.'s $400 million 6.500% senior unsecured notes due October 15, 2029. The rating reflects the company's ties to the $158.1 billion Blue Owl Credit platform and benefits from SEC exemptive relief allowing co-investment with other adviser-managed funds.

Why it matters — OTF watchers would care because the investment-grade credit rating with a Stable outlook signals how credit agencies assess the company's debt and its backing from the broader Blue Owl Credit platform.

The BDC Asymmetry That Nobody Prices In

Seeking Alpha · 17 Aug 2026negative

An article discusses the structural risks of Business Development Companies (BDCs), noting that management fee structures can erode upside while exposing investors to most of the downside, justifying persistent discounts to net asset value (NAV). The piece argues that investors often misjudge these discounts and should not expect P/NAV convergence given structural risks and track records.

Why it matters — As a BDC, OTF watchers should be aware of the broader structural fee and risk dynamics that may underpin its valuation and NAV discount.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about OTF stock

What is the OTF stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp have a median 12-month price target of $14, with estimates ranging from $12 to $17. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is OTF stock a buy right now?

Of the 9 analysts covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp, 5 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp 48 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank OTF?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp ranks 48 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (100 of 100).

Will OTF stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 9 analysts implies +27.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp 48 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the OTF stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for OTF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $12 to $17 over the next 12 months.

How has OTF stock performed over the past year?

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp returned -15.8% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp do?

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. is a business development company specializing in providing financing solutions to upper middle-market technology companies, with a pronounced focus on software lending.

What is the latest news on OTF?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 19 Aug 2026): "Blue Owl Technology Finance: The Turnaround Is Coming". Seeking Alpha reports that Blue Owl Technology Finance trades at a deep discount to net asset value after a 25% stock price decline over the past year. The article notes the portfolio focuses on upper middle-market technology firms with mission-critical products, mitigating AI disruption risks despite 70% software exposure, while flagging that the current 13% dividend yield appears unsustainable due to weak net investment income coverage, though management targets coverage improvement by mid-next year.

Company

About Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. is a business development company specializing in providing financing solutions to upper middle-market technology companies, with a pronounced focus on software lending. As the largest publicly traded technology-focused BDC by total assets, it plays a significant role in the private credit market, particularly within the enterprise software sector. The company’s portfolio is structured to offer targeted exposure to technology businesses, leveraging the growth and resilience commonly observed in software business models. Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. is managed by a seasoned executive team, drawing on the broader expertise of Blue Owl’s credit platform, and is recognized for its track record of strong portfolio performance and robust credit quality. The company’s distinctive approach features regular and special dividend distributions, as well as a substantial share repurchase program, reflecting its commitment to delivering income and managing liquidity for shareholders. Its strategic market entry and disciplined capital management underscore its importance as a specialized lender, facilitating innovation and expansion across the technology industry landscape.

CEO Mr. Craig William Packer · United States · https://www.blueowltechnologyfinance.com