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OTF Stock Forecast: Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Sept 2026
$11
−0.44% on the day

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp hold a median 12-month price target of $14 — +23.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 53 of 100 as at 7 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$5.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
53 / 100
Median analyst target
$14
Analysts covering
9
Revenue$169.3M−21.4% y/y
Net income$154.2M
Free cash flow−$316.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
0.0%
1M
+6.4%
YTD
−16.2%
1Y
−12.0%
From 52W high
−17.0%
From 52W low
+15.3%
$10
$14
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

OTF stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 7 Sept 2026
53 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
100
Revisions
79
Volatility
76
Quality
70
Growth
54
Momentum
35
Issuance
23
Size
23
Accruals
17

Value (100): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Accruals (17): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

OTF stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on OTF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$12$14$16$18Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26OTFHigh $17Median $14Low $11

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says9 analysts
5 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $11Median $14High $17

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +23.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
17 Aug 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesSector Perform$12
7 Aug 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
7 Aug 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$16 → $17
19 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$16 → $15
19 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
18 May 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$14 → $12
18 May 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
12 May 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$13 → $12
12 May 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
8 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
22 Apr 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
23 Feb 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
23 Feb 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
20 Feb 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
16 Dec 2025B. Riley SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—
8 Dec 2025CitizensInitiatesMarket Outperform—
6 Oct 2025Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight—
5 Sept 2025Clear StreetInitiatesHold—
14 July 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsInitiatesMarket Perform—
7 July 2025Truist SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. OTF appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

OTF vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Sept 2026, Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp returned −12.0% against +20.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

OTF vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26OTFS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

OTF analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.0%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp (OTF) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.9×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.0×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Price / book
0.7×

Cheaper than 82% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.8%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−23.5%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
73.3%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Net margin
28.7%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
4.8%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.3%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Dividend yield
36.9%

Higher than 96% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp (OTF) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp has a market value of $5.2B and an enterprise value of $12.2B.

  • Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp spent $178.8M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 457.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 13.9×; forward P/E: 8.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 36.94%, paying out 171% of earnings.

  • Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp employs 0 people.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 8 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

OTF vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAsset Management
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
OTFBlue Owl Technology Finance Corp$5.2B
53
HASIHA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.$4.9B
61
HLNEHamilton Lane, Inc.$5.7B
83
FHIFederated Hermes, Inc.$4.7B
97
STEPStepStone Group, Inc.$6.0B
19
CNSCohen & Steers, Inc. (New York)$4.1B
73
VCTRVictory Capital Holdings, Inc.$7.0B
100

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest OTF news & analysis

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. Closes $150 Million Private Placement of Senior Unsecured Notes

PRNewsWire · 4 Sept 2026positive

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. closed a private placement of $150 million in aggregate principal amount of 7.60% senior unsecured notes due September 3, 2032. This is the company's third financing since June 30, bringing total debt financing raised to $800 million and further strengthening its liquidity and financial flexibility.

Why it matters — OTF watchers would care because this raises the company's total debt financing to $800 million, reinforcing OTF's liquidity position and financial flexibility.

Buy The Dip: 7-12% Yields Getting Way Too Cheap

Seeking Alpha · 31 Aug 2026neutral

A Seeking Alpha article highlights high-yield investments that have sold off aggressively and are now trading at attractive valuations with 7-12% yields. The author describes these as opportunities to buy during market dips, similar to past high-yield investments made during uncomfortable periods.

Why it matters — OTF watchers would care because the article discusses high-yield investments trading at discounted valuations after recent sell-offs, which is relevant context for income-oriented business development companies like OTF.

Forget SaaSpocalypse And Buy These 2 BDCs Now

Seeking Alpha · 29 Aug 2026positive

The article argues that BDCs, trading at a 25% P/NAV discount due to fears of AI-driven SaaS disruption, are being unfairly penalized. Current data shows no systemic SaaS defaults or rising credit risk in BDC portfolios, and many SaaS giants continue to deliver stable, strong results.

Why it matters — For OTF watchers, the piece suggests that fears of AI-driven SaaS disruption driving BDC discounts may be overstated, implying the credit risk backdrop for BDC portfolios remains stable.

Two 11%+ Yielding External BDCs Built For Long-Term Compounding

Seeking Alpha · 24 Aug 2026negative

An article discussing externally managed business development companies (BDCs) notes they face structural challenges such as high fees and misaligned incentives, while identifying two high-yield external BDCs positioned for long-term income compounding.

Why it matters — Since OTF is an externally managed BDC, the article's analysis of the structural challenges and long-term income potential of such entities directly relates to how watchers evaluate the company.

Blue Owl Technology Finance: The Turnaround Is Coming

Seeking Alpha · 19 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha reports that Blue Owl Technology Finance trades at a deep discount to net asset value after a 25% stock price decline over the past year. The article notes the portfolio focuses on upper middle-market technology firms with mission-critical products, mitigating AI disruption risks despite 70% software exposure, while flagging that the current 13% dividend yield appears unsustainable due to weak net investment income coverage, though management targets coverage improvement by mid-next year.

Why it matters — OTF watchers would care because the piece weighs concerns about dividend sustainability and discount-to-NAV against management's stated plan to improve coverage and the portfolio's perceived resilience to AI disruption.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about OTF stock

What is the OTF stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp have a median 12-month price target of $14, with estimates ranging from $11 to $17. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is OTF stock a buy right now?

Of the 9 analysts covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp, 5 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp 53 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 7 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank OTF?

As at 7 Sept 2026, Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp ranks 53 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (100 of 100).

Will OTF stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 9 analysts implies +23.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp 53 out of 100 as at 7 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the OTF stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for OTF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $11 to $17 over the next 12 months.

How has OTF stock performed over the past year?

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp returned -12.0% over the 12 months to 4 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp do?

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. is a business development company that provides debt and equity financing to technology-related businesses, with a primary focus on enterprise software and other upper middle-market companies in the United States.

What is the latest news on OTF?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 4 Sept 2026): "Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. Closes $150 Million Private Placement of Senior Unsecured Notes". Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. closed a private placement of $150 million in aggregate principal amount of 7.60% senior unsecured notes due September 3, 2032. This is the company's third financing since June 30, bringing total debt financing raised to $800 million and further strengthening its liquidity and financial flexibility.

Company

About Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. is a business development company that provides debt and equity financing to technology-related businesses, with a primary focus on enterprise software and other upper middle-market companies in the United States. The company originates and invests in a broad range of credit instruments, including senior secured loans, unsecured loans, subordinated debt, mezzanine financing, and equity-linked securities such as warrants and preferred stock. Its portfolio is built to support growing technology companies that need customized capital solutions for expansion, acquisitions, and balance sheet flexibility. Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. is externally managed by Blue Owl Technology Credit Advisors LLC and operates as part of Blue Owl’s credit platform, serving as a specialized source of financing in the private credit market.

CEO Mr. Craig William Packer · United States · https://www.blueowltechnologyfinance.com