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PONOFinancial Services · Shell Companies

PONO Stock Forecast: Pono Capital Four, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Sept 2026
$10
−0.40% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 15 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — in the weakest quartile.

Market cap
$173.8M
Ticker Nerd rank
15 / 100
Median analyst target
—
Analysts covering
—
Revenue$0.0
Operating income−$144K
Net income$1.0M
Free cash flow−$149K
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.1%
1M
0.0%
From high
−0.4%
From low
+1.6%
$10
$10
Range since 5 May 2026, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PONO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Pono Capital Four, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
15 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Size
70
Volatility
59
Value
52
Momentum
51
Quality
26
Revisions
25
Issuance
22
Growth
17
Accruals
8

Size (70): Smaller than most of the companies we track.

Accruals (8): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PONO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PONO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, since 5 May 2026Adjusted close, US dollars
$10$10$10$10$10Jun 26Jul 26Aug 26Sep 26PONO

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PONO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

PONO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

PONO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100102104106108Jun 26Jul 26Aug 26Sep 26PONOS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

PONO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Fundamentals

Pono Capital Four, Inc. (PONO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
—
Price / sales
—
Price / book
1.5×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
—
Earnings growth (YoY)
—
Gross margin
—
Operating margin
0.0%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Net margin
0.0%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
—
Return on assets
—
Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Pono Capital Four, Inc. (PONO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Pono Capital Four, Inc. has a market value of $173.8M and an enterprise value of $173.5M.

  • Shares outstanding: 12.2M.

  • Pono Capital Four, Inc. employs 0 people.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 20 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

PONO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelShell Companies
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PONOPono Capital Four, Inc.$173.8M
15
CHECChenghe Acquisition III Co.$173.1M
29
XFLHXFLH Capital Corp.$172.8M
11
CTAAClearthink 1 Acquisition Corp.$172.4M
14
BREZBreeze Acquisition Corp. II$177.1M
7
ARCLARC Group Acquisition I Corp.$179.2M
18
SVCCStellar V Capital Corp.$168.2M
55

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Pono Capital Four, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PONO news & analysis

Blackstar Orbital Technologies, an innovative developer of advanced reusable spacecraft announces the signing of a definitive agreement to go public via a business combination with Pono Capital Four, a Nasdaq listed company.

GlobeNewsWire · 6 Aug 2026positive

Pono Capital Four, a Nasdaq-listed special purpose acquisition company, announced the execution of a definitive merger agreement with Blackstar Orbital Technologies, an advanced reusable spacecraft developer. Under the agreement, Blackstar Orbital will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Pono through a merger, and Pono is expected to change its name to Blackstar Orbital Corporation.

Why it matters — The announcement identifies the target company Pono has agreed to combine with, outlining the structure and planned name change for the post-merger entity, which is material to investors tracking PONO.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PONO stock

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PONO?

As at 19 Sept 2026, Pono Capital Four, Inc. ranks 15 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (70 of 100).

What is the PONO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Pono Capital Four, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PONO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

What does Pono Capital Four, Inc. do?

Pono Capital Four, Inc. focuses on effecting a merger, amalgamation, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses.

What is the latest news on PONO?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 6 Aug 2026): "Blackstar Orbital Technologies, an innovative developer of advanced reusable spacecraft announces the signing of a definitive agreement to go public via a business combination with Pono Capital Four, a Nasdaq listed company.". Pono Capital Four, a Nasdaq-listed special purpose acquisition company, announced the execution of a definitive merger agreement with Blackstar Orbital Technologies, an advanced reusable spacecraft developer. Under the agreement, Blackstar Orbital will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Pono through a merger, and Pono is expected to change its name to Blackstar Orbital Corporation.

Company

About Pono Capital Four, Inc.

Pono Capital Four, Inc. focuses on effecting a merger, amalgamation, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses. The company was incorporated in 2026 and is based in Camana Bay, Cayman Islands.

CEO Mr. Dustin Masaru Shindo · Cayman Islands