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PZZAPZZAConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

PZZA Stock Forecast: Papa John's International, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$19
−0.82% on the day

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Papa John's International, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $28 — +41.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 53 of 100 as at 1 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$648.7M
Ticker Nerd rank
53 / 100
Median analyst target
$28
Analysts covering
13
Revenue$482.4M−8.8% y/y
Operating income$23.2M
Net income$8.7M
Free cash flow$14.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.6%
1M
−14.1%
YTD
−48.1%
1Y
−57.9%
From 52W high
−63.5%
From 52W low
0.0%
$19
$53
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PZZA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Papa John's International, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Oct 2026
53 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
93
Issuance
86
Value
82
Quality
78
Volatility
63
Size
50
Revisions
30
Growth
9
Momentum
6

Accruals (93): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Momentum (6): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PZZA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PZZA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$30$40$50Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26PZZAHigh $43Median $28Low $24

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says13 analysts
2 Buy10 Hold1 Sell
Low $24Median $28High $43

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +41.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
7 Aug 2026BenchmarkDowngradeHold—
7 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$30 → $26
7 Aug 2026Stephens & Co.DowngradeEqual-Weight$38 → $24
7 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$33 → $28
31 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral$33 → $32
13 July 2026B of A SecuritiesDowngradeUnderperform—
13 July 2026B of A SecuritiesDowngradeUnderperform$42 → $34
1 July 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight—
15 May 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight—
11 May 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
8 May 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
8 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
8 May 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight—
27 Feb 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
27 Feb 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
20 Feb 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
9 Jan 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
7 Nov 2025Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
28 Oct 2025MizuhoInitiatesNeutral—
13 Oct 2025Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PZZA appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

PZZA vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Papa John's International, Inc. returned −57.9% against +15.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

PZZA vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26PZZAS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

PZZA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−20.5%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
14
Fundamentals

Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
24.6×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.3×

Cheaper than 87% of US stocks

Price / book
−1.5×

Cheaper than 95% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.1×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−8.8%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−10.5%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Gross margin
29.7%

Higher than 34% of US stocks

Operating margin
5.7%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Net margin
1.4%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−6.8%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.7%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Dividend yield
9.3%

Higher than 90% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Papa John's International, Inc. has a market value of $648.7M and an enterprise value of $1.6B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.0B. The latest quarter shrank 8.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $28.7M, a 1.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.79.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $24.6M.

  • Papa John's International, Inc. spent $61.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 32.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 24.6×; forward P/E: 14.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 9.34%, paying out 230% of earnings.

  • Papa John's International, Inc. employs 9,400 people — $209K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 1 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

PZZA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PZZAPapa John's International, Inc.$648.7M
53
FWRGFirst Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.$624.4M
29
CNNECannae Holdings, Inc.$679.3M
81
BLMNBloomin' Brands, Inc.$717.4M
92
KRUSKura Sushi USA, Inc.$501.3M
28
LOCOEl Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.$425.1M
100
NATHNathan's Famous, Inc.$414.7M
75

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Papa John's International, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PZZA news & analysis

PZZA Investors Have Opportunity to Lead Papa John's International, Inc. Securities Fraud Lawsuit with SBS Law

GlobeNewsWire · 2 Oct 2026negative

SBS Law is reminding investors of a securities fraud class action lawsuit against Papa John's International for alleged violations of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Shareholders who purchased PZZA shares during the specified class period are encouraged to contact the firm regarding potential lead plaintiff appointments.

Why it matters — A securities fraud lawsuit against Papa John's could expose the company to legal and financial liabilities, making this relevant for PZZA shareholders to monitor.

Kaplan Fox Reminds Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) Investors to Seek a Leadership Role Before Deadline on November 2, 2026

Newsfile Corp · 1 Oct 2026negative

Kaplan Fox & Kilsheimer LLP announced that a class action lawsuit has been filed against Papa John's International, Inc. on behalf of investors who purchased common stock between August 7, 2025 and August 5, 2026. The firm is reminding affected investors of a November 2, 2026 deadline to seek a leadership role in the case.

Why it matters — A PZZA watcher would care because the company is facing a securities class action lawsuit tied to its stock performance during a designated class period.

Papa Johns to Report Third Quarter 2026 Results on November 5, 2026

Business Wire · 1 Oct 2026neutral

Papa John's International, Inc. announced it will release its third quarter 2026 financial results before the market opens on Thursday, November 5, 2026, followed by a conference call at 8:00 a.m. ET. The call will feature President and CEO Todd Penegor, along with Principal Financial and Accounting Officer and interim CFO Chris Collins.

Why it matters — PZZA watchers will want to note the scheduled date and participants for the upcoming earnings release and conference call.

PZZA Investors Have Opportunity to Lead Papa John's International, Inc. Securities Fraud Lawsuit

PRNewsWire · 30 Sept 2026negative

Rosen Law Firm is reminding investors who purchased Papa John's common stock between August 7, 2025 and August 5, 2026 of the November 2, 2026 deadline to become lead plaintiff in a securities fraud lawsuit against the company.

Why it matters — The notice signals an active securities fraud claim against Papa John's, which could be a concern for current and potential shareholders.

Levi & Korsinsky Reminds Shareholders of a Lead Plaintiff Deadline of November 2, 2026 in Papa John's International, Inc. Lawsuit - PZZA

PRNewsWire · 30 Sept 2026negative

Levi & Korsinsky has reminded Papa John's shareholders of a November 2, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline in a securities lawsuit. The notice relates to shareholders who bought PZZA shares between August 7, 2025 and August 5, 2026, following a $5.11 per-share drop in a single session.

Why it matters — PZZA watchers would care because this lawsuit and the accompanying reminder highlight shareholder rights claims tied to a sharp single-day decline in the stock during the specified period.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PZZA stock

What is the PZZA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Papa John's International, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $28, with estimates ranging from $24 to $43. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PZZA stock a buy right now?

Of the 13 analysts covering Papa John's International, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 10 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Papa John's International, Inc. 53 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PZZA?

As at 1 Oct 2026, Papa John's International, Inc. ranks 53 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (93 of 100).

Will PZZA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +41.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Papa John's International, Inc. 53 out of 100 as at 1 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PZZA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Papa John's International, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PZZA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $24 to $43 over the next 12 months.

How has PZZA stock performed over the past year?

Papa John's International, Inc. returned -57.9% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Papa John's International, Inc. do?

Papa John's International, Inc. is a global pizza restaurant company that operates and franchises pizza delivery and carryout locations under the Papa Johns brand.

What is the latest news on PZZA?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 2 Oct 2026): "PZZA Investors Have Opportunity to Lead Papa John's International, Inc. Securities Fraud Lawsuit with SBS Law". SBS Law is reminding investors of a securities fraud class action lawsuit against Papa John's International for alleged violations of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Shareholders who purchased PZZA shares during the specified class period are encouraged to contact the firm regarding potential lead plaintiff appointments.

Company

About Papa John's International, Inc.

Papa John's International, Inc. is a global pizza restaurant company that operates and franchises pizza delivery and carryout locations under the Papa Johns brand. Its current business combines company-owned restaurants, franchised restaurants, and a North America commissary network that supports dough production, ingredient distribution, and quality control. The company also offers a menu centered on pizza, breadsticks, wings, desserts, beverages, and other complementary items, while serving both domestic and international markets. In certain overseas locations, Papa John's also operates dine-in and delivery restaurants. Papa John's International, Inc. is positioned as a major limited-service restaurant brand focused on convenient meal occasions, supported by digital ordering, franchise development, and supply-chain operations.

CEO Mr. Todd Allan Penegor · 9,400 employees · United States · https://www.papajohns.com