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PZZAPZZAConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

PZZA Stock Forecast: Papa John's International, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 17 Aug 2026
$23
−4.25% on the day

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Papa John's International, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $27 — +16.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 54 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$798.7M
Ticker Nerd rank
54 / 100
Median analyst target
$27
Analysts covering
14
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.6%
1M
−29.3%
YTD
−38.0%
1Y
−48.8%
From 52W high
−56.4%
From 52W low
0.0%
$23
$53
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PZZA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Papa John's International, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
54 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
93
Issuance
86
Value
81
Quality
78
Size
48
Volatility
46
Revisions
29
Momentum
18
Growth
9

Accruals (93): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Growth (9): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PZZA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PZZA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$25$30$35$40$45$50$55Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PZZAHigh $43Median $27Low $24

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says14 analysts
2 Buy11 Hold1 Sell
Low $24Median $27High $43

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +16.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
7 Aug 2026BenchmarkDowngradeHold—
7 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$30 → $26
7 Aug 2026Stephens & Co.DowngradeEqual-Weight$38 → $24
7 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$33 → $28
31 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral$33 → $32
13 July 2026B of A SecuritiesDowngradeUnderperform—
13 July 2026B of A SecuritiesDowngradeUnderperform$42 → $34
1 July 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight—
15 May 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight—
11 May 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
8 May 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
8 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
8 May 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight—
27 Feb 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
27 Feb 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
20 Feb 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
9 Jan 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
7 Nov 2025Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
28 Oct 2025MizuhoInitiatesNeutral—
13 Oct 2025Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PZZA appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

PZZA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−20.3%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
11
Fundamentals

Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
30.3×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.4×

Cheaper than 86% of US stocks

Price / book
−1.8×

Cheaper than 95% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.8×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−8.8%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−10.5%

Higher than 25% of US stocks

Gross margin
29.7%

Higher than 35% of US stocks

Operating margin
5.6%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Net margin
1.4%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−6.8%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.7%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Dividend yield
7.6%

Higher than 88% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

PZZA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PZZAPapa John's International, Inc.$798.7M
54
FWRGFirst Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.$776.3M
25
SGSweetgreen, Inc.$743.4M
6
BLMNBloomin' Brands, Inc.$903.2M
87
CNNECannae Holdings, Inc.$642.8M
76
KRUSKura Sushi USA, Inc.$641.4M
26
BHBiglari Holdings, Inc.$1.2B
33

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Papa John's International, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PZZA news & analysis

Papa John's International (PZZA) Securities Investigation Notice - Levi & Korsinsky

PRNewsWire · 17 Aug 2026negative

Papa John's reported Q2 2026 revenue of $482.4 million versus $529.2 million a year earlier, with global comparable sales down 5.7%, and its shares declined following the operating update. Levi & Korsinsky has opened an investigation into potential securities law violations related to the company.

Why it matters — A PZZA watcher would care because the revenue decline, falling comparable sales, and the new securities investigation raise questions about the company's operating performance and potential regulatory exposure.

Papa Johns Canada Introduces Pan Pizza

GlobeNewsWire · 17 Aug 2026neutral

Papa Johns Canada has introduced Pan Pizza to its menu, with the new offering available starting today. The announcement was made in Edmonton, Alberta.

Why it matters — A new product launch in the Canadian market could broaden Papa John's menu appeal and support the company's international operations.

PZZA Investor Alert: Levi & Korsinsky Notifies Investors of Investigation Into Papa John's International (PZZA)

Business Wire · 12 Aug 2026negative

An investigation into Papa John's International (PZZA) has been announced after the company's second-quarter 2026 operating update revealed an 8.3% drop in North American comparable sales, revenue of $482.4 million (down 8.8% year-over-year), a reduced full-year adjusted EBITDA outlook, and a suspended quarterly dividend, causing the stock to fall.

Why it matters — PZZA watchers should note the significant sales decline, lowered earnings guidance, and dividend suspension that triggered the stock drop and subsequent investor investigation.

Papa John's International ALERT: Securities Fraud Investigation by Block & Leviton Could Allow Investors to Recover Losses

Newsfile Corp · 11 Aug 2026negative

Block & Leviton announced it is investigating Papa John's International for potential securities law violations. The firm is encouraging investors who lost money in their PZZA investment to contact them to learn about possibly recovering losses.

Why it matters — A securities fraud investigation into the company signals heightened legal and reputational risk that Papa John's shareholders should monitor.

Papa John's International Investigation Notice: Levi & Korsinsky Notifies Investors of Pending Investigation Into Papa John's International (PZZA)

PRNewsWire · 10 Aug 2026negative

Papa John's reported Q2 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of $0.46, slightly above the $0.45 consensus, while revenue fell 8.8% year over year to $482.4 million. Levi & Korsinsky has notified investors of a pending investigation into potential securities law violations relating to the company.

Why it matters — PZZA watchers would note the revenue decline and the pending securities-law investigation, which offset the marginal earnings beat and raise legal and reputational concerns.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PZZA stock

What is the PZZA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Papa John's International, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $27, with estimates ranging from $24 to $43. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PZZA stock a buy right now?

Of the 14 analysts covering Papa John's International, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 11 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Papa John's International, Inc. 54 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PZZA?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Papa John's International, Inc. ranks 54 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (93 of 100).

Will PZZA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies +16.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Papa John's International, Inc. 54 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PZZA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Papa John's International, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PZZA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $24 to $43 over the next 12 months.

How has PZZA stock performed over the past year?

Papa John's International, Inc. returned -48.8% over the 12 months to 17 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Papa John's International, Inc. do?

Papa John's International, Inc. is a leading pizza company that specializes in the development, operation, and franchising of restaurants worldwide.

What is the latest news on PZZA?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 17 Aug 2026): "Papa John's International (PZZA) Securities Investigation Notice - Levi & Korsinsky". Papa John's reported Q2 2026 revenue of $482.4 million versus $529.2 million a year earlier, with global comparable sales down 5.7%, and its shares declined following the operating update. Levi & Korsinsky has opened an investigation into potential securities law violations related to the company.

Company

About Papa John's International, Inc.

Papa John's International, Inc. is a leading pizza company that specializes in the development, operation, and franchising of restaurants worldwide. It focuses on delivering high-quality pizzas made with fresh dough, premium ingredients, and signature sauces, alongside complementary menu items such as wings, breadsticks, and desserts. The company operates through North America and International segments, supporting a network of company-owned and franchised locations across more than 50 countries and territories. Key operations include North America commissaries that supply ingredients and products to restaurants, alongside revenues from franchise royalties, advertising funds, and digital fees. Papa John's International, Inc. emphasizes system-wide restaurant sales growth, particularly in international markets, and invests in omnichannel experiences, menu innovations, and marketing to support franchisees. Founded in 1984 and headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, it plays a significant role in the quick-service restaurant sector by prioritizing quality and customer loyalty in the competitive pizza industry.

CEO Mr. Todd Allan Penegor · 9,400 employees · United States · https://www.papajohns.com