RCATIndustrials · Aerospace & DefenseThe 8 Wall Street analysts covering Red Cat Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $15 — +88.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 5 of 100 as at 11 Sept 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Red Cat Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (43): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Growth (5): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RCAT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +88.4% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Sept 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Neutral | $9.00 |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Initiates | Outperform | $15 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | $20 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | $20 → $15 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 1 June 2026 | Roth Capital | Initiates | Buy | $25 |
| 1 June 2026 | Roth Capital | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 27 May 2026 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 27 May 2026 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Initiates | Buy | $20 |
| 19 Mar 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Mar 2026 | Ladenburg Thalmann | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 2 Mar 2026 | Needham | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 Nov 2025 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Oct 2025 | Needham | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Northland Capital Markets | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 14 June 2024 | Ladenburg Thalmann | Initiates | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RCAT appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Red Cat Holdings, Inc. returned −27.6% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 93% of US stocks
Cheaper than 10% of US stocks
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Cheaper than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 95% of US stocks
Higher than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 11% of US stocks
Higher than 4% of US stocks
Higher than 26% of US stocks
Higher than 19% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Red Cat Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $1.2B and an enterprise value of $904.9M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $71.5M. The latest quarter grew 527.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$97.5M, a −136.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.81.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$157.7M.
Trailing P/E: −10.9×; forward P/E: −14.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Red Cat Holdings, Inc. employs 244 people — $293K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Red Cat Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
A Red Cat Holdings director, Liuzza, sold 65,000 shares in a transaction valued at $552,500. Per the filing, the shares traded represented 13% of the direct equity stake held by Liuzza prior to the sale.
Why it matters — Insider selling can signal a director's reduced confidence in the company, and a stake reduction of this size is notable for shareholders monitoring insider activity.
Drone stocks fell amid a broader risk-off sentiment that hit high-beta names, with AeroVironment down 4% to $142, Red Cat dropping 3%, and Ondas easing.
Why it matters — Red Cat watchers would care because the sell-off reflects weakening market sentiment across the drone sector, which directly impacts RCAT's trading performance.
MarketBeat published an article highlighting risky, speculative stocks that could offer roughly 100% upside, while noting that consumer reticence and stretched valuations may limit near-term growth for many established investments. The piece identifies high-upside, speculative plays amid an S&P 500 hovering near all-time highs.
Why it matters — The article positions Red Cat Holdings among speculative, higher-risk stocks that market watchers may consider for significant potential upside.
The U.S. Army awarded a $464.8 million laser-related contract to AeroVironment, whose stock rose 4% on the news. Unusual Machines and Red Cat also saw their shares tick up amid a sector-wide response to the award.
Why it matters — Red Cat shares rose in reaction to the Army award, suggesting the defense-related momentum could benefit RCAT and attract attention from investors tracking the sector.
Evercore ISI initiated coverage of Red Cat Holdings with an Outperform rating and a $15 price target in a note titled "Ready. Set. Fly." The firm frames the Department of Defense's shifting procurement priorities as a multi-year tailwind for the company.
Why it matters — The initiation of coverage with an Outperform rating signals analyst confidence that Pentagon procurement changes could benefit RCAT over the coming years.
The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Red Cat Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $15, with estimates ranging from $9 to $25. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 8 analysts covering Red Cat Holdings, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Red Cat Holdings, Inc. 5 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 11 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 11 Sept 2026, Red Cat Holdings, Inc. ranks 5 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (43 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +88.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Red Cat Holdings, Inc. 5 out of 100 as at 11 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Red Cat Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RCAT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $9 to $25 over the next 12 months.
Red Cat Holdings, Inc. returned -27.6% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Red Cat Holdings Inc. is a drone and robotics company that develops advanced unmanned systems for defense, national security, public safety, and commercial use.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 9 Sept 2026): "Red Cat Holdings Director Sells 65,000 Shares for $552,500". A Red Cat Holdings director, Liuzza, sold 65,000 shares in a transaction valued at $552,500. Per the filing, the shares traded represented 13% of the direct equity stake held by Liuzza prior to the sale.
Red Cat Holdings Inc. is a drone and robotics company that develops advanced unmanned systems for defense, national security, public safety, and commercial use. The company designs and manufactures small and tactical unmanned aircraft systems, including short-range reconnaissance drones, first-person-view platforms, and extended-range fixed-wing systems for intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance missions. Its product portfolio also includes mission management software, ground control systems, and integrated hardware and software solutions that support operations across air, land, and sea. Red Cat serves military, government, and enterprise customers with tools built for situational awareness, data collection, and multi-domain operations. Based in South Salt Lake, Utah, Red Cat Holdings Inc. plays a role in the growing market for American-made drone technology and autonomous systems.
CEO Mr. Jeffrey M. Thompson · 244 employees · United States · https://redcat.red
