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RCAT Stock Forecast: Red Cat Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 29 Oct 2026
$5.05
+2.85% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Red Cat Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $15 — +197.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 4 of 100 as at 29 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$749.8M
Ticker Nerd rank
4/ 100
Median analyst target
$15
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$20.2M+527.3% y/y
Operating income−$38.6M
Net income−$35.2M
Free cash flow−$52.6M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+15.6%
1M
−21.7%
YTD
−36.3%
1Y
−55.6%
From 52W high
−70.9%
From 52W low
+15.6%
$4
$17
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RCAT stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Red Cat Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 29 Oct 2026
4/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Size
48
Issuance
39
Momentum
31
Revisions
27
Volatility
20
Value
14
Quality
13
Accruals
12
Growth
5

Size (48): Smaller than most of the companies we track.

Growth (5): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

RCAT stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RCAT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5$10$15$20$25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26RCATHigh $25Median $15Low $6

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
6 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $6Median $15High $25

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +197.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
23 Oct 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$9.00 → $6.00
20 Oct 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$15
2 Sept 2026Piper SandlerInitiatesNeutral$9.00
2 Sept 2026Piper SandlerInitiatesNeutral—
31 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupInitiatesOutperform—
31 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupInitiatesOutperform$15
7 Aug 2026HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy$20
7 Aug 2026HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy—
7 Aug 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$20 → $15
7 Aug 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
1 June 2026Roth CapitalInitiatesBuy$25
1 June 2026Roth CapitalInitiatesBuy—
27 May 2026HC Wainwright & Co.InitiatesBuy$20
27 May 2026HC Wainwright & Co.InitiatesBuy—
19 Mar 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
3 Mar 2026Ladenburg ThalmannMaintainsBuy—
2 Mar 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
13 Jan 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
14 Nov 2025NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
3 Oct 2025NeedhamInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

RCAT appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

RCAT vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 29 Oct 2026, Red Cat Holdings, Inc. returned −55.6% against +13.1% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

RCAT vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120140160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26RCATS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

RCAT analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−7.0×

Cheaper than 92% of US stocks

Price / sales
10.9×

Cheaper than 13% of US stocks

Price / book
1.7×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−4.2×

Cheaper than 79% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
527.2%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
527.3%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Gross margin
16.1%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Operating margin
−191.4%

Higher than 11% of US stocks

Net margin
−136.3%

Higher than 5% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−34.4%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Return on assets
−20.7%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Red Cat Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $749.8M and an enterprise value of $439.1M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $71.5M. The latest quarter grew 527.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$97.5M, a −136.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.81.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$157.7M.

  • Shares outstanding: 152.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: −7.0×; forward P/E: −11.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Red Cat Holdings, Inc. employs 244 people — $293K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 30 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

RCAT vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RCATRed Cat Holdings, Inc.$749.8M4
SWBISmith & Wesson Brands, Inc.$735.4M100
RGRSturm, Ruger & Co., Inc.$729.9M97
ELMTThe Elmet Group Co.$721.9M3
PKEPark Aerospace Corp.$577.5M89
SATLSatellogic, Inc.$575.0M40
YSSYork Space Systems, Inc.$960.1M0

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Red Cat Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RCAT news & analysis

Red Cat: Interesting Acquisition, But Execution Remains The Focus

Seeking Alpha · 28 Oct 2026negative

Red Cat Holdings plans to acquire Steyr Motors to expand defense manufacturing capacity and diversify revenue. The article notes potential for a larger combined business while highlighting cash burn, limited order visibility, and possible second-half revenue misses.

Why it matters — The acquisition’s execution and Red Cat’s future capital needs may shape the company’s growth and revenue outlook.

5 Beaten-Down Growth Stocks Trading Like Value Plays as Cash Chases Mega-Caps

MarketBeat · 26 Oct 2026neutral

MarketBeat’s headline describes five beaten-down growth stocks trading like value plays as cash flows toward mega-cap stocks. The excerpt notes that the S&P 500 was near its all-time high while conditions beyond the index appeared weaker.

Why it matters — The item highlights a broader market backdrop that may be relevant to RCAT watchers, but the provided text does not say whether RCAT is among the five stocks.

Red Cat Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release Date and Participation in Upcoming Investor Conferences

GlobeNewsWire · 26 Oct 2026neutral

Red Cat announced it will report third-quarter 2026 financial results after U.S. markets close on November 16, 2026, and host a live video webinar at 4:30 p.m. The company also announced participation in upcoming investor conferences.

Why it matters — RCAT watchers can note the scheduled date and time for the company's quarterly results and related investor events.

Blue Ops Introduces B-Series Maritime Portfolio with Production-Ready B-18 and B-39 Uncrewed Surface Vessels

GlobeNewsWire · 22 Oct 2026neutral

Blue Ops introduced its B-Series maritime portfolio, including the production-ready B-18 and B-39 uncrewed surface vessels, which are available for orders. The platforms are described as U.S.-designed and built for U.S. Navy and allied maritime operations.

Why it matters — The announcement concerns maritime uncrewed systems, a category relevant to investors following Red Cat, but the excerpt does not state a connection to Red Cat.

Drone Stocks Have Burned Investors—Are These 4 Different?

MarketBeat · 21 Oct 2026negative

MarketBeat’s article says drone stocks have left many investors underwater and reports that the REX Drone ETF (NASDAQ: DRNZ) is down approximately 23% this year.

Why it matters — The item describes weakness across drone stocks, providing sector context for readers following Red Cat Holdings.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RCAT stock

What is the RCAT stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Red Cat Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $15, with estimates ranging from $6 to $25. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RCAT stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Red Cat Holdings, Inc., 6 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Red Cat Holdings, Inc. 4 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 29 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RCAT?

As at 29 Oct 2026, Red Cat Holdings, Inc. ranks 4 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (48 of 100).

Will RCAT stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +197.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Red Cat Holdings, Inc. 4 out of 100 as at 29 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RCAT stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Red Cat Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RCAT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $6 to $25 over the next 12 months.

How has RCAT stock performed over the past year?

Red Cat Holdings, Inc. returned -55.6% over the 12 months to 29 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Red Cat Holdings, Inc. do?

Red Cat Holdings Inc. is a drone and robotics company that develops advanced unmanned systems for defense, national security, public safety, and commercial use.

What is the latest news on RCAT?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 28 Oct 2026): "Red Cat: Interesting Acquisition, But Execution Remains The Focus". Red Cat Holdings plans to acquire Steyr Motors to expand defense manufacturing capacity and diversify revenue. The article notes potential for a larger combined business while highlighting cash burn, limited order visibility, and possible second-half revenue misses.

Company

About Red Cat Holdings, Inc.

Red Cat Holdings Inc. is a drone and robotics company that develops advanced unmanned systems for defense, national security, public safety, and commercial use. The company designs and manufactures small and tactical unmanned aircraft systems, including short-range reconnaissance drones, first-person-view platforms, and extended-range fixed-wing systems for intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance missions. Its product portfolio also includes mission management software, ground control systems, and integrated hardware and software solutions that support operations across air, land, and sea. Red Cat serves military, government, and enterprise customers with tools built for situational awareness, data collection, and multi-domain operations. Based in South Salt Lake, Utah, Red Cat Holdings Inc. plays a role in the growing market for American-made drone technology and autonomous systems.

CEO Mr. Jeffrey M. Thompson · 244 employees · United States · https://redcat.red