RGLDBasic Materials · GoldThe 12 Wall Street analysts covering Royal Gold, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $314 — +37.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 56 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Royal Gold, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (90): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Issuance (15): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Size (10): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RGLD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +37.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sept 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $305 → $325 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $280 → $285 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 9 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 9 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $310 → $305 |
| 6 July 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 July 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | $318 → $311 |
| 30 June 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 15 Apr 2026 | UBS | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Scotiabank | Downgrade | Sector Perform | — |
| 18 Nov 2025 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 Oct 2025 | Scotiabank | Maintains | Sector Outperform | — |
| 16 Oct 2025 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Underperform | — |
| 10 Oct 2025 | CIBC | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 22 May 2025 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 8 May 2025 | CIBC | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 14 Apr 2025 | Scotiabank | Upgrade | Sector Outperform | — |
| 4 Apr 2025 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 4 Apr 2025 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 Jan 2025 | Jefferies | Upgrade | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RGLD appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, Royal Gold, Inc. returned +16.0% against +17.7% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 29% of US stocks
Cheaper than 12% of US stocks
Cheaper than 36% of US stocks
Cheaper than 21% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 72% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Royal Gold, Inc. has a market value of $19.9B and an enterprise value of $20.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.5B. The latest quarter grew 115.5% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $744.8M, a 48.1% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $9.16.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $585K.
Royal Gold, Inc. spent $36.1M on share buybacks and $139.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 26.0×; forward P/E: 18.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.81%, paying out 21% of earnings.
Royal Gold, Inc. employs 39 people — $39.7M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Royal Gold, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
A Seeking Alpha article discusses two long-term total-return outperformers it says are trading at a discount, outlining their fundamentals, growth potential, and risks. The excerpt does not identify the companies.
Why it matters — The item provides no RGLD-specific information, so its relevance to Royal Gold watchers is limited.
Royal Gold’s Jason Hynes said its royalty and streaming portfolio is benefiting from strong precious-metals prices, recent acquisitions and a broad pipeline of development-stage assets.
Why it matters — These factors may be relevant to RGLD watchers assessing the portfolio’s growth and cash-flow drivers.
Royal Gold, Inc. presented at the John Tumazos Very Independent Research Virtual Conference; Seeking Alpha published a transcript of the presentation.
Why it matters — The transcript provides RGLD watchers with a record of the company’s presentation at the research conference.
Royal Gold announced it will participate in the Renmark Financial Communications Virtual Non-Deal Roadshow Series on Thursday, October 15, 2026. The announcement, issued by Business Wire from Denver, provides details of the scheduled participation.
Why it matters — RGLD watchers would care as the scheduled virtual roadshow offers an opportunity for the company to communicate with the investor community.
Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) presented at the Mining Forum Americas 2026 conference, and a transcript of the presentation has been published on Seeking Alpha. The item covers the company's appearance and remarks at the mining industry forum.
Why it matters — A RGLD watcher would care because presentations at industry forums offer insight into the company's strategic outlook and operations as communicated directly to the mining sector audience.
The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Royal Gold, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $314, with estimates ranging from $218 to $380. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 12 analysts covering Royal Gold, Inc., 9 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Royal Gold, Inc. 56 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 6 Oct 2026, Royal Gold, Inc. ranks 56 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (90 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies +37.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Royal Gold, Inc. 56 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Royal Gold, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RGLD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $218 to $380 over the next 12 months.
Royal Gold, Inc. returned +16.0% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Royal Gold, Inc. is a precious metals streaming and royalty company based in Denver, Colorado.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 7 Oct 2026): "I'm Betting Big On These Discounted Proven Outperformers". A Seeking Alpha article discusses two long-term total-return outperformers it says are trading at a discount, outlining their fundamentals, growth potential, and risks. The excerpt does not identify the companies.
Royal Gold, Inc. is a precious metals streaming and royalty company based in Denver, Colorado. Royal Gold acquires and manages stream interests, royalty interests, and related production-based interests in mining projects, allowing it to participate in output from partner-operated mines rather than directly operating them. Its portfolio is centered on gold, with exposure to silver, copper, and other metals across producing, development, evaluation, and exploration-stage properties. The company works with mining operators across multiple regions, including North America, Latin America, Africa, Europe, the Middle East, and the Australia Pacific. Through its stream and royalty model, Royal Gold plays a financing and asset-management role within the mining sector, providing a diversified way to hold interests in mineral production.
CEO Mr. William H. Heissenbuttel · 39 employees · United States · https://www.royalgold.com
