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RGLDRGLDBasic Materials · Gold

RGLD Stock Forecast: Royal Gold, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Sept 2026
$262
−1.03% on the day

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Royal Gold, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $308 — +17.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 53 of 100 as at 4 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$22.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
53 / 100
Median analyst target
$308
Analysts covering
12
Revenue$450.5M+114.9% y/y
Operating income$277.4M
Net income$237.6M
Free cash flow$285.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.3%
1M
+27.2%
YTD
+18.6%
1Y
+46.5%
From 52W high
−13.5%
From 52W low
+55.9%
$168
$303
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RGLD stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Royal Gold, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 4 Sept 2026
53 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
91
Volatility
88
Growth
86
Value
83
Momentum
66
Revisions
40
Accruals
24
Issuance
15
Size
10

Quality (91): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Issuance (15): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (10): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

RGLD stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RGLD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$150$200$250$300$350Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RGLDHigh $350Median $308Low $218

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says12 analysts
9 Buy2 Hold1 Sell
Low $218Median $308High $350

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +17.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
7 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$280 → $285
9 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
9 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$310 → $305
6 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
6 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy$318 → $311
30 June 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
15 Apr 2026UBSInitiatesBuy—
26 Jan 2026ScotiabankDowngradeSector Perform—
18 Nov 2025TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
23 Oct 2025ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform—
16 Oct 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform—
10 Oct 2025CIBCMaintainsNeutral—
22 May 2025BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
8 May 2025CIBCMaintainsNeutral—
14 Apr 2025ScotiabankUpgradeSector Outperform—
4 Apr 2025Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
4 Apr 2025RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
7 Jan 2025JefferiesUpgradeBuy—
11 Nov 2024Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
4 Oct 2024JefferiesMaintainsHold—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RGLD appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

RGLD vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Sept 2026, Royal Gold, Inc. returned +46.5% against +20.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

RGLD vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160180Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RGLDS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

RGLD analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−9.5%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
7
Fundamentals

Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
28.7×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

Price / sales
14.6×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

Price / book
3.0×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
17.8×

Cheaper than 18% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
115.5%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
78.6%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Gross margin
64.5%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Operating margin
62.0%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Net margin
48.1%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.6%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Return on assets
9.4%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.7%

Higher than 15% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Royal Gold, Inc. has a market value of $22.4B and an enterprise value of $22.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.5B. The latest quarter grew 115.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $744.8M, a 48.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $9.16.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $585K.

  • Royal Gold, Inc. spent $36.1M on share buybacks and $139.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 84.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 28.7×; forward P/E: 20.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.72%, paying out 21% of earnings.

  • Royal Gold, Inc. employs 39 people — $39.7M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

RGLD vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelGold
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RGLDRoyal Gold, Inc.$22.4B
53
CDECoeur Mining, Inc.$22.0B
47
EQXEquinox Gold Corp.$14.9B
85
KGCKinross Gold Corp.$36.6B
88
AUAnglogold Ashanti Plc$55.1B
87
AUGOAura Minerals, Inc.$7.1B
79
AEMAgnico Eagle Mines Ltd.$102.5B
79

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Royal Gold, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RGLD news & analysis

Royal Gold: Royalty Play With Strong Growth Profile But No Longer Cheap

Seeking Alpha · 4 Sept 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha rates Royal Gold a HOLD, citing that after a 28% stock run-up the shares are no longer cheap despite strong fundamentals and peer-leading growth. RGLD targets 7% annual GEO growth through 2030, with possible upside if it re-rates to royalty peer multiples or joins the S&P 500.

Why it matters — RGLD watchers would note the HOLD rating due to valuation concerns after the run-up, balanced against the company's strong growth target and potentially supportive catalysts like peer re-rating or S&P 500 inclusion.

Royal Gold: A Wonderful Company At A Fair Price

Seeking Alpha · 4 Sept 2026positive

Royal Gold reported strong Q2 2026 results, with revenue up 114.9% and operating cash flow up 119.3% year-over-year, driven by increased gold equivalent ounces from recent acquisitions and higher precious metal prices. The article notes RGLD trades below its 10-year average forward P/OCF.

Why it matters — A Royal Gold watcher would care because the report highlights robust cash-flow growth from acquisitions and higher metal prices, along with the stock trading below its historical valuation average.

Royal Gold to Participate in the Renmark Financial Communications Virtual Non-Deal Roadshow Series on Thursday, September 17, 2026

Business Wire · 3 Sept 2026neutral

Royal Gold, Inc. announced it will participate in the Renmark Financial Communications Virtual Non-Deal Roadshow Series on Thursday, September 17, 2026. The announcement was made via Business Wire.

Why it matters — The participation offers investors an opportunity to hear directly from the company in a scheduled investor-relations event.

How to profit from September stock-market weakness

Market Watch · 31 Aug 2026neutral

A Market Watch article suggests that investors can exploit September's historically weak stock-market performance without shorting the market, by instead rotating into industries and sectors that have historically performed well during the month.

Why it matters — RGLD watchers would care because the article describes sector rotation strategies for September that could influence where investors allocate capital, potentially affecting gold-related stocks.

Royal Gold Presenting at the 2026 Jefferies Global Industrials Conference

Business Wire · 27 Aug 2026neutral

Royal Gold will present at the 2026 Jefferies Global Industrials Conference, according to a Business Wire announcement. The company is set to participate in the conference event.

Why it matters — RGLD watchers would care because the presentation offers an opportunity for the company to communicate its business outlook to investors at a major industry conference.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RGLD stock

What is the RGLD stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Royal Gold, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $308, with estimates ranging from $218 to $350. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RGLD stock a buy right now?

Of the 12 analysts covering Royal Gold, Inc., 9 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Royal Gold, Inc. 53 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RGLD?

As at 4 Sept 2026, Royal Gold, Inc. ranks 53 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (91 of 100).

Will RGLD stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies +17.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Royal Gold, Inc. 53 out of 100 as at 4 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RGLD stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Royal Gold, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RGLD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $218 to $350 over the next 12 months.

How has RGLD stock performed over the past year?

Royal Gold, Inc. returned +46.5% over the 12 months to 4 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Royal Gold, Inc. do?

Royal Gold, Inc. is a precious metals streaming and royalty company based in Denver, Colorado.

What is the latest news on RGLD?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 4 Sept 2026): "Royal Gold: Royalty Play With Strong Growth Profile But No Longer Cheap". Seeking Alpha rates Royal Gold a HOLD, citing that after a 28% stock run-up the shares are no longer cheap despite strong fundamentals and peer-leading growth. RGLD targets 7% annual GEO growth through 2030, with possible upside if it re-rates to royalty peer multiples or joins the S&P 500.

Company

About Royal Gold, Inc.

Royal Gold, Inc. is a precious metals streaming and royalty company based in Denver, Colorado. Royal Gold acquires and manages stream interests, royalty interests, and related production-based interests in mining projects, allowing it to participate in output from partner-operated mines rather than directly operating them. Its portfolio is centered on gold, with exposure to silver, copper, and other metals across producing, development, evaluation, and exploration-stage properties. The company works with mining operators across multiple regions, including North America, Latin America, Africa, Europe, the Middle East, and the Australia Pacific. Through its stream and royalty model, Royal Gold plays a financing and asset-management role within the mining sector, providing a diversified way to hold interests in mineral production.

CEO Mr. William H. Heissenbuttel · 39 employees · United States · https://www.royalgold.com