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RIVNRIVNConsumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

RIVN Stock Forecast: Rivian Automotive, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Sept 2026
$15
+1.80% on the day

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Rivian Automotive, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $19 — +21.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 28 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$21.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
28 / 100
Median analyst target
$19
Analysts covering
25
Revenue$1.7B+27.2% y/y
Operating income−$836.0M
Net income−$837.0M
Free cash flow−$849.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.7%
1M
−7.9%
YTD
−22.4%
1Y
−3.2%
From 52W high
−31.9%
From 52W low
+22.3%
$13
$22
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RIVN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Rivian Automotive, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 23 Sept 2026
28 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
79
Momentum
69
Accruals
52
Quality
45
Growth
37
Volatility
28
Value
19
Issuance
18
Size
9

Revisions (79): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Issuance (18): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

RIVN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RIVN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$12$14$16$18$20$22$24$26Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RIVNHigh $25Median $19Low $13

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says25 analysts
12 Buy8 Hold5 Sell
Low $13Median $19High $25

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +21.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
14 Sept 2026CitigroupInitiatesNeutral$18
31 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight—
31 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight$13 → $14
31 July 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$23
31 July 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
31 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$14 → $16
31 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
31 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
31 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$20 → $21
31 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
31 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$15 → $16
28 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesNeutral—
28 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesNeutral$19
27 July 2026Piper SandlerUpgradeOverweight—
27 July 2026Piper SandlerUpgradeOverweight$18 → $20
14 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight$12 → $13
14 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight—
9 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$16 → $17
9 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
8 July 2026BNP ParibasMaintainsOutperform$22 → $24

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RIVN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

RIVN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 24 Sept 2026, Rivian Automotive, Inc. returned −3.2% against +17.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

RIVN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120130140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RIVNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

RIVN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−4.9×

Cheaper than 90% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.7×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Price / book
4.0×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−8.1×

Cheaper than 82% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
27.2%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
—
Gross margin
10.8%

Higher than 10% of US stocks

Operating margin
−50.4%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Net margin
−55.0%

Higher than 10% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−57.5%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Return on assets
−14.4%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Rivian Automotive, Inc. has a market value of $21.9B and an enterprise value of $22.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.9B. The latest quarter grew 27.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$3.2B, a −54.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−2.58.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$3.5B, after $1.6B of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 1.4B.

  • Trailing P/E: −4.9×; forward P/E: −8.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Rivian Automotive, Inc. employs 15,232 people — $386K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 23 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

RIVN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Manufacturers
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.$21.9B
28
FFord Motor Co.$51.6B
64
VFSVinFast Auto Ltd.$7.5B
13
GMGeneral Motors Co.$73.5B
78
LCIDLucid Group, Inc.$1.6B
6
CYDChina Yuchai International Ltd.$1.3B
55
PKGPackaging Corporation of America*$21.7B
43

* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few auto manufacturers companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Rivian Automotive, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RIVN news & analysis

Rivian vs. the S&P 500: Which Investment Wins Through 2030?

The Motley Fool · 24 Sept 2026neutral

The article compares Rivian's performance with the S&P 500, noting that the company's stock trades 80% below its IPO price. It suggests the upcoming R2 could represent a turning point for the struggling EV maker.

Why it matters — Rivian watchers would care because the piece highlights both the company's substantial stock decline and the potential significance of the R2 vehicle for its future trajectory.

Rivian Ready to Launch $30,000 EV? CEO Says R3 Will Be ‘Materially Cheaper' Than R2

Benzinga · 23 Sept 2026neutral

Rivian recently launched its highly anticipated R2 electric vehicle, which is seeing strong demand. Company leadership is now looking ahead to its next model, with the CEO indicating the upcoming R3 will be "materially cheaper" than the R2.

Why it matters — The R3's expected lower price point could signal Rivian's strategy to expand into a more affordable segment, which RIVN watchers would find relevant to the company's future product roadmap.

2 Under-the-Radar Auto Stocks Poised to Soar While Nobody Is Looking

The Motley Fool · 23 Sept 2026neutral

The Motley Fool article highlights two under-the-radar auto stocks poised to soar while overlooked by investors, focusing on Carvana's recovery from near-bankruptcy and its strategic shift into new-car sales. Little attention is given directly to Rivian in the excerpt provided.

Why it matters — RIVN watchers may be interested in broader competitive dynamics in the auto sector, though the excerpt does not directly address Rivian.

Rivian recalls nearly 99,000 vehicles over rearview camera display issue

Reuters · 23 Sept 2026negative

Rivian is recalling 98,828 vehicles in the US due to a rearview camera display issue that can reduce the driver's view behind the vehicle, according to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. The recall was announced on Wednesday.

Why it matters — A large-scale recall affecting nearly 99,000 vehicles could raise concerns about production quality and lead to additional costs or regulatory scrutiny for Rivan.

Rivian's Remarkable Three Month Stock Collapse

24/7 Wall Street · 21 Sept 2026negative

Rivian's stock has fallen from $20 on July 6 to just above $15 in the current period, representing a significant decline over three months. The company is described as troubled in the item.

Why it matters — RIVN watchers would care because the stock has lost roughly a quarter of its value over three months, a notable drop for the EV maker.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RIVN stock

What is the RIVN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Rivian Automotive, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $19, with estimates ranging from $13 to $25. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RIVN stock a buy right now?

Of the 25 analysts covering Rivian Automotive, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 5 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Rivian Automotive, Inc. 28 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RIVN?

As at 23 Sept 2026, Rivian Automotive, Inc. ranks 28 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (79 of 100).

Will RIVN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +21.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Rivian Automotive, Inc. 28 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RIVN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Rivian Automotive, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RIVN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $13 to $25 over the next 12 months.

How has RIVN stock performed over the past year?

Rivian Automotive, Inc. returned -3.2% over the 12 months to 24 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Rivian Automotive, Inc. do?

Rivian Automotive Inc. Class A Common Stock is the equity security of Rivian Automotive, a U.S.-based automotive technology company focused on electric vehicles and related software and services.

What is the latest news on RIVN?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 24 Sept 2026): "Rivian vs. the S&P 500: Which Investment Wins Through 2030?". The article compares Rivian's performance with the S&P 500, noting that the company's stock trades 80% below its IPO price. It suggests the upcoming R2 could represent a turning point for the struggling EV maker.

Company

About Rivian Automotive, Inc.

Rivian Automotive Inc. Class A Common Stock is the equity security of Rivian Automotive, a U.S.-based automotive technology company focused on electric vehicles and related software and services. Rivian develops and manufactures consumer EVs through its R1 platform, which includes the R1T pickup truck and the R1S sport utility vehicle, and also serves commercial customers with its Rivian Commercial Vehicle platform. The company’s business extends beyond vehicle production to vertically integrated technologies, including vehicle electrical architecture, software development services, and other mobility-related offerings. Rivian plays a role in the electric-vehicle market by combining hardware, software, and fleet-oriented solutions under one brand, with operations centered on the automotive and software segments. The company is headquartered in Irvine, California.

CEO Dr. Robert Joseph Scaringe Ph.D. · 15,232 employees · United States · https://www.rivian.com