RIVNConsumer Cyclical · Auto ManufacturersThe 25 Wall Street analysts covering Rivian Automotive, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $18 — +39.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 24 of 100 as at 13 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Rivian Automotive, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (73): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Issuance (18): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Size (10): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RIVN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +39.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sept 2026 | Citigroup | Initiates | Neutral | $18 |
| 31 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | $13 → $14 |
| 31 July 2026 | Needham | Reiterates | Buy | $23 |
| 31 July 2026 | Needham | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 31 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $14 → $16 |
| 31 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 31 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 31 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $20 → $21 |
| 31 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $15 → $16 |
| 28 July 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Neutral | — |
| 28 July 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Neutral | $19 |
| 27 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 27 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Upgrade | Overweight | $18 → $20 |
| 14 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | $12 → $13 |
| 14 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 9 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $16 → $17 |
| 9 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 8 July 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Outperform | $22 → $24 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RIVN appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Rivian Automotive, Inc. returned −1.3% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 90% of US stocks
Cheaper than 36% of US stocks
Cheaper than 26% of US stocks
Cheaper than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US stocks
Higher than 10% of US stocks
Higher than 17% of US stocks
Higher than 10% of US stocks
Higher than 20% of US stocks
Higher than 23% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Rivian Automotive, Inc. has a market value of $19.6B and an enterprise value of $19.7B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.9B. The latest quarter grew 27.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$3.2B, a −54.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−2.58.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$3.5B, after $1.6B of capital spending.
Trailing P/E: −4.4×; forward P/E: −7.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Rivian Automotive, Inc. employs 15,232 people — $386K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc. | $19.6B | 24 |
| FFord Motor Co. | $48.2B | 60 |
| VFSVinFast Auto Ltd. | $7.1B | 16 |
| GMGeneral Motors Co. | $73.7B | 73 |
| LCIDLucid Group, Inc. | $1.3B | 6 |
| CYDChina Yuchai International Ltd. | $1.0B | 49 |
| AMCRAmcor Plc* | $19.3B | 54 |
* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few auto manufacturers companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Rivian Automotive, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe discussed the R2 SUV on Fox Business, highlighting its lower price point, Tesla Supercharger compatibility and software updates.
Why it matters — The discussion spotlights R2 features and charging compatibility relevant to investors following Rivian’s vehicle lineup.
Rivian and Redwood Materials expanded their partnership, with Redwood handling recycling of Rivian production scrap and end-of-life EV batteries and providing stationary battery storage at Rivian’s Normal, Illinois, manufacturing plant. Redwood also collects Rivian EV battery packs.
Why it matters — The expanded agreement covers battery recycling and energy storage tied to Rivian’s manufacturing operations and vehicle batteries.
Rivian Automotive (RIVN) closed at $13.38, down 1.22% from the preceding trading day.
Why it matters — The reported daily decline gives RIVN watchers an update on the stock’s recent trading performance.
Rivian spinoff Mind Robotics has hired Doug Field, who has worked on EVs at Ford and Tesla, Apple’s car project, and was employee No. 1 at Segway.
Why it matters — RIVN watchers may note the leadership hire at a Rivian spinoff and Field’s experience across automotive and technology projects.
Rivian startup Mind Robotics has hired Doug Field, who has worked on EVs at Ford and Tesla, Apple's car project, and was employee No. 1 at Segway.
Why it matters — RIVN watchers may note the appointment of an executive with experience across several vehicle and technology projects at a Rivian startup.
The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Rivian Automotive, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $18, with estimates ranging from $13 to $25. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 25 analysts covering Rivian Automotive, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 5 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Rivian Automotive, Inc. 24 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 13 Oct 2026, Rivian Automotive, Inc. ranks 24 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (73 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +39.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Rivian Automotive, Inc. 24 out of 100 as at 13 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Rivian Automotive, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RIVN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $13 to $25 over the next 12 months.
Rivian Automotive, Inc. returned -1.3% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A is the publicly traded common stock of Rivian Automotive, a U.S.
The most recent item we track (Fox Business, 15 Oct 2026): "GHOSTBUSTER MODE: Rivian CEO reveals wild features of new R2 SUV". Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe discussed the R2 SUV on Fox Business, highlighting its lower price point, Tesla Supercharger compatibility and software updates.
Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A is the publicly traded common stock of Rivian Automotive, a U.S. electric vehicle manufacturer focused on developing and selling category-defining EVs for consumers and commercial fleets. The company currently offers electric trucks, SUVs, and delivery vans, alongside related vehicle software, charging, and service support designed to complement its mobility platform. Rivian’s products are positioned across the consumer discretionary and transportation sectors, with demand driven by buyers seeking electric utility vehicles and fleet operators adopting zero-emission delivery solutions. The Class A shares represent one of Rivian’s two classes of common stock and carry the company’s standard public equity ownership rights, making them a central security for tracking market sentiment around the business. Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A reflects the market’s view of a rapidly evolving automaker operating at the intersection of electric mobility, commercial logistics, and sustainable transportation.
CEO Dr. Robert Joseph Scaringe Ph.D. · 15,232 employees · United States · https://www.rivian.com
