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RIVNRIVNConsumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

RIVN Stock Forecast: Rivian Automotive, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 28 Aug 2026
$16
−4.35% on the day

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Rivian Automotive, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $19 — +15.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 29 of 100 as at 28 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$23.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
29 / 100
Median analyst target
$19
Analysts covering
25
Revenue$1.7B+27.2% y/y
Operating income−$836.0M
Net income−$837.0M
Free cash flow−$849.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−5.3%
1M
−3.7%
YTD
−18.5%
1Y
+17.8%
From 52W high
−28.4%
From 52W low
+28.6%
$13
$22
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RIVN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Rivian Automotive, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 28 Aug 2026
29 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
81
Momentum
70
Accruals
52
Quality
43
Volatility
40
Growth
38
Issuance
18
Value
18
Size
9

Revisions (81): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Value (18): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

RIVN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RIVN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$12$14$16$18$20$22$24$26Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RIVNHigh $25Median $19Low $13

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says25 analysts
12 Buy8 Hold5 Sell
Low $13Median $19High $25

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +15.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 9 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
31 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight$13 → $14
31 July 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$23
31 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$14 → $16
31 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$20 → $21
31 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$15 → $16
28 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesNeutral$19
27 July 2026Piper SandlerUpgradeOverweight$18 → $20
14 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight$12 → $13
14 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight—
9 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$16 → $17
9 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
8 July 2026BNP ParibasMaintainsOutperform$22 → $24
8 July 2026BNP ParibasMaintainsOutperform—
7 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold$16 → $17
7 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold—
10 June 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
3 June 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy—
11 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
1 May 2026BenchmarkReiteratesBuy—
1 May 2026BNP ParibasReiteratesOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RIVN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

RIVN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 28 Aug 2026, Rivian Automotive, Inc. returned +17.8% against +19.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

RIVN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RIVNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

RIVN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
13
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−5.2×

Cheaper than 90% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.0×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / book
4.3×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−8.6×

Cheaper than 83% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
27.2%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
—
Gross margin
10.8%

Higher than 10% of US stocks

Operating margin
−50.4%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Net margin
−55.0%

Higher than 10% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−57.5%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Return on assets
−14.4%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Rivian Automotive, Inc. has a market value of $23.3B and an enterprise value of $23.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.9B. The latest quarter grew 27.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$3.2B, a −54.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−2.58.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$3.5B, after $1.6B of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 1.4B.

  • Trailing P/E: −5.2×; forward P/E: −9.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Rivian Automotive, Inc. employs 15,232 people — $386K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 29 Aug 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

RIVN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Manufacturers
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.$23.3B
29
FFord Motor Co.$55.3B
62
VFSVinFast Auto Ltd.$7.2B
7
GMGeneral Motors Co.$75.7B
77
LCIDLucid Group, Inc.$2.0B
5
CYDChina Yuchai International Ltd.$1.4B
64
ULTAUlta Beauty, Inc.*$22.6B
58

* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few auto manufacturers companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Rivian Automotive, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RIVN news & analysis

Rivian Falls 6% as CFO Departs for GE Vernova; Lucid Slips, Tesla Holds Steady

24/7 Wall Street · 28 Aug 2026negative

Rivian shares fell about 6% after the company confirmed that its chief financial officer is departing to join GE Vernova. The decline came as the broader electric vehicle trade faced renewed pressure Friday morning, with an EV peer giving back an earlier rebound while the broad market moved higher.

Why it matters — A change in Rivian's top financial leadership is a significant development for investors monitoring the company's executive stability and financial direction.

Rivian Stock Slips Friday Following Announcement of CFO Transition Plan

Benzinga · 28 Aug 2026negative

Rivian shares traded lower Friday morning after the company announced a CFO transition plan. Investors are digesting the executive leadership change announced by the electric vehicle maker.

Why it matters — A CFO transition signals a change in Rivian's executive leadership, which RIVN watchers would monitor for potential effects on the company's financial strategy and direction.

Rivian's CFO is leaving the company

TechCrunch · 27 Aug 2026neutral

Rivian's chief financial officer, Claire McDonough, is resigning her position at the end of October, the company announced in a regulatory filing Thursday.

Why it matters — A change in the company's top financial leadership is relevant to RIVN watchers because the CFO plays a key role in managing the company's finances.

Rivian's finance chief steps down amid affordable EV rollout

Reuters · 27 Aug 2026negative

Rivian announced Thursday that its Chief Financial Officer, Claire McDonough, has decided to leave the company. The departure comes as the electric vehicle maker ramps up the rollout of its smaller and more affordable SUVs amid fragile EV demand in the U.S.

Why it matters — A key finance executive is departing during a critical period when Rivian is expanding its affordable SUV lineup amid weak U.S. EV demand, making the timing of the leadership change notable for investors.

Rivian Announces CFO Transition Plan

Business Wire · 27 Aug 2026neutral

Rivian announced that Chief Financial Officer Claire McDonough is stepping down from her role to pursue a new opportunity and relocate to the East Coast to be closer to her family. She will remain CFO for the next two months to ensure a smooth transition, working with CEO RJ Scaringe and the executive team on key strategic initiatives.

Why it matters — A senior executive departure, even with a planned transition, is a leadership change that RIVN watchers would track given the CFO's role in the company's financial strategy.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RIVN stock

What is the RIVN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Rivian Automotive, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $19, with estimates ranging from $13 to $25. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RIVN stock a buy right now?

Of the 25 analysts covering Rivian Automotive, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 5 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Rivian Automotive, Inc. 29 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 28 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RIVN?

As at 28 Aug 2026, Rivian Automotive, Inc. ranks 29 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (81 of 100).

Will RIVN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +15.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Rivian Automotive, Inc. 29 out of 100 as at 28 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RIVN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Rivian Automotive, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RIVN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $13 to $25 over the next 12 months.

How has RIVN stock performed over the past year?

Rivian Automotive, Inc. returned +17.8% over the 12 months to 28 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Rivian Automotive, Inc. do?

Rivian Automotive Inc. Class A Common Stock is the equity security of Rivian Automotive, a U.S.-based automotive technology company focused on electric vehicles and related software and services.

What is the latest news on RIVN?

The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 28 Aug 2026): "Rivian Falls 6% as CFO Departs for GE Vernova; Lucid Slips, Tesla Holds Steady". Rivian shares fell about 6% after the company confirmed that its chief financial officer is departing to join GE Vernova. The decline came as the broader electric vehicle trade faced renewed pressure Friday morning, with an EV peer giving back an earlier rebound while the broad market moved higher.

Company

About Rivian Automotive, Inc.

Rivian Automotive Inc. Class A Common Stock is the equity security of Rivian Automotive, a U.S.-based automotive technology company focused on electric vehicles and related software and services. Rivian develops and manufactures consumer EVs through its R1 platform, which includes the R1T pickup truck and the R1S sport utility vehicle, and also serves commercial customers with its Rivian Commercial Vehicle platform. The company’s business extends beyond vehicle production to vertically integrated technologies, including vehicle electrical architecture, software development services, and other mobility-related offerings. Rivian plays a role in the electric-vehicle market by combining hardware, software, and fleet-oriented solutions under one brand, with operations centered on the automotive and software segments. The company is headquartered in Irvine, California.

CEO Dr. Robert Joseph Scaringe Ph.D. · 15,232 employees · United States · https://www.rivian.com