TICKERNERD
Menu
RIVNRIVNConsumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

RIVN Stock Forecast: Rivian Automotive, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Nov 2026
$13
+0.76% on the day

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Rivian Automotive, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $18 — +35.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 22 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$19.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
22/ 100
Median analyst target
$18
Analysts covering
25
Revenue$1.7B+27.2% y/y
Operating income−$836.0M
Net income−$837.0M
Free cash flow−$849.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+12.4%
1M
−7.1%
YTD
−32.6%
1Y
+0.8%
From 52W high
−40.8%
From 52W low
+16.3%
$11
$22
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RIVN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Rivian Automotive, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Nov 2026
22/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
77
Momentum
62
Quality
46
Growth
37
Accruals
29
Volatility
24
Value
21
Issuance
17
Size
10

Revisions (77): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Issuance (17): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (10): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

RIVN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RIVN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$15$20$25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26RIVNHigh $25Median $18Low $10

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says25 analysts
14 Buy6 Hold5 Sell
Low $10Median $18High $25

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +35.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
2 Nov 2026UBSUpgradeBuy$17
30 Oct 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral$19 → $16
30 Oct 2026JefferiesUpgradeBuy$17
30 Oct 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$23 → $18
14 Sept 2026CitigroupInitiatesNeutral$18
14 Sept 2026CitigroupInitiatesNeutral—
31 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight—
31 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight$13 → $14
31 July 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$23
31 July 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
31 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
31 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$14 → $16
31 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
31 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$20 → $21
31 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
31 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$15 → $16
28 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesNeutral—
28 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesNeutral$19
27 July 2026Piper SandlerUpgradeOverweight—
27 July 2026Piper SandlerUpgradeOverweight$18 → $20

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

RIVN appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
  • The AI build-out map, free: every AI company we track, part by part, and one part in full with each verdict.

Free. Unsubscribe any time.

The AI build-out map
PDF

  • AI cloud capacity

    MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL

  • AI chips

    NVDAAVGOAMDMU

  • AI networking and serversIn full

    ANETDELLLITECRDO

  • Data centre power

    VRTCEGGEVVST

Performance

RIVN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Nov 2026, Rivian Automotive, Inc. returned +0.8% against +11.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

RIVN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26RIVNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

RIVN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−4.3×

Cheaper than 90% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.0×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

Price / book
3.4×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−7.5×

Cheaper than 84% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
38.3%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
—
Gross margin
10.8%

Higher than 10% of US stocks

Operating margin
−40.9%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Net margin
−45.9%

Higher than 11% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−54.9%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Return on assets
−13.9%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Rivian Automotive, Inc. has a market value of $19.3B and an enterprise value of $19.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.9B. The latest quarter grew 38.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$3.2B, a −54.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−2.58.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$3.5B, after $1.6B of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 1.4B.

  • Trailing P/E: −4.3×; forward P/E: −7.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Rivian Automotive, Inc. employs 15,232 people — $386K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

RIVN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Manufacturers
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.$19.3B22
FFord Motor Co.$49.1B48
VFSVinFast Auto Ltd.$7.5B21
GMGeneral Motors Co.$77.5B69
LCIDLucid Group, Inc.$1.2B6
DKNGDraftKings, Inc.*$19.5B37
BBYBest Buy Co., Inc.*$19.6B98

* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few auto manufacturers companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Rivian Automotive, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RIVN news & analysis

Rivian Raised Guidance to 67,000-70,000 Deliveries. Here's the Q4 Number the R2 Ramp Must Hit -- and What the Stock Does if It Doesn't.

The Motley Fool · 3 Nov 2026positive

Rivian raised its annual delivery guidance to 67,000–70,000 vehicles, a projected increase of 59%–66%. The excerpt says the R2, its most affordable electric vehicle, is expected to drive most of the growth.

Why it matters — RIVN watchers will be tracking whether the R2 ramp can support the company’s higher delivery expectations.

Why Rivian Stock Popped Today

The Motley Fool · 3 Nov 2026positive

UBS upgraded Rivian’s stock to a buy. The excerpt also notes that software and services could help improve the EV maker’s profit margins.

Why it matters — The UBS upgrade and potential contribution of software and services to profit margins are relevant developments for RIVN watchers.

Rivian stock jumps 10%, here's why

Invezz · 2 Nov 2026positive

Rivian shares gained on Monday after UBS upgraded the stock to Buy from Hold, citing improving demand prospects for R2 models and potential for higher automotive gross margins. UBS analyst Joseph Spak kept the $17 price target, citing valuation and possible business improvement as production of lower-priced R2 vehicles increases.

Why it matters — The upgrade highlights R2 demand prospects and potential margin improvement as factors relevant to Rivian’s outlook.

Rivian Stock Can Rise More Than 30%. The R2 Isn't Just for ‘Tesla Switchers.

Barrons · 2 Nov 2026positive

Barron's headline says Rivian stock could rise more than 30% and highlights that the R2 may appeal beyond Tesla switchers. UBS analyst Joe Spak upgraded Rivian stock to Buy from Hold.

Why it matters — RIVN watchers may note the analyst rating change and the article's focus on the R2's potential audience.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RIVN stock

What is the RIVN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Rivian Automotive, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $18, with estimates ranging from $10 to $25. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RIVN stock a buy right now?

Of the 25 analysts covering Rivian Automotive, Inc., 14 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 5 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Rivian Automotive, Inc. 22 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RIVN?

As at 3 Nov 2026, Rivian Automotive, Inc. ranks 22 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (77 of 100).

Will RIVN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +35.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Rivian Automotive, Inc. 22 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RIVN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Rivian Automotive, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RIVN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $10 to $25 over the next 12 months.

How has RIVN stock performed over the past year?

Rivian Automotive, Inc. returned +0.8% over the 12 months to 3 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Rivian Automotive, Inc. do?

Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A is the publicly traded common stock of Rivian Automotive, a U.S.

What is the latest news on RIVN?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 3 Nov 2026): "Rivian Raised Guidance to 67,000-70,000 Deliveries. Here's the Q4 Number the R2 Ramp Must Hit -- and What the Stock Does if It Doesn't.". Rivian raised its annual delivery guidance to 67,000–70,000 vehicles, a projected increase of 59%–66%. The excerpt says the R2, its most affordable electric vehicle, is expected to drive most of the growth.

Company

About Rivian Automotive, Inc.

Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A is the publicly traded common stock of Rivian Automotive, a U.S. electric vehicle manufacturer focused on developing and selling category-defining EVs for consumers and commercial fleets. The company currently offers electric trucks, SUVs, and delivery vans, alongside related vehicle software, charging, and service support designed to complement its mobility platform. Rivian’s products are positioned across the consumer discretionary and transportation sectors, with demand driven by buyers seeking electric utility vehicles and fleet operators adopting zero-emission delivery solutions. The Class A shares represent one of Rivian’s two classes of common stock and carry the company’s standard public equity ownership rights, making them a central security for tracking market sentiment around the business. Rivian Automotive, Inc. Class A reflects the market’s view of a rapidly evolving automaker operating at the intersection of electric mobility, commercial logistics, and sustainable transportation.

CEO Dr. Robert Joseph Scaringe Ph.D. · 15,232 employees · United States · https://www.rivian.com