SBUXConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsThe 35 Wall Street analysts covering Starbucks Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $111 — +19.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 87 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Starbucks Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (95): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Value (41): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SBUX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +19.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $110 |
| 8 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $112 → $105 |
| 29 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $112 → $105 |
| 29 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 31 July 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 31 July 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | $115 |
| 30 July 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Underperform | $87 → $92 |
| 30 July 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Underperform | — |
| 30 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $108 → $112 |
| 30 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $102 → $110 |
| 30 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $115 → $120 |
| 30 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 30 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $111 → $115 |
| 30 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 30 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 30 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $110 → $115 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SBUX appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Starbucks Corp. returned +18.0% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 14% of US stocks
Cheaper than 43% of US stocks
Cheaper than 98% of US stocks
Cheaper than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 27% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Starbucks Corp. has a market value of $104.9B and an enterprise value of $124.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $38.3B. The latest quarter shrank 1.4% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $2.0B, a 5.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.73.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.6B.
Starbucks Corp. spent $2.8B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 53.2×; forward P/E: 29.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.74%, paying out 143% of earnings.
Starbucks Corp. employs 381,000 people — $101K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Starbucks Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
The Polen Focus Growth Portfolio returned 4.46% net of fees in Q3 2026, compared with 0.92% for its Index. ServiceNow, Shopify and Microsoft were top relative contributors; Nvidia, Apple (not owned) and Lam Research were the largest relative detractors.
Why it matters — The excerpt does not mention Starbucks or its portfolio exposure, so it provides no specific information for SBUX watchers.
Starbucks said it is not buying Chipotle Mexican Grill, ending speculation about a potential large restaurant-sector deal.
Why it matters — SBUX watchers may care because the statement clarifies that Starbucks is not pursuing the reported potential acquisition.
Seeking Alpha highlighted five dividend increases for the week of October 3–9, 2026. RPM had the largest increase at 5.56%, while LMT raised its dividend 4.35% for its 24th consecutive annual increase.
Why it matters — The excerpt does not mention Starbucks or provide information about its dividend, so it offers no direct SBUX-specific update.
Starbucks (SBUX) closed at $92.29 in the latest trading session, up 1.69% from the previous day.
Why it matters — The session’s gain is a data point for SBUX watchers tracking the stock’s daily performance.
On Oct. 12, Starbucks ruled out a takeover deal, ending speculation and coinciding with a 3.75% decline in the fast-casual chain’s shares.
Why it matters — SBUX watchers may note Starbucks’ decision to rule out the deal amid takeover speculation.
The 35 Wall Street analysts covering Starbucks Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $111, with estimates ranging from $82 to $143. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 35 analysts covering Starbucks Corp., 14 rate it a Buy, 19 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Starbucks Corp. 87 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 14 Oct 2026, Starbucks Corp. ranks 87 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (95 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 35 analysts implies +19.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Starbucks Corp. 87 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Starbucks Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SBUX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $82 to $143 over the next 12 months.
Starbucks Corp. returned +18.0% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Starbucks Corp. is a global coffeehouse and specialty beverage company that roasts, markets, and sells coffee, tea, and related products through a broad network of company-operated and licensed stores.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 15 Oct 2026): "Polen Focus Growth Portfolio Q3 2026 Portfolio Update". The Polen Focus Growth Portfolio returned 4.46% net of fees in Q3 2026, compared with 0.92% for its Index. ServiceNow, Shopify and Microsoft were top relative contributors; Nvidia, Apple (not owned) and Lam Research were the largest relative detractors.
Starbucks Corp. is a global coffeehouse and specialty beverage company that roasts, markets, and sells coffee, tea, and related products through a broad network of company-operated and licensed stores. Starbucks Corp. serves customers with handcrafted espresso drinks, brewed coffee, cold beverages, bakery items, breakfast and lunch foods, and seasonal menu offerings designed for everyday consumption. Beyond its cafes, the company also distributes packaged coffee, single-serve products, ready-to-drink beverages, and other branded items through grocery, retail, and foodservice channels. Its business is organized around North America, International, and Channel Development segments, giving it a presence across consumer markets in the Americas, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and the Middle East. Headquartered in Seattle, Washington, Starbucks Corp. is a widely recognized brand in the food and beverage industry and plays a major role in global specialty coffee retail.
CEO Mr. Brian R. Niccol · 381,000 employees · United States · https://www.starbucks.com
