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SBUXSBUXConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

SBUX Stock Forecast: Starbucks Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$106
−0.83% on the day

The 36 Wall Street analysts covering Starbucks Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $112 — +5.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 88 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$121.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
88 / 100
Median analyst target
$112
Analysts covering
36
Revenue$9.3B−1.4% y/y
Operating income$1.2B
Net income$1.0B
Free cash flow$1.4B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.3%
1M
+3.0%
YTD
+28.1%
1Y
+24.5%
From 52W high
−2.5%
From 52W low
+38.5%
$76
$108
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SBUX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Starbucks Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
88 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
95
Accruals
93
Revisions
90
Volatility
75
Momentum
73
Quality
70
Growth
54
Value
40
Size
2

Issuance (95): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Value (40): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SBUX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SBUX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$80$100$120$140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SBUXHigh $143Median $112Low $81

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says36 analysts
16 Buy17 Hold3 Sell
Low $81Median $112High $143

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +5.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 12 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
31 July 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$115
30 July 2026BNP ParibasMaintainsUnderperform$87 → $92
30 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$108 → $112
30 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$102 → $110
30 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$115 → $120
30 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$111 → $115
30 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$110 → $115
30 July 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy$120
30 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$105 → $112
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$120 → $125
16 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$110 → $111
16 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
16 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$115 → $120
16 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
14 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
14 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$101 → $108
14 May 2026TD CowenUpgradeBuy—
14 May 2026TD CowenUpgradeBuy$106 → $120
6 May 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
29 Apr 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SBUX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

SBUX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Starbucks Corp. returned +24.5% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SBUX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SBUXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SBUX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+8.7%
Analysts raising
28
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
61.4×

Cheaper than 12% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.2×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

Price / book
−15.8×

Cheaper than 98% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
24.8×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−1.4%

Higher than 25% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
87.2%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Gross margin
24.6%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Operating margin
12.9%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Net margin
5.2%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−22.9%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Return on assets
8.0%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.3%

Higher than 52% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Starbucks Corp. has a market value of $121.0B and an enterprise value of $140.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $38.3B. The latest quarter shrank 1.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $2.0B, a 5.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.73.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.6B.

  • Starbucks Corp. spent $2.8B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 1.1B.

  • Trailing P/E: 61.4×; forward P/E: 34.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.34%, paying out 143% of earnings.

  • Starbucks Corp. employs 381,000 people — $101K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 2 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SBUX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SBUXStarbucks Corp.$121.0B
88
MCDMcDonald's Corp.$184.7B
63
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.$49.4B
54
YUMYum! Brands, Inc.$42.0B
51
QSRRestaurant Brands International, Inc.$35.9B
63
DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.$25.2B
74
YUMCYum China Holdings, Inc.$15.8B
88

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Starbucks Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SBUX news & analysis

Starbucks dress code didn't violate NYC workers' labor rights, appeals court rules

New York Post · 2 Sept 2026positive

An appeals court ruled that Starbucks' dress code did not violate New York City workers' labor rights, marking the latest appellate decision holding that the National Labor Relations Board went too far in finding such dress codes interfered with employees' rights to advocate for better working conditions.

Why it matters — SBUX watchers would care because the ruling bolsters the company's position against NLRB overreach in challenges to its workplace policies.

Starbucks dress code didn't violate NYC workers' labor rights, US court rules

Reuters · 2 Sept 2026neutral

A U.S. appeals court on Wednesday reversed a federal labor board ruling that Starbucks violated the law by barring workers at a flagship Manhattan store from wearing t-shirts or multiple pins supporting a union. The court found the company's dress code did not violate workers' labor rights.

Why it matters — SBUX watchers would care because the court's reversal in its favor affects Starbucks' ongoing labor and union-related legal disputes in New York.

Starbucks: The Turnaround Is Working, But The Stock Looks Fairly Valued

Seeking Alpha · 2 Sept 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha rates Starbucks a Hold, stating that the company's valuation already reflects its turnaround potential. The report notes SBUX delivered 7.9% global comparable sales growth, raised FY26 guidance, and is advancing cost savings and coffeehouse uplift initiatives, while facing macro headwinds, competitive intensity, and shifting consumer preferences.

Why it matters — SBUX watchers would care because the piece balances the company's confirmed operational progress—like sales growth, raised guidance, margin gains, and debt reduction—against persistent external pressures that are seen as limiting near-term upside.

Starbucks Stock Investors Have Reason to Cheer

The Motley Fool · 2 Sept 2026positive

The article reports that Starbucks' turnaround is taking shape as sales accelerate, giving investors reason to cheer. The item highlights improving momentum in the company's business.

Why it matters — A SBUX watcher would care because accelerating sales and a taking-shape turnaround signal improving performance for the company.

Can Starbucks' $1.8B Debt Paydown Reinforce Financial Flexibility?

Zacks Investment Research · 1 Sept 2026positive

Starbucks has paid down $1.8 billion in debt, reducing its leverage and financing costs according to a Zacks Investment Research report.

Why it matters — The debt paydown strengthens Starbucks' financial flexibility by improving its liquidity and borrowing capacity, which matters for assessing the company's balance sheet strength.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SBUX stock

What is the SBUX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 36 Wall Street analysts covering Starbucks Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $112, with estimates ranging from $81 to $143. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SBUX stock a buy right now?

Of the 36 analysts covering Starbucks Corp., 16 rate it a Buy, 17 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Starbucks Corp. 88 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SBUX?

As at 2 Sept 2026, Starbucks Corp. ranks 88 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (95 of 100).

Will SBUX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 36 analysts implies +5.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Starbucks Corp. 88 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SBUX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Starbucks Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SBUX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $81 to $143 over the next 12 months.

How has SBUX stock performed over the past year?

Starbucks Corp. returned +24.5% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Starbucks Corp. do?

Starbucks Corp. is a global coffeehouse and specialty beverage company that roasts, markets, and sells coffee, tea, and related products through a broad network of company-operated and licensed stores.

What is the latest news on SBUX?

The most recent item we track (New York Post, 2 Sept 2026): "Starbucks dress code didn't violate NYC workers' labor rights, appeals court rules". An appeals court ruled that Starbucks' dress code did not violate New York City workers' labor rights, marking the latest appellate decision holding that the National Labor Relations Board went too far in finding such dress codes interfered with employees' rights to advocate for better working conditions.

Company

About Starbucks Corp.

Starbucks Corp. is a global coffeehouse and specialty beverage company that roasts, markets, and sells coffee, tea, and related products through a broad network of company-operated and licensed stores. Starbucks Corp. serves customers with handcrafted espresso drinks, brewed coffee, cold beverages, bakery items, breakfast and lunch foods, and seasonal menu offerings designed for everyday consumption. Beyond its cafes, the company also distributes packaged coffee, single-serve products, ready-to-drink beverages, and other branded items through grocery, retail, and foodservice channels. Its business is organized around North America, International, and Channel Development segments, giving it a presence across consumer markets in the Americas, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and the Middle East. Headquartered in Seattle, Washington, Starbucks Corp. is a widely recognized brand in the food and beverage industry and plays a major role in global specialty coffee retail.

CEO Mr. Brian R. Niccol · 381,000 employees · United States · https://www.starbucks.com