SBUXConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsThe 36 Wall Street analysts covering Starbucks Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $112 — +16.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 89 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Starbucks Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (95): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Value (42): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SBUX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +16.5% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $112 → $105 |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 31 July 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | $115 |
| 31 July 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 30 July 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Underperform | — |
| 30 July 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Underperform | $87 → $92 |
| 30 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $108 → $112 |
| 30 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $102 → $110 |
| 30 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 30 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $115 → $120 |
| 30 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 30 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $111 → $115 |
| 30 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 30 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $110 → $115 |
| 30 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 30 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Reiterates | Buy | $120 |
| 30 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SBUX appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 6 Oct 2026, Starbucks Corp. returned +20.2% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 14% of US stocks
Cheaper than 42% of US stocks
Cheaper than 98% of US stocks
Cheaper than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 27% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Starbucks Corp. has a market value of $108.0B and an enterprise value of $126.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $38.3B. The latest quarter shrank 1.4% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $2.0B, a 5.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.73.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.6B.
Starbucks Corp. spent $2.8B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 54.7×; forward P/E: 30.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.62%, paying out 143% of earnings.
Starbucks Corp. employs 381,000 people — $101K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Starbucks Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
A lawsuit alleges that Starbucks’ “Sugar-Free” protein drinks contain 13 to 21 grams of sugar per venti serving.
Why it matters — The allegations concern the labeling and sugar content of Starbucks beverages.
Starbucks closed at $96.11 in the most recent trading session, up 1.78% from the previous trading day.
Why it matters — The session’s gain provides SBUX watchers a snapshot of the stock’s recent trading performance.
A proposed class-action lawsuit alleges that eight Starbucks beverages marketed as “Sugar-Free” protein drinks contain 13 to 21 grams of sugar.
Why it matters — The allegations may draw attention to Starbucks’ product labeling and the sugar content of these beverages.
Starbucks faces a lawsuit challenging how it describes some of its food as “sugar free.” Reuters reports that the suit cites a federal regulation.
Why it matters — The lawsuit concerns Starbucks’ food descriptions and cites a federal regulation, a matter relevant to SBUX watchers.
Starbucks is facing a consumer class-action lawsuit alleging that eight U.S. protein beverages labeled sugar-free contain sugar. The filing cites website listings showing 16 and 21 grams of sugar in two sizes of its Sugar-Free Caramel Protein Matcha.
Why it matters — The lawsuit raises questions about the accuracy of Starbucks’ menu claims for these beverages.
The 36 Wall Street analysts covering Starbucks Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $112, with estimates ranging from $82 to $143. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 36 analysts covering Starbucks Corp., 15 rate it a Buy, 19 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Starbucks Corp. 89 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 6 Oct 2026, Starbucks Corp. ranks 89 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (95 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 36 analysts implies +16.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Starbucks Corp. 89 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Starbucks Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SBUX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $82 to $143 over the next 12 months.
Starbucks Corp. returned +20.2% over the 12 months to 6 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Starbucks Corp. is a global coffeehouse and specialty beverage company that roasts, markets, and sells coffee, tea, and related products through a broad network of company-operated and licensed stores.
The most recent item we track (New York Post, 7 Oct 2026): "Starbucks sued for allegedly mislabeling ‘sugar-free' protein drinks". A lawsuit alleges that Starbucks’ “Sugar-Free” protein drinks contain 13 to 21 grams of sugar per venti serving.
Starbucks Corp. is a global coffeehouse and specialty beverage company that roasts, markets, and sells coffee, tea, and related products through a broad network of company-operated and licensed stores. Starbucks Corp. serves customers with handcrafted espresso drinks, brewed coffee, cold beverages, bakery items, breakfast and lunch foods, and seasonal menu offerings designed for everyday consumption. Beyond its cafes, the company also distributes packaged coffee, single-serve products, ready-to-drink beverages, and other branded items through grocery, retail, and foodservice channels. Its business is organized around North America, International, and Channel Development segments, giving it a presence across consumer markets in the Americas, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and the Middle East. Headquartered in Seattle, Washington, Starbucks Corp. is a widely recognized brand in the food and beverage industry and plays a major role in global specialty coffee retail.
CEO Mr. Brian R. Niccol · 381,000 employees · United States · https://www.starbucks.com
