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SFNCSFNCFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

SFNC Stock Forecast: Simmons First National Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$23
+0.13% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Simmons First National Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $25 — +8.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 18 of 100 as at 21 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$3.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
18 / 100
Median analyst target
$25
Analysts covering
7
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−4.4%
1M
+0.7%
YTD
+24.6%
1Y
+20.2%
From 52W high
−4.6%
From 52W low
+37.7%
$17
$24
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SFNC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Simmons First National Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 21 Aug 2026
18 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
78
Momentum
71
Revisions
45
Volatility
30
Size
30
Issuance
28
Growth
21
Value
12
Quality
8

Accruals (78): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Quality (8): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SFNC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SFNC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$16$18$20$22$24$26$28Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SFNCHigh $27Median $25Low $24

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says7 analysts
3 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $24Median $25High $27

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +8.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
20 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$23 → $24
20 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$24 → $25
17 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$23
29 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
20 Apr 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
17 Apr 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
31 Mar 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
22 Jan 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
22 Jan 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
22 Jan 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform—
19 Nov 2025BairdUpgradeOutperform—
20 Oct 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
23 July 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
21 July 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
21 July 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
21 Apr 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
21 Apr 2025Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
23 Jan 2025Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
21 Oct 2024Stephens & Co.UpgradeOverweight—
26 July 2024Piper SandlerMaintainsUnderweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SFNC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

SFNC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.9%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

Simmons First National Corp. (SFNC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
14.1×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

Price / sales
30.1×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

Price / book
1.0×

Cheaper than 75% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
14.3%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
21.8%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
38.3%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Net margin
0.0%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−9.9%

Higher than 36% of US stocks

Return on assets
−1.4%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.7%

Higher than 74% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

SFNC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SFNCSimmons First National Corp.$3.3B
18
CBUCommunity Financial System, Inc.$3.3B
46
BKUBankUnited, Inc.$3.4B
47
SBCFSeacoast Banking Corp. of Florida$3.4B
27
FHBFirst Hawaiian, Inc.$3.3B
69
FFBCFirst Financial Bancorp (Ohio)$3.5B
49
TOWNTownebank$3.5B
50

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Simmons First National Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SFNC news & analysis

Simmons First National Corporation Declares $0.215 Per Share Dividend

PRNewsWire · 20 Aug 2026positive

Simmons First National Corporation announced that its board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.215 per share on its Class A common stock. The dividend is payable on October 1, 2026, to shareholders of record as of September 15, 2026.

Why it matters — The declaration confirms the company's ongoing commitment to returning capital to shareholders through a regular quarterly dividend.

Lisa Hunter to Retire After 30 Years at Simmons Bank

PRNewsWire · 20 Aug 2026neutral

Simmons Bank announced the retirement of Lisa Hunter, executive vice president and chief data officer, after a 30-year career advancing technology, operations, and data capabilities at the organization.

Why it matters — The departure of a long-tenured executive overseeing technology and data capabilities is relevant to SFNC watchers tracking leadership continuity within the bank.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SFNC stock

What is the SFNC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Simmons First National Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $25, with estimates ranging from $24 to $27. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SFNC stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Simmons First National Corp., 3 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Simmons First National Corp. 18 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 21 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SFNC?

As at 21 Aug 2026, Simmons First National Corp. ranks 18 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (78 of 100).

Will SFNC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +8.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Simmons First National Corp. 18 out of 100 as at 21 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SFNC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Simmons First National Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SFNC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $24 to $27 over the next 12 months.

How has SFNC stock performed over the past year?

Simmons First National Corp. returned +20.2% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Simmons First National Corp. do?

Simmons First National Corporation is a diversified financial holding company whose primary function is to provide comprehensive financial services. Headquartered in Arkansas, Simmons Bank, a subsidiary of Simmons First National Corporation, operates as its core business, offering traditional banking services such as deposits, loans, and trust services.

What is the latest news on SFNC?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 20 Aug 2026): "Simmons First National Corporation Declares $0.215 Per Share Dividend". Simmons First National Corporation announced that its board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.215 per share on its Class A common stock. The dividend is payable on October 1, 2026, to shareholders of record as of September 15, 2026.

Company

About Simmons First National Corp.

Simmons First National Corporation is a diversified financial holding company whose primary function is to provide comprehensive financial services. Headquartered in Arkansas, Simmons Bank, a subsidiary of Simmons First National Corporation, operates as its core business, offering traditional banking services such as deposits, loans, and trust services. The company services a broad range of clients including individual consumers, small and medium-sized enterprises, and commercial businesses, demonstrating an extensive regional footprint across several Southern U.S. states. Noteworthy features of Simmons First National Corporation include its focus on community-oriented banking and its consistent endeavors to foster economic growth in the regions it serves. Its portfolio includes diverse offerings such as commercial and consumer lending, mortgage loans, and wealth management solutions. In the financial market, Simmons First National Corporation has a significant role as a stable and reliable entity, contributing to regional development and providing essential financing to support local economies. Through strategic mergers and acquisitions, the corporation continues to grow its presence and influence in its target markets.

CEO Mr. James M. Brogdon CPA · 2,909 employees · United States · https://www.simmonsbank.com