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SFNCSFNCFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

SFNC Stock Forecast: Simmons First National Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$24
+0.55% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Simmons First National Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $25 — +5.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 57 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$3.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
57/ 100
Median analyst target
$25
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$245.6M+16.4% y/y
Net income$66.7M
Free cash flow$125.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+2.5%
1M
+3.2%
YTD
+29.3%
1Y
+40.9%
From 52W high
−1.1%
From 52W low
+42.8%
$17
$24
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SFNC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Simmons First National Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 4 Nov 2026
57/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
100
Momentum
81
Revisions
75
Accruals
61
Issuance
35
Value
31
Volatility
30
Size
28
Quality
27

Growth (100): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Quality (27): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

SFNC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SFNC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$16$18$20$22$24$26$28Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SFNCHigh $28Median $25Low $25

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
5 Buy1 Hold1 Sell
Low $25Median $25High $28

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +5.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
19 Oct 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$24 → $25
19 Oct 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$26 → $25
19 Oct 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight$26 → $27
10 Sept 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsUpgradeOutperform$26
10 Sept 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsUpgradeOutperform—
8 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeUnderweight$24 → $26
8 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeUnderweight—
4 Sept 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
4 Sept 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$25 → $26
4 Sept 2026Piper SandlerUpgradeOverweight—
4 Sept 2026Piper SandlerUpgradeOverweight$26 → $28
20 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
20 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$23 → $24
20 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
20 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$24 → $25
17 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$23
17 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
29 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
20 Apr 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
17 Apr 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

SFNC appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

SFNC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Simmons First National Corp. returned +40.9% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SFNC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SFNCS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SFNC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.5%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Simmons First National Corp. (SFNC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.3×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.7×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Price / book
1.0×

Cheaper than 69% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.1%

Higher than 35% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
16.4%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
34.3%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Net margin
28.0%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
7.8%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.1%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.7%

Higher than 90% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Simmons First National Corp. (SFNC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Simmons First National Corp. has a market value of $3.4B and an enterprise value of $4.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $160.2M. The latest quarter grew 3.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$349.5M, a −218.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−2.54.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $482.0M.

  • Simmons First National Corp. spent $123.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 144.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.3×; forward P/E: 10.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.66%, paying out 67% of earnings.

  • Simmons First National Corp. employs 2,712 people — $59K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SFNC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SFNCSimmons First National Corp.$3.4B57
TOWNTowneBank$3.4B78
CBUCommunity Financial System, Inc.$3.5B52
MCHBMechanics Bancorp$3.5B48
FFBCFirst Financial Bancorp (Ohio)$3.5B48
SBCFSeacoast Banking Corp. of Florida$3.3B20
PRKPark National Corp.$3.3B39

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Simmons First National Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SFNC news & analysis

Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 16 Oct 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Simmons First National Corporation’s Q3 2026 earnings call, held October 16, 2026. The excerpt lists company executives and a conference call participant but provides no discussion of results.

Why it matters — SFNC watchers can note the availability and date of the Q3 earnings-call transcript, though the excerpt contains no financial or operational details.

What Simmons First National (SFNC) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

MarketBeat · 16 Oct 2026neutral

Simmons First National said its third-quarter strategy prioritized profitability, margin expansion and capital flexibility over loan volume. Management cited compressed risk spreads, elevated wholesale funding costs, and unusually high loan maturities and paydowns.

Why it matters — The comments outline the factors shaping SFNC’s strategy and its choice to focus on profitability and capital flexibility rather than loan growth.

Simmons First National (SFNC) Q3 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 15 Oct 2026neutral

A Zacks item examines Simmons First National’s Q3 revenue and EPS alongside key metrics, comparing them with Wall Street estimates and year-ago figures. The excerpt does not provide the results of those comparisons.

Why it matters — These comparisons offer SFNC watchers context on quarterly performance against expectations and the prior year.

Simmons First National (SFNC) Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 15 Oct 2026positive

Simmons First National reported quarterly earnings of $0.54 per share, above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.53. Earnings were $0.46 per share a year earlier.

Why it matters — SFNC watchers may note that quarterly earnings exceeded the estimate and were higher than a year ago.

Simmons First National Corporation Reports Third Quarter Results

PRNewsWire · 15 Oct 2026neutral

Simmons First National reported third-quarter 2026 net income of $47.1 million and diluted EPS of $0.32, with adjusted net income of $79.0 million and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.54. Net interest margin rose to 3.92% from 3.84% in the prior quarter, while total loans and deposits declined quarter over quarter.

Why it matters — The results provide SFNC watchers with updates on quarterly profitability, margins, balances, and credit quality, including a 0.27% net charge-off ratio and a 1.37% allowance for credit losses to loans.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SFNC stock

What is the SFNC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Simmons First National Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $25, with estimates ranging from $25 to $28. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SFNC stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Simmons First National Corp., 5 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Simmons First National Corp. 57 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SFNC?

As at 4 Nov 2026, Simmons First National Corp. ranks 57 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (100 of 100).

Will SFNC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +5.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Simmons First National Corp. 57 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SFNC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Simmons First National Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SFNC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $25 to $28 over the next 12 months.

How has SFNC stock performed over the past year?

Simmons First National Corp. returned +40.9% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Simmons First National Corp. do?

Simmons First National Corporation Class A Common Stock represents the equity of Simmons First National Corporation, a bank holding company headquartered in Pine Bluff, Arkansas. The company operates through Simmons Bank and focuses on commercial banking and related financial services for individuals, businesses, and public institutions.

What is the latest news on SFNC?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 16 Oct 2026): "Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Simmons First National Corporation’s Q3 2026 earnings call, held October 16, 2026. The excerpt lists company executives and a conference call participant but provides no discussion of results.

Company

About Simmons First National Corp.

Simmons First National Corporation Class A Common Stock represents the equity of Simmons First National Corporation, a bank holding company headquartered in Pine Bluff, Arkansas. The company operates through Simmons Bank and focuses on commercial banking and related financial services for individuals, businesses, and public institutions. Its core offerings include deposit accounts, consumer and commercial lending, treasury management, mortgage services, trust and fiduciary solutions, card services, and insurance products. Simmons First National serves customers across a regional footprint in the Mid-South and neighboring states, supporting community-based banking with a broad mix of retail and business banking capabilities. The stock is used by investors to gain exposure to a diversified regional banking franchise with recurring income from lending, deposits, and fee-based financial services.

CEO Mr. James M. Brogdon CPA · 2,712 employees · United States · https://www.simmonsbank.com