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SFNCSFNCFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

SFNC Stock Forecast: Simmons First National Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$23
+0.26% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Simmons First National Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $26 — +12.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 20 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$3.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
20 / 100
Median analyst target
$26
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$245.6M+16.4% y/y
Net income$66.7M
Free cash flow$125.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.9%
1M
−2.2%
YTD
+25.6%
1Y
+17.1%
From 52W high
−3.9%
From 52W low
+38.8%
$17
$24
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SFNC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Simmons First National Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
20 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
78
Momentum
74
Revisions
52
Volatility
33
Size
29
Issuance
28
Growth
21
Value
13
Quality
8

Accruals (78): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Quality (8): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SFNC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SFNC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$16$18$20$22$24$26$28Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SFNCHigh $28Median $26Low $24

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
5 Buy1 Hold1 Sell
Low $24Median $26High $28

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Sept 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsUpgradeOutperform$26
8 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeUnderweight$24 → $26
4 Sept 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$25 → $26
4 Sept 2026Piper SandlerUpgradeOverweight$26 → $28
20 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
20 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$23 → $24
20 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$24 → $25
20 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
17 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$23
17 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
29 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
20 Apr 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
17 Apr 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
31 Mar 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
22 Jan 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
22 Jan 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
22 Jan 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform—
19 Nov 2025BairdUpgradeOutperform—
20 Oct 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
23 July 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SFNC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

SFNC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Simmons First National Corp. returned +17.1% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SFNC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SFNCS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SFNC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.6%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

Simmons First National Corp. (SFNC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
14.1×

Cheaper than 48% of US stocks

Price / sales
30.4×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

Price / book
1.0×

Cheaper than 74% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
14.3%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
21.8%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
38.3%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Net margin
0.0%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−9.9%

Higher than 36% of US stocks

Return on assets
−1.4%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.7%

Higher than 73% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Simmons First National Corp. (SFNC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Simmons First National Corp. has a market value of $3.4B and an enterprise value of $4.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $160.2M. The latest quarter grew 14.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$349.5M, a −218.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−2.54.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $482.0M.

  • Simmons First National Corp. spent $123.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 144.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 14.1×; forward P/E: 10.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.71%, paying out 67% of earnings.

  • Simmons First National Corp. employs 2,909 people — $55K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SFNC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SFNCSimmons First National Corp.$3.4B
20
PRKPark National Corp.$3.4B
63
FFBCFirst Financial Bancorp (Ohio)$3.4B
50
SBCFSeacoast Banking Corp. of Florida$3.3B
29
TOWNTownebank$3.4B
53
CBUCommunity Financial System, Inc.$3.3B
45
BKUBankUnited, Inc.$3.3B
48

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Simmons First National Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SFNC news & analysis

Simmons First National Corporation: Solid Dividend Play With Upside

Seeking Alpha · 2 Sept 2026positive

Seeking Alpha published a bullish analysis of Simmons First National Corporation, citing its 3.8% dividend yield and strong earnings growth. The report highlights management's focus on low-cost deposit growth to fund loans, driving net interest margin expansion and robust net income, while noting the stock trades at discounts to sector valuations.

Why it matters — SFNC watchers would care because the report highlights the bank's dividend profile and earnings strength alongside valuation discounts to its sector peers.

Simmons First National Corporation Declares $0.215 Per Share Dividend

PRNewsWire · 20 Aug 2026positive

Simmons First National Corporation announced that its board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.215 per share on its Class A common stock. The dividend is payable on October 1, 2026, to shareholders of record as of September 15, 2026.

Why it matters — The declaration confirms the company's ongoing commitment to returning capital to shareholders through a regular quarterly dividend.

Lisa Hunter to Retire After 30 Years at Simmons Bank

PRNewsWire · 20 Aug 2026neutral

Simmons Bank announced the retirement of Lisa Hunter, executive vice president and chief data officer, after a 30-year career advancing technology, operations, and data capabilities at the organization.

Why it matters — The departure of a long-tenured executive overseeing technology and data capabilities is relevant to SFNC watchers tracking leadership continuity within the bank.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SFNC stock

What is the SFNC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Simmons First National Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $26, with estimates ranging from $24 to $28. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SFNC stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Simmons First National Corp., 5 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Simmons First National Corp. 20 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SFNC?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Simmons First National Corp. ranks 20 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (78 of 100).

Will SFNC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +12.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Simmons First National Corp. 20 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SFNC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Simmons First National Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SFNC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $24 to $28 over the next 12 months.

How has SFNC stock performed over the past year?

Simmons First National Corp. returned +17.1% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Simmons First National Corp. do?

Simmons First National Corporation Class A Common Stock represents the equity of Simmons First National Corporation, a bank holding company headquartered in Pine Bluff, Arkansas. The company operates through Simmons Bank and focuses on commercial banking and related financial services for individuals, businesses, and public institutions.

What is the latest news on SFNC?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 2 Sept 2026): "Simmons First National Corporation: Solid Dividend Play With Upside". Seeking Alpha published a bullish analysis of Simmons First National Corporation, citing its 3.8% dividend yield and strong earnings growth. The report highlights management's focus on low-cost deposit growth to fund loans, driving net interest margin expansion and robust net income, while noting the stock trades at discounts to sector valuations.

Company

About Simmons First National Corp.

Simmons First National Corporation Class A Common Stock represents the equity of Simmons First National Corporation, a bank holding company headquartered in Pine Bluff, Arkansas. The company operates through Simmons Bank and focuses on commercial banking and related financial services for individuals, businesses, and public institutions. Its core offerings include deposit accounts, consumer and commercial lending, treasury management, mortgage services, trust and fiduciary solutions, card services, and insurance products. Simmons First National serves customers across a regional footprint in the Mid-South and neighboring states, supporting community-based banking with a broad mix of retail and business banking capabilities. The stock is used by investors to gain exposure to a diversified regional banking franchise with recurring income from lending, deposits, and fee-based financial services.

CEO Mr. James M. Brogdon CPA · 2,909 employees · United States · https://www.simmonsbank.com