SIGIFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & CasualtyThe 8 Wall Street analysts covering Selective Insurance Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $98 — +13.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 69 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Selective Insurance Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (80): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Accruals (23): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (22): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SIGI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +13.7% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sept 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $105 → $97 |
| 30 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 30 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $101 → $102 |
| 28 July 2026 | BMO Capital | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 28 July 2026 | BMO Capital | Downgrade | Market Perform | $97 |
| 27 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 27 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $110 → $115 |
| 15 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $93 → $103 |
| 15 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 13 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $100 → $110 |
| 13 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 8 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $88 → $101 |
| 8 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 6 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | $72 → $80 |
| 6 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 26 May 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 21 May 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 May 2026 | BMO Capital | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 7 Apr 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SIGI appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Selective Insurance Group, Inc. returned +4.4% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 56% of US stocks
Cheaper than 70% of US stocks
Cheaper than 54% of US stocks
Cheaper than 44% of US stocks
Higher than 37% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 73% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. has a market value of $5.1B and an enterprise value of $5.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.5B. The latest quarter grew 4.5% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $497.6M, a 9.1% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $8.06.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B, after $43.5M of capital spending.
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. spent $134.5M on share buybacks and $106.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 10.6×; forward P/E: 9.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.02%, paying out 21% of earnings.
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. employs 2,800 people — $2.0M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Selective Insurance Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks says Selective Insurance is scheduled to report next week and that Wall Street expects earnings growth. The article says the company has factors that may support an earnings beat in the upcoming report.
Why it matters — SIGI watchers may follow the upcoming report for earnings growth expectations and the possibility of a beat.
Selective Insurance announced that it has scheduled an earnings release and conference call to discuss its third-quarter 2026 results.
Why it matters — SIGI watchers can note the scheduled update on the company’s third-quarter 2026 performance.
Zacks Investment Research raises the question of whether Selective Insurance (SIGI) has the qualities of a strong dividend stock, noting the appeal of dividends to shareholders.
Why it matters — SIGI watchers may be interested in the article’s focus on the company’s dividend characteristics.
Zacks Investment Research highlights its Style Scores as a tool for investors to identify stocks rated highly for different investing styles, and presents Selective Insurance (SIGI) as a strong growth stock.
Why it matters — SIGI watchers may note the article’s positive growth-stock framing and its reference to Zacks’ rating approach.
Selective Insurance named Vaibhav Kalia as chief investment officer, according to a Business Wire headline.
Why it matters — The appointment is a leadership update relevant to SIGI watchers tracking the company’s investment function.
The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Selective Insurance Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $98, with estimates ranging from $80 to $115. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 8 analysts covering Selective Insurance Group, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 69 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 14 Oct 2026, Selective Insurance Group, Inc. ranks 69 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (80 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +13.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 69 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Selective Insurance Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SIGI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $80 to $115 over the next 12 months.
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. returned +4.4% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. is a property and casualty insurance holding company that provides insurance products and services in the United States.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 15 Oct 2026): "Selective Insurance (SIGI) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth". Zacks says Selective Insurance is scheduled to report next week and that Wall Street expects earnings growth. The article says the company has factors that may support an earnings beat in the upcoming report.
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. is a property and casualty insurance holding company that provides insurance products and services in the United States. The company focuses on commercial, personal, and excess and surplus lines through four operating segments: Standard Commercial Lines, Standard Personal Lines, E&S Lines, and Investments. Its commercial offerings serve businesses, nonprofit organizations, and local government agencies with coverage such as workers’ compensation, general liability, property, and commercial auto insurance. The personal lines business provides auto, homeowners, and flood insurance, while the E&S segment addresses clients who need coverage outside the standard insurance market. Selective Insurance Group, Inc. also manages investment activities tied to its insurance operations, supporting the broader financial foundation of its business.
CEO Mr. John Joseph Marchioni CPCU · 2,800 employees · United States · https://www.selective.com
