SMPLConsumer Defensive · Packaged FoodsThe 10 Wall Street analysts covering The Simply Good Foods Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $11 — -17.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 52 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Simply Good Foods Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Value (98): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.
Growth (9): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SMPL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −17.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | Jefferies | Downgrade | Hold | $15 → $11 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | $20 → $18 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $12 → $11 |
| 26 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 26 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $13 → $11 |
| 10 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $39 → $14 |
| 10 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 3 June 2026 | Bernstein | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 2 June 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 14 Apr 2026 | BTIG | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 10 Apr 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 10 Apr 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 10 Apr 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 10 Apr 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 10 Apr 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 Apr 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 10 Apr 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 2 Apr 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 16 Mar 2026 | Jefferies | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Bernstein | Maintains | Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
SMPL appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, The Simply Good Foods Co. returned −34.2% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 44% of US stocks
Cheaper than 73% of US stocks
Cheaper than 77% of US stocks
Cheaper than 49% of US stocks
Higher than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 19% of US stocks
Higher than 36% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
The Simply Good Foods Co. has a market value of $1.1B and an enterprise value of $1.3B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $1.4B. The latest quarter shrank 9.7% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$198.8M, a −14.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−2.17.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $118.7M, after $28.1M of capital spending.
The Simply Good Foods Co. spent $239.8M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 31 May 2026.
Trailing P/E: 16.0×; forward P/E: 7.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
The Simply Good Foods Co. employs 282 people — $4.9M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Simply Good Foods Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
The Motley Fool highlighted that Simply Good Foods expects fiscal 2027 net sales to decline 13% to 17%. The company plans near-double-digit price increases to move gross margin toward 40%.
Why it matters — The sales outlook and pricing plan are key factors for SMPL watchers assessing the company’s expected performance and margin direction.
Simply Good Foods was upgraded to Hold after a prolonged decline and weak FY 2026 results, including a 6.5% decline in annual net sales and a 9.7% Q4 drop. Management expects FY 2027 net sales to fall 13–17%, while planned double-digit price hikes are intended to support margins but may further reduce volumes.
Why it matters — The sales declines, brand impairment charges, and outlook for another year of falling net sales are key developments for SMPL shareholders to monitor.
The Simply Good Foods Company reported weak Q4 earnings despite a small double beat, with revenues declining increasingly fast amid competitive pressure and weak brand positioning. Margins remained resilient, while attention is focused on stabilizing sales.
Why it matters — SMPL watchers may care because accelerating revenue declines raise concerns about sales trends despite resilient margins.
Simply Good Foods reported fiscal fourth-quarter sales and earnings declines amid weaker consumer demand, distribution pressure, and lower retail velocities. Management outlined a turnaround plan focused on pricing, marketing investment, and core products.
Why it matters — SMPL watchers may want to follow how the stated plan addresses the pressures behind the quarter’s declines.
The provided text identifies a Seeking Alpha transcript of The Simply Good Foods Company's Q4 2026 earnings call; it includes no further details about the call.
Why it matters — SMPL watchers may note the earnings-call transcript, but the supplied excerpt does not describe the company's results or commentary.
The 10 Wall Street analysts covering The Simply Good Foods Co. have a median 12-month price target of $11, with estimates ranging from $10 to $18. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 10 analysts covering The Simply Good Foods Co., 2 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Simply Good Foods Co. 52 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 4 Nov 2026, The Simply Good Foods Co. ranks 52 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies -17.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Simply Good Foods Co. 52 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering The Simply Good Foods Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SMPL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $10 to $18 over the next 12 months.
The Simply Good Foods Co. returned -34.2% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
The Simply Good Foods Company is a consumer packaged food and beverage company focused on nutritional snacking and meal-replacement products. The company develops, markets, and sells a broad portfolio of better-for-you foods, including protein bars, ready-to-drink shakes, powders, sweet and salty snacks, cookies, and confectionery items.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 3 Nov 2026): "Simply Good Foods: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors". The Motley Fool highlighted that Simply Good Foods expects fiscal 2027 net sales to decline 13% to 17%. The company plans near-double-digit price increases to move gross margin toward 40%.
The Simply Good Foods Company is a consumer packaged food and beverage company focused on nutritional snacking and meal-replacement products. The company develops, markets, and sells a broad portfolio of better-for-you foods, including protein bars, ready-to-drink shakes, powders, sweet and salty snacks, cookies, and confectionery items. Its products are sold under the Quest, Atkins, and OWYN brands, each targeting consumers looking for high-protein, low-sugar, and low-carbohydrate options. The Simply Good Foods Company serves grocery, club, mass merchandise, convenience, specialty, and e-commerce channels across North America, with additional international reach. Headquartered in Denver, Colorado, the company plays a notable role in the packaged foods market by combining established brands with products positioned within the growing nutritional snacking category.
CEO Mr. Joseph E. Scalzo · 282 employees · United States · https://www.thesimplygoodfoodscompany.com
