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SMPLSMPLConsumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

SMPL Stock Forecast: The Simply Good Foods Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$11
+1.66% on the day

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering The Simply Good Foods Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $14 — +30.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 52 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$932.6M
Ticker Nerd rank
52 / 100
Median analyst target
$14
Analysts covering
9
Revenue$357.0M−6.3% y/y
Operating income$32.1M
Net income−$52.0M
Free cash flow$41.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 May 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+8.4%
1M
+7.8%
YTD
−46.6%
1Y
−55.7%
From 52W high
−57.9%
From 52W low
+13.7%
$9
$25
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SMPL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Simply Good Foods Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
52 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
99
Accruals
96
Volatility
76
Issuance
60
Revisions
56
Size
44
Quality
34
Momentum
11
Growth
8

Value (99): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Growth (8): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SMPL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SMPL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$15$20$25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SMPLHigh $20Median $14Low $11

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says9 analysts
3 Buy6 Hold0 Sell
Low $11Median $14High $20

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +30.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
26 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$13 → $11
10 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$39 → $14
10 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
3 June 2026BernsteinDowngradeMarket Perform—
2 June 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
14 Apr 2026BTIGInitiatesNeutral—
10 Apr 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
10 Apr 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsHold—
10 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
10 Apr 2026Stephens & Co.DowngradeEqual-Weight—
10 Apr 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
10 Apr 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
10 Apr 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
2 Apr 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
16 Mar 2026JefferiesUpgradeBuy—
19 Dec 2025BernsteinMaintainsOutperform—
12 Nov 2025MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
24 Oct 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
22 Oct 2025JefferiesMaintainsHold—
8 Oct 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SMPL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

SMPL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, The Simply Good Foods Co. returned −55.7% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SMPL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SMPLS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SMPL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.0%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

The Simply Good Foods Co. (SMPL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
16.0×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 76% of US stocks

Price / book
0.7×

Cheaper than 80% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
5.7×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−6.3%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−6.3%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Gross margin
32.5%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Operating margin
12.8%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Net margin
−14.3%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−12.2%

Higher than 35% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.4%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

The Simply Good Foods Co. (SMPL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • The Simply Good Foods Co. has a market value of $932.6M and an enterprise value of $1.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $1.4B. The latest quarter shrank 6.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$198.8M, a −14.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−2.17.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $118.7M, after $28.1M of capital spending.

  • The Simply Good Foods Co. spent $239.8M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 31 May 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 88.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 16.0×; forward P/E: 6.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • The Simply Good Foods Co. employs 328 people — $4.2M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 May 2026 · market figures as at 14 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SMPL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelPackaged Foods
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SMPLThe Simply Good Foods Co.$932.6M
52
BRBRBellRing Brands, Inc.$1.0B
42
WESTWestrock Coffee Co.$781.4M
59
JBSSJohn B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.$777.1M
70
SENEASeneca Foods Corp.$1.2B
99
FLOFlowers Foods, Inc.$1.3B
57
OFRMOnce Upon A Farm PBC$669.1M
13

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Simply Good Foods Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SMPL news & analysis

SueWallSt Reminds Shareholders of a Lead Plaintiff Deadline of October 13, 2026 in The Simply Good Foods Company Lawsuit - SMPL

GlobeNewsWire · 13 Oct 2026negative

A securities class action alleges that former CEO Geoff E. Tanner and CFOs Shaun P. Mara and Christopher J. Bealer certified filings describing the $280 million OWYN integration as on track. The excerpt also cites a shareholder decline of more than 70% and a $200 million write-down, and notes an October 13, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline.

Why it matters — The lawsuit and allegations concerning the OWYN integration may be relevant to SMPL watchers assessing the company’s legal and financial disclosures.

SMPL Deadline: SMPL Investors with Losses in Excess of $100K Have Opportunity to Lead The Simply Good Foods Company Securities Fraud Lawsuit

PRNewsWire · 12 Oct 2026neutral

Rosen Law Firm reminded investors who purchased Simply Good Foods common stock from October 24, 2024, through April 8, 2026, of an October 13, 2026 deadline to seek appointment as lead plaintiff in a securities fraud lawsuit. The firm said eligible purchasers may seek compensation through a contingency-fee arrangement without out-of-pocket fees or costs.

Why it matters — The notice concerns a securities lawsuit and a lead-plaintiff deadline that may be relevant to SMPL investors who bought shares during the stated period.

Deadline Alert: Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) Shareholders Who Lost Money Urged To Contact Glancy Prongay Wolke & Rotter LLP About Securities Fraud Lawsuit

GlobeNewsWire · 12 Oct 2026negative

Glancy Prongay Wolke & Rotter LLP reminded investors of an October 13, 2026 deadline to file a lead plaintiff motion in a securities class action involving Simply Good Foods securities purchased between October 24, 2024 and April 8, 2026.

Why it matters — SMPL shareholders who acquired securities during the stated class period may want to note the lead plaintiff motion deadline.

The Simply Good Foods Company Sued for Securities Law Violations - Contact the DJS Law Group to Discuss Your Rights - SMPL

PRNewsWire · 12 Oct 2026negative

DJS Law Group announced a class action lawsuit against The Simply Good Foods Company alleging violations of federal securities laws, including Sections 10(b) and 20(a) and Rule 10b-5. The firm encouraged shareholders who purchased SMPL shares during the stated class period to contact it about possible lead plaintiff appointments.

Why it matters — The lawsuit is a legal matter involving SMPL shareholders and alleged securities-law violations.

SMPL Investors Have Opportunity to Lead The Simply Good Foods Company Securities Fraud Lawsuit with SBS Law

PRNewsWire · 12 Oct 2026negative

Schall, Brown & Schwartz LLP announced a class action lawsuit against The Simply Good Foods Company alleging violations of federal securities laws. The firm invited shareholders who purchased SMPL shares during the specified class period to contact it about possible lead plaintiff appointments.

Why it matters — The lawsuit and potential lead plaintiff process are developments concerning SMPL shareholders.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SMPL stock

What is the SMPL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering The Simply Good Foods Co. have a median 12-month price target of $14, with estimates ranging from $11 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SMPL stock a buy right now?

Of the 9 analysts covering The Simply Good Foods Co., 3 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Simply Good Foods Co. 52 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SMPL?

As at 14 Oct 2026, The Simply Good Foods Co. ranks 52 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (99 of 100).

Will SMPL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 9 analysts implies +30.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Simply Good Foods Co. 52 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SMPL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering The Simply Good Foods Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SMPL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $11 to $20 over the next 12 months.

How has SMPL stock performed over the past year?

The Simply Good Foods Co. returned -55.7% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does The Simply Good Foods Co. do?

The Simply Good Foods Company is a consumer packaged food and beverage company focused on nutritional snacking and meal-replacement products. The company develops, markets, and sells a broad portfolio of better-for-you foods, including protein bars, ready-to-drink shakes, powders, sweet and salty snacks, cookies, and confectionery items.

What is the latest news on SMPL?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 13 Oct 2026): "SueWallSt Reminds Shareholders of a Lead Plaintiff Deadline of October 13, 2026 in The Simply Good Foods Company Lawsuit - SMPL". A securities class action alleges that former CEO Geoff E. Tanner and CFOs Shaun P. Mara and Christopher J. Bealer certified filings describing the $280 million OWYN integration as on track. The excerpt also cites a shareholder decline of more than 70% and a $200 million write-down, and notes an October 13, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline.

Company

About The Simply Good Foods Co.

The Simply Good Foods Company is a consumer packaged food and beverage company focused on nutritional snacking and meal-replacement products. The company develops, markets, and sells a broad portfolio of better-for-you foods, including protein bars, ready-to-drink shakes, powders, sweet and salty snacks, cookies, and confectionery items. Its products are sold under the Quest, Atkins, and OWYN brands, each targeting consumers looking for high-protein, low-sugar, and low-carbohydrate options. The Simply Good Foods Company serves grocery, club, mass merchandise, convenience, specialty, and e-commerce channels across North America, with additional international reach. Headquartered in Denver, Colorado, the company plays a notable role in the packaged foods market by combining established brands with products positioned within the growing nutritional snacking category.

CEO Mr. Joseph E. Scalzo · 328 employees · United States · https://www.thesimplygoodfoodscompany.com