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TCBITCBIFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

TCBI Stock Forecast: Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$94
+0.61% on the day

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $106 — +13.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 54 of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$4.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
54 / 100
Median analyst target
$106
Analysts covering
13
Revenue$335.5M+9.1% y/y
Net income$84.9M
Free cash flow$93.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.1%
1M
−3.0%
YTD
+4.0%
1Y
+11.8%
From 52W high
−12.8%
From 52W low
+22.1%
$77
$108
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TCBI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Oct 2026
54 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
98
Growth
76
Value
66
Momentum
56
Quality
50
Revisions
47
Volatility
30
Accruals
26
Size
25

Issuance (98): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Accruals (26): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (25): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TCBI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TCBI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$70$80$90$100$110$120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TCBIHigh $115Median $106Low $100

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says13 analysts
4 Buy8 Hold1 Sell
Low $100Median $106High $115

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +13.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
22 Sept 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$107 → $104
3 Aug 2026BarclaysUpgradeEqual-Weight$100
3 Aug 2026BarclaysUpgradeEqual-Weight—
27 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$109 → $106
27 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$105 → $107
23 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight$116 → $112
23 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
1 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
1 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight$105 → $110
30 June 2026CitigroupUpgradeNeutral$96 → $105
30 June 2026CitigroupUpgradeNeutral—
28 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsSell—
24 Apr 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
24 Apr 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
1 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
26 Jan 2026CitigroupMaintainsSell—
26 Jan 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
23 Jan 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TCBI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

TCBI vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. returned +11.8% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TCBI vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TCBIS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TCBI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−3.0%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
9
Fundamentals

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.2×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.2×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Price / book
1.2×

Cheaper than 65% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.6%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
9.9%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
36.7%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Net margin
28.7%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
10.2%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.1%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.9%

Higher than 18% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. has a market value of $4.1B and an enterprise value of $1.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.3B. The latest quarter grew 8.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $364.6M, a 27.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.69.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $471.9M.

  • Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. spent $241.1M on share buybacks and $17.3M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 43.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.2×; forward P/E: 11.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.85%, paying out 3% of earnings.

  • Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. employs 1,785 people — $744K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TCBI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TCBITexas Capital Bancshares, Inc.$4.1B
54
FBPFirst BanCorp (Puerto Rico)$4.2B
94
IBOCInternational Bancshares Corp.$4.3B
50
SFBSServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.$4.4B
47
FULTFulton Financial Corp.$4.4B
58
CATYCathay General Bancorp$4.1B
86
WSFSWSFS Financial Corp.$4.1B
83

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TCBI news & analysis

Saddle Up: Texas Stock Exchange Ropes In $80 Billion in Listings

MarketBeat · 2 Oct 2026positive

The Texas Stock Exchange (TXSE) is set to begin its rollout of corporate listings this October, having attracted $80 billion in listings and positioning itself as a new competitor to the NYSE and Nasdaq in U.S. corporate listings.

Why it matters — A Texas-based stock exchange could bring increased corporate-listings activity to the region where Texas Capital operates, potentially boosting local financial-market business.

Linea Energy Closes Project Debt Financing and Preferred Equity Commitment for 250 MW / 500 MWh Mesa View BESS in Texas

PRNewsWire · 1 Oct 2026neutral

Linea Energy, a renewables developer sponsored by EnCap Investments, announced the closing of project debt financing and a preferred equity commitment for its 250 MW / 500 MWh Mesa View battery energy storage project in Upton County, Texas.

Why it matters — Texas Capital Bancshares watchers may note increased energy-infrastructure financing activity in Texas, a market relevant to the bank's regional lending and commercial operations.

ETFs on TXSE: A Big Milestone for Y'all Street

ETF Trends · 24 Sept 2026positive

The Texas Stock Exchange (TXSE) has achieved a significant milestone by listing ETFs, marking a shift in competition among U.S. capital markets that extends beyond a regional achievement. The article frames this development as an important step for the exchange.

Why it matters — For TCBI watchers, the TXSE milestone signals growing activity in Texas capital markets, which could support the bank's local market and business environment.

Texas Capital's TXS and OILT ETFs Now Trading on the Texas Stock Exchange

GlobeNewsWire · 16 Sept 2026positive

Texas Capital Bank Private Wealth Advisors and the Texas Capital Funds Trust announced that their Texas Capital Texas Equity Index ETF (TXS) and Texas Capital Texas Oil Index ETF (OILT) are now trading on the Texas Stock Exchange, marking the exchange's first primary listings and first ETFs.

Why it matters — This milestone brings Texas Capital's ETFs to a new exchange as the first primary listings there, expanding the company's presence in the Texas market.

Texas Capital to Bring Corporate Listing Home to the Texas Stock Exchange

GlobeNewsWire · 14 Sept 2026positive

Texas Capital announced it will move its corporate listing to the Texas Stock Exchange, bringing its listing home to the state where it is headquartered. The move deepens the firm's commitment to Texas' growing capital markets.

Why it matters — TCBI watchers would care because the move reinforces the company's Texas roots and strategic alignment with the state's expanding capital markets.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TCBI stock

What is the TCBI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $106, with estimates ranging from $100 to $115. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TCBI stock a buy right now?

Of the 13 analysts covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. 54 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TCBI?

As at 2 Oct 2026, Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. ranks 54 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (98 of 100).

Will TCBI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +13.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. 54 out of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TCBI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TCBI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $100 to $115 over the next 12 months.

How has TCBI stock performed over the past year?

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. returned +11.8% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. do?

Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. is a bank holding company and full-service financial services firm headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

What is the latest news on TCBI?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 2 Oct 2026): "Saddle Up: Texas Stock Exchange Ropes In $80 Billion in Listings". The Texas Stock Exchange (TXSE) is set to begin its rollout of corporate listings this October, having attracted $80 billion in listings and positioning itself as a new competitor to the NYSE and Nasdaq in U.S. corporate listings.

Company

About Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.

Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. is a bank holding company and full-service financial services firm headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Through Texas Capital Bank and its affiliated businesses, the company provides commercial banking, consumer banking, investment banking, wealth management, and treasury management services. Its offerings are designed for businesses, entrepreneurs, professional service firms, real estate developers, not-for-profit organizations, and individual clients. The firm focuses on customized solutions that support deposits, lending, cash management, capital markets activity, and advisory needs across a range of industries. Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. plays a notable role in the U.S. regional banking market, combining relationship-based banking with specialized financial services for middle-market clients and other commercial customers.

CEO Mr. Robert C. Holmes · 1,785 employees · United States · https://texascapitalbank.com