TCBIFinancial Services · Banks - RegionalThe 13 Wall Street analysts covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $106 — +16.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 56 of 100 as at 10 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (98): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Volatility (25): The share price moves around a lot.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TCBI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +16.8% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 6 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | $115 → $108 |
| 5 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $106 → $100 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | $110 → $100 |
| 22 Sept 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $107 → $104 |
| 22 Sept 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Upgrade | Equal-Weight | $100 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Upgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 27 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $109 → $106 |
| 27 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 24 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $105 → $107 |
| 24 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | $116 → $112 |
| 23 July 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 1 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 1 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | $105 → $110 |
| 30 June 2026 | Citigroup | Upgrade | Neutral | — |
| 30 June 2026 | Citigroup | Upgrade | Neutral | $96 → $105 |
| 28 Apr 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 24 Apr 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TCBI appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 9 Oct 2026, Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. returned +7.1% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 53% of US stocks
Cheaper than 39% of US stocks
Cheaper than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 51% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. has a market value of $3.9B and an enterprise value of $1.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.3B. The latest quarter grew 8.6% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $364.6M, a 27.5% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.69.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $471.9M.
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. spent $241.1M on share buybacks and $17.3M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 11.7×; forward P/E: 11.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.88%, paying out 3% of earnings.
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. employs 1,785 people — $744K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. announced that its common and preferred stock have begun trading on the Texas Stock Exchange after transferring their primary listings from Nasdaq. The shares trade as TCBI and TCBI PRB, respectively.
Why it matters — TCBI watchers may note the change in the company's primary listing venue and the exchange ticker symbols for its common and preferred stock.
Texas Capital Bancshares said it expects to release its third-quarter 2026 financial results after market on October 21, 2026. Executive management will discuss the results on a conference call and webcast that day at 5:00 p.m.
Why it matters — TCBI watchers can note the scheduled date and time for the company’s Q3 2026 results and management discussion.
Zacks Investment Research highlights Texas Capital (TCBI) in an article titled “Why Texas Capital (TCBI) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Term.” The excerpt describes Zacks Style Scores as a feature of its Premium research service for finding stocks across value, growth, and momentum styles.
Why it matters — TCBI watchers may note the article’s value-stock framing and the research feature it discusses.
The Texas Stock Exchange (TXSE) is set to begin its rollout of corporate listings this October, having attracted $80 billion in listings and positioning itself as a new competitor to the NYSE and Nasdaq in U.S. corporate listings.
Why it matters — A Texas-based stock exchange could bring increased corporate-listings activity to the region where Texas Capital operates, potentially boosting local financial-market business.
Linea Energy, a renewables developer sponsored by EnCap Investments, announced the closing of project debt financing and a preferred equity commitment for its 250 MW / 500 MWh Mesa View battery energy storage project in Upton County, Texas.
Why it matters — Texas Capital Bancshares watchers may note increased energy-infrastructure financing activity in Texas, a market relevant to the bank's regional lending and commercial operations.
The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $106, with estimates ranging from $100 to $114. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 13 analysts covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. 56 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 10 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 10 Oct 2026, Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. ranks 56 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +16.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. 56 out of 100 as at 10 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TCBI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $100 to $114 over the next 12 months.
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. returned +7.1% over the 12 months to 9 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. is a bank holding company and full-service financial services firm headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 8 Oct 2026): "Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Now Trading on the Texas Stock Exchange". Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. announced that its common and preferred stock have begun trading on the Texas Stock Exchange after transferring their primary listings from Nasdaq. The shares trade as TCBI and TCBI PRB, respectively.
Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. is a bank holding company and full-service financial services firm headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Through Texas Capital Bank and its affiliated businesses, the company provides commercial banking, consumer banking, investment banking, wealth management, and treasury management services. Its offerings are designed for businesses, entrepreneurs, professional service firms, real estate developers, not-for-profit organizations, and individual clients. The firm focuses on customized solutions that support deposits, lending, cash management, capital markets activity, and advisory needs across a range of industries. Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. plays a notable role in the U.S. regional banking market, combining relationship-based banking with specialized financial services for middle-market clients and other commercial customers.
CEO Mr. Robert C. Holmes · 1,785 employees · United States · https://texascapitalbank.com
