TCBITCBIFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

TCBI Stock Forecast: Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$101
+0.19% on the day

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $110 — +8.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 53 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$4.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
53 / 100
Median analyst target
$110
Analysts covering
13
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.7%
1M
−0.9%
YTD
+11.8%
1Y
+19.7%
From 52W high
−6.2%
From 52W low
+31.3%
$77
$108
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TCBI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
53 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
98
Growth
75
Momentum
66
Value
63
Quality
50
Revisions
43
Accruals
26
Size
25
Volatility
25

Issuance (98): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Volatility (25): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TCBI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TCBI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$80$90$100$110$120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TCBIHigh $115Median $110Low $100

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says13 analysts
4 Buy8 Hold1 Sell
Low $100Median $110High $115

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +8.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
3 Aug 2026BarclaysUpgradeEqual-Weight$100
27 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$109$106
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$105$107
23 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight$116$112
23 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight
1 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight
1 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight$105$110
30 June 2026CitigroupUpgradeNeutral
30 June 2026CitigroupUpgradeNeutral$96$105
28 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsSell
24 Apr 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral
24 Apr 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform
1 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight
26 Jan 2026CitigroupMaintainsSell
26 Jan 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold
23 Jan 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight
23 Jan 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral
23 Jan 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral
23 Jan 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TCBI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

TCBI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−2.9%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
9
Fundamentals

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.1×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.5×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.6%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
9.9%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
36.7%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Net margin
28.7%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
10.2%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.1%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.8%

Higher than 18% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

TCBI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TCBITexas Capital Bancshares, Inc.$4.4B
53
FBPFirst BanCorp (Puerto Rico)$4.6B
94
IBOCInternational Bancshares Corp.$4.6B
54
FULTFulton Financial Corp.$4.7B
57
CATYCathay General Bancorp$4.4B
88
UCBUnited Community Banks, Inc.$4.4B
47
WSFSWSFS Financial Corp.$4.3B
85

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TCBI stock

What is the TCBI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $110, with estimates ranging from $100 to $115. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TCBI stock a buy right now?

Of the 13 analysts covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. 53 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TCBI?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. ranks 53 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (98 of 100).

Will TCBI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +8.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. 53 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TCBI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TCBI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $100 to $115 over the next 12 months.

How has TCBI stock performed over the past year?

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. returned +19.7% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. do?

Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. is a financial holding company that primarily provides commercial banking services.

Company

About Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.

Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. is a financial holding company that primarily provides commercial banking services. Focused on serving the unique financial needs of businesses and entrepreneurs, Texas Capital Bancshares offers a wide range of products including commercial loans, treasury management services, and wealth management solutions. The company caters to various sectors, including real estate, energy, healthcare, and technology, making it a vital player in the banking industry. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the organization operates through its subsidiary, Texas Capital Bank, which has a strong regional presence with several branch locations across major Texas cities. Texas Capital Bancshares plays a crucial role in fueling local economic growth by supporting the capital needs of businesses and maintaining a strong focus on relationship-based banking. Its strategic initiatives are aimed at enhancing customer experience, optimizing operations, and expanding its service offerings to suit the evolving market landscape. Established in 1998, Texas Capital Bancshares continues to maintain a robust reputation within the financial sector for its customer-centric approach and commitment to community involvement.

CEO Mr. Robert C. Holmes · 1,785 employees · United States · https://texascapitalbank.com