TCBIFinancial Services · Banks - RegionalThe 13 Wall Street analysts covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $106 — +7.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 66 of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (96): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Volatility (20): The share price moves around a lot.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TCBI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +7.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 7 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $114 → $113 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | $115 → $108 |
| 5 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $106 → $100 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | $110 → $100 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 22 Sept 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 22 Sept 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $107 → $104 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Upgrade | Equal-Weight | $100 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Upgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 27 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $109 → $106 |
| 27 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 24 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 24 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $105 → $107 |
| 23 July 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | $116 → $112 |
| 23 July 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 1 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 1 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | $105 → $110 |
| 30 June 2026 | Citigroup | Upgrade | Neutral | — |
| 30 June 2026 | Citigroup | Upgrade | Neutral | $96 → $105 |
| 28 Apr 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Sell | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
TCBI appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 22 Oct 2026, Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. returned +20.9% against +15.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 52% of US stocks
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Cheaper than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 51% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. has a market value of $4.1B and an enterprise value of $1.7B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.3B. The latest quarter grew 8.6% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $364.6M, a 27.5% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.69.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $471.9M.
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. spent $241.1M on share buybacks and $17.3M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 12.2×; forward P/E: 11.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.86%, paying out 3% of earnings.
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. employs 1,785 people — $744K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research’s headline describes Texas Capital (TCBI) as a strong momentum stock and points readers to Zacks Style Scores, a feature of its Zacks Premium research service.
Why it matters — TCBI watchers may note the article’s positive momentum framing and its reference to Zacks’ stock-rating feature.
Seeking Alpha published a transcript of Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.’s Q3 2026 earnings call.
Why it matters — The transcript provides TCBI watchers with the company’s remarks during its quarterly earnings call.
Zacks Investment Research says Texas Capital’s Q3 revenue and EPS offer a view of performance for the quarter ended September 2026, and highlights comparing key metrics with Wall Street estimates and year-ago figures.
Why it matters — Those comparisons provide additional context for TCBI watchers assessing the quarter’s reported performance.
Texas Capital Bancshares reported record third-quarter results, with growth in net interest income and fee-based businesses lifting revenue and earnings. Management raised portions of its full-year outlook and outlined further investment in frontline talent.
Why it matters — TCBI watchers may note the record results, outlook changes, and planned investment in frontline talent.
Texas Capital reported quarterly earnings of $2.35 per share, topping the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.94. Earnings were $2.18 per share in the year-ago quarter.
Why it matters — TCBI watchers may note that quarterly earnings exceeded the consensus estimate and were higher than a year earlier.
The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $106, with estimates ranging from $100 to $113. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 13 analysts covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. 66 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Oct 2026, Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. ranks 66 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (96 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +7.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. 66 out of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TCBI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $100 to $113 over the next 12 months.
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. returned +20.9% over the 12 months to 22 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. is a bank holding company and full-service financial services firm headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 23 Oct 2026): "Here's Why Texas Capital (TCBI) is a Strong Momentum Stock". Zacks Investment Research’s headline describes Texas Capital (TCBI) as a strong momentum stock and points readers to Zacks Style Scores, a feature of its Zacks Premium research service.
Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. is a bank holding company and full-service financial services firm headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Through Texas Capital Bank and its affiliated businesses, the company provides commercial banking, consumer banking, investment banking, wealth management, and treasury management services. Its offerings are designed for businesses, entrepreneurs, professional service firms, real estate developers, not-for-profit organizations, and individual clients. The firm focuses on customized solutions that support deposits, lending, cash management, capital markets activity, and advisory needs across a range of industries. Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. plays a notable role in the U.S. regional banking market, combining relationship-based banking with specialized financial services for middle-market clients and other commercial customers.
CEO Mr. Robert C. Holmes · 1,785 employees · United States · https://texascapitalbank.com
