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TCBITCBIFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

TCBI Stock Forecast: Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 9 Sept 2026
$98
−0.13% on the day

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $110 — +12.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 53 of 100 as at 8 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$4.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
53 / 100
Median analyst target
$110
Analysts covering
13
Revenue$335.5M+9.1% y/y
Net income$84.9M
Free cash flow$93.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+2.0%
1M
−1.6%
YTD
+8.2%
1Y
+13.2%
From 52W high
−9.3%
From 52W low
+27.1%
$77
$108
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TCBI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Sept 2026
53 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
98
Growth
75
Value
64
Momentum
62
Quality
50
Revisions
44
Accruals
26
Size
25
Volatility
23

Issuance (98): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Volatility (23): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TCBI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TCBI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$80$90$100$110$120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TCBIHigh $115Median $110Low $100

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says13 analysts
4 Buy8 Hold1 Sell
Low $100Median $110High $115

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
3 Aug 2026BarclaysUpgradeEqual-Weight$100
27 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$109 → $106
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$105 → $107
23 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight$116 → $112
23 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
1 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
1 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight$105 → $110
30 June 2026CitigroupUpgradeNeutral—
30 June 2026CitigroupUpgradeNeutral$96 → $105
28 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsSell—
24 Apr 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
24 Apr 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
1 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
26 Jan 2026CitigroupMaintainsSell—
26 Jan 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
23 Jan 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight—
23 Jan 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
23 Jan 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
23 Jan 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TCBI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

TCBI vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 9 Sept 2026, Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. returned +13.2% against +18.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TCBI vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
9095100105110115120125Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TCBIS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TCBI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−2.9%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
9
Fundamentals

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.7×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.4×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 65% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.6%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
9.9%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
36.7%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Net margin
28.7%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
10.2%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.1%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.8%

Higher than 18% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. has a market value of $4.3B and an enterprise value of $1.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.3B. The latest quarter grew 8.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $364.6M, a 27.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.69.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $471.9M.

  • Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. spent $241.1M on share buybacks and $17.3M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 43.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.7×; forward P/E: 11.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.82%, paying out 3% of earnings.

  • Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. employs 1,785 people — $744K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 8 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TCBI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TCBITexas Capital Bancshares, Inc.$4.3B
53
IBOCInternational Bancshares Corp.$4.4B
49
FBPFirst BanCorp (Puerto Rico)$4.4B
95
FULTFulton Financial Corp.$4.5B
58
SFBSServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.$4.7B
50
UCBUnited Community Banks, Inc.$4.2B
51
CATYCathay General Bancorp$4.2B
87

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TCBI news & analysis

Texas Capital Bancshares: The 7% Preferred Stock Is Attractive

Seeking Alpha · 23 Aug 2026positive

Texas Capital Bancshares reported robust earnings growth in H1 2026, with EPS up double digits and strong balance sheet expansion. The article highlights that TCBI covers preferred dividends with just 5% of net profit, giving a coverage ratio near 2000%, and describes the Series B preferred (TCBIO) as offering a 6.96% yield at $20.66, non-cumulative and callable at $25.

Why it matters — A TCBI watcher would care because the article assesses the attractiveness and security of the company's preferred stock, which reflects on its earnings strength and capital position.

Texas Capital's TXS and OILT to Become First Primary Listings on the Texas Stock Exchange

GlobeNewsWire · 18 Aug 2026positive

Texas Capital's TXS and OILT exchange-traded products are set to become the first primary listings on the Texas Stock Exchange (TXSE), with the two Texas-focused funds expected to participate in TXSE's inaugural opening auction for exchange-traded products this September.

Why it matters — A Texas Capital watcher would care because these fund listings position the company as an early participant in the newly launched Texas Stock Exchange, expanding its exchange-traded product presence in its home market.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TCBI stock

What is the TCBI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $110, with estimates ranging from $100 to $115. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TCBI stock a buy right now?

Of the 13 analysts covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. 53 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TCBI?

As at 8 Sept 2026, Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. ranks 53 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (98 of 100).

Will TCBI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +12.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. 53 out of 100 as at 8 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TCBI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TCBI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $100 to $115 over the next 12 months.

How has TCBI stock performed over the past year?

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. returned +13.2% over the 12 months to 9 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. do?

Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. is a bank holding company and full-service financial services firm headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

What is the latest news on TCBI?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 23 Aug 2026): "Texas Capital Bancshares: The 7% Preferred Stock Is Attractive". Texas Capital Bancshares reported robust earnings growth in H1 2026, with EPS up double digits and strong balance sheet expansion. The article highlights that TCBI covers preferred dividends with just 5% of net profit, giving a coverage ratio near 2000%, and describes the Series B preferred (TCBIO) as offering a 6.96% yield at $20.66, non-cumulative and callable at $25.

Company

About Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.

Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. is a bank holding company and full-service financial services firm headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Through Texas Capital Bank and its affiliated businesses, the company provides commercial banking, consumer banking, investment banking, wealth management, and treasury management services. Its offerings are designed for businesses, entrepreneurs, professional service firms, real estate developers, not-for-profit organizations, and individual clients. The firm focuses on customized solutions that support deposits, lending, cash management, capital markets activity, and advisory needs across a range of industries. Texas Capital Bancshares Inc. plays a notable role in the U.S. regional banking market, combining relationship-based banking with specialized financial services for middle-market clients and other commercial customers.

CEO Mr. Robert C. Holmes · 1,785 employees · United States · https://texascapitalbank.com