TSLAConsumer Cyclical · Auto ManufacturersThe 44 Wall Street analysts covering Tesla, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $436 — +9.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 29 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Tesla, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (70): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Issuance (23): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TSLA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.4% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Upgrade | Overweight | $370 → $450 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | BNP Paribas | Upgrade | Neutral | $266 → $420 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | $410 → $442 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Overweight | $485 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | CLSA | Upgrade | Hold | $310 → $400 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | GLJ Research | Reiterates | Sell | $25 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $415 → $430 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | $450 → $460 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $400 → $410 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Needham | Reiterates | Hold | — |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $450 → $475 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Outperform | $480 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | StoneX | Reiterates | Buy | $475 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Reiterates | Buy | $460 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $391 → $425 |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Overweight | $485 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | GLJ Research | Reiterates | Sell | $25 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | GLJ Research | Reiterates | Sell | — |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | $350 → $400 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
TSLA appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 3 Nov 2026, Tesla, Inc. returned −14.9% against +11.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 2% of US stocks
Cheaper than 10% of US stocks
Cheaper than 5% of US stocks
Cheaper than 1% of US stocks
Higher than 28% of US stocks
Higher than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 17% of US stocks
Higher than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 51% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Tesla, Inc. has a market value of $1.6T and an enterprise value of $1.5T.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $103.6B. The latest quarter shrank 0.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $3.9B, a 3.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.08.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.8B, after $12.9B of capital spending.
Trailing P/E: 437.9×; forward P/E: 184.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Tesla, Inc. employs 134,785 people — $769K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| TSLATesla, Inc. | $1.6T | 29 |
| GMGeneral Motors Co. | $77.5B | 69 |
| FFord Motor Co. | $49.1B | 48 |
| AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.* | $2.7T | 35 |
| RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc. | $19.2B | 22 |
| HDThe Home Depot, Inc.* | $332.2B | 39 |
| MCDMcDonald's Corp.* | $186.1B | 62 |
* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few auto manufacturers companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Tesla, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Tesla and SpaceX shares fell in premarket trading after a string of Democratic victories in Texas, according to Business Insider.
Why it matters — The reported decline in Tesla shares is relevant to TSLA watchers amid the political developments linked in the article to Elon Musk’s election bet.
The Motley Fool says SpaceX is growing rapidly, supported by multiple growth drivers, and argues a merger with Tesla likely would not positively affect investor returns.
Why it matters — The article directly discusses a possible SpaceX-Tesla merger and its potential implications for Tesla investors.
Tesla shares fell sharply in premarket trading after Democratic candidates swept the midterm elections, defeating Republicans backed by Elon Musk with hundreds of millions of dollars.
Why it matters — The report links Tesla’s premarket share decline to the election outcome and Musk’s political support.
The Motley Fool headline predicts SpaceX stock will rise sharply after Nov. 6. Its excerpt says longtime Tesla and SpaceX supporter Ron Baron’s firm, Baron Capital, will hold its annual investment conference that day.
Why it matters — A Tesla watcher may note the connection through Ron Baron’s longtime support of both Tesla and SpaceX, although the excerpt provides no specific Tesla news.
Tesla shares were lower after Democrats secured major wins in the midterm elections. AI-related stocks had a mixed premarket session on Wednesday.
Why it matters — The report links a decline in Tesla shares with the election results, a development relevant to TSLA watchers.
The 44 Wall Street analysts covering Tesla, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $436, with estimates ranging from $128 to $600. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 44 analysts covering Tesla, Inc., 20 rate it a Buy, 22 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Tesla, Inc. 29 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Nov 2026, Tesla, Inc. ranks 29 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (70 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 44 analysts implies +9.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Tesla, Inc. 29 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Tesla, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TSLA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $128 to $600 over the next 12 months.
Tesla, Inc. returned -14.9% over the 12 months to 3 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Tesla, Inc. is an American technology and automotive company focused on electric vehicles, battery energy storage, and related software and services.
The most recent item we track (Business Insider, 4 Nov 2026): "Tesla and SpaceX shares drop after Elon Musk's election bet backfires". Tesla and SpaceX shares fell in premarket trading after a string of Democratic victories in Texas, according to Business Insider.
Tesla, Inc. is an American technology and automotive company focused on electric vehicles, battery energy storage, and related software and services. Tesla designs and produces a broad range of passenger vehicles, including sedans and SUVs, while also supplying energy storage products for homes, businesses, and utility-scale projects. The company’s business also includes charging infrastructure, vehicle software, connected services, and service support, which together create an integrated mobility and energy ecosystem. Tesla plays a significant role in the global transition toward electrification by serving consumers, commercial fleets, and energy customers across multiple markets. Headquartered in Austin, Texas, Tesla, Inc. is widely recognized for combining automotive manufacturing with energy and software capabilities in a single platform.
CEO Mr. Elon R. Musk · 134,785 employees · United States · https://www.tesla.com
