TSLAConsumer Cyclical · Auto ManufacturersThe 44 Wall Street analysts covering Tesla, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $413 — +12.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 33 of 100 as at 13 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Tesla, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (71): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Issuance (22): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TSLA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | Tigress Financial | Maintains | Buy | $550 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $385 → $391 |
| 28 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 28 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $445 → $415 |
| 25 Sept 2026 | StoneX | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 25 Sept 2026 | StoneX | Reiterates | Buy | $475 |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Reiterates | Neutral | $360 |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Reiterates | Neutral | — |
| 4 Sept 2026 | GLJ Research | Reiterates | Sell | — |
| 4 Sept 2026 | GLJ Research | Reiterates | Sell | $25 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | StoneX | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | StoneX | Reiterates | Buy | $475 |
| 18 Aug 2026 | GLJ Research | Reiterates | Sell | $25 |
| 18 Aug 2026 | GLJ Research | Reiterates | Sell | — |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | $508 → $491 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 24 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $500 → $450 |
| 24 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | $450 → $410 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TSLA appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Tesla, Inc. returned −14.5% against +18.7% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 2% of US stocks
Cheaper than 11% of US stocks
Cheaper than 5% of US stocks
Cheaper than 2% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 17% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Tesla, Inc. has a market value of $1.5T and an enterprise value of $1.5T.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $103.6B. The latest quarter grew 25.5% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $3.9B, a 3.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.08.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.8B, after $12.9B of capital spending.
Trailing P/E: 347.4×; forward P/E: 172.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Tesla, Inc. employs 134,785 people — $769K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| TSLATesla, Inc. | $1.5T | 33 |
| GMGeneral Motors Co. | $73.7B | 73 |
| FFord Motor Co. | $48.2B | 60 |
| AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.* | $2.8T | 48 |
| RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc. | $19.4B | 24 |
| HDThe Home Depot, Inc.* | $292.6B | 36 |
| MCDMcDonald's Corp.* | $166.9B | 63 |
* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few auto manufacturers companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Tesla, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Tesla has more than 100 Cybercabs operating in Austin, where its robotaxi service is available from 6 a.m.
Why it matters — The Austin fleet size and service hours provide details about Tesla's robotaxi operations.
MarketBeat reports that Tesla, which already designs its own chips, is considering a further step beyond chip design. The excerpt frames the ambition as part of Tesla’s broader AI and robotics positioning.
Why it matters — The potential expansion of Tesla’s chip ambitions could matter to watchers tracking its technology and AI strategy.
Tesla’s Q2 revenue rose 26% year over year, but the article highlights a 1.4% operating margin, negative free cash flow of about $1.1 billion, and weaker automotive and energy margins. It also says GAAP net income relied heavily on mark-to-market gains from SpaceX holdings.
Why it matters — The reported margin pressure, cash outflow, and reliance on investment gains are central to assessing Tesla’s financial performance.
The Seeking Alpha item keeps Tesla rated Hold, citing Q3 vehicle deliveries above expectations but 2% below last year, along with automotive margin, pricing and regulatory-credit risks. It also notes battery storage as a diversification opportunity, while Q3 deployments missed expectations by 14% and margin sustainability remains uncertain amid competition and tariff pressures.
Why it matters — Tesla watchers may weigh mixed delivery results and storage potential against risks to automotive earnings and uncertainty about storage margins.
Zacks Investment Research says Tesla lacks the combination of two key ingredients associated with a likely earnings beat ahead of its upcoming Q3 report, and highlights key expectations for the results.
Why it matters — TSLA watchers may want to note the source's cautious assessment of the likelihood of an earnings beat ahead of the Q3 report.
The 44 Wall Street analysts covering Tesla, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $413, with estimates ranging from $128 to $600. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 44 analysts covering Tesla, Inc., 19 rate it a Buy, 21 a Hold and 4 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Tesla, Inc. 33 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 13 Oct 2026, Tesla, Inc. ranks 33 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (71 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 44 analysts implies +12.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Tesla, Inc. 33 out of 100 as at 13 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Tesla, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TSLA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $128 to $600 over the next 12 months.
Tesla, Inc. returned -14.5% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Tesla, Inc. is an American technology and automotive company focused on electric vehicles, battery energy storage, and related software and services.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 14 Oct 2026): "Tesla Just Launched the Cybercab in Austin. Here's How Many People Can Actually Hail One.". Tesla has more than 100 Cybercabs operating in Austin, where its robotaxi service is available from 6 a.m.
Tesla, Inc. is an American technology and automotive company focused on electric vehicles, battery energy storage, and related software and services. Tesla designs and produces a broad range of passenger vehicles, including sedans and SUVs, while also supplying energy storage products for homes, businesses, and utility-scale projects. The company’s business also includes charging infrastructure, vehicle software, connected services, and service support, which together create an integrated mobility and energy ecosystem. Tesla plays a significant role in the global transition toward electrification by serving consumers, commercial fleets, and energy customers across multiple markets. Headquartered in Austin, Texas, Tesla, Inc. is widely recognized for combining automotive manufacturing with energy and software capabilities in a single platform.
CEO Mr. Elon R. Musk · 134,785 employees · United States · https://www.tesla.com
