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TSLA Stock Forecast: Tesla, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$342
+0.68% on the day

The 47 Wall Street analysts covering Tesla, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $415 — +21.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 31 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$1.3T
Ticker Nerd rank
31 / 100
Median analyst target
$415
Analysts covering
47
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.2%
1M
−13.6%
YTD
−23.9%
1Y
+2.0%
From 52W high
−30.1%
From 52W low
+14.7%
$298
$490
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TSLA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Tesla, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 13 Aug 2026
31 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
71
Accruals
67
Momentum
61
Growth
60
Revisions
54
Volatility
31
Value
26
Issuance
19
Size
0

Quality (71): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Issuance (19): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TSLA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TSLA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$200$300$400$500$600Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TSLAHigh $600Median $415Low $125

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says47 analysts
23 Buy19 Hold5 Sell
Low $125Median $415High $600

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +21.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 8 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
3 Aug 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$508 → $491
24 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$500 → $450
24 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
23 July 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
23 July 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$450 → $410
23 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
23 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight$510 → $485
23 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$475 → $445
23 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
23 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$480 → $450
23 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
23 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$417 → $400
23 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
23 July 2026NeedhamReiteratesHold—
23 July 2026NeedhamReiteratesHold—
23 July 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform$500
23 July 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform—
23 July 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsBuy—
23 July 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsBuy$505
23 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$490 → $460

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TSLA appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

TSLA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−13.2%
Analysts raising
6
Analysts cutting
18
Fundamentals

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
311.9×

Cheaper than 2% of US stocks

Price / sales
12.5×

Cheaper than 13% of US stocks

Price / book
14.9×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
117.8×

Cheaper than 2% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
25.5%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−4.9%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Gross margin
16.8%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Operating margin
1.4%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Net margin
3.7%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
4.7%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.9%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

TSLA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Manufacturers
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TSLATesla, Inc.$1.3T
31
GMGeneral Motors Co.$75.8B
77
FFord Motor Co.$55.3B
61
AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.*$2.9T
50
RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.$22.9B
31
HDThe Home Depot, Inc.*$340.2B
39
MCDMcDonald's Corp.*$192.7B
64

* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few auto manufacturers companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Tesla, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TSLA news & analysis

Direxion Discusses SPCX, TSLA & Rise of Single Stock Leverage ETFs

Schwab Network · 14 Aug 2026neutral

Direxion's Global ETF Strategist Bilal Little discussed the firm's new single-stock leveraged ETFs, including a Daily SpaceX Bear 2x ETF (LOFD), on Schwab Network. He noted how the firm is boosting exposure for stocks like SpaceX, while cautioning about the risks of such products.

Why it matters — TSLA watchers may find this relevant as it reflects the growing trend of single-stock leveraged ETFs, which could influence trading dynamics and volatility in the broader market for high-profile stocks like Tesla.

Stock Market Today, Aug. 14: Tesla Gains on TD Cowen Buy Reiteration and $460 Target

The Motley Fool · 14 Aug 2026positive

On Aug. 14, 2026, Tesla's stock rose following TD Cowen's reiteration of a buy rating and a $460 price target. The gain added to a two-week rally for the shares.

Why it matters — TSLA watchers would care because positive analyst reinforcement from a major firm can influence investor confidence and support the stock's recent upward momentum.

EV prices are rising again as automakers pull back on discounts

Business Insider · 14 Aug 2026neutral

According to Kelley Blue Book, the average transaction price for EVs rose to $56,126 in July, a 1.6% increase compared to July of the previous year. The report notes EV prices are rising again as automakers pull back on discounts.

Why it matters — A shift toward higher EV prices and reduced discounting could influence pricing dynamics and competitive pressure that TSLA faces in the electric-vehicle market.

Elon Musk Rumored to Unveil ‘Flying' Car Soon as Tesla Stock Is Down 24% YTD

24/7 Wall Street · 14 Aug 2026neutral

According to The Information, citing sources familiar with the plans, Tesla's long-delayed next-generation Roadster is expected to briefly lift off the ground at SpaceX's rocket test site in McGregor, Texas, in a demonstration that could come as soon as August 2026.

Why it matters — A TSLA watcher would care because this reported demonstration could signal progress on Tesla's long-awaited next-generation Roadster and its integration of SpaceX technology.

What's Going On With Tesla Stock Today?

Benzinga · 14 Aug 2026positive

Tesla shares fluctuated on Friday as TD Cowen reiterated a Buy rating on the stock and kept its price target unchanged at $460.

Why it matters — A reaffirmed Buy rating and unchanged price target from TD Cowen signals continued analyst confidence in Tesla's outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TSLA stock

What is the TSLA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 47 Wall Street analysts covering Tesla, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $415, with estimates ranging from $125 to $600. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TSLA stock a buy right now?

Of the 47 analysts covering Tesla, Inc., 23 rate it a Buy, 19 a Hold and 5 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Tesla, Inc. 31 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TSLA?

As at 13 Aug 2026, Tesla, Inc. ranks 31 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (71 of 100).

Will TSLA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 47 analysts implies +21.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Tesla, Inc. 31 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TSLA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Tesla, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TSLA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $125 to $600 over the next 12 months.

How has TSLA stock performed over the past year?

Tesla, Inc. returned +2.0% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Tesla, Inc. do?

Tesla, Inc. is an American automotive and clean energy company headquartered in Austin, Texas.

What is the latest news on TSLA?

The most recent item we track (Schwab Network, 14 Aug 2026): "Direxion Discusses SPCX, TSLA & Rise of Single Stock Leverage ETFs". Direxion's Global ETF Strategist Bilal Little discussed the firm's new single-stock leveraged ETFs, including a Daily SpaceX Bear 2x ETF (LOFD), on Schwab Network. He noted how the firm is boosting exposure for stocks like SpaceX, while cautioning about the risks of such products.

Company

About Tesla, Inc.

Tesla, Inc. is an American automotive and clean energy company headquartered in Austin, Texas. It focuses on the design, development, manufacture, leasing, and sale of battery electric vehicles for the global mass market, spanning segments from passenger cars and crossover SUVs to light trucks and commercial vehicles. Tesla, Inc. also develops and sells energy generation and storage systems, including solar panels, solar roofs, and stationary battery storage solutions for residential, commercial, and utility-scale applications. The company operates through two main business segments: Automotive, which encompasses vehicles, regulatory credits, after-sales services, used vehicles, supercharging, retail merchandise, and vehicle insurance; and Energy Generation and Storage, which covers solar and storage products, installation services, maintenance, and financing options for customers. Through this integrated approach to transportation and energy, Tesla, Inc. plays a significant role in the global auto manufacturing and renewable energy industries, serving customers in the United States, China, and international markets.

CEO Mr. Elon R. Musk · 134,785 employees · United States · https://www.tesla.com