TICKERNERD
Menu
TSLATSLAConsumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

TSLA Stock Forecast: Tesla, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 9 Oct 2026
$383
+2.05% on the day

The 43 Wall Street analysts covering Tesla, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $410 — +7.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 35 of 100 as at 10 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$1.5T
Ticker Nerd rank
35 / 100
Median analyst target
$410
Analysts covering
43
Revenue$28.2B+25.5% y/y
Operating income$398.0M
Net income$1.1B
Free cash flow−$1.1B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.3%
1M
+4.0%
YTD
−14.9%
1Y
−12.1%
From 52W high
−21.9%
From 52W low
+28.3%
$298
$490
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TSLA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Tesla, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 10 Oct 2026
35 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
71
Accruals
67
Momentum
65
Revisions
60
Growth
59
Volatility
28
Value
25
Issuance
22
Size
0

Quality (71): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Issuance (22): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TSLA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TSLA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$200$300$400$500$600Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TSLAHigh $600Median $410Low $128

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says43 analysts
19 Buy20 Hold4 Sell
Low $128Median $410High $600

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +7.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 Oct 2026Tigress FinancialMaintainsBuy$550
7 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$385 → $391
28 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
28 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$445 → $415
25 Sept 2026StoneXReiteratesBuy—
25 Sept 2026StoneXReiteratesBuy$475
16 Sept 2026Goldman SachsReiteratesNeutral$360
16 Sept 2026Goldman SachsReiteratesNeutral—
4 Sept 2026GLJ ResearchReiteratesSell—
4 Sept 2026GLJ ResearchReiteratesSell$25
3 Sept 2026StoneXReiteratesBuy—
3 Sept 2026StoneXReiteratesBuy$475
18 Aug 2026GLJ ResearchReiteratesSell$25
18 Aug 2026GLJ ResearchReiteratesSell—
3 Aug 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$508 → $491
3 Aug 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
24 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$500 → $450
24 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
23 July 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
23 July 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$450 → $410

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TSLA appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

TSLA vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 9 Oct 2026, Tesla, Inc. returned −12.1% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TSLA vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TSLAS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TSLA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−17.3%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
354.4×

Cheaper than 2% of US stocks

Price / sales
14.6×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

Price / book
17.4×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
136.3×

Cheaper than 2% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
25.5%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−4.9%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Gross margin
16.8%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Operating margin
1.4%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Net margin
3.7%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
4.7%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.9%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Tesla, Inc. has a market value of $1.5T and an enterprise value of $1.5T.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $103.6B. The latest quarter grew 25.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $3.9B, a 3.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.08.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.8B, after $12.9B of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 3.9B.

  • Trailing P/E: 354.4×; forward P/E: 175.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Tesla, Inc. employs 134,785 people — $769K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 12 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TSLA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Manufacturers
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TSLATesla, Inc.$1.5T
35
GMGeneral Motors Co.$72.6B
71
FFord Motor Co.$48.5B
59
AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.*$2.8T
50
RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.$20.2B
29
HDThe Home Depot, Inc.*$289.4B
36
MCDMcDonald's Corp.*$166.5B
63

* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few auto manufacturers companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Tesla, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TSLA news & analysis

Forget the Recent Delivery Beat: Here's the Key Number That Will Decide Investors' Reaction to Tesla's Earnings

The Motley Fool · 11 Oct 2026neutral

The article says multiple factors are affecting Tesla’s margins in both positive and negative ways. It identifies production scale and new technologies as possible drivers of long-term margin improvement.

Why it matters — Tesla’s margins are a key consideration for investors assessing the company’s earnings and the factors that may shape them over time.

Tesla Shares Surge: What's Driving the Latest Rally

The Motley Fool · 10 Oct 2026neutral

Tesla shares rallied after the company reported third-quarter vehicle deliveries that beat Wall Street estimates. The excerpt also notes that the shares remain very expensive and that Tesla faces increasing global competition.

Why it matters — TSLA watchers may weigh the delivery beat against the valuation and competitive challenges noted in the item.

Why is Tesla stock gaining today?

Invezz · 9 Oct 2026positive

Tesla shares rose 2.24% on Friday as investors assessed Elon Musk’s plans for a major semiconductor project, improving sales of China-made vehicles and analysts’ expectations for the company’s AI ambitions.

Why it matters — The gains came as investors weighed developments in Tesla’s semiconductor plans, China-made vehicle sales and AI ambitions.

Tesla drops 'Full Self-Driving' brand name in Europe after regulator pushback

CNBC · 9 Oct 2026neutral

Tesla renamed its “Full Self-Driving (Supervised)” system to “Assisted Driving” in Europe following pressure from German regulators. The system is marketed in the U.S. for $99 per month under its former brand name.

Why it matters — The name change reflects regulatory pressure on how Tesla brands its driver-assistance system in Europe.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TSLA stock

What is the TSLA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 43 Wall Street analysts covering Tesla, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $410, with estimates ranging from $128 to $600. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TSLA stock a buy right now?

Of the 43 analysts covering Tesla, Inc., 19 rate it a Buy, 20 a Hold and 4 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Tesla, Inc. 35 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 10 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TSLA?

As at 10 Oct 2026, Tesla, Inc. ranks 35 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (71 of 100).

Will TSLA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 43 analysts implies +7.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Tesla, Inc. 35 out of 100 as at 10 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TSLA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Tesla, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TSLA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $128 to $600 over the next 12 months.

How has TSLA stock performed over the past year?

Tesla, Inc. returned -12.1% over the 12 months to 9 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Tesla, Inc. do?

Tesla, Inc. is an American technology and automotive company focused on electric vehicles, battery energy storage, and related software and services.

What is the latest news on TSLA?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 11 Oct 2026): "Forget the Recent Delivery Beat: Here's the Key Number That Will Decide Investors' Reaction to Tesla's Earnings". The article says multiple factors are affecting Tesla’s margins in both positive and negative ways. It identifies production scale and new technologies as possible drivers of long-term margin improvement.

Company

About Tesla, Inc.

Tesla, Inc. is an American technology and automotive company focused on electric vehicles, battery energy storage, and related software and services. Tesla designs and produces a broad range of passenger vehicles, including sedans and SUVs, while also supplying energy storage products for homes, businesses, and utility-scale projects. The company’s business also includes charging infrastructure, vehicle software, connected services, and service support, which together create an integrated mobility and energy ecosystem. Tesla plays a significant role in the global transition toward electrification by serving consumers, commercial fleets, and energy customers across multiple markets. Headquartered in Austin, Texas, Tesla, Inc. is widely recognized for combining automotive manufacturing with energy and software capabilities in a single platform.

CEO Mr. Elon R. Musk · 134,785 employees · United States · https://www.tesla.com