ULTAConsumer Cyclical · Specialty RetailThe 27 Wall Street analysts covering Ulta Beauty, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $633 — +23.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 53 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Ulta Beauty, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (79): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Accruals (30): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (10): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ULTA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +23.9% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 14 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 June 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $700 → $600 |
| 4 June 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $600 → $560 |
| 3 June 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Neutral | $600 → $500 |
| 3 June 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | $730 → $700 |
| 3 June 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $712 → $647 |
| 3 June 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | $799 → $731 |
| 3 June 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $650 → $585 |
| 3 June 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $675 → $635 |
| 3 June 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | $741 → $652 |
| 3 June 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $750 → $631 |
| 3 June 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $700 → $630 |
| 3 June 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $725 → $600 |
| 3 June 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $810 → $735 |
| 3 June 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | $475 → $450 |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Jefferies | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 14 Apr 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 Mar 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ULTA appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 40% of US stocks
Cheaper than 57% of US stocks
Cheaper than 14% of US stocks
Cheaper than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 56% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 97% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Ulta Beauty, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Ulta Beauty announced it will release its second quarter fiscal 2026 financial results on August 27, 2026. The announcement was made via a Business Wire press release from the company's headquarters in Bolingbrook, Illinois.
Why it matters — This earnings date notice alerts investors and analysts to mark their calendars for the company's next quarterly financial update.
Zacks Investment Research published an article highlighting that Ulta Beauty (ULTA) possesses solid growth attributes that could help it outperform the market. The piece identifies three reasons growth investors should not overlook the company.
Why it matters — A ULTA watcher would care because the article points to the company's growth characteristics as a reason for investor attention.
Zacks reports that Ulta has a strong history of earnings surprises and currently has the key ingredients needed to potentially beat estimates in its next quarterly report.
Why it matters — ULTA watchers would care because a continued pattern of earnings beats could signal the company's ongoing operational strength and ability to exceed market expectations.
Ulta Beauty is enhancing its omnichannel strategy by focusing on digital growth, loyalty programs, artificial intelligence, and social commerce to boost customer engagement.
Why it matters — For ULTA watchers, the company's investment in omnichannel capabilities could be key to sustaining customer engagement and driving future business growth.
Zacks Investment Research examined the influence of analyst recommendations on Ulta (ULTA) stock, questioning whether brokerage-firm-employed analyst rating changes truly matter for investors making buy, sell, or hold decisions.
Why it matters — ULTA watchers would care because the article explores how sell-side analyst opinions may impact the stock's price and whether those ratings should factor into investment decisions.
The 27 Wall Street analysts covering Ulta Beauty, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $633, with estimates ranging from $450 to $735. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 27 analysts covering Ulta Beauty, Inc., 19 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Ulta Beauty, Inc. 53 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 15 Aug 2026, Ulta Beauty, Inc. ranks 53 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (79 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 27 analysts implies +23.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Ulta Beauty, Inc. 53 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Ulta Beauty, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ULTA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $450 to $735 over the next 12 months.
Ulta Beauty, Inc. returned -2.9% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Ulta Beauty Inc. is a specialty beauty retailer offering a comprehensive range of cosmetics, skincare, haircare, fragrance, and bath and body products.
The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 13 Aug 2026): "Ulta Beauty to Report Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Results on August 27, 2026". Ulta Beauty announced it will release its second quarter fiscal 2026 financial results on August 27, 2026. The announcement was made via a Business Wire press release from the company's headquarters in Bolingbrook, Illinois.
Ulta Beauty Inc. is a specialty beauty retailer offering a comprehensive range of cosmetics, skincare, haircare, fragrance, and bath and body products. The company operates a single, integrated business model that combines retail stores, in-store salon services, and e-commerce to serve customers across the United States. Ulta Beauty’s assortment spans mass to prestige brands, as well as professional salon products, beauty tools, and brushes, catering to a wide spectrum of consumer preferences and price points. Its stores typically feature full-service salons providing hair, skin, and brow services, which complement product sales and create a one-stop beauty destination. Ulta Beauty also sells products through its digital platforms, integrating online and in-store experiences such as buy-online-pickup-in-store. Founded in 1990 and headquartered in Bolingbrook, Illinois, Ulta Beauty plays a significant role in the U.S. beauty market as a multibrand retailer that bridges the gap between drugstore and high-end beauty offerings.
CEO Ms. Kecia L. Steelman · 21,382 employees · United States · https://www.ulta.com