UMBFUMBFFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

UMBF Stock Forecast: UMB Financial Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 30 Oct 2026
$134
−1.24% on the day

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering UMB Financial Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $162 — +20.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 74 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$10.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
74/ 100
Median analyst target
$162
Analysts covering
16
Revenue$723.1M+14.2% y/y
Net income$277.6M
Free cash flow$330.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.8%
1M
+3.4%
YTD
+18.1%
1Y
+26.8%
From 52W high
−11.3%
From 52W low
+31.1%
$103
$152
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

UMBF stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores UMB Financial Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 31 Oct 2026
74/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
96
Growth
88
Quality
84
Momentum
63
Value
53
Accruals
48
Issuance
44
Volatility
21
Size
15

Revisions (96): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Volatility (21): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (15): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

UMBF stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on UMBF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$120$140$160$180Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26UMBFHigh $182Median $162Low $145

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says16 analysts
13 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $145Median $162High $182

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +20.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 8 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
29 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$162 → $145
29 Oct 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$181 → $169
29 Oct 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$152 → $154
20 Oct 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$170 → $156
9 Oct 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
9 Oct 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$170 → $168
5 Oct 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$166 → $152
5 Oct 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
1 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$180 → $160
1 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
30 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
30 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$160 → $147
28 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
28 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$190 → $182
14 Sept 2026UBSInitiatesNeutral$155
14 Sept 2026UBSInitiatesNeutral—
8 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$159 → $190
8 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
20 Aug 2026JP MorganInitiatesOverweight$180
20 Aug 2026JP MorganInitiatesOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

UMBF appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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The AI build-out map
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Performance

UMBF vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, UMB Financial Corp. returned +26.8% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

UMBF vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26UMBFS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

UMBF analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.4%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

UMB Financial Corp. (UMBF) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.2×

Cheaper than 57% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.5×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Price / book
1.4×

Cheaper than 58% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.6%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
47.7%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
50.5%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Net margin
35.6%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.5%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.4%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.5%

Higher than 75% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

UMB Financial Corp. (UMBF) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • UMB Financial Corp. has a market value of $10.2B and an enterprise value of $8.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.7B. The latest quarter grew 12.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $942.7M, a 35.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $12.01.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.0B.

  • UMB Financial Corp. spent $154.3M on share buybacks and $151.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 75.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 10.2×; forward P/E: 9.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.49%, paying out 14% of earnings.

  • UMB Financial Corp. employs 5,222 people — $516K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 31 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

UMBF vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
UMBFUMB Financial Corp.$10.2B74
BPOPPopular, Inc.$10.2B81
WTFCWintrust Financial Corp.$10.3B57
CFRCullen/Frost Bankers, Inc.$10.1B65
SSBSouthState Bank Corp.$10.4B47
ZIONZions Bancorporation NA$9.7B90
ONBOld National Bancorp$9.6B51

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own UMB Financial Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest UMBF news & analysis

Here's Why UMB Financial (UMBF) is a Strong Momentum Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 30 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights its Style Scores as a feature of Zacks Premium, saying they can help investors identify stocks across value, growth, and momentum styles. The headline characterizes UMB Financial as a strong momentum stock.

Why it matters — The item presents UMBF through a momentum-investing lens and points readers to the Zacks Style Scores.

Here's Why UMB Financial (UMBF) is a Strong Value Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 29 Oct 2026positive

A Zacks Investment Research headline describes UMB Financial (UMBF) as a strong value stock. The excerpt says Zacks Style Scores are a feature of its Premium research service intended to make finding stocks easier for value, growth, or momentum investors.

Why it matters — UMBF watchers may note the article’s value-stock framing and its reference to Zacks Style Scores.

UMB Financial Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 29 Oct 2026positive

UMB Financial reported third-quarter 2026 net income of $272.3 million, or $3.56 per share. Loan growth, fee income momentum and stable net interest margin supported an operating return on tangible common equity of 19.5%.

Why it matters — The results highlight earnings and operating metrics that UMBF watchers may track.

UMB Financial Corporation (UMBF) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 28 Oct 2026neutral

The excerpt identifies UMB Financial Corporation’s Q3 2026 earnings call, held October 28, 2026, and lists company executives and conference-call participants. It provides no earnings results or substantive discussion.

Why it matters — UMBF watchers can note that the call took place, but this excerpt contains no financial or operational details to assess.

UMBF Q3 Earnings Beat on Higher NII, El Dorado Buyout Deal Announced

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Oct 2026positive

UMB Financial reported Q3'26 earnings that beat expectations, supported by strong net interest income and fee income growth. It also announced a $506 million acquisition of El Dorado to expand its branch network.

Why it matters — The earnings beat and announced acquisition are relevant to UMBF watchers assessing the company’s financial performance and branch-network expansion.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about UMBF stock

What is the UMBF stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering UMB Financial Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $162, with estimates ranging from $145 to $182. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is UMBF stock a buy right now?

Of the 16 analysts covering UMB Financial Corp., 13 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks UMB Financial Corp. 74 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank UMBF?

As at 31 Oct 2026, UMB Financial Corp. ranks 74 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (96 of 100).

Will UMBF stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +20.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks UMB Financial Corp. 74 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the UMBF stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering UMB Financial Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for UMBF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $145 to $182 over the next 12 months.

How has UMBF stock performed over the past year?

UMB Financial Corp. returned +26.8% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does UMB Financial Corp. do?

UMB Financial Corporation is a financial services holding company headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri. Through its core banking businesses, UMB Financial Corporation provides commercial banking, institutional banking, and personal banking services to a broad client base that includes businesses, public organizations, institutions, and individuals.

What is the latest news on UMBF?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 30 Oct 2026): "Here's Why UMB Financial (UMBF) is a Strong Momentum Stock". Zacks Investment Research highlights its Style Scores as a feature of Zacks Premium, saying they can help investors identify stocks across value, growth, and momentum styles. The headline characterizes UMB Financial as a strong momentum stock.

Company

About UMB Financial Corp.

UMB Financial Corporation is a financial services holding company headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri. Through its core banking businesses, UMB Financial Corporation provides commercial banking, institutional banking, and personal banking services to a broad client base that includes businesses, public organizations, institutions, and individuals. Its offerings span deposit accounts, lending, treasury management, investment services, wealth management, financial planning, asset servicing, corporate trust solutions, investment banking, and healthcare-related financial services. The company serves customers across the United States and internationally, operating through a network of banking and wealth-management centers and related service channels. UMB Financial Corporation plays an important role in the regional and diversified banking market by combining traditional banking services with specialized institutional and advisory capabilities.

CEO Mr. J. Mariner Kemper · 5,222 employees · United States · https://www.umb.com