UMBFFinancial Services · Banks - RegionalThe 16 Wall Street analysts covering UMB Financial Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $166 — +29.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 80 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores UMB Financial Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (94): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Volatility (18): The share price moves around a lot.
Size (16): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on UMBF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +29.5% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $180 → $160 |
| 30 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $160 → $147 |
| 28 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $190 → $182 |
| 14 Sept 2026 | UBS | Initiates | Neutral | $155 |
| 14 Sept 2026 | UBS | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 8 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $159 → $190 |
| 8 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Initiates | Overweight | $180 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $139 → $160 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $161 → $170 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $170 → $175 |
| 31 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $144 → $162 |
| 30 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | $155 → $160 |
| 30 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 30 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $161 → $181 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. UMBF appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, UMB Financial Corp. returned +9.8% against +17.7% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 56% of US stocks
Cheaper than 34% of US stocks
Cheaper than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 97% of US stocks
Higher than 92% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
UMB Financial Corp. has a market value of $9.9B and an enterprise value of $11.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.7B. The latest quarter grew 12.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $942.7M, a 35.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $12.01.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.0B.
UMB Financial Corp. spent $154.3M on share buybacks and $151.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 10.5×; forward P/E: 9.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.57%, paying out 14% of earnings.
UMB Financial Corp. employs 5,222 people — $516K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own UMB Financial Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
UMB Financial Corporation said it will release its third-quarter 2026 earnings results after market hours on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, and announced a conference call to discuss them.
Why it matters — The announcement gives UMBF watchers the timing of the company’s third-quarter results and discussion.
Zacks Investment Research highlights UMB Financial as a top value stock for the long term, using its Zacks Style Scores feature of the Zacks Premium service to identify strong stocks across value, growth, and momentum investing approaches.
Why it matters — The piece signals that UMBF scores well on Zacks' value-focused criteria, which may draw attention from investors screening for long-term value opportunities.
UMB Financial's stock rose 14.7% over the past year, supported by balance sheet growth and resilient net interest income that sustained earnings. However, rising costs and commercial risks continue to weigh on the company's outlook.
Why it matters — UMBF watchers would care because this item highlights the balance between the company's earnings strengths from balance sheet growth and NII against ongoing cost pressures and commercial risk factors that could affect future performance.
Zacks Investment Research published a piece asking whether investors are undervaluing UMB Financial (UMBF), and explains that its analysis uses the Zacks Rank system, which focuses on earnings estimates and estimate revisions, while also tracking value, growth, and momentum trends.
Why it matters — This signals that UMBF is being evaluated by a widely followed research provider using earnings estimates and trend analysis, which could inform how investors assess the stock's valuation.
UMB Financial Corp. (UMBF) shares fell 7.3% over four weeks and are now considered technically oversold, suggesting selling pressure may have exhausted. Analysts have shown strong agreement in raising earnings estimates, which could point to a potential trend reversal for the stock.
Why it matters — A UMBF watcher would care because oversold conditions combined with upward analyst estimate revisions may indicate the recent decline is nearing an end.
The 16 Wall Street analysts covering UMB Financial Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $166, with estimates ranging from $145 to $182. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 16 analysts covering UMB Financial Corp., 13 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks UMB Financial Corp. 80 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 6 Oct 2026, UMB Financial Corp. ranks 80 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (94 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +29.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks UMB Financial Corp. 80 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering UMB Financial Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for UMBF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $145 to $182 over the next 12 months.
UMB Financial Corp. returned +9.8% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
UMB Financial Corporation is a financial services holding company headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri. Through its core banking businesses, UMB Financial Corporation provides commercial banking, institutional banking, and personal banking services to a broad client base that includes businesses, public organizations, institutions, and individuals.
The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 7 Oct 2026): "UMB Announces Conference Call to Discuss Third Quarter 2026 Results". UMB Financial Corporation said it will release its third-quarter 2026 earnings results after market hours on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, and announced a conference call to discuss them.
UMB Financial Corporation is a financial services holding company headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri. Through its core banking businesses, UMB Financial Corporation provides commercial banking, institutional banking, and personal banking services to a broad client base that includes businesses, public organizations, institutions, and individuals. Its offerings span deposit accounts, lending, treasury management, investment services, wealth management, financial planning, asset servicing, corporate trust solutions, investment banking, and healthcare-related financial services. The company serves customers across the United States and internationally, operating through a network of banking and wealth-management centers and related service channels. UMB Financial Corporation plays an important role in the regional and diversified banking market by combining traditional banking services with specialized institutional and advisory capabilities.
CEO Mr. J. Mariner Kemper · 5,222 employees · United States · https://www.umb.com
