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VATEVATEIndustrials · Engineering & Construction

VATE Stock Forecast: INNOVATE Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Sept 2026
$7.24
+1.12% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 92 of 100 as at 14 Sept 2026 — among the strongest tenth.

Market cap
$98.8M
Ticker Nerd rank
92 / 100
Median analyst target
—
Analysts covering
0
Revenue$421.6M+74.2% y/y
Operating income$34.5M
Net income$12.4M
Free cash flow−$35.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.7%
1M
−9.0%
YTD
+60.2%
1Y
+43.4%
From 52W high
−63.9%
From 52W low
+81.9%
$4
$20
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

VATE stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores INNOVATE Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Sept 2026
92 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
100
Value
96
Accruals
88
Quality
80
Size
75
Momentum
72
Issuance
54
Volatility
29
Revisions
25

Growth (100): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Revisions (25): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

VATE stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VATE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5$10$15$20Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26VATE

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. VATE appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

VATE vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Sept 2026, INNOVATE Corp. returned +43.4% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

VATE vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100200300400Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26VATES&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

VATE analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Fundamentals

INNOVATE Corp. (VATE) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−1.5×

Cheaper than 84% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.1×

Cheaper than 97% of US stocks

Price / book
−0.4×

Cheaper than 93% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
7.6×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
74.2%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
74.2%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Gross margin
18.9%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Operating margin
8.2%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Net margin
−1.5%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
28.5%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.3%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Dividend yield
9.6%

Higher than 91% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

INNOVATE Corp. (VATE) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • INNOVATE Corp. has a market value of $98.8M and an enterprise value of $715.4M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.5B. The latest quarter grew 74.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$21.9M, a −1.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−1.87.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $106.0M.

  • INNOVATE Corp. spent $1.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 13.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: −1.5×.

  • Forward dividend yield: 9.62%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • INNOVATE Corp. employs 3,587 people — $423K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 15 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

VATE vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelEngineering & Construction
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
VATEINNOVATE Corp.$98.8M
92
BLNKBlink Charging Co.$75.5M
65
SHIMShimmick Corp.$138.7M
31
ESOAEnergy Services of America Corp.$206.1M
75
KAZRSkyline Builders Group Holding Ltd.$35.7M
18
MTRXMatrix Service Co.$281.2M
79
SLNDSouthland Holdings, Inc.$31.5M
43

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own INNOVATE Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest VATE news & analysis

INNOVATE Announces Closing of the Sale of a Controlling Interest in its Broadcasting Segment to CONX

GlobeNewsWire · 2 Sept 2026neutral

INNOVATE Corp. announced the closing of the sale of a controlling interest in its broadcasting segment to CONX, as announced via GlobeNewsWire from New York on September 2, 2026.

Why it matters — This corporate transaction changes the ownership structure of INNOVATE's broadcasting business, so VATE watchers may want to track how the divestiture affects the company's operations and reporting.

VATE Q2 Earnings Improve Y/Y as Infrastructure Revenues Surge

Zacks Investment Research · 18 Aug 2026positive

INNOVATE Corp. reported improved Q2 results year-over-year, swinging to a profit as revenues surged 74.2%, driven by DBM Global's growth, wider margins, and backlog gains. The company's debt and liquidity remain areas of focus.

Why it matters — The earnings improvement and strong revenue growth signal strengthening infrastructure operations, while debt and liquidity levels remain key considerations for VATE watchers.

MediBeacon® Transdermal GFR System Nominated for 2026 Prix Galien USA Best Medical Technology

GlobeNewsWire · 18 Aug 2026positive

INNOVATE Corp. announced that The Galien Foundation has nominated the MediBeacon TGFR System, developed by its equity method investment MediBeacon Inc., for the 2026 Prix Galien USA Best Medical Technology award.

Why it matters — A Prix Galien nomination is a significant industry recognition that could raise the profile of MediBeacon, a company in which INNOVATE holds an equity method investment.

IES Holdings to Acquire DBM Global

GlobeNewsWire · 10 Aug 2026neutral

IES Holdings announced a definitive agreement to acquire DBM Global, a structural steel fabrication, erection and industrial services platform, from INNOVATE Corp. The transaction consideration, including minority interests, is approximately $650 million, comprising cash and shares of IES common stock.

Why it matters — For INNOVATE Corp. shareholders, this agreement represents the sale of a major subsidiary platform for approximately $650 million in cash and stock consideration.

INNOVATE Agrees to $650 Million Sale of DBM Global to IES Holdings

GlobeNewsWire · 10 Aug 2026positive

INNOVATE Corp. has agreed to sell its subsidiary DBM Global to IES Holdings for $650 million in cash and stock consideration, as announced on August 10, 2026.

Why it matters — The $650 million sale of DBM Global represents a significant corporate transaction for INNOVATE that will reshape its asset base and provide substantial cash and stock proceeds.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about VATE stock

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank VATE?

As at 14 Sept 2026, INNOVATE Corp. ranks 92 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (100 of 100).

What is the VATE stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering INNOVATE Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VATE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

How has VATE stock performed over the past year?

INNOVATE Corp. returned +43.4% over the 12 months to 14 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does INNOVATE Corp. do?

INNOVATE Corp. is a diversified holding company focused on three operating segments: Infrastructure, Life Sciences, and Spectrum.

What is the latest news on VATE?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 2 Sept 2026): "INNOVATE Announces Closing of the Sale of a Controlling Interest in its Broadcasting Segment to CONX". INNOVATE Corp. announced the closing of the sale of a controlling interest in its broadcasting segment to CONX, as announced via GlobeNewsWire from New York on September 2, 2026.

Company

About INNOVATE Corp.

INNOVATE Corp. is a diversified holding company focused on three operating segments: Infrastructure, Life Sciences, and Spectrum. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides industrial construction, structural steel fabrication, heavy equipment installation, facility maintenance, and specialized engineering services for commercial and infrastructure projects. Its Life Sciences business develops products aimed at early knee osteoarthritis treatment and skin-focused aesthetic and medical technologies. The Spectrum segment operates over-the-air broadcasting stations across the United States, adding media assets to its broader portfolio. INNOVATE Corp. serves markets tied to construction, healthcare innovation, and broadcasting, with a business model centered on owning and managing a range of operating subsidiaries across these areas.

3,587 employees · United States · https://innovatecorp.com