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VITLVITLConsumer Defensive · Farm Products

VITL Stock Forecast: Vital Farms, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$9.06
+1.57% on the day

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Vital Farms, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $14 — +54.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 14 of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$389.0M
Ticker Nerd rank
14 / 100
Median analyst target
$14
Analysts covering
10
Revenue$166.0M−10.1% y/y
Operating income−$40.1M
Net income−$31.1M
Free cash flow−$44.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−8.9%
1M
−10.5%
YTD
−71.6%
1Y
−78.0%
From 52W high
−79.7%
From 52W low
+9.4%
$8
$45
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

VITL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Vital Farms, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Oct 2026
14 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Size
55
Quality
55
Value
46
Revisions
37
Issuance
36
Volatility
33
Growth
22
Accruals
15
Momentum
3

Size (55): Smaller than most of the companies we track.

Momentum (3): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

VITL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VITL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$20$30$40$50Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26VITLHigh $18Median $14Low $10

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says10 analysts
4 Buy6 Hold0 Sell
Low $10Median $14High $18

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +54.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
17 Sept 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$14
8 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
7 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$16 → $14
7 Aug 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
7 Aug 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$13 → $14
7 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$10 → $11
7 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
11 May 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
11 May 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$20 → $13
8 May 2026StifelDowngradeHold$34 → $10
8 May 2026StifelDowngradeHold—
8 May 2026William BlairDowngradeMarket Perform—
8 May 2026William BlairDowngradeMarket Perform—
4 May 2026DA DavidsonDowngradeNeutral$47 → $16
4 May 2026DA DavidsonDowngradeNeutral—
23 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
21 Apr 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
8 Apr 2026TD CowenDowngradeHold—
2 Apr 2026Craig-HallumMaintainsBuy—
27 Mar 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. VITL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

VITL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Vital Farms, Inc. returned −78.0% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

VITL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
20406080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26VITLS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

VITL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.7×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.5×

Cheaper than 81% of US stocks

Price / book
1.4×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
30.3×

Cheaper than 9% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−10.1%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−10.1%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Gross margin
6.6%

Higher than 7% of US stocks

Operating margin
−24.2%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Net margin
0.0%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
0.1%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.0%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Vital Farms, Inc. has a market value of $389.0M and an enterprise value of $476.0M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $765.7M. The latest quarter shrank 10.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $156K, a 0.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.04.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$126.1M.

  • Shares outstanding: 42.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.7×; forward P/E: 33.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Vital Farms, Inc. employs 739 people — $1.0M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

VITL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelFarm Products
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
VITLVital Farms, Inc.$389.0M
14
VFFVillage Farms International, Inc.$345.9M
65
AFRIForafric Global Plc$302.4M
46
ALCOAlico, Inc.$293.3M
83
LMNRLimoneira Co.$217.1M
14
DOLEDole plc$1.2B
78
DMCDel Monte Corp.$1.4B
59

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Vital Farms, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest VITL news & analysis

Why Vital Farms (VITL) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today

Zacks Investment Research · 30 Sept 2026negative

Vital Farms (VITL) shares closed at $9.29 in the latest trading session, a 1.06% decline from the previous day, a drop larger than that of the broader market. The excerpt notes only the price movement and provides no further details on the cause.

Why it matters — A VITL watcher would care because the stock's decline exceeding the broader market's move could signal stock-specific selling pressure worth monitoring.

Vital Farms (VITL) Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market: What Investors Need to Know

Zacks Investment Research · 24 Sept 2026negative

Vital Farms (VITL) closed its recent trading session at $10.03, a 2.76% decline from the prior day's close. The stock fell more steeply than the broader market.

Why it matters — A VITL watcher would care because the company's shares underperformed the broader market in the latest trading session.

Vital Farms faces egg pricing pressure, says Jefferies

Proactive Investors · 24 Sept 2026negative

Jefferies maintained its $15 price target on Vital Farms, stating that easing egg prices and rebuilding layer flocks are pressuring the company, while demand for pasture-raised eggs remains strong. The broker noted egg markets loosened in September after the USDA raised its 2026 production forecast and lowered its price outlook.

Why it matters — VITL watchers would care because falling egg prices and loosening market conditions could weigh on the company's earnings even as demand for its pasture-raised eggs stays strong.

Vital Farms (VITL) Beats Stock Market Upswing: What Investors Need to Know

Zacks Investment Research · 18 Sept 2026positive

Vital Farms (VITL) closed at $11.97 in the latest trading session, up 2.31% from the prior day, outperforming the broader stock market upswing.

Why it matters — A VITL watcher would note that the stock's gain exceeded the broader market move, reflecting stronger-than-market momentum in that session.

Vital Farms shares rally as investors weigh possible sale

Proactive Investors · 17 Sept 2026positive

Vital Farms shares rose Thursday after a report indicated the company was exploring strategic options, including a possible sale or take-private transaction. The Axios Pro report cited a targeted valuation of $15 to $25 per share for the Austin, Texas-based pasture-raised egg producer.

Why it matters — A possible sale or take-private transaction could significantly affect the company's ownership and valuation, making this a key development for Vital Farms investors to watch.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about VITL stock

What is the VITL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Vital Farms, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $14, with estimates ranging from $10 to $18. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is VITL stock a buy right now?

Of the 10 analysts covering Vital Farms, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Vital Farms, Inc. 14 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank VITL?

As at 3 Oct 2026, Vital Farms, Inc. ranks 14 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (55 of 100).

Will VITL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies +54.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Vital Farms, Inc. 14 out of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the VITL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Vital Farms, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VITL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $10 to $18 over the next 12 months.

How has VITL stock performed over the past year?

Vital Farms, Inc. returned -78.0% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Vital Farms, Inc. do?

Vital Farms, Inc. is a U.S.-based food company that packages, markets, and distributes pasture-raised shell eggs, butter, hard-boiled eggs, liquid whole eggs, and related refrigerated products.

What is the latest news on VITL?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 30 Sept 2026): "Why Vital Farms (VITL) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today". Vital Farms (VITL) shares closed at $9.29 in the latest trading session, a 1.06% decline from the previous day, a drop larger than that of the broader market. The excerpt notes only the price movement and provides no further details on the cause.

Company

About Vital Farms, Inc.

Vital Farms, Inc. is a U.S.-based food company that packages, markets, and distributes pasture-raised shell eggs, butter, hard-boiled eggs, liquid whole eggs, and related refrigerated products. The company focuses on ethically produced foods sourced from a network of family farms, and its portfolio is sold under the Vital Farms brand and other trade names through retail grocery, mass-market, club, e-commerce, and foodservice channels. Vital Farms also serves commercial and non-commercial foodservice operators, giving it a broad presence across consumer and institutional markets. Headquartered in Austin, Texas, Vital Farms is known for its emphasis on animal welfare, sustainable farming practices, and transparent sourcing. Its role in the market is centered on premium branded eggs and dairy products, making it a notable participant in the U.S. consumer staples and packaged foods space.

CEO Mr. Russell Diez-Canseco · 739 employees · United States · https://vitalfarms.com