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VITLVITLConsumer Defensive · Farm Products

VITL Stock Forecast: Vital Farms, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 23 Oct 2026
$9.14
−2.87% on the day

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Vital Farms, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $14 — +53.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 12 of 100 as at 24 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$392.4M
Ticker Nerd rank
12/ 100
Median analyst target
$14
Analysts covering
10
Revenue$166.0M−10.1% y/y
Operating income−$40.1M
Net income−$31.1M
Free cash flow−$44.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+8.8%
1M
−11.3%
YTD
−71.4%
1Y
−76.0%
From 52W high
−76.2%
From 52W low
+12.0%
$8
$38
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

VITL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Vital Farms, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 24 Oct 2026
12/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
55
Size
55
Value
42
Issuance
36
Revisions
34
Volatility
28
Growth
22
Accruals
15
Momentum
3

Quality (55): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Momentum (3): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

VITL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VITL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5$10$15$20$25$30$35$40Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26VITLHigh $18Median $14Low $8

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says10 analysts
4 Buy6 Hold0 Sell
Low $8Median $14High $18

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +53.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 6 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
15 Oct 2026StifelMaintainsHold$11 → $9.00
13 Oct 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$11 → $8.00
17 Sept 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$14
17 Sept 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
8 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
7 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$16 → $14
7 Aug 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$13 → $14
7 Aug 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
7 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$10 → $11
7 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
11 May 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$20 → $13
11 May 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
8 May 2026StifelDowngradeHold$34 → $10
8 May 2026StifelDowngradeHold—
8 May 2026William BlairDowngradeMarket Perform—
8 May 2026William BlairDowngradeMarket Perform—
4 May 2026DA DavidsonDowngradeNeutral$47 → $16
4 May 2026DA DavidsonDowngradeNeutral—
23 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
21 Apr 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

VITL appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

VITL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 23 Oct 2026, Vital Farms, Inc. returned −76.0% against +14.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

VITL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
20406080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26VITLS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

VITL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.7×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.5×

Cheaper than 80% of US stocks

Price / book
1.4×

Cheaper than 57% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
30.5×

Cheaper than 8% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−10.1%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−10.1%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Gross margin
6.6%

Higher than 7% of US stocks

Operating margin
−24.2%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Net margin
0.0%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
0.1%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.0%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Vital Farms, Inc. has a market value of $392.4M and an enterprise value of $479.4M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $765.7M. The latest quarter shrank 10.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $156K, a 0.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.04.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$126.1M.

  • Shares outstanding: 42.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.7×; forward P/E: 30.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Vital Farms, Inc. employs 739 people — $1.0M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 24 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

VITL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelFarm Products
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
VITLVital Farms, Inc.$392.4M12
AFRIForafric Global Plc$318.0M44
VFFVillage Farms International, Inc.$313.7M61
ALCOAlico, Inc.$284.6M78
LMNRLimoneira Co.$195.0M11
DOLEDole Plc$1.3B77
DMCDel Monte Corp.$1.4B60

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Vital Farms, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest VITL news & analysis

Vital Farms Introduces a Higher Standard for Free-Range Eggs Through Limited Pilot at Select Target Retail Stores

Business Wire · 23 Oct 2026positive

Vital Farms announced a limited pilot of its Free-Range eggs at select Target stores across the South and Southeast, with products expected to arrive beginning this week. The test explores reaching more households at a suggested retail price below $5 per carton while maintaining the company’s stated commitments to transparency and animal welfare.

Why it matters — The pilot gives VITL watchers a view into the company’s effort to expand household reach through select retail distribution and a more accessible price point.

Investors Heavily Search Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL): Here is What You Need to Know

Zacks Investment Research · 23 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports that users of Zacks.com have recently been watching Vital Farms (VITL) closely. The article says it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock’s prospects.

Why it matters — VITL watchers may find the article relevant for its focus on factors that could affect the stock’s prospects.

Vital Farms to Report Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results on November 3, 2026

Business Wire · 20 Oct 2026neutral

Vital Farms will report its third-quarter 2026 financial results before market open on November 3, 2026. The company will host a conference call and webcast at 8:30 a.m. ET that day to discuss the results.

Why it matters — VITL watchers can note the scheduled date and time for the company’s quarterly results and discussion.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about VITL stock

What is the VITL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Vital Farms, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $14, with estimates ranging from $8 to $18. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is VITL stock a buy right now?

Of the 10 analysts covering Vital Farms, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Vital Farms, Inc. 12 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 24 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank VITL?

As at 24 Oct 2026, Vital Farms, Inc. ranks 12 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (55 of 100).

Will VITL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies +53.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Vital Farms, Inc. 12 out of 100 as at 24 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the VITL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Vital Farms, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VITL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $8 to $18 over the next 12 months.

How has VITL stock performed over the past year?

Vital Farms, Inc. returned -76.0% over the 12 months to 23 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Vital Farms, Inc. do?

Vital Farms, Inc. is a U.S.-based food company that packages, markets, and distributes pasture-raised shell eggs, butter, hard-boiled eggs, liquid whole eggs, and related refrigerated products.

What is the latest news on VITL?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 23 Oct 2026): "Vital Farms Introduces a Higher Standard for Free-Range Eggs Through Limited Pilot at Select Target Retail Stores". Vital Farms announced a limited pilot of its Free-Range eggs at select Target stores across the South and Southeast, with products expected to arrive beginning this week. The test explores reaching more households at a suggested retail price below $5 per carton while maintaining the company’s stated commitments to transparency and animal welfare.

Company

About Vital Farms, Inc.

Vital Farms, Inc. is a U.S.-based food company that packages, markets, and distributes pasture-raised shell eggs, butter, hard-boiled eggs, liquid whole eggs, and related refrigerated products. The company focuses on ethically produced foods sourced from a network of family farms, and its portfolio is sold under the Vital Farms brand and other trade names through retail grocery, mass-market, club, e-commerce, and foodservice channels. Vital Farms also serves commercial and non-commercial foodservice operators, giving it a broad presence across consumer and institutional markets. Headquartered in Austin, Texas, Vital Farms is known for its emphasis on animal welfare, sustainable farming practices, and transparent sourcing. Its role in the market is centered on premium branded eggs and dairy products, making it a notable participant in the U.S. consumer staples and packaged foods space.

CEO Mr. Russell Diez-Canseco · 739 employees · United States · https://vitalfarms.com