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VITLVITLConsumer Defensive · Farm Products

VITL Stock Forecast: Vital Farms, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$11
−0.47% on the day

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Vital Farms, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $14 — +32.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 12 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$454.2M
Ticker Nerd rank
12 / 100
Median analyst target
$14
Analysts covering
10
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.0%
1M
−19.4%
YTD
−66.9%
1Y
−78.9%
From 52W high
−79.8%
From 52W low
+27.7%
$8
$52
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

VITL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Vital Farms, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
12 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Size
55
Quality
52
Value
39
Issuance
36
Revisions
36
Volatility
33
Growth
22
Accruals
15
Momentum
3

Size (55): Smaller than most of the companies we track.

Momentum (3): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

VITL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VITL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$20$30$40$50Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26VITLHigh $18Median $14Low $10

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says10 analysts
4 Buy6 Hold0 Sell
Low $10Median $14High $18

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +32.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
7 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$16 → $14
7 Aug 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$13 → $14
7 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold$10 → $11
11 May 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
11 May 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$20 → $13
8 May 2026StifelDowngradeHold$34 → $10
8 May 2026StifelDowngradeHold—
8 May 2026William BlairDowngradeMarket Perform—
8 May 2026William BlairDowngradeMarket Perform—
4 May 2026DA DavidsonDowngradeNeutral$47 → $16
4 May 2026DA DavidsonDowngradeNeutral—
23 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
21 Apr 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
8 Apr 2026TD CowenDowngradeHold—
2 Apr 2026Craig-HallumMaintainsBuy—
27 Mar 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
27 Mar 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsOutperform—
2 Mar 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
2 Mar 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. VITL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

VITL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.7×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.6×

Cheaper than 80% of US stocks

Price / book
1.4×

Cheaper than 60% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
34.6×

Cheaper than 8% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−10.1%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−10.1%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Gross margin
6.6%

Higher than 7% of US stocks

Operating margin
−24.2%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Net margin
0.0%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
0.1%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.0%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

VITL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelFarm Products
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
VITLVital Farms, Inc.$454.2M
12
VFFVillage Farms International, Inc.$331.3M
66
ALCOAlico, Inc.$308.6M
77
AFRIForafric Global Plc$300.0M
46
LMNRLimoneira Co.$250.8M
20
DOLEDole plc$1.3B
76
DMCDel Monte Corp.$1.5B
56

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Vital Farms, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest VITL news & analysis

Vital Farms: The Recovery Is Starting, But I Need More Proof

Seeking Alpha · 19 Aug 2026neutral

Vital Farms reported a challenging Q2 with revenue down 10% year-over-year, gross margin falling to 6.6%, and significant cash burn, though it beat revenue expectations and reaffirmed full-year guidance. Management expects gross margin to recover to about 30% by Q4, with early signs of stabilization despite structural changes making a return to 35-40% margins unlikely.

Why it matters — A Vital Farms watcher would care because the company shows early signs of stabilization and reaffirmed guidance, but management's lowered margin outlook and continued cash burn raise questions about the pace and extent of recovery.

Vital Farms Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 7 Aug 2026negative

Vital reported Q2 2026 net revenue of $166 million, down 10.1% year-over-year, as the company faced an industry egg oversupply, pricing gaps with branded competitors, and elevated costs from managing excess supply.

Why it matters — The revenue decline and challenging industry conditions signal near-term headwinds for Vital Farms' financial performance and competitive positioning.

Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Vital Farms, Inc. held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and the transcript of that call was published on Seeking Alpha.

Why it matters — Earnings call transcripts provide direct insight into management's commentary on quarterly financial results and business outlook.

Vital Farms (VITL) Reports Q2 Loss, Beats Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 6 Aug 2026negative

Vital Farms reported a Q2 loss of $0.47 per share, slightly wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a $0.46 loss, and compared with earnings of $0.36 per share a year ago. The headline notes the company beat revenue estimates.

Why it matters — The quarter marks a swing from year-ago profitability to a loss, with the per-share loss coming in slightly worse than analysts expected.

Silver Point Leads $125 Million Term Loan Financing for Vital Farms

PRNewsWire · 6 Aug 2026neutral

Silver Point Capital's Direct Lending business led a $125 million term loan financing for Vital Farms (Nasdaq: VITL), a Certified B Corporation offering ethically produced foods nationwide. The announcement was made on Aug. 6, 2026, from Silver Point's Greenwich, Conn. headquarters.

Why it matters — VITL watchers would care because the company has secured a significant $125 million term loan via a major credit investor, which could affect its capital structure and financial flexibility.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about VITL stock

What is the VITL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Vital Farms, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $14, with estimates ranging from $10 to $18. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is VITL stock a buy right now?

Of the 10 analysts covering Vital Farms, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Vital Farms, Inc. 12 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank VITL?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Vital Farms, Inc. ranks 12 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (55 of 100).

Will VITL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies +32.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Vital Farms, Inc. 12 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the VITL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Vital Farms, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VITL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $10 to $18 over the next 12 months.

How has VITL stock performed over the past year?

Vital Farms, Inc. returned -78.9% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Vital Farms, Inc. do?

Vital Farms Inc. is a food company specializing in ethically sourced, pasture-raised products.

What is the latest news on VITL?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 19 Aug 2026): "Vital Farms: The Recovery Is Starting, But I Need More Proof". Vital Farms reported a challenging Q2 with revenue down 10% year-over-year, gross margin falling to 6.6%, and significant cash burn, though it beat revenue expectations and reaffirmed full-year guidance. Management expects gross margin to recover to about 30% by Q4, with early signs of stabilization despite structural changes making a return to 35-40% margins unlikely.

Company

About Vital Farms, Inc.

Vital Farms Inc. is a food company specializing in ethically sourced, pasture-raised products. It packages, markets, and distributes shell eggs, butter, ghee, hard-boiled eggs, and liquid whole eggs under the Vital Farms and RedHill Farms brands. The company partners with a network of over 425 family-owned farms across the United States, ensuring animals have outdoor access in line with its commitment to Conscious Capitalism, which emphasizes long-term benefits for farmers, suppliers, customers, communities, the environment, employees, and stockholders. Vital Farms products are sold through retail stores and foodservice channels, including third-party distributors, direct to retailers, and commercial and non-commercial operators nationwide. Operating in the consumer defensive sector within farm products, it focuses on pasture-raised eggs and butter as core offerings. Founded in 2007 and headquartered in Austin, Texas, Vital Farms Inc. stands as a certified B Corporation dedicated to ethical food production.

CEO Mr. Russell Diez-Canseco · 739 employees · United States · https://vitalfarms.com