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VLY Stock Forecast: Valley National Bancorp Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$14
−0.59% on the day

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Valley National Bancorp hold a median 12-month price target of $17 — +25.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 63 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$7.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
63 / 100
Median analyst target
$17
Analysts covering
13
Revenue$560.7M+13.3% y/y
Net income$170.9M
Free cash flow$163.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.8%
1M
−7.8%
YTD
+19.3%
1Y
+26.8%
From 52W high
−9.8%
From 52W low
+44.8%
$9
$15
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

VLY stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Valley National Bancorp on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
63 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
92
Value
82
Growth
80
Issuance
72
Revisions
63
Quality
38
Accruals
27
Size
18
Volatility
14

Momentum (92): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Volatility (14): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

VLY stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VLY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$8$10$12$14$16$18Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26VLYHigh $18Median $17Low $15

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says13 analysts
10 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $15Median $17High $18

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +25.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$16 → $17
24 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
24 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$18 → $17
24 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$15 → $16
24 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
15 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
15 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight$16 → $17
10 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$16 → $17
10 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
7 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
7 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$14 → $15
1 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
29 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
26 June 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
6 May 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight—
27 Apr 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight—
27 Apr 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
24 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
24 Apr 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
20 Apr 2026Piper SandlerAssumesOverweight$16

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. VLY appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

VLY vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, Valley National Bancorp returned +26.8% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

VLY vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120130140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26VLYS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

VLY analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.7%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.5×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.7×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Price / book
1.0×

Cheaper than 72% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
15.0%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
28.3%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
46.8%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Net margin
34.5%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
9.0%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.1%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.2%

Higher than 67% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Valley National Bancorp has a market value of $7.5B and an enterprise value of $10.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.2B. The latest quarter grew 15.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $693.6M, a 32.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.18.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $575.0M.

  • Valley National Bancorp spent $141.9M on share buybacks and $277.3M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 553.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.5×; forward P/E: 8.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.24%, paying out 37% of earnings.

  • Valley National Bancorp employs 3,675 people — $586K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 19 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

VLY vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
VLYValley National Bancorp$7.5B
63
CBCCentral Bancompany, Inc.$7.6B
32
BOKFBOK Financial Corp.$8.4B
67
PBProsperity Bancshares, Inc.$8.4B
48
COLBColumbia Banking System, Inc.$8.5B
34
CBSHCommerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri)$8.5B
55
WALWestern Alliance Bancorp.$8.6B
36

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Valley National Bancorp — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest VLY news & analysis

Will VLY's Providence Buyout Accelerate Growth in Chicago Franchise?

Zacks Investment Research · 26 Aug 2026positive

Valley National Bancorp's acquisition of Providence is expected to accelerate growth in its Chicago franchise through stronger deposits, a broader branch network, and greater wealth-management scale. The deal is positioned as a driver of expansion in that market.

Why it matters — The deal signals potential expansion of Valley National's Chicago footprint across deposits, branches, and wealth management, which watchers would track for the company's regional growth.

Valley National Bancorp Accelerates Growth in Attractive Chicago Market With Acquisition of High-Performing Providence Financial Corporation

GlobeNewsWire · 25 Aug 2026positive

Valley National Bancorp announced a definitive merger agreement to acquire Providence Financial Corporation, parent of Providence Bank & Trust, adding an established physical delivery channel in the Chicago area to supplement its existing commercial presence there. The deal follows Valley's recent investments to accelerate retail and small business growth.

Why it matters — The acquisition expands Valley's physical presence in the attractive Chicago market and aligns with its strategic focus on enhancing its funding profile and growing retail and small business banking.

Implied Volatility Surging for Valley National Bancorp Stock Options

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports that implied volatility has been surging for Valley National Bancorp (VLY) stock options, drawing attention to the stock's recent options-market movements.

Why it matters — A VLY watcher would care because elevated options-market volatility can signal heightened investor attention and shifting expectations around the stock.

Valley National Bancorp: Preferred Share Offers 8% Yield For At Least 3 Years

Seeking Alpha · 10 Aug 2026positive

A Seeking Alpha article highlights Valley National Bancorp's improving yield spreads and record net interest income since 2019. It discusses the VLYPN Series C preferred shares' 8.05% yield with call protection until 2029, alongside robust loan and deposit growth and a loan-to-deposit ratio below 96% for eight consecutive quarters.

Why it matters — VLY watchers would care because the article points to continued operational strengthening at the bank and describes income-focused preferred-share characteristics tied to that stability.

VLY Q2 Earnings Miss Despite Strong Revenue Growth, Lower Provisions

Zacks Investment Research · 24 July 2026negative

Valley National missed Q2 earnings estimates due to higher expenses, though this was partly offset by higher net interest income and non-interest income, along with lower provisions.

Why it matters — A VLY watcher would care because the earnings miss highlights cost pressures that could weigh on profitability, while revenue growth and lower provisions may indicate underlying operational resilience.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about VLY stock

What is the VLY stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Valley National Bancorp have a median 12-month price target of $17, with estimates ranging from $15 to $18. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is VLY stock a buy right now?

Of the 13 analysts covering Valley National Bancorp, 10 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Valley National Bancorp 63 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank VLY?

As at 19 Sept 2026, Valley National Bancorp ranks 63 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (92 of 100).

Will VLY stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +25.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Valley National Bancorp 63 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the VLY stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Valley National Bancorp publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VLY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $15 to $18 over the next 12 months.

How has VLY stock performed over the past year?

Valley National Bancorp returned +26.8% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Valley National Bancorp do?

Valley National Bancorp Common Stock represents the ownership interest in Valley National Bancorp, a bank holding company focused on retail and commercial banking. The company operates through commercial banking, consumer banking, and treasury and corporate functions, serving individuals, small and middle-market businesses, and other commercial clients with deposit products, lending, mortgage services, and wealth management solutions.

What is the latest news on VLY?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 26 Aug 2026): "Will VLY's Providence Buyout Accelerate Growth in Chicago Franchise?". Valley National Bancorp's acquisition of Providence is expected to accelerate growth in its Chicago franchise through stronger deposits, a broader branch network, and greater wealth-management scale. The deal is positioned as a driver of expansion in that market.

Company

About Valley National Bancorp.

Valley National Bancorp Common Stock represents the ownership interest in Valley National Bancorp, a bank holding company focused on retail and commercial banking. The company operates through commercial banking, consumer banking, and treasury and corporate functions, serving individuals, small and middle-market businesses, and other commercial clients with deposit products, lending, mortgage services, and wealth management solutions. Its commercial banking activities center on commercial and industrial lending as well as commercial real estate financing, while consumer banking includes residential mortgages and other consumer credit products. Valley National Bancorp also provides private banking, insurance, and related financial services through its banking platform. The common stock is used by investors to participate in the company’s operating results and broader role in regional banking and financial intermediation.

CEO Mr. Ira D. Robbins CPA · 3,675 employees · United States · https://www.valley.com