VLYVLYFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

VLY Stock Forecast: Valley National Bancorp Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$14
+1.54% on the day

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Valley National Bancorp hold a median 12-month price target of $17 — +17.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 63 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$7.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
63/ 100
Median analyst target
$17
Analysts covering
14
Revenue$560.7M+13.3% y/y
Net income$170.9M
Free cash flow$163.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+2.8%
1M
+13.0%
YTD
+27.2%
1Y
+39.7%
From 52W high
−3.9%
From 52W low
+43.9%
$10
$15
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

VLY stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Valley National Bancorp on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 4 Nov 2026
63/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
79
Growth
79
Momentum
78
Value
76
Revisions
72
Quality
41
Accruals
24
Size
17
Volatility
14

Issuance (79): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Volatility (14): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

VLY stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VLY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$12$14$16$18$20Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26VLYHigh $19Median $17Low $16

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says14 analysts
12 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $16Median $17High $19

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +17.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
3 Nov 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$15 → $17
26 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$18 → $19
26 Oct 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$17 → $17
23 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$16 → $16
23 Oct 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsUpgradeOutperform$17
23 Oct 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$16 → $17
23 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$15 → $16
6 Oct 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$16 → $17
6 Oct 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
1 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
1 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$17 → $16
29 Sept 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform—
29 Sept 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform$17
28 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
28 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$17 → $16
8 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
8 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$16 → $17
24 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
24 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$18 → $17
24 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

VLY appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

VLY vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Valley National Bancorp returned +39.7% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

VLY vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140150Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26VLYS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

VLY analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.6%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.4×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.9×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Price / book
1.1×

Cheaper than 68% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.7%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
26.3%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
48.6%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Net margin
35.8%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
9.4%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.1%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.1%

Higher than 87% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Valley National Bancorp has a market value of $7.9B and an enterprise value of $10.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.2B. The latest quarter grew 9.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $693.6M, a 32.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.18.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $575.0M.

  • Valley National Bancorp spent $141.9M on share buybacks and $277.3M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 553.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.4×; forward P/E: 9.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.08%, paying out 37% of earnings.

  • Valley National Bancorp employs 3,675 people — $586K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

VLY vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
VLYValley National Bancorp$7.9B63
BOKFBOK Financial Corp.$8.0B55
CBSHCommerce Bancshares, Inc. (Missouri)$8.4B36
WALWestern Alliance Bancorp.$8.7B33
PBProsperity Bancshares, Inc.$8.8B29
COLBColumbia Banking System, Inc.$8.9B81
CBCCentral Bancompany, Inc.$9.0B29

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Valley National Bancorp — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest VLY news & analysis

Valley National: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors

The Motley Fool · 30 Oct 2026positive

Valley National expects acquisitions to add more than $3.5 billion in core deposits. Its Commercial Real Estate concentration has declined by over 160 percentage points from its peak.

Why it matters — These details highlight changes in VLY’s deposit base and Commercial Real Estate concentration that investors may monitor.

Valley National (VLY) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Oct 2026positive

Valley National Bancorp was upgraded to Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about its earnings prospects. The source says this might drive the stock higher in the near term.

Why it matters — VLY watchers may note the upgrade as a sign of increased optimism about the company's earnings prospects.

Valley National Bancorp: Balance Sheet Transformation Continues

Seeking Alpha · 23 Oct 2026positive

Seeking Alpha says Valley National Bancorp’s Q3 earnings beat expectations, with net interest margin expanding and deposits rising 8% year over year. The article cites ongoing balance-sheet improvements and says the Bluevine acquisition is expected to add $2 billion in low-cost deposits, with potential EPS accretion by 2028.

Why it matters — The reported deposit growth, margin expansion, and planned addition of low-cost deposits are relevant to VLY watchers tracking its balance-sheet changes.

What Valley National Bancorp (VLY) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

MarketBeat · 22 Oct 2026positive

Valley National Bancorp said its third-quarter 2026 performance put it on track to finish the year at the high end of previously issued guidance ranges. It cited core deposit growth, loan expansion, improved net interest margin and tighter expense control.

Why it matters — VLY watchers may note the company’s stated progress toward the upper end of its full-year guidance and the operating factors it identified.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about VLY stock

What is the VLY stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Valley National Bancorp have a median 12-month price target of $17, with estimates ranging from $16 to $19. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is VLY stock a buy right now?

Of the 14 analysts covering Valley National Bancorp, 12 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Valley National Bancorp 63 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank VLY?

As at 4 Nov 2026, Valley National Bancorp ranks 63 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (79 of 100).

Will VLY stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies +17.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Valley National Bancorp 63 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the VLY stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Valley National Bancorp publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VLY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $16 to $19 over the next 12 months.

How has VLY stock performed over the past year?

Valley National Bancorp returned +39.7% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Valley National Bancorp do?

Valley National Bancorp Common Stock represents the ownership interest in Valley National Bancorp, a bank holding company focused on retail and commercial banking. The company operates through commercial banking, consumer banking, and treasury and corporate functions, serving individuals, small and middle-market businesses, and other commercial clients with deposit products, lending, mortgage services, and wealth management solutions.

What is the latest news on VLY?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 30 Oct 2026): "Valley National: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors". Valley National expects acquisitions to add more than $3.5 billion in core deposits. Its Commercial Real Estate concentration has declined by over 160 percentage points from its peak.

Company

About Valley National Bancorp.

Valley National Bancorp Common Stock represents the ownership interest in Valley National Bancorp, a bank holding company focused on retail and commercial banking. The company operates through commercial banking, consumer banking, and treasury and corporate functions, serving individuals, small and middle-market businesses, and other commercial clients with deposit products, lending, mortgage services, and wealth management solutions. Its commercial banking activities center on commercial and industrial lending as well as commercial real estate financing, while consumer banking includes residential mortgages and other consumer credit products. Valley National Bancorp also provides private banking, insurance, and related financial services through its banking platform. The common stock is used by investors to participate in the company’s operating results and broader role in regional banking and financial intermediation.

CEO Mr. Ira D. Robbins CPA · 3,675 employees · United States · https://www.valley.com