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VRRMVRRMTechnology · Information Technology Services

VRRM Stock Forecast: Verra Mobility Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$3.55
−2.74% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Verra Mobility Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $6 — +69.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 69 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$539.5M
Ticker Nerd rank
69 / 100
Median analyst target
$6.00
Analysts covering
8
Revenue$263.6M+11.7% y/y
Operating income$71.6M
Net income−$48.2M
Free cash flow$32.6M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−15.5%
1M
−25.7%
YTD
−84.2%
1Y
−85.8%
From 52W high
−85.8%
From 52W low
0.0%
$4
$25
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

VRRM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Verra Mobility Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
69 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
97
Accruals
82
Quality
78
Issuance
68
Volatility
63
Growth
56
Size
53
Revisions
41
Momentum
3

Value (97): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Momentum (3): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

VRRM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VRRM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5$10$15$20$25Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26VRRMHigh $10.00Median $6.00Low $5.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says8 analysts
0 Buy8 Hold0 Sell
Low $5.00Median $6.00High $10.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +69.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
7 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$4.00 → $6.00
13 July 2026JP MorganUpgradeNeutral$5.00 → $6.00
13 July 2026JP MorganUpgradeNeutral—
2 June 2026BairdMaintainsNeutral—
28 May 2026UBSDowngradeNeutral—
27 May 2026BairdDowngradeNeutral—
27 May 2026CJS SecuritiesDowngradeMarket Perform—
27 May 2026Deutsche BankDowngradeHold—
27 May 2026JP MorganDowngradeUnderweight—
27 May 2026William BlairDowngradeMarket Perform—
15 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
26 Mar 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
9 Mar 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
25 Feb 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
25 Feb 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
26 Jan 2026JP MorganInitiatesNeutral—
30 Oct 2025UBSMaintainsBuy—
21 Aug 2025BairdMaintainsOutperform—
8 May 2025BairdMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. VRRM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

VRRM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Verra Mobility Corp. returned −85.8% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

VRRM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
020406080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26VRRMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

VRRM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−8.3%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
7
Fundamentals

Verra Mobility Corp. (VRRM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.1×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.5×

Cheaper than 81% of US stocks

Price / book
2.4×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
4.4×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
11.7%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
11.7%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Gross margin
89.3%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Operating margin
27.2%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Net margin
4.4%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
15.4%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Return on assets
9.2%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Verra Mobility Corp. (VRRM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Verra Mobility Corp. has a market value of $539.5M and an enterprise value of $1.6B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.0B. The latest quarter grew 11.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $44.3M, a 4.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.26.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $96.9M.

  • Verra Mobility Corp. spent $185.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 152.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 13.1×; forward P/E: 3.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Verra Mobility Corp. employs 1,888 people — $533K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

VRRM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInformation Technology Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
VRRMVerra Mobility Corp.$539.5M
69
IBEXIBEX Ltd.$533.5M
100
GDYNGrid Dynamics Holdings, Inc.$676.7M
53
NABLN-able, Inc.$727.1M
43
WYFIWhiteFiber, Inc.$732.3M
14
TASKTaskUs, Inc.$745.4M
74
TTGTTechTarget, Inc.$279.3M
32

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Verra Mobility Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest VRRM news & analysis

Verra Mobility launches AI-driven Title & Registration solution, cutting fleet vehicle activation time up to 80%

PRNewsWire · 2 Sept 2026positive

Verra Mobility announced an AI-driven Title & Registration solution designed to help fleets reduce the manual, state-by-state complexity of vehicle deployment, cutting activation time by up to 80% and enabling same-day acquisition-to-road transitions while lowering compliance risk.

Why it matters — The new AI-driven solution expands Verra Mobility's product offering in fleet services, potentially strengthening its competitive position in smart mobility technology.

Verra Mobility and Hertz Expand Technology Partnership Under Renewed Contract

PRNewsWire · 26 Aug 2026positive

Verra Mobility and The Hertz Corporation, on behalf of its Hertz, Dollar, and Thrifty brands, announced additional details of their recently renewed five-year contract, expanding their technology partnership to explore new solutions that build on their long-standing tolling and violations management relationship.

Why it matters — The expanded partnership and renewed five-year contract extend Verra Mobility's long-standing tolling and violations management relationship with a major rental car company, suggesting continued revenue from a key customer.

Independent University of South Florida study shows Verra Mobility school zone speed safety programs reduced speeding violations by 97%

PRNewsWire · 18 Aug 2026positive

Verra Mobility announced findings from an independent University of South Florida Center for Urban Transportation Research study showing that its school zone speed safety programs reduced speeding violations by 97% at participating Florida school zones. The company highlighted that automated enforcement changes driver behavior and improves school zone safety.

Why it matters — An independent study confirming the effectiveness of Verra Mobility's school zone speed enforcement programs could support the strength and credibility of one of its core safety solution offerings.

Verra Mobility: The Quarter Improved, But The Contract Reset Still Matters

Seeking Alpha · 12 Aug 2026negative

Verra Mobility reported 12% year-over-year revenue growth in Q2, with Commercial Services returning to growth and Government Solutions accelerating. However, EBITDA margin fell to 42% and free cash flow declined due to lower-margin Government Solutions mix and contract pricing, while recent contract renewals with Avis and Hertz carry less favorable terms and fleet-volume uncertainty.

Why it matters — A VRRM watcher would care because the margin and free cash flow declines, along with less-favorable Avis and Hertz contract terms, reduce long-term earnings visibility despite strong top-line growth.

Verra Mobility Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 6 Aug 2026negative

Verra Mobility reported second-quarter results that beat its internal expectations, helped by New York City camera-installation timing, operational improvements, and stronger Collections in its Commercial Services segment. However, the company cut its full-year outlook after renewing major rental-car customer contracts on terms the CFO described as materially less favorable than prior agreements.

Why it matters — The lowered full-year guidance due to less favorable rental-car contract renewals is a key factor for VRRM watchers despite the solid quarterly performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about VRRM stock

What is the VRRM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Verra Mobility Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $6, with estimates ranging from $5 to $10. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is VRRM stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Verra Mobility Corp., 0 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Verra Mobility Corp. 69 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank VRRM?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Verra Mobility Corp. ranks 69 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (97 of 100).

Will VRRM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +69.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Verra Mobility Corp. 69 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the VRRM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Verra Mobility Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VRRM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $5 to $10 over the next 12 months.

How has VRRM stock performed over the past year?

Verra Mobility Corp. returned -85.8% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Verra Mobility Corp. do?

Verra Mobility Corp. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Verra Mobility Corporation, a provider of smart mobility technology solutions for transportation-related customers and public agencies.

What is the latest news on VRRM?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 2 Sept 2026): "Verra Mobility launches AI-driven Title & Registration solution, cutting fleet vehicle activation time up to 80%". Verra Mobility announced an AI-driven Title & Registration solution designed to help fleets reduce the manual, state-by-state complexity of vehicle deployment, cutting activation time by up to 80% and enabling same-day acquisition-to-road transitions while lowering compliance risk.

Company

About Verra Mobility Corp.

Verra Mobility Corp. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Verra Mobility Corporation, a provider of smart mobility technology solutions for transportation-related customers and public agencies. Verra Mobility focuses on software and services that support tolling, automated traffic enforcement, parking management, and vehicle and violation processing. Its offerings are used by state and local governments, commercial fleet operators, rental car companies, and parking operators to improve compliance, streamline operations, and manage mobility-related transactions. The company operates across commercial services, government solutions, and parking solutions, making it an important participant in the broader transportation technology market. Verra Mobility Corporation is headquartered in Mesa, Arizona, and its Class A Common Stock is part of the company’s publicly traded equity structure.

CEO Mr. Jonathan Keyser · 1,888 employees · United States · https://www.verramobility.com